Good evening everyone,
95L remains south of our coast this evening and remains weak. I don't see this causing any problems other than increasing our rain chances.
96L on the other hand is a bigger threat. Visible and Infrared satellite imagery clearly shows that the tropical disturbance is getting better organized. Water Vapor imagery shows a very low shear environment over 96L with clock-wise turning which indicates the presence of an upper level anti-cyclone. It should be noted that the origins of this disturbance is NOT from a tropical wave, but from an area of piling heat and moisture which has caused pressures to lower. This type of pattern is how typhoons form in the west Pacific. The tropical wave moving through that area is just a visitor and can only act as a catalyst for the formation of a low-level circulation. Anyway, the Hurricane Hunters are heading out to investigate 96L tomorrow and will likely find a Tropical Depression, maybe even a Tropical Storm considering 2 ships near 96L's center reported tropical storm force winds. Now I would like to bring to everyone's attention that a Mexican landfall has become much less likely and a Texas or even Louisiana landfall is becoming much more likely. With upper level conditions look to be favorable for strengthening and a strong tropical storm or even minimal Hurricane landfall looks to be the case with this system along the Gulf coast on Wednesday/Thursday.
Also, the tropical wave near the lesser Antilles looks poised to develop and will be soon labeled 97L. This will need to be watched for trouble down the line.
