Tropical Storm Alma has dissipated over the high mountains of Honduras, and thankfully did not dump enough rain to cause a major flooding disaster in Central America. At 3pm EDT yesterday, Alma became the first tropical storm since records began in 1949 to make landfall on the Pacific coast of Central America. All previous Eastern Pacific storms have hit Mexico, which is considered part of North America. Alma came ashore in Nicaragua, near the Honduras border, as a tropical storm with 65 mph winds. So far, one person has been killed in Nicaragua, due to a fallen power cable. However, Alma has not dumped enough rain to cause widespread flooding--rainfall amounts in Nicaragua the past two day have been 3-8 inches. Costa Rica has had rains of similar magnitude, which have caused isolated mudslides that have blocked roads. Additional rain from Alma's remnants should total less than two inches in Costa Rica and four inches in Nicaragua. However, Honduras, El Salvador, Belize, Guatemala, and Mexico's Yucatan Peninsula are likely to get 4-8 inches of rain over the next two days from this system, which could cause significant flooding and mud slides.
Figure 1. Current satellite image of Alma's remnants.
There is a large area of disturbed weather that has developed in the Western Caribbean between Jamaica and the Yucatan Peninsula in the past few hours, in association with a trough of low pressure extending from the center of Alma. This morning's 7:37am EDT QuikSCAT pass showed winds of up to 50 knots (58 mph) in this region, but no hint of a circulation or wind shift. It is possible that this disturbed area could start to develop on its own later today, as a westward-moving tropical wave currently near Jamaica interacts with it. This area should expand and spread into Honduras, Belize, and Mexico's Yucatan by Saturday. However, I'm not expecting a major flooding disaster with heavy loss of life anywhere in Central America from Alma's remnants. The GFS model is predicting that moisture from Alma will eventually work its way north and bring heavy rains to Florida by June 7. No models are predicting a tropical storm in the Atlantic during the coming week.
Figure 2. Doppler radar winds from the Kearney, Nebraska tornadoes of May 29, 2008. Note that a twin set of vorticies appears in this image, denoting that two adjacent tornadoes may have hit.
Tornadoes rip the Midwest again Thursday; tornadoes expected today in Illinois, Indiana, and Missouri
Numerous strong tornadoes raked the Midwest last night, adding to the extensive damage already wreaked by one of the worst months of tornado damage in U.S. history. Last night's most significant destruction occurred in Jewell, Kansas, and Kearney, Nebraska. In Jewell, numerous businesses were destroyed and the town water tower toppled. In Kearney, multiple twisters hit, and a 90-car train was knocked off of its tracks. Wunderblogger Mike Theiss caught up to the Kearney tornado, and describes his experience in his blog today. All told, there were 55 tornado reports Thursday, but no deaths or injuries.
The Storm Prediction Center is calling for a "Moderate" risk of severe weather across Illinois, Indiana, and Missouri this afternoon---one level below their "High" risk level that was posted yesterday. Expect another significant tornado outbreak today. The Weather Underground Severe Weather page and Tornado page are good places to go to follow the severe weather. Also, tune in to the chase accounts and awesome storm photos from Wunderblogger Mike Theiss. Mike is in Tornado Alley this week, performing his annual chase efforts.
Jeff Masters
Photo of the original TIV (Tornado Intercept Vehicle) driving out from underneath thunderstorm. Photo copyright Mike Theiss
Blurry photo of the Osbourne Kansas tornado taken while driving. Photo copyright Mike Theiss
Photo of Cloud 9 Tours members parked underneath some really eerie looking skies. Photo copyright Mike Theiss
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Thanks, Skye, yeah, it's always interesting to see the ships and their locations.
Heres what I need to worry about
: Isolated tornados
: Flooding(Big deal here)rockslide/mudslide
The storms that hit the Golf of Mexico states usually impact me more than hitting N.C and zooming north-east.
statement.You just don't know what NO/Ms
went through, my family has just returned
after being away for 2yrs. Do you think
what you said was a joke.I wonder what kind
of administration they have here to let
you make that kind of a statement,do you
know how many people were killed. You have
no right to talk about one person on this blog,
you are sick.....hope they banned you...
AL 90 2008053018 BEST 0 169N 872W 25 1006 LO
AL 90 2008053100 BEST 0 169N 875W 30 1005 LO
LATCUR = 16.9N LONCUR = 87.5W DIRCUR = 270DEG SPDCUR = 3KT
LATM12 = 16.9N LONM12 = 86.9W DIRM12 = 270DEG SPDM12 = 3KT
LATM24 = 16.9N LONM24 = 86.3W
WNDCUR = 30KT RMAXWD = 75NM WNDM12 = 25KT
CENPRS = 1005MB OUTPRS = 1011MB OUTRAD = 250NM SDEPTH = M
RD34NE = 0NM RD34SE = 0NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 0NM
So, pardon me if I don't respond, it'll be because I simply didn't see it. If it's weather related, drop me an email, and I'll try to respond.
90LINVEST.30kts-1005mb-169N-875W
No more Masters blog. I'll read, but no comment. This childish asinine behavior is quite frankly tedious, and I have better things to do.
You beat me to it lol :) I was just gonna do that:)
456 and alot of others are very awsome on here and they know what there talking about,unlike others.
Sheri
Thats a good idea....then we can finally talk about 90L in peace.
everything you own, including family then
maybe you will see how upset you would get. not
trying to cause a fight. just staying my opinion from facts of what my family went through....Look sherri, he didn't mention
ALA. or any place else, so if you didn't
lose a family member you don't know how
it feels...
Drakoen those are the first set just put out.Doupt you will see many runs on this as this a short lived event.Atleast for now.
I know what they are lol.
Sheri
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