Western Pacific Corner

S. Korean Ship, sinking cause
Posted by: Spetrm, 09:25 PM GMT del 30 Aprile 2010 +2
The PCC-772 ship that sank over a month ago has finnally been confirmed that a torpedo was likely the cuase.

I have been providing METOC support for the salvage operations over the past month and I can tell you a lot of time and energy was put in to find the exact cuase of this. Overall it's scary from my point of view.

Below is an article from the Washington Post.


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WHAT is to be done when a rogue state commits an act of war, killing scores of people, but tries to avoid retaliation by denying responsibility? For South Korean President Lee Myung-bak, the answer begins with a very deliberate investigation. It has now been more than a month since the March 26 sinking of a South Korean corvette after an explosion; a week of mourning is now underway for the 40 sailors killed and the six still missing. From the beginning, an attack by North Korea was suspected. But only this week did South Korea's defense minister say publicly that a torpedo was the likely cause of the explosion -- and he didn't say where the torpedo came from.

Even that cautious statement was quickly played down by the Obama administration, which is participating in an international investigation of the incident. "I think it was a conditional statement," said State Department spokesman Philip Crowley. "I don't know that the investigation has arrived at that final judgment."

Investigators have yet to find hard evidence, such as scraps of a torpedo. But the real problem of concluding that North Korea did what it almost certainly did is that neither Mr. Lee nor the Obama administration has good ideas for how to respond. Military retaliation would risk a devastating war on the Korean Peninsula. Asking the U.N. Security Council for more sanctions against the regime of Kim Jong Il would require the consent of China, which will not easily be persuaded. And unilateral sanctions by South Korea, such as closing an industrial area where Southern firms employ thousands of Northern workers, could make the North still more dependent on China, which already controls 70 percent of its trade.

Mr. Lee has handled the situation as well as he probably could. He has avoided provocative public statements while trying to build a national consensus that excludes military action, and an international agreement that North Korea must suffer some consequences. Tighter sanctions might serve a purpose if they force Mr. Kim to resume negotiations about giving up his nuclear arsenal; they might also further weaken a regime that has been looking particularly shaky to some outside experts.

Still, North Korea is likely to survive so long as China continues to prop it up. Since Beijing appears to prefer the status quo on the Korean Peninsula, it is unlikely to withdraw its support anytime soon. That means, in turn, that Mr. Kim has a good chance at getting away with murder -- which is probably what he calculated all along.

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This Article is from the NEW YORK TIMES

SEOUL, South Korea — The South Korean military vowed revenge, but fell short of blaming North Korea by name, as the country gave an emotional farewell on Thursday to the sailors killed when their ship sank last month near a disputed sea border with the North.

If the ship is found to have been torpedoed by North Korea, as many South Koreans suspect, it will amount to one of the most serious provocations from the North in recent decades. Seoul has repeatedly vowed “stern countermeasures” but has said it will not not publicly discuss its options until an investigation is over.

Military retaliation was unlikely, analysts say.

“We’ll never forgive whoever inflicted this great pain on us,” said the Navy chief of staff, Kim Sung-chan, at a mass funeral for the victims on Thursday. “We will track them down to the end and we will, by all means, make them pay for this.”

Sirens wailed, flags flew at half-staff, and navy ships sounded whistles as South Korea honored the 40 sailors known to have died and six others who are missing and presumed dead.

There is widespread suspicion among South Koreans that the ship was hit by a North Korean torpedo.

Bruce Klingner, a senior research fellow at the Heritage Foundation in Washington, said on Thursday that he noticed “uncharacteristic reticence and nervousness” among South Korean officials although, metaphorically, “they found a body with a bullet hole in the head and North Korea was the only guy in the room with the pistol.”

Mr. Klingner has met South Korean officials in the past week over the ship sinking.
Investigators are studying the salvaged wreck of the ship, which broke in half on March 26. They are also searching the seabed for evidence of what caused the explosion. South Korea’s defense minister has said a heavy torpedo was the most likely cause, although he has not openly blamed the North Korea, which has denied involvement
Updated: 09:40 PM GMT del 30 Aprile 2010   Permalink | A A A
Thai New Year
Posted by: Spetrm, 08:59 PM GMT del 18 Aprile 2010 +0




In Thailand this time of year temperatures sore in to the high 90’s daily. April is near the end of the Dry season before the NE Monsoon starts to kick in. This means it is about the hottest time of the year for the country. So what does this mean? Time for the worlds biggest water fight too cool off.



I personally was caught off guard by the magnitude of this festival. “Thai New Year”. For most of the day super soakers and buckets of water are firing water at you from all directions. Thank god one of my friends had a back pack with a plastic bag in it. Or my NIKON and my IPOD touch would have been toasted. Yet this was an awesome way to cool off in the heat of the sun.



That sets me up for the next subject though. Pattaya Thailand! This place seriously makes Las Vegas look like Disney world. Amidst the huge water fight I got asked if I wanted to buy some grenades, about 50 suits and I lost count on the amount of hookers that tried to get with me and the group of Sailors we were with.





One of the coolest places we found though to cool off was a “ICE BAR”. This bar was a walk in freezer you could say, they provided you with fur coats and gloves and you get to take shots out of shot glasses made of ice for a half an hour for a fee. Unfortunately the muggy air outside never allowed my feet to dry from the water fight. So my socks literally froze in the Ice Bar. No worries though, the heat unfroze them in minutes after departing the building.




Overall I rate this port up there in the list of places I have been to around the world. The culture is unique and eye opening. When people plead with you to buy there stuff so they can feed there family that day you get a sense of how fortunate you are in the U.S.A. Yet the same people that try to sell you stuff are at the same time courteous and helpful. People here are respectful and caring, Buddhism got something right and its rather prevalent here.



As for the weather, the dry season does look to be ending, Thunderstorms are beginning to build inland during the afternoons and soon enough they will drop large amounts of precip. on the country bringing in the wet season.
Updated: 06:50 PM GMT del 19 Aprile 2010   Permalink | A A A
Earth Quakes Normal; Turn off Panic Button!
Posted by: Spetrm, 07:16 PM GMT del 15 Aprile 2010 +0
With all the media attention over the past few months it’s hard to believe the statement of this entry. Yet I have been hearing reports that it is more than usual and on the reverse side that it is common and there is nothing unusual about 2010.

As for myself, I have felt like I have noticed an increase, yet this may only be because I signed up for USGS emails after the HAITI quake that notifies me of every quake 6.0 and above. It will surprise you how often they actually do occur and with an average of 176 occurring yearly on average since 2000 it’s only natural for one to be surprised at first.

As for the media reporting these events more often you haft to remember media makes money off of what people will pay attention to. Not what you may think or may be a more important event. For example, just two years ago a large earthquake struck in the exact same region the 6.9 struck earlier this week in china. This event left five million homeless and over 87,000 people dead or missing! Where was the media for this event? Not around because at the time earthquakes and events in china for that matter was not an easy sell as something of interest to the American public. Now though, after several earthquakes back to back in poverty stricken areas with poor infrastructures the world believes there is an even bigger event going on.

So let’s put this theory to rest. And get down to the facts.

As I stated the average of earthquakes over the past 10 years 6.0 and greater is 176 (176.5 to be exact). So far in 2010 there has been 64 earthquakes, this is at the one/third of the year mark. So if we take 64 and multiply by 3 we get 193. Above normal yes, incredibly above normal, NO! Actually if we look back to 2007, 196 occurred that year with 4 of them being above the 8.0 magnitude mark. So where was the overall worry about earthquakes that year?

Not in the minds of most American to say the least. That year most of the large quakes occurred overseas. And with the overall American population caring about what is affecting them at home it’s no wonder why it took an event as large and close to home as the HAITI event to open everyone’s eyes.

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In Jakarta Indonesia
Posted by: Spetrm, 06:56 PM GMT del 11 Aprile 2010 +0
Another stop along my journey as a naval forecaster, yet this stop is another working port like the last. Operations still continue to go on in the Yellow Sea to recover the sunken ROK Naval Vessel. And until that is over they need METOC support for the divers and ships on location.

That brings me to my next point, I know I sometimes may glorify the navy by saying it is a great way to see the world and get a meteorology degree at the same time. Yet this comes sacrifice. Being away from family is not an easy task, I have missed one of my sons last two birthdays and only made his second one by a few days. I have missed holidays, hospital visits and momentous occasions. (My son’s first steps) This all takes a big toll.
Next is when something real world happens and duty calls in any aspect of the military you will be on watch/work for hours getting only a few hours of sleep a night. Then going straight back to it the next day for weeks straight. And if you choose to do go in to weather then be prepared for the stress. Yes likely will not be shot and I am thankful on that note, but when your weather forecast effects the course of a mission and people’s lives the day to day stress can be overwhelming.

But don’t take this entry as all negative, I would never take back what the Navy has given me, but like selling the devil your soul, you haft to deal with the consequences.
Updated: 05:13 PM GMT del 12 Aprile 2010   Permalink | A A A
All new Stars down here
Posted by: Spetrm, 06:46 PM GMT del 09 Aprile 2010 +0
In the South Pacific now. I'll have some new videos here soon from my next stop.

This is my second time in the southern hemisphere. And just like last time, time to go flush the toilet to see witch way it spins.


And that is how I will tie this in to weather. Coriolis, It is the force that makes high's and low's spin and why they spin the opposite way in the southern hemisphere.



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Tsunami Watch, 7.8 Quake
Posted by: Spetrm, 11:04 PM GMT del 06 Aprile 2010 +0
In Sumatra Indonesia, just got the word through. There is a Tsunami watch out yet no official reports one has been generated yet, I'll try to keep you all informed though as much as I possibly can. This is right in my back yard so I'll be rather busy over the next few hours.


Magnitude
7.8

Date-Time
· Tuesday, April 06, 2010 at 22:15:02 UTC

· Wednesday, April 07, 2010 at 05:15:02 AM at epicenter

· Time of Earthquake in other Time Zones

Location
2.236°N, 97.046°E

Depth
46 km (28.6 miles)

Region
NORTHERN SUMATRA, INDONESIA

Distances
205 km (125 miles) WNW of Sibolga, Sumatra, Indonesia
230 km (145 miles) SW of Medan, Sumatra, Indonesia
525 km (325 miles) W of KUALA LUMPUR, Malaysia
1425 km (880 miles) NW of JAKARTA, Java, Indonesia

Location Uncertainty
horizontal +/- 7.4 km (4.6 miles); depth +/- 11.6 km (7.2 miles)

Parameters
NST= 58, Nph= 63, Dmin=330.6 km, Rmss=0.81 sec, Gp= 58°,
M-type=teleseismic moment magnitude (Mw), Version=6




Source
· USGS NEIC (WDCS-D)












Tsunami Information
Earthquake Information

Message Time:
06 Apr 2010 22:22 UTC

Message Num:
001

Message Text:
click to read

Message Type:
a Local Tsunami Watch is in Effect

Warning:
None

Watch:
INDONESIA

ETAs / Obs:
ETAs


Origin Time:
06 Apr 2010 22:15 UTC

Magnitude:
7.5 Mwp (reviewed by PTWC)

Latitude:
2.2° N

Longitude:
97.1° E

Depth:
50 km (31.1 mi)

Location:
Northern Sumatra Indonesia

More Info.:
updated earthquake information from the USGS NEIC


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Video from Borneo, Malaysia
Posted by: Spetrm, 09:49 AM GMT del 05 Aprile 2010 +0








It's hot!!! If I was just writing a forecast for this area life would be so simple and easy, yet other stuff fleet wide is still going down that has gotten attention so I'm stuck here doing that, I did manage to get off the ship for a little while today, got the above video uploaded, there is a few more that I tried to but internet in a open air cafe is not really the fastest in the world. So I hope enjoy and drop some comments. Rob





Updated: 08:16 PM GMT del 05 Aprile 2010   Permalink | A A A
Malaysia
Posted by: Spetrm, 08:30 PM GMT del 04 Aprile 2010 +0
I’m currently in Malaysia now, yet another stop along the way, unfortunately I don’t get to go out and see stuff here. If you have seen the news you would know that a Korean ship sank in the Yellow Sea, you would also know that weather has been a big factor in the Salvage efforts. So I’ve been on 14 on 10 off shifts for the last week and half. One of the prices you haft to pay to travel the world I guess.

Tomorrow morning I will try to send out a video blog from wifi they have on the pier here. Hopefully it works and I hope your all looking forward to seeing something from elsewhere in the world.

O and on another weather note, its hot here! About 90 during everyday, and humidity near 90% until it rains in the afternoon relieving some of the moisture. Defiantly easy to forecast though. It’s hot, and it will rain later in the day.
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About Spetrm
Weather geek from Machias, NY, working as a meteorologist for NHK World TV in Tokyo. Also run my own independent weather site.

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