Dr. Jeff Masters' WunderBlog

Beryl headed out to sea
Posted by: Dr. Jeff Masters, 02:53 PM GMT del 30 Maggio 2012 +33
The center of Tropical Depression Beryl is close to the ocean again, and the storm has strengthened slightly in response. Beryl's heavy rain show will be focused on Eastern North Carolina today, where widespread rain amounts of 2 - 4 inches can be expected. Beryl's heaviest rains fell over Lafayette County, Florida, on Monday and Tuesday, where 12.65" was measured as of 6:30 am EDT Tuesday near Midway. Beryl spawned a single tornado on both Monday and Tuesday; these twisters did only minor damage. There is a slight chance the storm could produce another weak tornado today over North Carolina. The storm is being blamed for one death--a swimmer that drowned in rough surf in Daytona Beach, Florida. Another swimmer is missing from Folly Beach, South Carolina. All things considered, Beryl was just the sort of tropical storm the Southeast U.S. needed--strong enough to bring the heavy rains needed to alleviate the severe to exceptional drought conditions over the region, but not so strong as to cause major damage and loss of life. The main bummer was that Beryl hit during the Memorial Day holiday weekend, costing the tourism industry tens of millions of dollars in lost business. With Beryl caught in a trough of low pressure and accelerating to the northeast, the storm should transition to an extratropical storm later today.


Figure 1. True-color MODIS satellite image of Beryl taken at 2:25 pm EDT May 29, 2012 by NASA's Aqua satellite. At the time, Beryl was a tropical depression with winds of 30 mph.


Figure 2. Estimated rainfall from Beryl over the past seven days from NOAA/AHPS.

Jeff Masters
Categories: Hurricane
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401. 1900hurricane 11:42 PM GMT del 30 Maggio 2012    
Man, I should have gone chasing today! I briefly thought about it, but the tornado potential looked kinda low and most of the stuff looked like it might have been out of my range. I could have made it to that storm near Childress though. Oh well, maybe I'll get lucky tomorrow? The hatched area will be all around me.

Member Since: Agosto 2, 2006 Posts: 43 Comments: 10366
402. 1900hurricane 11:47 PM GMT del 30 Maggio 2012    
Very impressive:



Member Since: Agosto 2, 2006 Posts: 43 Comments: 10366
403. ScottLincoln 11:49 PM GMT del 30 Maggio 2012    
That dryline in Texas is almost unreal. RUC analysis is suggesting a nearly 60F dewpoint difference across single counties.

This is backed up with a few observations as well... take a look at Snyder, TX vs. Sweetwater, TX.
Member Since: Settembre 28, 2002 Posts: 3 Comments: 1592
404. 1900hurricane 11:52 PM GMT del 30 Maggio 2012    
The cell near San Angelo is really starting to ramp up too!





This cell is outside of the Slight Risk too!
Member Since: Agosto 2, 2006 Posts: 43 Comments: 10366
405. TropicalAnalystwx13 11:55 PM GMT del 30 Maggio 2012    
Quoting ScottLincoln:
That dryline in Texas is almost unreal. RUC analysis is suggesting a nearly 60F dewpoint difference across single counties.

This is backed up with a few observations as well... take a look at Snyder, TX vs. Sweetwater, TX.

Member Since: Luglio 6, 2010 Posts: 89 Comments: 25330
406. hydrus 11:55 PM GMT del 30 Maggio 2012    
Quoting KEEPEROFTHEGATE:
Outflow boundaries showing up well on that one.
Member Since: Settembre 27, 2007 Posts: 1 Comments: 14314
407. StAugustineFL 11:56 PM GMT del 30 Maggio 2012    
Quoting 1900hurricane:
The cell near San Angelo is really starting to ramp up too!

Looks like it's getting a nice little couplet on it.
Member Since: Marzo 8, 2011 Posts: 1 Comments: 574
408. MAweatherboy1 11:56 PM GMT del 30 Maggio 2012    
No big surprise here

* AT 637 PM CDT...STORM SPOTTERS REPORTED A LARGE TORNADO WAS
LOCATED 9 MILES NORTHWEST OF TRUSCOTT. THE TORNADO WAS MOVING
SOUTHEAST AT 20 MPH. RESIDENTS NEAR TRUSCOTT AND NORTH OF BENJAMIN
SHOULD TAKE SHELTER IMMEDIATELY.
Member Since: Febbraio 11, 2012 Posts: 67 Comments: 6373
409. snotly 11:58 PM GMT del 30 Maggio 2012    
I've got a question that I've been meaning to ask about the NOAA radar sites. It seems that the radar attenuation goes up every night and then back down in the day. Is this caused by them 'amping' the signal or is the clutter just bugs? flying at night or something.. For example look at the national grid. It looks like this is happening on the Little Rock radar

NOAA RADAR National Grid
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410. MAweatherboy1 11:59 PM GMT del 30 Maggio 2012    
The storm NW of the main one is also tornado warned once again
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412. hydrus 12:02 AM GMT del 31 Maggio 2012    
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413. 1900hurricane 12:03 AM GMT del 31 Maggio 2012    
Explosive CAPE out there:



Helicites are moderately high too!

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414. PedleyCA 12:04 AM GMT del 31 Maggio 2012    


Our next form of amusement?
Member Since: Febbraio 29, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 2152
415. WxGeekVA 12:09 AM GMT del 31 Maggio 2012    
Quoting Tazmanian:
hey all good news google chrome has stop suporteing facebook



Link





I'm on Facebook right now using Google Chrome and it is having no issues. Plus, why would Facebook stop supporting the Most Popular Browser in the World
Member Since: Settembre 3, 2011 Posts: 13 Comments: 3323
416. TropicalAnalystwx13 12:10 AM GMT del 31 Maggio 2012    
Quoting PedleyCA:


Our next form of amusement?

30/2132 UTC 11.7N 130.1E T1.0/1.0 95W -- West Pacific

Member Since: Luglio 6, 2010 Posts: 89 Comments: 25330
417. ProgressivePulse 12:10 AM GMT del 31 Maggio 2012    
OOOPS, again! lol.


.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 229 PM EDT WED MAY 30 2012/

SHORT TERM (TONIGHT-FRIDAY NIGHT)...
THE LATEST NUMERICAL GUIDANCE HAS INITIALIZED WELL WITH THE
CURRENT SYNOPTIC PATTERN AND GENERALLY REMAINS IN GOOD AGREEMENT
THROUGH THE SHORT-TERM PERIOD. DESPITE THE DRIER AIR IN PLACE ACROSS
MUCH OF THE LOCAL AREA...SCATTERED AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND STORMS ARE
EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE EASTERN HALF OF THE LOCAL AREA
THROUGH THE EARLY EVENING PERIOD TODAY...MAINLY ACROSS THE LAKE AND
EAST COAST AREAS.
THE LATEST HRRR MODEL REFLECTIVITIES LINE UP WELL
WITH THIS PATTERN CONTINUING THROUGH THE MID-EVENING HOURS BEFORE
TRENDING DOWN THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT PERIOD TONIGHT AND INDICATES THE
BEST COVERAGE REMAINING OVER THE EASTERN AREAS NORTH OF FORT
LAUDERDALE TO THE LAKE ACROSS PALM BEACH COUNTY.


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418. AllStar17 12:12 AM GMT del 31 Maggio 2012    
**THE LATEST**
(click to enlarge)

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419. WxGeekVA 12:12 AM GMT del 31 Maggio 2012    


Wow, 30% on the 3 day outlook. Don't see that a lot around here.
Member Since: Settembre 3, 2011 Posts: 13 Comments: 3323
420. hydrus 12:14 AM GMT del 31 Maggio 2012    
SSL WRF 4 km grid initialized 00 UTC May 30 201224 hours out..48 hours out...72...
Member Since: Settembre 27, 2007 Posts: 1 Comments: 14314
421. MAweatherboy1 12:15 AM GMT del 31 Maggio 2012    
This storm is in central TX

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
712 PM CDT WED MAY 30 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN ANGELO HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
WEST CENTRAL MCCULLOCH COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL TEXAS...
CENTRAL CONCHO COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL TEXAS...

* UNTIL 745 PM CDT

* AT 706 PM CDT...A TORNADO WAS 4 MILES NORTHWEST OF MILLERSVIEW...OR
8 MILES SOUTHEAST OF PAINT ROCK...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 20 MPH.
RESIDENTS IN THE PATH OF THIS TORNADO ARE URGED TO TAKE SHELTER
IMMEDIATELY!

IN ADDITION TO DANGEROUS TORNADIC WINDS...OTHER HAZARDS INCLUDE...
LARGE DAMAGING HAIL UP TO GOLF BALL SIZE.
POTENTIALLY DEADLY LIGHTNING.

* THE TORNADO IS EXPECTED TO BE NEAR...
MILLERSVIEW BY 720 PM CDT...
DOOLE BY 730 PM CDT...
SALT GAP BY 745 PM CDT...
Member Since: Febbraio 11, 2012 Posts: 67 Comments: 6373
422. hydrus 12:20 AM GMT del 31 Maggio 2012    
Quoting WxGeekVA:


Wow, 30% on the 3 day outlook. Don't see that a lot around here.
Dont see this much either, Canada could get whacked with some very severe weather..
Member Since: Settembre 27, 2007 Posts: 1 Comments: 14314
423. ncstorm 12:24 AM GMT del 31 Maggio 2012    
Quoting WxGeekVA:


Wow, 30% on the 3 day outlook. Don't see that a lot around here.


remind me of the April outbreak of last year..
Member Since: Agosto 19, 2006 Posts: 7 Comments: 8462
424. Hurricanes305 12:24 AM GMT del 31 Maggio 2012    
Quoting hydrus:
Dont see this much either, Canada could get whacked with some very severe weather..


What is causing this pattern or is this the normal setup this type of year.
Member Since: Maggio 25, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 746
425. SubtropicalHi 12:25 AM GMT del 31 Maggio 2012    
Quoting ScottLincoln:
That dryline in Texas is almost unreal. RUC analysis is suggesting a nearly 60F dewpoint difference across single counties.

This is backed up with a few observations as well... take a look at Snyder, TX vs. Sweetwater, TX.


Whoa! Must be a strong westerly.
Wonder how far east and/or south it will get.
Member Since: Giugno 27, 2010 Posts: 1 Comments: 354
426. WxGeekVA 12:26 AM GMT del 31 Maggio 2012    
Quoting ncstorm:


remind me of the April outbreak of last year..


Yeah, but in my area. Maybe I'll get to chase!
Member Since: Settembre 3, 2011 Posts: 13 Comments: 3323
427. wpb 12:28 AM GMT del 31 Maggio 2012    

weather.gov
National Weather Service

Watches, Warnings & Advisories




Local weather forecast by "City, St" or zip code





2 products issued by NWS for: 2 Miles NNW Parkland FL
------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------


Hydrologic Outlook
HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
213 PM EDT WED MAY 30 2012

FLC011-021-043-051-086-099-311200-
BROWARD-COLLIER-GLADES-HENDRY-MIAMI-DADE-PALM BEACH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FORT LAUDERDALE...NAPLES...IMMOKALEE...
MOORE HAVEN...LA BELLE...CLEWISTON...
BIG CYPRESS SEMINOLE RESERVATION...MIAMI...WEST PALM BEACH
213 PM EDT WED MAY 30 2012

...HEAVY RAINFALL POTENTIAL LATE THIS WEEK INTO EARLY THIS WEEKEND...

A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL SET UP OVER THE CENTRAL UNITED
STATES ALLOWING FOR DEEP TROPICAL MOISTURE TO SPREAD NORTH ACROSS
THE KEYS AND INTO SOUTH FLORIDA LATE THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.
TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS THROUGH THIS PERIOD ARE FORECAST TO
RANGE FROM 1 TO 3 INCHES NORTH OF ALLIGATOR ALLEY TO 2 TO 4 INCHES
SOUTH OF ALLIGATOR ALLEY. AS TYPICALLY OBSERVED DURING THESE
EVENTS...LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS WILL CERTAINLY BECOME A
POSSIBILITY WHERE THE HEAVIER ACTIVITY BECOMES CONCENTRATED.
INTERESTS ARE ENCOURAGED TO MONITOR LATER FORECASTS FOR UPDATES
THROUGH THIS TIME. AS CONFIDENCE CONTINUES TO INCREASE...A FLOOD
WATCH MAY BECOME NECESSARY PORTIONS OF SOUTH FLORIDA.

$$

BAXTER











------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------


Hazardous Weather Outlook
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR SOUTH FLORIDA...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
530 PM EDT WED MAY 30 2012

AMZ610-630-FLZ063-066>075-168-172>174-311000-
LAKE OKEECHOBEE-BISCAYNE BAY-GLADES-HENDRY-INLAND PALM BEACH-
METRO PALM BEACH-COASTAL COLLIER-INLAND COLLIER-INLAND BROWARD-
METRO BROWARD-INLAND MIAMI DADE-METRO MIAMI DADE-MAINLAND MONROE-
COASTAL PALM BEACH-COASTAL BROWARD-COASTAL MIAMI DADE-
FAR SOUTH MIAMI DADE-
530 PM EDT WED MAY 30 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS ANTICIPATED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE EACH DAY EXCEPT FOR FRIDAY
WHERE MORE NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED. THE MAIN
RISKS WILL BE LIGHTNING STRIKES, GUSTY WINDS, HAIL AND HEAVY
DOWNPOURS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION: SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

FOR MORE INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIAMI
WEBSITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MIAMI.

$$

BAXTER









------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------



U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
1325 East West Highway
Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: May 16, 2007



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Member Since: Maggio 28, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 487
428. dogsgomoo 12:30 AM GMT del 31 Maggio 2012    
Quoting BDAwx:
Post tropical storm Beryl producing 39kt sustained winds with 997mb pressure and almost 2.5ft storm surge at Hatteras, NC?



Could be. I think this is a web cam from Nags Head. Or Frisco?
Member Since: Marzo 4, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 286
429. 1900hurricane 12:34 AM GMT del 31 Maggio 2012    
Bunch of nasties out there right now.

Member Since: Agosto 2, 2006 Posts: 43 Comments: 10366
430. GeoffreyWPB 12:36 AM GMT del 31 Maggio 2012    
Miami NWS Discussion

THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...THE MODELS CONTINUE TO INDICATE PLENTY OF
DEEP LAYER MOISTURE SPREADING NORTH ACROSS THE KEYS INTO SOUTH
FLORIDA...WHICH HAS BEEN A PERSISTENT FEATURE OVER THE PAST COUPLE
OF DAYS FROM EACH RUN. THIS INCREASE IN DEEP LAYER MOISTURE COMBINED
WITH SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT AHEAD OF AN UPPER TROUGH WILL KEEP THE
RAINFALL CHANCES ELEVATED. MODEL PWAT VALUES REFLECT THIS PATTERN
AND INDICATE VALUES AROUND AND EVEN ABOVE THE TWO INCH MARK. AT THIS
TIME...TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS THROUGH THIS PERIOD ARE FORECAST
TO RANGE FROM 1 TO 3 INCHES NORTH OF ALLIGATOR ALLEY TO 2 TO 4
INCHES SOUTH OF ALLIGATOR ALLEY. AS TYPICALLY OBSERVED DURING THESE
EVENTS...LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS WILL CERTAINLY BECOME A POSSIBILITY
WHERE THE HEAVIER ACTIVITY BECOMES CONCENTRATED. INTERESTS ARE
ENCOURAGED TO MONITOR LATER FORECASTS FOR UPDATES THROUGH THIS TIME.
AS CONFIDENCE CONTINUES TO INCREASE...A FLOOD WATCH MAY BECOME
NECESSARY.

Member Since: Settembre 10, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 9127
431. Doppler22 12:39 AM GMT del 31 Maggio 2012    
Quoting WxGeekVA:


Wow, 30% on the 3 day outlook. Don't see that a lot around here.

looks like here in S. PA i might get some action :D
Member Since: Febbraio 13, 2012 Posts: 3 Comments: 1247
432. weatherbro 12:39 AM GMT del 31 Maggio 2012    
Quoting Jedkins01:



Actually, NWS in Ruskin notes that the models recently are completely backing off on the deep upper ridging over Florida, and thus scattered sea breeze storms may be added back to the forecast if future model runs continue that way.


True...But they have not backed away from sending a late season cold front to clear us out by Sunday. In fact, they send another back-door front through us next Thursday/Friday(quite bizarre for early June).
Member Since: Maggio 26, 2007 Posts: 47 Comments: 1155
433. MAweatherboy1 12:40 AM GMT del 31 Maggio 2012    
Monster storm NE of Dodge City... It is tornado warned but the bigger threat seems to be damaging non tornadic winds up to 90mph!
Member Since: Febbraio 11, 2012 Posts: 67 Comments: 6373
434. 1900hurricane 12:43 AM GMT del 31 Maggio 2012    
Quoting MAweatherboy1:
Monster storm NE of Dodge City... It is tornado warned but the bigger threat seems to be damaging non tornadic winds up to 90mph!

Definitely getting hairy out there for some people.

Member Since: Agosto 2, 2006 Posts: 43 Comments: 10366
435. KEEPEROFTHEGATE (Mod) 12:44 AM GMT del 31 Maggio 2012    
Quoting hydrus:
SSL WRF 4 km grid initialized 00 UTC May 30 201224 hours out..48 hours out...72...
3 days rain just what my trees grass and flowers need
Member Since: Luglio 15, 2006 Posts: 143 Comments: 40622
436. 1900hurricane 12:44 AM GMT del 31 Maggio 2012    
From space:

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437. hydrus 12:45 AM GMT del 31 Maggio 2012    
Quoting Hurricanes305:


What is causing this pattern or is this the normal setup this type of year.
Well here is one reason. Anytime there is a negative NAO, there is usually a decent trough over the eastern half of the U.S. This next system is like something one might expect during early spring, not 3 weeks from the summer.
Member Since: Settembre 27, 2007 Posts: 1 Comments: 14314
438. kristenross09 12:46 AM GMT del 31 Maggio 2012    
Quoting dogsgomoo:


Could be. I think this is a web cam from Nags Head. Or Frisco?

I live On Cape Hatteras and we are getting a lot of tide and flooding.
Member Since: Maggio 29, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 1
439. hydrus 12:47 AM GMT del 31 Maggio 2012    
Quoting 1900hurricane:
From space:

Man that looks nasty.
Member Since: Settembre 27, 2007 Posts: 1 Comments: 14314
440. MAweatherboy1 12:47 AM GMT del 31 Maggio 2012    
Quoting 1900hurricane:

Definitely getting hairy out there for some people.


Maybe they're overdone but there are radar indicated winds of 100mph with that storm NE of Dodge City.
Member Since: Febbraio 11, 2012 Posts: 67 Comments: 6373
441. KEEPEROFTHEGATE (Mod) 12:49 AM GMT del 31 Maggio 2012    
Quoting Hurricanes305:


What is causing this pattern or is this the normal setup this type of year.
wacky 2012 lets get ready to get wacky
Member Since: Luglio 15, 2006 Posts: 143 Comments: 40622
442. klaatuborada 12:49 AM GMT del 31 Maggio 2012    
Quoting klaatuborada:
Ok, this is what gets me going.

Weather Underground weather forecast for my area, 50% chance of rain today, 20% chance of rain tonight.

NOAA weather forecast for my area, 20% chance of rain today increasing to 80% later this afternoon and tonight.

All this technology, all this knowledge and education and this is what I get.

I was hoping to go to the Drive-In tonight. Here's my weather forecast. If we don't go, it won't rain, if we do go, it will rain.


Ok, earlier around 6pm EST that was my post. Now, at 8:50PM EST NOAA is saying this:

Tonight: A chance of showers. Areas of fog after 3am. Otherwise, cloudy, with a low around 60. West wind between 3 and 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible

and here at WU it's saying this:

Overcast with rain showers, then a chance of rain after midnight. Fog overnight. Low of 59F. Winds from the WSW at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 80% with rainfall amounts near 0.3 in. possible.

So, total flip on both! LOL! I want this job! I don't have to be right, and I can change my forecast 180 degrees and get away with it!

Ok, NOAA from 80% to 20%

WU from 20% to 80%io

and the winner is? Neither. Rain is at 0%, storms are drying up before they get here, which is pretty typical. Our Cape Cod microclimate kicking the rain away. We should have gone to the Drive-In. They are still calling for fog, but that's going to be after midnight. Dang it. I should have never checked the weather and just gone and had fun.
Member Since: Agosto 15, 2004 Posts: 23 Comments: 380
443. KEEPEROFTHEGATE (Mod) 12:53 AM GMT del 31 Maggio 2012    
Quoting hydrus:
Well here is one reason. Anytime there is a negative NAO, there is usually a decent trough over the eastern half of the U.S. This next system is like something one might expect during early spring, not 3 weeks from the summer.
and after all this then a quasi stationary omega block type setup will establish its self over plains south and east eventually
Member Since: Luglio 15, 2006 Posts: 143 Comments: 40622
444. Barefootontherocks 12:58 AM GMT del 31 Maggio 2012    
Some reports on the storm S of Childress... "wind" reports, and this was early.
2259 90 PADUCAH COTTLE TX 3401 10030
ESTIMATED 80-90 MPH WINDS IN PADUCAH. POWER IS OUT AND SEVERAL REPORTS OF TREES DOWN. (LUB)

2259 UNK PADUCAH COTTLE TX 3401 10030 REPORTS OF FULL TREES UPROOTED ... SHEET METAL FLYING THROUGH AIR ... POSSIBLE COMBINATION STRAIGHT LINE WINDS AND GUSTNADO (LUB)

Also the tornado near Point Rock and other tor reports...

2328 10 NW TRUSCOTT FOARD TX 3385 9992
STORM CHASER REPORTED A LARGE RAIN-WRAPPED TORNADO. LOCATION IS ESTIMATED. (OUN)

2338 6 NE PAINT ROCK RUNNELS TX 3158 9986
BRIEF TORNADO ALONG THE RUNNELS AND CONCHO COUNTY LINE APPROXIMATELY 2 MILES EAST OF US 83. (SJT)

2347 5 ENE PAINT ROCK CONCHO TX 3154 9984
RAIN WRAPPED TORNADO REPORTED APPROXIMATELY 5 MILES ENE OF PAINT ROCK ON RURAL ROAD 1929 (SJT)

Paducah again.
0018 8 WSW PADUCAH COTTLE TX 3397 10043
BRIEF TORNADO DEVELOPED AND DISSIPATED JUST SOUTH OF HIGHWAY 62 (LUB)

Cheerios... and banana.
Member Since: Aprile 29, 2006 Posts: 135 Comments: 16332
445. hydrus 12:59 AM GMT del 31 Maggio 2012    
Quoting KEEPEROFTHEGATE:
3 days rain just what my trees grass and flowers need
It looks like you guys hit a rough patch starting on June 6, and ending on the 11...I am sure they will revamp the long range as always, but it does look interesting. Look at your region on the GFS in 172 hours..lol..
Member Since: Settembre 27, 2007 Posts: 1 Comments: 14314
446. washingtonian115 01:04 AM GMT del 31 Maggio 2012    
Quoting WxGeekVA:


Yeah, but in my area. Maybe I'll get to chase!
Hell no!.No more thunderstorms for a while :(.Just nice rain storms will do to help with our drought.
Member Since: Agosto 14, 2010 Posts: 5 Comments: 10664
447. hydrus 01:07 AM GMT del 31 Maggio 2012    
Quoting KEEPEROFTHEGATE:
and after all this then a quasi stationary omega block type setup will establish its self over plains south and east eventually
This really is unusual. I was trying to remember the last time I saw this type of pattern in late May and early June. I think early 90,s, but me not sure yet..
Member Since: Settembre 27, 2007 Posts: 1 Comments: 14314
448. MAweatherboy1 01:08 AM GMT del 31 Maggio 2012    
The tornado threat for the evening is mostly diminished at this point as it is becoming more of a hail and damaging wind event... One supercell in central TX remains tornado warned... It has a history of producing tornadoes and currently has a rotating wall cloud reported with it. The two supercells in north TX are no longer tornado warned but both continue to be powerful storms which still contain weak roation. And the storm near Dodge City is no longer tornado warned as it has become more of a damaging wind threat with hurricane force winds likely. Active evening for sure.

I'm interested in what the rating will be on that tornado from earlier... I'd guess probably EF3 or 4
Member Since: Febbraio 11, 2012 Posts: 67 Comments: 6373
449. txjac 01:08 AM GMT del 31 Maggio 2012    
I am so ready for the blob in San Angelo to make it to west side of Houston ...will be so nice to have some showers

Already walked the dog so bring it on!
Member Since: Aprile 24, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 1566
450. 1900hurricane 01:09 AM GMT del 31 Maggio 2012    
No longer tornado warned:



The same cannot be said of this one:

Member Since: Agosto 2, 2006 Posts: 43 Comments: 10366
451. CosmicEvents 01:09 AM GMT del 31 Maggio 2012    
What happened to that Caribbean convection that was being pumped by some as a storm to be? Have the models dropped it?
Member Since: Agosto 3, 2005 Posts: 10 Comments: 5099

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About JeffMasters
Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

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