Dr. Jeff Masters' WunderBlog

296. Thundercloud01221991 11:38 AM GMT on January 11, 2008
Has anyone seen the fact that the "Atlantic Storm" is developing this morning it even has convection on the south side

yes we (me Drak, H23 and others) know we have been talking about it for the past week.

My remarks,

the circulation has become better define on multispectural infrared imagery. I havnt check all the enviromental variables as yet but wind shear my satellite estimations seems to be relaxing but still above the threshold.

Here I found the link about the snow.

Link

from wunderground....

3:55 AM 37.4 °F 35.6 °F 93% 30.12 in 5.0 miles Variable 6.9 mph - N/A Rain , Snow Light Rain
4:26 AM 37.4 °F 35.6 °F 93% 30.11 in 3.7 miles Variable 6.9 mph - N/A Rain , Snow Light Rain
4:55 AM 37.4 °F 35.6 °F 93% 30.10 in 3.7 miles Variable 5.8 mph - N/A Rain , Snow Light Rain
5:55 AM 35.6 °F 33.8 °F 93% 30.11 in 3.7 miles Variable 5.8 mph - N/A Rain , Snow Light Rain
6:55 AM 35.6 °F 33.8 °F 93% 30.12 in - Variable 5.8 mph - N/A Snow Light Snow Showers
7:37 AM 33.8 °F 33.8 °F 100% 30.25 in 1.0 miles Variable 4.6 mph - N/A Snow Light Snow Showers
7:55 AM 33.8 °F 33.8 °F 100% 30.14 in 1.5 miles Variable 3.5 mph - N/A Snow Light Snow
8:55 AM 35.6 °F 33.8 °F 93% 30.14 in 1.2 miles North 8.1 mph - N/A Snow Light Snow
9:30 AM 35.6 °F 33.8 °F 93% 30.14 in - NNW 4.6 mph - N/A Rain , Snow Light Rain
9:55 AM 35.6 °F 33.8 °F 93% 30.15 in 3.1 miles North 6.9 mph - N/A Rain Light Rain


Baghdad, Iraq KQTZ

I watch this system all week going from nothing at the surface to a well define LLCC. This is really true genesis in the making.

Wind shear tendency has negative values near the system but still well above the 15 knot threshold near 30 knots.

Alll the system needs to do is contract the radius of maximum winds (RMW) and aquire some convection that will alow it develop a warm core in the upper levels. Currently a flat to cool thermal core exist near 200 hpa, which is not subtropical or tropical in nature. It has unitl Sunday to get its act togther before it becomes absorbed by a cold front.

456 cold the approaching front give it the needed energy to develope subtrobical characteristics?

Kind of give it a jump start?

Good morning all! I contacted my family in Monroe, GA early yesterday afternoon to prepare for possible tornadoes developing in and around the area. Thus far, I haven't gotten any calls from them, so Im guessing that they are doing well. Taking a look at the reports, I did not see anything from there, so I am quite relieved this morning, but I feel sorry for the thousands who lives have been changed forever by this historic severe weather outbreak. God bless them.

308. Bonedog 1:26 PM GMT on January 11, 2008
456 cold the approaching front give it the needed energy to develope subtrobical characteristics?

Kind of give it a jump start?

If the cold front was forecasted to be weak, stationary and/or dying. But it will be accomapnied by a shortwave.....most likely it will be absorbed and taken out to sea. The Global models agree to. Also....the definition of a subtropical or tropical is a "non frontal" area of disturb weathert.... and any interaction with a front that strong will just be contradicting the whole ideology.

I guess that I will have to update my site on this possible invest in the Central Atlantic. Based upon my analysis, it is quite evident that there is indeed a closed circulation at the surface. But, I do not see this system as either subtropical or tropical in nature just yet. I believe we will see some subtropical/tropical genesis during the day today. I will be monitoring both the cold front as well as this possible invest throughout the day.

Good morning all,what a crazy winter this is,driving to work this morning with lightning flashing around me

found this photo on an arab news network site SNOW in Baghdad

Morning NE, Vort, CCh, 456

remember when 95L started to interact with a front to its north...and the NHC drop the Special Tropical Disturbance Statement becuz of that reason?

morning bone