Dr. Jeff Masters' WunderBlog

June 2012: Earth's 4th warmest June; heavy rains in Beijing kill 37
Posted by: Dr. Jeff Masters, 12:19 PM GMT del 23 Luglio 2012 +40
June 2012 was the globe's 4th warmest June on record, according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's National Climatic Data Center (NCDC). NASA rated May 2012 the 3rd warmest on record. June 2012 global land temperatures were the warmest on record; this makes three months in a row--April, May, and June--in which record-high monthly land temperature records were set. Global ocean temperatures were the 10th warmest on record. June 2012 was the 328th consecutive month with global temperatures warmer than the 20th century average; the last time global temperatures were below average was February 1985. We've now had three consecutive top-five warmest months on record; April 2012 was the 5th warmest April on record, and May 2012 was the 2nd warmest May on record. The increase in global temperatures relative to average, compared to March 2012 (16th warmest March on record) is due, in part, to warming waters in the Eastern Pacific, where a La Niña event ended in April, and borderline El Niño conditions now exist. Global satellite-measured temperatures in June for the lowest 8 km of the atmosphere were 4th or 3rd warmest in the 34-year record, according to Remote Sensing Systems and the University of Alabama Huntsville (UAH). Northern Hemisphere snow cover extent during June 2012 was the smallest in the 46-year period of record. Wunderground's weather historian, Christopher C. Burt, has a comprehensive post on the notable weather events of June in his June 2012 Global Weather Extremes Summary. Notably:

- The U.K. suffered through its wettest June since at least 1910, and coolest such since 1991.

- The monsoon season has been especially devastating so far along the banks of the Brahmaputra River in northeast India and Bangladesh. Over 2000 villages have been flooded and at least 190 deaths reported so far. Almost 20 million people in all have been displaced.

- The Korean Peninsula continued to endure its worst drought in at least 105 years.


Figure 1. Departure of temperature from average for June 2012. In the Northern Hemisphere, most areas experienced much higher-than-average monthly temperatures, including most of North America and Eurasia, and northern Africa. Only northern and western Europe, and the northwestern United States were notably cooler than average. Image credit: National Climatic Data Center (NCDC) .

Arctic sea ice has greatest June loss on record
Arctic sea ice saw its greatest-ever decrease during the month of June, and ice extent averaged over the entire month was the 2nd lowest for June in the 35-year satellite record, according to the National Snow and Ice Data Center (NSIDC). The last three Junes (2010 - 2012) have had the three smallest ice extents for the month, with June 2012 being the 21st consecutive June and the 133rd consecutive month with below-average Arctic sea ice extent. During much of June 2012 and extending into the first half of July, the Arctic Dipole pattern set up. This atmospheric circulation pattern features a surface high pressure system in the Arctic north of Alaska, and a low pressure system on the Eurasian side of the Arctic. This results in winds blowing from south to north over Siberia, pushing warm air into the central Arctic Ocean. The Arctic Dipole pattern occurred in all summer months of 2007 and helped support the record 2007 summer reduction in sea ice extent. The Arctic Dipole pattern has broken down over the past few days, and is expected to be absent through early August. This should slow Arctic sea ice loss, and ice extent may no longer be at record low levels by the first week of August.


Figure 2. Arctic sea ice area in 2012 as of July 22 (yellow line) compared to all the other years since satellite observations began in 1979. Ice area in 2012 during most of June and July has been the lowest on record. The previous record low years were 2007 and 2011. Note that sea ice area (as shown here) and sea ice extent (as measured by the National Snow and Ice Data Center) are not the same thing, but one can use either to quantify sea ice, and both show very similar behavior. Image credit: University of Illinois Cryosphere Today.

Three new billion-dollar weather disasters in June
The globe experienced three new billion-dollar weather disasters in June, bringing the total for the year to nine, said insurance broker Aon Benfield in their June Catastrophe Report. The most expensive disaster in June occurred in China, where heavy rains between the between June 20 - 29 affected northern, central, eastern and southern sections of the country. The rains left at least 50 people dead in 17 separate provinces, and caused damage estimated at CNY17.4 billion (USD2.73 billion). The U.S. suffered two billion-dollar severe weather events in June, bringing the total number of such events to six for the year. The record for most billion-dollar disasters in a year in the U.S. is fourteen (according to NOAA/NCDC) or seventeen (according to Aon Benfield.) The most costly event in June 2012 came across portions of Texas and New Mexico, where severe thunderstorms pelted areas (including the Dallas-Fort Worth metropolitan region) with golf ball and baseball-sized hail. The Insurance Council of Texas said that more than 100,000 claims were filed and total insured losses in the state would exceed $1 billion, with total losses near $1.75 billion. A separate hail event in Colorado and Wyoming caused more than $700 million in insured losses, and $1.25 billion in total losses.


Figure 3. Weather disasters costing at least half a billion dollars so far in 2012, according to insurance broker Aon Benfield in their June Catastrophe Report.

Heaviest rains in 60 years deluge Beijing, killing 37
China's latest billion-dollar weather disaster is a torrential rainstorm that hit Beijing Saturday night, dumping the the heaviest rains the city has seen in 60 years, according to Associated Press. The resulting flooding killed 37 people and did $1.6 billion in damage.


Figure 4. A Chinese man uses a signboard to signal motorists driving through flooded street following a heavy rain in Beijing Saturday, July 21, 2012. China's government says the heaviest rains to hit Beijing in six decades. The torrential downpour Saturday night left low-lying streets flooded and knocked down trees. (AP Photo)

Quiet in the Atlantic
There are no threat areas to discuss in the Atlantic, and none of the reliable computer models are developing a tropical cyclone over the next seven days.


Jeff Masters
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951. aspectre 02:10 AM GMT del 24 Luglio 2012    
For those still interested, according to NOAA:
TyphoonVicente made landfall on what appears to be either a military base or a chemical-processing facility at 21.917n112.987e between Yaogu and Huangzhukeng in Guangdong, China
~39miles(62kilometres)WestSouthWest of Macau(Macao) and
~58miles(94kilometres)WestSouthWest of HongKong

CAN is Baiyun(Guangzhou)International :: MFM is MacauInternational:: HKG is HongKongInternational


3metre(10foot)flood map
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952. RTSplayer 02:10 AM GMT del 24 Luglio 2012    
Quoting StormHype:


$1B? It's noise. DC has us going $14B per day deeper in the hole. Too many antiquated entitlements are still too sacred to them to touch. Do you realize that $15T is $15,000B. $1B is 0.007% of that.


Yes, I am one of the few people I know who knows what a trillion really is.

Yes, if you had a million dollar bill, if such a thing existed, then a trillion is a million of million dollar bills; ten billion hundred dollar bills, using real currency.


But one percent is one percent. If large changes can't be made, then like 50 to 100 small changes need to be made, it's as simple as that.
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953. Bluestorm5 02:10 AM GMT del 24 Luglio 2012    
Well, the day didn't do as planned. I left home in JoCo, almost got in a wreck twice in Smithfield, head to Winterville, went on two hours drive, got lost looking for a high school in Winterville, waited a hour for game to starts, played badly against some team, then a small thunderstorm struck the field and delayed the game for a hour, attempted to play again, got hit by a tropical storm, field washed out, game cancelled, baseball season ends until spring, went home, ran into a hellstorm (yes, it's that bad), brightest lightning show I've ever seen, then I got struck by lightning while I was attempting to stop in Wilson, little dazed while eating Chick-fil-a, drove two hours to home watching the most beautiful lightning show I've ever seen in the distance. Good gracious, what the heck had struck Eastern North Carolina this afternoon? I've never drove through a storm this bad in my young 17 years old life. Dang... I'm glad I didn't get in a wreck and that I'm still alive.
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954. drg0dOwnCountry 02:11 AM GMT del 24 Luglio 2012    
Quoting gulfbreeze:
BP could Buy the US!!!


They already did

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955. Tribucanes 02:13 AM GMT del 24 Luglio 2012    
I'll use an adage I heard some time ago. What's the opposite of progress? Congress. I have big problems with both parties for very different reasons. The American People have been taken for a ride. Civil political discourse? Priceless.
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956. Bluestorm5 02:14 AM GMT del 24 Luglio 2012    
Not this politics *%$# again? Can we get a tropical storm to wash away those comments, pretty please?
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957. Patrap 02:16 AM GMT del 24 Luglio 2012    
Farside Solar Flare and Full Halo CME (7/23/2012)

Published on Jul 23, 2012 by ve3en1


A bright Full Halo Coronal Mass Ejection (CME) was produced by a solar flare around Sunspot 1520 now transiting the farside of the Sun. This video shows the flare as captured by STEREO Ahead and also the CME by STEREO Ahead COR2 and Lasco C2.

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959. gulfbreeze 02:16 AM GMT del 24 Luglio 2012    
Quoting drg0dOwnCountry:


They already did

You are so right back after the oil Spill and they came out of their meetings with our Great Leader you could just see it on their faces we own this Guy! But big oil owns all of us !!
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960. weathermanwannabe 02:17 AM GMT del 24 Luglio 2012    
A mixed but timely political/weather comment. Will be interesting to see how much media comes out of China in terms of areas affected by Vicente; we will get coverage out of Hong Kong but I am more interested in the assessments coming out of the less prosperous areas closer to the land fall location. Lots of poor coastal residents, who rely on lowland farming and fishing to make a living I am wondering how storm surge impacted them and whether the government took appropriate action to warn them or evacuate beforehand...... I don't believe that Kissinger/Nixon ever envisioned that China would end up being the top financier to the US government when they "opened the door" to trade and commerce between the US and China four decades ago when they were primarily an agrarian economy.........Who would have thought.
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961. Tazmanian 02:17 AM GMT del 24 Luglio 2012    
Quoting drg0dOwnCountry:


They already did





your going too get a 24hr bannd for that so i would re move it
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962. hurricanehunter27 02:17 AM GMT del 24 Luglio 2012    
Quoting drg0dOwnCountry:


They already did

Ok so they are a profitable businesses in what way do they own the US? If the US wanted to we could seize all the assets of these company's if they ever became a threat. Plus just cause its on a good looking poster does not mean its a fact. Please source that poster.
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963. bradbarry27 02:18 AM GMT del 24 Luglio 2012    
Quoting hurricanehunter27:
What proof do you have for any of these claims? No such thing as 'legal' counterfeiting. What you are referring to is inflation. Plus the government would NEVER try to inflate our currency to pay off debt. That is the single worse thing you can do to pay it off. Believe it or not the government is not stupid enough to do something like that. So what if BP has better cash flow? BP has better cash flow because the US allows it to. Your reasons for everything you listed are baseless.


You have a lack of understanding on this subject, aparently. China has been doing this to keep their goods cheaper for years now. On purpose. I doubt anything anyone here says will change your mind. Perhaps you should look up QE1, QE2, and QE3 and see for yourself what he was talking about.
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964. Tribucanes 02:19 AM GMT del 24 Luglio 2012    
Was weather and climate all day today. Politics just reared her contentious head a little bit ago. Never have we been so divided in this country since perhaps prohibition. Rarely does a political discussion remain civil in America anymore. Lots of good, honest, and intelligent people here who just disagree on a wide list of subjects. Makes the world go round.
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965. WxGeekVA 02:21 AM GMT del 24 Luglio 2012    
Quoting Tazmanian:




your going too get a 24hr bannd for that so i would re move it


Relax Taz! I don't see why that would be banned...
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966. WxGeekVA 02:22 AM GMT del 24 Luglio 2012    
Quoting Tribucanes:
Was weather and climate all day today. Politics just reared her contentious head a little bit ago. Never have we been so divided in this country since perhaps prohibition. Rarely does a political discussion remain civil in America anymore. Lots of good, honest, and intelligent people here who just disagree on a wide list of subjects. Makes the world go round.


+10000
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967. StormHype 02:23 AM GMT del 24 Luglio 2012    
Quoting RTSplayer:


No, just no...

Our GDP is $15 trillion.

The land value of the residential land alone is approximately the same as the GDP, at about $15 trillion.


This obviously does not count farms, forests, mines, oil fields, roads and other infrastructure, industrial or commercial assets, lakes, rivers and other fisheries and waterway assets, or uninhabited or unused lands or other unknowns or unknown unknowns regarding future potential use and values of existing resources (given reasonable probabilities of disruptive technologies in energy or materials for manufacturing, such as ores or other materials for meta-materials, graphene or nanotubes, etc.)


The true land value is not quantifiable in any currency or barter system, given the future materials and nano technologies re "Room at the Bottom," not to mention engineered crops, etc, which will be developed in the next few decades. If you can develop self assembling buildings, such as greenhouses (see Ralph Merkle's lectures,) then you can even make food production cheaper than dirt, and make zetaflops computers as cheap as potatoes. In fact, at that point currency will be totally, functionally obsolete and trade will probably be based on pure energy or just convenience.

At the present growth rate, this technology should be practical for small applications and medical applications in 2 or 3 decades, and perhaps mega-scale engineering a few years or decades later.

Money will not matter one day when a single self-replicating robot can turn a pile of dirt into a space age city with no human intervention.



Failure of imagination, friend. The land value is incalculable.

This is not science fiction, it is theoretically possible and there is no good reason it won't be obtained.


I believe you are so focused in future prospects for technology, you are missing how to get from A to B. Of course land becomes invaluable in terms of USD when a govt can print money willy nilly. So does a gallon of gasoline, as it has more BTU's than a $1000 bill. Paper money is a belief system only. When it is abused (like now with a printing press and ballooning debt), people lose confidence in it, and prices of real things go up and up. What you forget is people aren't going to work and create your new technology to allow for utopia for just a pat on the back. They want to prosper and be on top of the heap. It's human nature. (i.e. an employee at Apple isn't in it solely for the fun.) What you mention would only work in a system like the Soviets had. Ask them how their quality of life was overall during that system. Only people who did well were those who were cronies of the govt... actually sounds like we are headed on the same path in the US under the current administration.
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968. Bluestorm5 02:23 AM GMT del 24 Luglio 2012    
Quoting WxGeekVA:


Relax Taz! I don't see why that would be banned...


Being off-topic... that's enough for 24 hr ban
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969. hurricanehunter27 02:24 AM GMT del 24 Luglio 2012    
Quoting bradbarry27:


You have a lack of understanding on this subject, aparently. China has been doing this to keep their goods cheaper for years now. On purpose. I doubt anything anyone here says will change your mind. Perhaps you should look up QE1, QE2, and QE3 and see for yourself what he was talking about.
Sense you are so knowledgeable on the subject explain it yourself. Also why are you bringing up China? We are talking about BP. Plus goods are cheap in China because labor cost are so low. In certain ways China's economy is less regulated then the US.
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970. gulfbreeze 02:24 AM GMT del 24 Luglio 2012    
I am sorry about the BP comment!! They just get on my last nerve after what they did to my back yard I love the Gulf and it hurt to see oil washing on my White beaches. I will shut up about IT!!! I will get back to my love and that is HURRICANES !!!!!!
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971. hurricanehunter27 02:25 AM GMT del 24 Luglio 2012    
Quoting Bluestorm5:


Being off-topic... that's enough for 24 hr ban
Not a single person would be left on this blog if they where banned for being off topic. Not to mention nothing is going on.
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973. Civicane49 02:26 AM GMT del 24 Luglio 2012    
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974. hurricanehunter27 02:27 AM GMT del 24 Luglio 2012    
Quoting gulfbreeze:
I am sorry about the BP comment!! They just get on my last nerve after what they did to my back yard I love the Gulf and it hurt to see oil washing on my White beaches. I will shut up about IT!!! I will get back to my love and that is HURRICANES !!!!!!
Question. When was the last time you saw oil wash up on a beach on the gulf coast? I know the oil is still there somewhere (I am guessing the ocean floor) but it is definitely not washing up on any shores.
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975. trHUrrIXC5MMX 02:28 AM GMT del 24 Luglio 2012    
Quoting RTSplayer:


Wow.

Guy with the hand anemometer got a peak gust of 152mph in that video just now at about 1.5 meters height.

That's way stronger than the official data even at observation height....


I just found out...HOW THE HELL DID VICENTE MADE IT TO CAT 4???
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976. Tribucanes 02:29 AM GMT del 24 Luglio 2012    
Free wheeling it for awhile here. They are very short handed and only removing the worst. Pensacola Doug didn't get a ban for a couple days ago; which I'm completely cool with. Just letting a lot go and forgiving the rest. Up to us to keep it civil, very few of us here can't do that.
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977. Bluestorm5 02:30 AM GMT del 24 Luglio 2012    
Quoting hurricanehunter27:
Not a single person would be left on this blog if they where banned for being off topic. Not to mention nothing is going on.
Guess that's true...
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978. Civicane49 02:30 AM GMT del 24 Luglio 2012    
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979. wxchaser97 02:31 AM GMT del 24 Luglio 2012    
I wish I could go back in time to earlier today and...
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980. Tazmanian 02:32 AM GMT del 24 Luglio 2012    
WxGeekVA i would not be talking your the most off-topic photo poster o dr m blog this about evere post you make you have too add a off topice photo
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981. Bluestorm5 02:32 AM GMT del 24 Luglio 2012    
Quoting trHUrrIXC5MMX:


I just found out...HOW THE HELL DID VICENTE MADE IT TO CAT 4???
Dunno. JWA did a 50 knots jump in one of their updates on Vicente from 70 knots to 120 knots. I've never seen hurricane/typhoon getting so strong that fast in my life.
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982. bradbarry27 02:32 AM GMT del 24 Luglio 2012    
Quoting hurricanehunter27:
Sense you are so knowledgeable on the subject explain it yourself.


Stormhype already did a pretty good job of it. I was just saying that since you dont believe what he said, or what I said, then some research on your part would show you what was behind the statements.
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983. gulfbreeze 02:33 AM GMT del 24 Luglio 2012    
$15,000,000,000,000 THAT'S A LOT OF 0!!! JUST SAYING!
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984. trHUrrIXC5MMX 02:33 AM GMT del 24 Luglio 2012    

IN ALL MY 7 YEARS OF TRACKING HURRICANES EVERYWHERE, THIS IS THE FIRST TIME I EVER SEE A CYCLONE BECOME A CAT 4 FROM A CAT 1 IN JUST HOURS RIGHT BEFORE LANDFALL. NOT EVEN HUMBERTO DID THIS...

THIS IS HISTORIC!
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985. drg0dOwnCountry 02:33 AM GMT del 24 Luglio 2012    
Quoting hurricanehunter27:
Ok so they are a profitable businesses in what way do they own the US? If the US wanted to we could seize all the assets of these company's if they ever became a threat. Plus just cause its on a good looking poster does not mean its a fact. Please source that poster.


They are a threat because they manipulate the science and debate about it. And because of this we do not act as we should on climate action. We need to get off of oil asap. More Co2 = more extreme weather. For the source go to priceofoil.org
Obama is trying to eliminate the subsidies but the bought GOP and Congress is protecting the oil interests and tax payers giveaways.
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986. flsky 02:34 AM GMT del 24 Luglio 2012    
Expected some interesting storms in Ponce Inlet, FL today, but only got a couple of hours of gentle rain - which I'm happy for, mind you, but I always love it when we get some righteous thunder and lightning. Oh well, tomorrow's another day here abouts....
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987. SteveDa1 02:34 AM GMT del 24 Luglio 2012    
Was happily going to show you fellow bloggers the decent line of thunderstorms moving through my area....


....Radar down for maintenance.

Figures!
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988. hurricanehunter27 02:36 AM GMT del 24 Luglio 2012    
Also even though I don't agree with many of you guys on many subjects relating to politics I just want to say that in no way lessens my respect for any person. You all have different beliefs and you all want to share them. I understand that and respect that.
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989. gulfbreeze 02:37 AM GMT del 24 Luglio 2012    
Quoting Tazmanian:




your going too get a 24hr bannd for that so i would re move it
WHY?????
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990. Bluestorm5 02:38 AM GMT del 24 Luglio 2012    
Quoting trHUrrIXC5MMX:

IN ALL MY 7 YEARS OF TRACKING HURRICANES EVERYWHERE, THIS IS THE FIRST TIME I EVER SEE A CYCLONE BECOME A CAT 4 FROM A CAT 1 IN JUST HOURS RIGHT BEFORE LANDFALL. NOT EVEN HUMBERTO DID THIS...
I think the closest I've seen to this storm is Hurricane Andrew in 1992, but Andrew took 24 hours going from Category 1 to 5. This typhoon did it in 6 HOURS
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991. WxGeekVA 02:40 AM GMT del 24 Luglio 2012    
Quoting Tazmanian:
WxGeekVA i would not be talking your the most off-topic photo poster o dr m blog this about evere post you make you have too add a off topice photo


No.. there's none in this post!!! -___-
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992. weathermanwannabe 02:40 AM GMT del 24 Luglio 2012    
Politics raises it's head all the time on here during slow periods and you will note that we have tons of very smart bloggers on here who can multi-task nicely between weather and other topics. The other issue that raises very strong emotions is GW. Dr. M blogs primarily on both topics (GW and tropical weather) on a regular basis but the two don't often mix very well during hurricane season. I would actually like to see him create two blogs; one for tropical issues and one on GW issues. On issues where he is discussing possible correlations between TS formation and GW, he could mention a short blurb on the tropical site and direct folks to the GW entry for the day. Wishful thinking perhaps but he should consider that at least during the Atlantic H-season; particularly if we get lots of folks off the TWC site in the future tuning in for hurricane discusions.
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993. Patrap 02:41 AM GMT del 24 Luglio 2012    
WP092012 - Typhoon (>=96 kt) VICENTE

Storm Relative 1km Geostationary Visible Imagery Loop


click image for Loop



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994. KEEPEROFTHEGATE (Mod) 02:41 AM GMT del 24 Luglio 2012    
any news on the effects of storm in hong kong and area
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995. Hugo5 02:42 AM GMT del 24 Luglio 2012    
Quoting trHUrrIXC5MMX:

IN ALL MY 7 YEARS OF TRACKING HURRICANES EVERYWHERE, THIS IS THE FIRST TIME I EVER SEE A CYCLONE BECOME A CAT 4 FROM A CAT 1 IN JUST HOURS RIGHT BEFORE LANDFALL. NOT EVEN HUMBERTO DID THIS...

THIS IS HISTORIC!


I keep watching the satelite loops over and over. It went to a pin hole eye in a matter of hours before land fall, quite unusual.
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996. hurricanehunter27 02:42 AM GMT del 24 Luglio 2012    
Quoting drg0dOwnCountry:


They are a threat because they manipulate the science and debate about it. And because of this we do not act as we should on climate action. We need to get off of oil asap. More Co2 = more extreme weather. For the source go to priceofoil.org
Obama is trying to eliminate the subsidies but the bought GOP and Congress is protecting the oil interests and tax payers giveaways.
Well of course they are going to lie about it! I know that and hate that they do it. Personally I agree with Liberals on social and tech issues. I also agree with them on climate change. But taking money from them? What is the point? That is not going to help them make a switch to clean energy. What you want to do is set a limit for CO2 regulation if they want to operate in the US market. That is a threat they will listen to. Just make sure they cut down on CO2's. Taking money from them does not make it better. Taking away a market for a company is a better way to go. (That being said nobody would vote for it)
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997. Civicane49 02:42 AM GMT del 24 Luglio 2012    
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998. Tribucanes 02:43 AM GMT del 24 Luglio 2012    
I hear ya Steve. My La Crosse radar station in Wisconsin is down more than any station in the country; or so it seems. It has been down five or six times in the last two months. Never because of severe weather. Only one that shows me what's about to hit my area.
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999. trHUrrIXC5MMX 02:44 AM GMT del 24 Luglio 2012    
Quoting Bluestorm5:
I think the closest I've seen to this storm is Hurricane Andrew in 1992, but Andrew took 24 hours going from Category 1 to 5. This typhoon did it in 6 HOURS


THIS TYPHOON INCREASED BY 50 MPH IN JUST HOURS... last time i saw it was a 75 mph typhoon...
this is for the records... no other storm has ever done this...

this storm is deadly...
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1000. gulfbreeze 02:44 AM GMT del 24 Luglio 2012    
Quoting hurricanehunter27:
Question. When was the last time you saw oil wash up on a beach on the gulf coast? I know the oil is still there somewhere (I am guessing the ocean floor) but it is definitely not washing up on any shores.
AND where do you live? If we get a bad Hurricane we could see the oil back on our beach!!
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1001. Patrap 02:45 AM GMT del 24 Luglio 2012    
WP092012 - Typhoon (>=96 kt) VICENTE

Enhanced Infrared (IR) Imagery (4 km Mercator)

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About JeffMasters
Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

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