Dr. Jeff Masters' WunderBlog

Tornado kills two in Missouri; more tornadoes on tap for today
Posted by: Dr. Jeff Masters, 12:53 PM GMT del 18 Ottobre 2007 +3
The tropical Atlantic is quiet today, and none of the reliable models are predicting tropical cyclone formation over the next five days.

At approximately 12:15 am CDT this morning, a tornado near Paris, Missouri, killed two people when it ripped apart their mobile home and tossed them 400 feet away. At least four other tornadoes hit Missouri yesterday, and two tornadoes touched down in Texas, and one each in Louisiana and Mississippi. The driver of a Petal Water & Sewer service truck was hospitalized in Mississippi after strong winds picked up his truck and tossed it across I-59.

Another severe weather outbreak is expected today in the U.S., from the Mississippi Valley northward through the Tennessee Valley and the Great Lakes. Tornado Watches have already been posted, and today's severe weather has the potential to generate a few strong, long-track tornadoes. You can follow the outbreak today on our new interactive tornado map, which will post the tornado damage reports as they are received. The new feature also allows one to plot all the historical tornado activity back to 1950 for any region in the U.S. If you take a wunderphoto of a tornadic storm or tornado damage, and click on the "tornado" type of image flag when uploading it, our software will attempt to match your photo to the storm report for that tornado. These photos will then be available when you click on a storm report on the interactive tornado page. One of the storm reports for Missouri yesterday has several wunderphotos of the thunderstorm that spawned the tornado available, thanks to wunderphotographer Paleohebrew.

Jeff Masters
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Pensacola Tornado (Mslider31)
Looking west down Cervantes from Barcelona.
Pensacola Tornado
Categories: Tornado
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101. pcola 03:13 PM GMT del 18 Ottobre 2007    
We have a little break in the rain here in pensacola but the clouds are clipping by very fast and there is barely a breeze in the tops of our pine trees. What's up with that?
Member Since: Settembre 9, 2005 Posts: 1 Comments: 159
102. BajaALemt 03:14 PM GMT del 18 Ottobre 2007    
p'cola? When I looked a little bit ago...surface winds were only about 5kts out of the se
103. NEwxguy 03:15 PM GMT del 18 Ottobre 2007    
emt ,
sounds like most of the action may be in the new york/new jersey/mid atlantic area,which should get bonedog some stormchasing.
Here in the boston area,the energy will be getting here late at night so storms should be weaker with downpours and a little thunder,a lot depends on where the jet sets up before the front moves through.
Member Since: Settembre 6, 2007 Posts: 820 Comments: 13282
104. Floodman 03:15 PM GMT del 18 Ottobre 2007    
Hey, Amy!
Member Since: Agosto 2, 2006 Posts: 10 Comments: 9919
105. NEwxguy 03:15 PM GMT del 18 Ottobre 2007    
101. pcola 3:13 PM GMT on October 18, 2007
We have a little break in the rain here in pensacola but the clouds are clipping by very fast and there is barely a breeze in the tops of our pine trees. What's up with that?

Don't let your guard down,looking at radar,got some more moving in off the gulf
Member Since: Settembre 6, 2007 Posts: 820 Comments: 13282
106. weatherbro 03:16 PM GMT del 18 Ottobre 2007    
It should clear central and southern Florida sometime on Saturday.
Member Since: Maggio 26, 2007 Posts: 47 Comments: 1156
107. BajaALemt 03:17 PM GMT del 18 Ottobre 2007    
ok..I wondered about that. This has definitely been interesting to watch
108. NEwxguy 03:17 PM GMT del 18 Ottobre 2007    
dense fog this morning,due to a quick rise in dew points looked like london when I was coming to work this morning
Member Since: Settembre 6, 2007 Posts: 820 Comments: 13282
109. pcola 03:17 PM GMT del 18 Ottobre 2007    
Thanks everybody. Today is definately a multi tasking day, looking out the window, watching radar, and reading your blog. Oh, and got my camera ready just in case I can shoot something!
Member Since: Settembre 9, 2005 Posts: 1 Comments: 159
110. Michfan 03:19 PM GMT del 18 Ottobre 2007    




Going to be a rough ride for us today.
Member Since: Settembre 7, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 1554
111. BajaALemt 03:22 PM GMT del 18 Ottobre 2007    
Pcola!!! ROFL!! I just charged two sets of batteries for mine :))
112. pcola 03:24 PM GMT del 18 Ottobre 2007    
Oh crud, center of rotation over our home and business. On tv now, I can see our store. Tracking for metro pensacola next. Tornado warning area. Radial volicity view and more but directv cutting in and out. Tornado warning until 11 am.
Ok I am going to buy a weather radio, for home and work!!!!
Member Since: Settembre 9, 2005 Posts: 1 Comments: 159
113. BajaALemt 03:25 PM GMT del 18 Ottobre 2007    
I use this link to see what the waves are like before I head to the beach. No rain right now, but this view looks ssw-ish...

(And it's LIVE 24/7)
Link
114. BajaALemt 03:26 PM GMT del 18 Ottobre 2007    
Mich? Do you have the link for those?
115. nrtiwlnvragn 03:27 PM GMT del 18 Ottobre 2007    
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
1021 AM CDT THU OCT 18 2007

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1013 AM TORNADO PENSACOLA 30.42N 87.19W
10/18/2007 ESCAMBIA FL BROADCAST MEDIA

TORNADO ON GROUND NEAR DOWNTOWN PENSACOLA FROM WEAR TV
TOWERCAM.

Member Since: Settembre 23, 2005 Posts: 12 Comments: 9090
116. NEwxguy 03:28 PM GMT del 18 Ottobre 2007    
pcola,that doesn;t sound good
Member Since: Settembre 6, 2007 Posts: 820 Comments: 13282
117. BajaALemt 03:29 PM GMT del 18 Ottobre 2007    
oh, and Pcola? This might give you a longer range view of what's headed in your way

Link
118. Michfan 03:30 PM GMT del 18 Ottobre 2007    
Link

Baja
Member Since: Settembre 7, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 1554
119. pcola 03:31 PM GMT del 18 Ottobre 2007    
NEwxguy,
Just as you said, more storms coming from the gulf. We got a train of storms, over and over again.
Member Since: Settembre 9, 2005 Posts: 1 Comments: 159
120. BajaALemt 03:33 PM GMT del 18 Ottobre 2007    
thanks, mich
121. atmoaggie 03:33 PM GMT del 18 Ottobre 2007    
Mobile to Panama City...non stop 40k foot clouds building and coming in from the WSW. I fear that will not be the last nado for the area, especially south of I-10.
Member Since: Agosto 16, 2007 Posts: 6 Comments: 12461
122. pcola 03:33 PM GMT del 18 Ottobre 2007    
Thanks Baja! I use to be a lurker until I broke my foot last week. Thanks to all you guys or I would be loosing my mind sitting around with it elevated!!!!!!!!!!! This blog is just wonderful!
Member Since: Settembre 9, 2005 Posts: 1 Comments: 159
123. RJinBoyntonBeachFL 03:39 PM GMT del 18 Ottobre 2007    
Is this cold front coming going to make any impact on the temperatures in South Florida at all?
Member Since: Ottobre 3, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 128
124. noshoes 03:40 PM GMT del 18 Ottobre 2007    
We just heard by telephone that the tornado in Pensacola hit the North Hill area...just north of downtown.
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125. Floodman 03:40 PM GMT del 18 Ottobre 2007    
Has anyone seen Bonedog today?
Member Since: Agosto 2, 2006 Posts: 10 Comments: 9919
126. BajaALemt 03:41 PM GMT del 18 Ottobre 2007    
Pcola...I was a luker since DENNIS!! lol. Sorry to hear about the foot. Broke my foot, surgery..off for 4 months! UGH! I KNOW that one. Glad you found something to keep you from going stir crazy
127. BajaALemt 03:42 PM GMT del 18 Ottobre 2007    
Not yet, flood
129. NEwxguy 03:44 PM GMT del 18 Ottobre 2007    
125. Floodman 3:40 PM GMT on October 18, 2007
Has anyone seen Bonedog today?

nope,not yet
Member Since: Settembre 6, 2007 Posts: 820 Comments: 13282
130. Michfan 03:45 PM GMT del 18 Ottobre 2007    
Just got off the phone with the wife who lives in escambia county currently. My mother-in-law works at a bank in downtown Pcola and it passed right by her window since she is in a corner office. Funnel cloud was 1 mile wide at the top but very small at ground level. One house reported with its roof blown off. Tornado tracked through D St. to A st. then went into Escambia Bay. All schools south of 9 mile road have been asked to take precautionary measures for the rest of the day. There is a video of the tornado from the local TV station there. Trying to find it as we speak.
Member Since: Settembre 7, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 1554
131. BajaALemt 03:52 PM GMT del 18 Ottobre 2007    
I just went to look at WEAR's beach cam...and it's now pointing IN at the roof door
132. BajaALemt 03:52 PM GMT del 18 Ottobre 2007    
Thanks for that update, Mich
133. TEXASYANKEE43 03:53 PM GMT del 18 Ottobre 2007    
Good morning everyone. Just got caught up reading this mornings blog. LQQS busy, busy, busy.
A funny thing happened while I was reading, everyones avatar went to the lil' fat guy with no face for a while.
134. NRAamy 03:54 PM GMT del 18 Ottobre 2007    
Hey Jerry....

ok guys...I'm flying out to Miami tomorrow....how's my weekend look?
Member Since: Gennaio 24, 2007 Posts: 315 Comments: 31939
135. Michfan 03:55 PM GMT del 18 Ottobre 2007    
Yeah WEAR doesnt seem to have posted it yet on their site. My wife was watching it locally as we were on the phone.
Member Since: Settembre 7, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 1554
136. NRAamy 04:03 PM GMT del 18 Ottobre 2007    
TexasYankee...I got news for you...your avatar still looks like the lil fat guy with no face...

;)
Member Since: Gennaio 24, 2007 Posts: 315 Comments: 31939
137. Floodman 04:04 PM GMT del 18 Ottobre 2007    
134. NRAamy 10:54 AM CDT on October 18, 2007
Hey Jerry....

ok guys...I'm flying out to Miami tomorrow....how's my weekend look?



Highs in the mid to upper 80s; good chance of unsettled weather (t'storms), clearing out by Sunday.

So let me ask you: how is it that you don't have to go through security? NSA operative?
Member Since: Agosto 2, 2006 Posts: 10 Comments: 9919
138. TEXASYANKEE43 04:05 PM GMT del 18 Ottobre 2007    
OK, now I've got a gray stripe across my post.Can anyone see me?
139. NRAamy 04:08 PM GMT del 18 Ottobre 2007    
Yeah, sure...that's me...NSA operative....spreading joy thru Moody Blues lyrics....

;)

"good chance of unsettled weather"....unsettled...like when you eat too much pizza and follow it up with a box of Twinkies and some Gatorade?

Member Since: Gennaio 24, 2007 Posts: 315 Comments: 31939
140. NRAamy 04:08 PM GMT del 18 Ottobre 2007    
TexasYankee....no...you still look like the mystery man....
Member Since: Gennaio 24, 2007 Posts: 315 Comments: 31939
141. Michfan 04:09 PM GMT del 18 Ottobre 2007    
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2108
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1026 AM CDT THU OCT 18 2007

AREAS AFFECTED...PARTS OF NRN MS/NW AL THRU WRN AND MIDDLE
TN...WRN/CNTRL KY INTO SRN IND

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE

VALID 181526Z - 181730Z

TRENDS ARE BEING CLOSELY MONITORED FOR AN INCREASING SEVERE THREAT
AND THE POSSIBILITY OF ONE OR MORE WATCHES...PERHAPS BY EARLY
AFTERNOON.

IN THE WAKE OF AN INITIAL SHORT WAVE IMPULSE NOW PIVOTING NORTHWARD
INTO THE GREAT LAKES REGION...MID-LEVEL INHIBITION HAS BEEN WEAKENED
ABOVE A MOISTENING PRE-FRONTAL CONFLUENT SOUTHERLY FLOW REGIME TO
THE EAST OF THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY CYCLONE. MID-LEVELS ALREADY
APPEAR TO BE WARMING FROM THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY INTO THE
WESTERN SLOPES OF THE CENTRAL/SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS. HOWEVER...
LATEST RUC GUIDANCE SUGGESTS INHIBITION MAY REMAIN FAIRLY NEGLIGIBLE
ALONG AN AXIS FROM NORTHERN MISSISSIPPI THROUGH PARTS OF NORTH
CENTRAL KENTUCKY. AND...A ZONE OF MID-LEVEL MOISTENING/ LARGE-SCALE
ASCENT IS EVIDENT IN WATER VAPOR IMAGERY RAPIDLY APPROACHING THIS
REGION. ADDITIONALLY... BREAKS IN CLOUD COVER LIKELY WILL BE
SUFFICIENT TO ALLOW HEATING OF A BOUNDARY LAYER CHARACTERIZED BY
UPPER 60S/LOWER 70S SURFACE DEW POINTS.

THUS...IT SEEMS PROBABLE THAT THE RISK FOR AT LEAST SCATTERED
BOUNDARY BASED THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT WILL INCREASE THROUGH THE
18-21Z TIME FRAME. AS THIS OCCURS...SEVERE THREAT WILL INCREASE
CORRESPONDINGLY WITHIN STRONG DEEP LAYER SHEAR FAVORABLE FOR
SUPERCELLS...BETWEEN STRONG SOUTHWESTERLY POLAR AND SUBTROPICAL JET
AXES. ALTHOUGH LOW-LEVEL SHEAR MAY ONLY BE CHARACTERIZED BY WEAK
CLOCKWISE TURNING WITH HEIGHT...HODOGRAPHS BENEATH 30-40 KT
SOUTHWESTERLY 850 MB FLOW WILL BE FAVORABLE FOR TORNADOES...WHICH
COULD BECOME STRONG.

..KERR.. 10/18/2007

Member Since: Settembre 7, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 1554
142. TEXASYANKEE43 04:12 PM GMT del 18 Ottobre 2007    
136. NRAamy 11:03 AM CDT on October 18, 2007
TexasYankee...I got news for you...your avatar still looks like the lil fat guy with no face...


hahahaha Sorry, no camera. that was a good one tho...:>)
143. aubiesgirl 04:14 PM GMT del 18 Ottobre 2007    
cousin works downtown p=cola for the state attny's office..saw tornado go right by
144. BajaALemt 04:22 PM GMT del 18 Ottobre 2007    
Looks like Pensacola's gonna be under the gun for awhile...line of storms extending sw...feeding in
145. atmoaggie 04:23 PM GMT del 18 Ottobre 2007    
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOBILE HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
SOUTHERN OKALOOSA COUNTY IN NORTHWEST FLORIDA...
THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF FORT WALTON BEACH...

* UNTIL NOON CDT
Member Since: Agosto 16, 2007 Posts: 6 Comments: 12461
146. Floodman 04:24 PM GMT del 18 Ottobre 2007    
Yep, Amy...you're an enigma! NRA member, NSA operative and classic rock enthusiast...not to mention you have a penchant for anime...
Member Since: Agosto 2, 2006 Posts: 10 Comments: 9919
147. atmoaggie 04:25 PM GMT del 18 Ottobre 2007    
Like I said, with 40k foot cloud tops building and rolling in...more to come.

Now extending further north into Covington, Houston, Geneva and Coffee coutines in AL. And east from Mobile to Calhoun county FL.
Member Since: Agosto 16, 2007 Posts: 6 Comments: 12461
148. Floodman 04:26 PM GMT del 18 Ottobre 2007    
Oh, by unsettled, I mean good chance of thunderstorms...unsettled weather, wow, that was an odd thing to say in this blog, huh?
Member Since: Agosto 2, 2006 Posts: 10 Comments: 9919
150. BajaALemt 04:28 PM GMT del 18 Ottobre 2007    
atmo..did you see the tvs offshore south of there a few ago?
151. BajaALemt 04:29 PM GMT del 18 Ottobre 2007    
*goes to look*

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About JeffMasters
Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

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