Dr. Jeff Masters' WunderBlog |
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| Posted by: Dr. Jeff Masters, 02:42 PM GMT del 07 Maggio 2007 | +4 |
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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.
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try some Head on LOL
I have always wnated to know this, how do you know there are contaminated barbs other then looking at the satellite?
a ring of thunderstorms forming around the center
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t4/wv.jpg
a ring of thunderstorms forming around the center
not necessarily thunderstorm just looks like CDO to me. With light ot moderate in the clouds.
Not again...
Are you testing my knowledge ( or lack of it )or are you saying they are not rain contaminated ?? LOL
That being said, for those of y'all using the SSD or the NHC Floaters and other imagery. You are looking at older data. The Global Hydrology and Climate center imagery updates much quicker, offers a larger loop, and you can zoom in on regions. First link in the imagery section here.
not to mention, most rain I believe will be north of the center..... hate to be selfish, but I hope thats me!!!
THE HIGHLIGHT CONTINUES TO BE A LARGE OCCLUDED LOW PRES SYSTEM
CENTERED OFF THE SE U.S. NEAR 31N75W...ANALYZED 998 MB. A
TRAILING/BACK DOOR COLD FRONT EXTENDS FROM A TRIPLE POINT NEAR
32N67W ACROSS THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS...NRN CUBA AND THEN INTO THE
GULF OF MEXICO. A STATIONARY FRONT RUNS FROM THE TRIPLE POINT TO
52W ALONG 32N WITH TWO WEAK FRONTAL WAVES. THIS LOW PRES SYSTEM
HAS AN IMPRESSIVELY LARGE CIRCULATION BUT NOT MUCH DEEP
MOISTURE...ESPECIALLY ON ITS S SIDE. ISOLATED SHOWERS ARE WITHIN
180 NM E OF THE FRONT AND BASICALLY ANYWHERE BETWEEN 50W AND THE
FRONT ENHANCED BY UPPER SWLY FLOW. HOWEVER...WHAT IT IS
PRODUCING IS VERY STRONG WINDS AS A VERY TIGHT PRES GRADIENT HAS
SET UP BETWEEN THE LOW AND A STRONG HIGH PRES RIDGE OVER AND OFF
THE NE U.S. COASTLINE. THIS PRES GRADIENT IS PRODUCING HURRICANE
FORCE WINDS N OF THE AREA E OF THE CAROLINA COASTLINE AND STORM
FORCE CONDITIONS IN OUR AREA N OF 28N W OF 74W. SEVERAL
ADVISORIES AND WARNINGS HAVE BEEN POSTED ALONG THE COAST FROM
SOUTH FLORIDA TO BEYOND THE CAROLINAS WHERE ROUGH SURF AND VERY
DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS ARE LIKELY OCCURRING. GLOBAL MODELS ARE
IN GOOD AGREEMENT TRACKING THE LOW WWD TOWARD THE SE COAST BUT
THERE ARE DIFFERENCES IN SPEED/TIMING. THE CURRENT FORECAST
CALLS FOR WINDS TO BEGIN SLOWLY SUBSIDING...AS THE GRADIENT
SLACKENS... FALLING BELOW GALE FORCE IN ABOUT 36 HOURS.
So Quickscat in over 60mph winds is useless? Rain or no rain?
When you go to the QS page it says that barbs suspected of being rain contaminated are coloured in black. The QS pass posted had black barbs, hence my conclusion that rain was a factor
Take a look at the note on the page linked which refers to black coloured barbs
Link
Had not looked at this before. Want to know something about Quickscat? I geuss the answer to my question about the scale is in here somewhere...lol
Lastest TPC forcast
looks like the NHC killed the blog
lol i knew it wouldn't develop. Steve Lyons on the weather channel says it has a very little chance to become subtropical.Its just a cold core now. Look at the cloud top temperatures. It system will, however still bring rain and tropical depression/storm force winds to the South East.
name or not, I want rain!!!!
oh well, beats blob watchin..... nice little swirl! :)
thats scary that you know it wont develop because steve lyons just wrote it in stone
you better remove that before someone has a fit lmao
lmao, and I second that thel ☺
If I were calling the shots at the NHC, I would be all over this. Just because...its a safe bet this thing wont become a hurricane (maybe a minimal one at best), but it can diffuse the media hype of the first storm of the season.
True, doesn't seem to be getting the "media hype" but it's not an even possible development, so that's why. Also it's only early May, so another reason why.
Another thing, I doubt this will develop. We had many, many, many, many storms similiar to this last year. There was too much dry air or in other words; not in a good situation. I mean, it's only May. Seriously speaking, there is very little to no chance of this becoming a hurricane. Maybe the MOST becoming a mimimal-subtropical storm (15% in my opinion) and even less than 15% for it becoming tropical.
I am kinda hoping that the " swirl " will dig far enough S to push a little rain our way. Its like a dust bowl in the NW Caribbean
Nice site SJ.
Right now it looks like this hybrid type system is weakening, but has already created a large wave setup with gusts near hurricane force (not a true hurricane, so you will see "storm warning", but extra "wording" of hurricane forced winds outside a tropical system).
Needless to say, 20 foot plus swells are possible along SE coast into FL, something that has not happened in some time.Iam suspecting there will be severe beach erosion, flooding, and wave damage even long after the winds die down.
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