Tropical Storm Carlotta forms in the East Pacific
Tropical Storm Carlotta has formed in the East Pacific, and is heading northwest toward the west coast of Mexico, where impacts are expected to begin on Friday. Carlotta has maximum sustained winds of 45 mph gusting to 55 mph. A hurricane hunter mission is tentatively scheduled for 2pm EDT on Friday. Carlotta's rain is visible on Puerto Ánoel's radar this afternoon. The storm appears to be well-vented, with high-level outflow apparent on satellite, and thunderstorms firing on all sides of the storm's center. The storm is currently in an area of low wind shear, however, shear will likely increase as the storm moves north. Sea surface temperature under Carlotta is slightly above average—around 30°C (86°F)—and is expected to remain around there for the next few days. These conditions are favorable for strengthening. Tropical Storm Carlotta is the 3rd tropical cyclone and named storm in the basin, and is the 5th earliest formation of the season's 3rd storm. The earliest 3rd storm formation on record is June 7th: a record tied by Hurricane Connie of 1974 and Tropical Storm Carlos of 1985.
Visible satellite image of Tropical Storm Carlotta taken at 11am EDT on Thursday.
Forecast for Carlotta
Tropical Storm Carlotta is expected to continue on its path northwest over the next few days, as it approaches the western coast of Mexico, near Acapulco. Most of the reliable track models agree with this (GFS, GFDL, HWRF, UKMET). The GFS ensemble members are basically in agreement with NHC track, however, some ensembles are still suggesting that Carlotta's energy could jump the gap and transfer into the Gulf of Mexico early next week, which is an unlikely solution. The National Hurricane Center is forecasting Carlotta to reach hurricane status on Friday. This intensification, though quick, will be short-lived as the cyclone interacts with land. Granted, the intensity of this system depends heavily on how close to the coast it gets. The mountains of western Mexico can tear apart a tropical storm or weak hurricane with ease. In any case, Carlotta is expected to bring heavy rain to an area prone to flash flooding and landslides.
Meanwhile, in the Atlantic
No tropical cyclone activity is expected in the next couple of days, though some models are suggesting an easterly wave could develop into a weak tropical cyclone in the western Caribbean or southern Gulf of Mexico next week.
Angela
Reader Comments
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Carlotta is looking pretty good
The spacebar must be the size of a nightstand, lol
Greek Toni's in Spring TX? The owner of that place was my baseball coach when I was a kid growing up. The original one is only a mile and a half from my house.
i use compaq with windows vista pro
with 142.0GB of memory
What was bad is now getting a lot worse, the Colorado fires now over 50,000 acres:-
http://www.denverpost.com/breakingnews/ci_2085600 3/colorado-wildfire-burn-area-could-be-hit-by
On a completely different vein but connected to wild fires being started with a lot of other undertones.
Arc Lightning:-
http://cosmicconvergence.org/?p=1386
Worth a read.
If you wade through it and its quite interesting, then some of the ideas might make a lot of sense, as with climate change, they postulate natural electrical change, in the field of global activity.
Didn't Gale Storm play his sister in that?
Where is he, Largo?
:)
trust me thats not the case for me
my wife can tell ya that
i think she is happy
i got the computer
keeps me busy
LMAO LOL
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #32
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM GUCHOL (T1204)
6:00 AM JST June 15 2012
====================================
SUBJECT: Category Two Typhoon In Sea East Of The Philippines
At 21:00 PM UTC, Severe Tropical Storm Guchol (980 hPa) located at 10.3N 131.5E has 10 minute sustained winds of 55 knots with gusts of 80 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving west at 9 knots.
Dvorak Intensity: T3.5
Storm Force Winds
================
40 NM from the center
Gale Force Winds
================
90 NM from the center
Forecast and Intensity
========================
24 HRS: 12.3N 130.0E - 70 knots (CAT 3/Strong Typhoon) - Sea East Of Philippines
45 HRS: 15.5N 128.1E - 75 knots (CAT 3/Strong Typhoon) - Sea East Of Philippines
69 HRS: 19.3N 126.1E - 80 knots (CAT 3/Strong Typhoon) - Sea East Of Philippines
1952 here...we're gonna have to start a Boomer Brigade.
Dang, that's some nasty weather out there in FL and LA...ya'll stay safe! And let's pitch in for some rubber unmentionables for thunderbug91 - that was way too close a call with the lightning!
Tropical Storm Hermine Crosses Into Texas (Sept 7, 2010)
That's the best way to get H20 into the centex lakes and aquifers. Hopefully some High won't be overly in the way.
Severe weather has caused damage in Central Florida on Thursday.
In Seminole County, a massive tree was knocked down in Longwood due to winds gusting up to 62 miles per hour Thursday afternoon.
The tree hit a home in the Woodlands subdivision. The impact caused part of the home's roof to cave in.
Around the same time in Orange County, a tree also hit a house in Orlando.
Part of the roof collapsed on the E. Washington Street home, crushing a red car.
There were no injuries reported.
Excerpt:
After ravaging 22 million acres of pine trees in Canada over the last 12 years, the rice-sized insects have been feasting their way southward. Their favorite meal: the majestic lodgepole pine, which makes up 8 percent of Colorado's 22 million acres of forests. Before landing in Beaver Creek, the pine beetles tore through neighboring Vail, Winter Park, Breckenridge and several areas around Steamboat Springs. So far, say state foresters, the beetles have eaten through 1.5 million acres, about 70 percent of the all the state's lodgepole pines. The tree's entire population will be wiped out in the next few years, Colorado state foresters predict, leaving behind a deforested area about the size of Rhode Island.
The Pine beetle is now reproducing twice each year due to earlier Springs and later Autumns. They have never been known to reproduce twice. This has led to an explosion of their population. A great deal of the area where the fires are located contains thousands of acres of dead trees. This has lead to an increase in the fires. It is happening more and more in those regions.
Not even close!!! LOL
Heya Grothar!
I know. It's a shame the line died out before it reached you. Round #2 is here where i am now; it's really heavy rain, and thunder booming again outside.
I think that was Claude Raines.
Hiya, paps!
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