Tropicsweatherpr's WunderBlog

Thanks for the link Tropicsweatherpr. I think those numbers are more dependent on a moderate to strong el nino....wether or not we will see a moderate or strong el nino is yet to be seen

Quoting Tropicsweatherpr:


I also agree with what you said. Let's see what occurs eventually with ENSO in the next few weeks.

Over the next two to three weeks we will have a better forecast of what will occur during the hurricane season

Thanks for the link

I said to you earlier that I generally wait until May to put numbers out there. But as of right now, I believe it is a little underdone, even though odds favor a slow season. I think there will be a lot of local activity. The waters of the Eastern Seaboard, the Gulf of Mexico and the western half of the Caribbean.

I think CSU has pretty much gotten it nailed, a weak El Niño with normal to below normal activity. If we were to get a moderate/strong El Nino, these numbers would have to be lower.

Quoting hydrus:
I said to you earlier that I generally wait until May to put numbers out there. But as of right now, I believe it is a little underdone, even though odds favor a slow season. I think there will be a lot of local activity. The waters of the Eastern Seaboard, the Gulf of Mexico and the western half of the Caribbean.

I have to agree with you there hydrus