Dr. Jeff Masters' WunderBlog |
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| Posted by: Dr. Jeff Masters, 02:53 PM GMT del 30 Maggio 2012 | +33 |
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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.
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This is backed up with a few observations as well... take a look at Snyder, TX vs. Sweetwater, TX.
This cell is outside of the Slight Risk too!
* AT 637 PM CDT...STORM SPOTTERS REPORTED A LARGE TORNADO WAS
LOCATED 9 MILES NORTHWEST OF TRUSCOTT. THE TORNADO WAS MOVING
SOUTHEAST AT 20 MPH. RESIDENTS NEAR TRUSCOTT AND NORTH OF BENJAMIN
SHOULD TAKE SHELTER IMMEDIATELY.
NOAA RADAR National Grid
Helicites are moderately high too!
Our next form of amusement?
I'm on Facebook right now using Google Chrome and it is having no issues. Plus, why would Facebook stop supporting the Most Popular Browser in the World
30/2132 UTC 11.7N 130.1E T1.0/1.0 95W -- West Pacific
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 229 PM EDT WED MAY 30 2012/
SHORT TERM (TONIGHT-FRIDAY NIGHT)...
THE LATEST NUMERICAL GUIDANCE HAS INITIALIZED WELL WITH THE
CURRENT SYNOPTIC PATTERN AND GENERALLY REMAINS IN GOOD AGREEMENT
THROUGH THE SHORT-TERM PERIOD. DESPITE THE DRIER AIR IN PLACE ACROSS
MUCH OF THE LOCAL AREA...SCATTERED AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND STORMS ARE
EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE EASTERN HALF OF THE LOCAL AREA
THROUGH THE EARLY EVENING PERIOD TODAY...MAINLY ACROSS THE LAKE AND
EAST COAST AREAS. THE LATEST HRRR MODEL REFLECTIVITIES LINE UP WELL
WITH THIS PATTERN CONTINUING THROUGH THE MID-EVENING HOURS BEFORE
TRENDING DOWN THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT PERIOD TONIGHT AND INDICATES THE
BEST COVERAGE REMAINING OVER THE EASTERN AREAS NORTH OF FORT
LAUDERDALE TO THE LAKE ACROSS PALM BEACH COUNTY.
(click to enlarge)
Wow, 30% on the 3 day outlook. Don't see that a lot around here.
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
712 PM CDT WED MAY 30 2012
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN ANGELO HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
WEST CENTRAL MCCULLOCH COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL TEXAS...
CENTRAL CONCHO COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL TEXAS...
* UNTIL 745 PM CDT
* AT 706 PM CDT...A TORNADO WAS 4 MILES NORTHWEST OF MILLERSVIEW...OR
8 MILES SOUTHEAST OF PAINT ROCK...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 20 MPH.
RESIDENTS IN THE PATH OF THIS TORNADO ARE URGED TO TAKE SHELTER
IMMEDIATELY!
IN ADDITION TO DANGEROUS TORNADIC WINDS...OTHER HAZARDS INCLUDE...
LARGE DAMAGING HAIL UP TO GOLF BALL SIZE.
POTENTIALLY DEADLY LIGHTNING.
* THE TORNADO IS EXPECTED TO BE NEAR...
MILLERSVIEW BY 720 PM CDT...
DOOLE BY 730 PM CDT...
SALT GAP BY 745 PM CDT...
remind me of the April outbreak of last year..
What is causing this pattern or is this the normal setup this type of year.
Whoa! Must be a strong westerly.
Wonder how far east and/or south it will get.
Yeah, but in my area. Maybe I'll get to chase!
weather.gov
National Weather Service
Watches, Warnings & Advisories
Local weather forecast by "City, St" or zip code
2 products issued by NWS for: 2 Miles NNW Parkland FL
------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------
Hydrologic Outlook
HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
213 PM EDT WED MAY 30 2012
FLC011-021-043-051-086-099-311200-
BROWARD-COLLIER-GLADES-HENDRY-MIAMI-DADE-PALM BEACH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FORT LAUDERDALE...NAPLES...IMMOKALEE...
MOORE HAVEN...LA BELLE...CLEWISTON...
BIG CYPRESS SEMINOLE RESERVATION...MIAMI...WEST PALM BEACH
213 PM EDT WED MAY 30 2012
...HEAVY RAINFALL POTENTIAL LATE THIS WEEK INTO EARLY THIS WEEKEND...
A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL SET UP OVER THE CENTRAL UNITED
STATES ALLOWING FOR DEEP TROPICAL MOISTURE TO SPREAD NORTH ACROSS
THE KEYS AND INTO SOUTH FLORIDA LATE THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.
TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS THROUGH THIS PERIOD ARE FORECAST TO
RANGE FROM 1 TO 3 INCHES NORTH OF ALLIGATOR ALLEY TO 2 TO 4 INCHES
SOUTH OF ALLIGATOR ALLEY. AS TYPICALLY OBSERVED DURING THESE
EVENTS...LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS WILL CERTAINLY BECOME A
POSSIBILITY WHERE THE HEAVIER ACTIVITY BECOMES CONCENTRATED.
INTERESTS ARE ENCOURAGED TO MONITOR LATER FORECASTS FOR UPDATES
THROUGH THIS TIME. AS CONFIDENCE CONTINUES TO INCREASE...A FLOOD
WATCH MAY BECOME NECESSARY PORTIONS OF SOUTH FLORIDA.
$$
BAXTER
------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------
Hazardous Weather Outlook
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR SOUTH FLORIDA...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
530 PM EDT WED MAY 30 2012
AMZ610-630-FLZ063-066>075-168-172>174-311000-
LAKE OKEECHOBEE-BISCAYNE BAY-GLADES-HENDRY-INLAND PALM BEACH-
METRO PALM BEACH-COASTAL COLLIER-INLAND COLLIER-INLAND BROWARD-
METRO BROWARD-INLAND MIAMI DADE-METRO MIAMI DADE-MAINLAND MONROE-
COASTAL PALM BEACH-COASTAL BROWARD-COASTAL MIAMI DADE-
FAR SOUTH MIAMI DADE-
530 PM EDT WED MAY 30 2012
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH FLORIDA.
.DAY ONE...TONIGHT
NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS ANTICIPATED.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE EACH DAY EXCEPT FOR FRIDAY
WHERE MORE NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED. THE MAIN
RISKS WILL BE LIGHTNING STRIKES, GUSTY WINDS, HAIL AND HEAVY
DOWNPOURS.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION: SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.
FOR MORE INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIAMI
WEBSITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MIAMI.
$$
BAXTER
------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------
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Could be. I think this is a web cam from Nags Head. Or Frisco?
THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...THE MODELS CONTINUE TO INDICATE PLENTY OF
DEEP LAYER MOISTURE SPREADING NORTH ACROSS THE KEYS INTO SOUTH
FLORIDA...WHICH HAS BEEN A PERSISTENT FEATURE OVER THE PAST COUPLE
OF DAYS FROM EACH RUN. THIS INCREASE IN DEEP LAYER MOISTURE COMBINED
WITH SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT AHEAD OF AN UPPER TROUGH WILL KEEP THE
RAINFALL CHANCES ELEVATED. MODEL PWAT VALUES REFLECT THIS PATTERN
AND INDICATE VALUES AROUND AND EVEN ABOVE THE TWO INCH MARK. AT THIS
TIME...TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS THROUGH THIS PERIOD ARE FORECAST
TO RANGE FROM 1 TO 3 INCHES NORTH OF ALLIGATOR ALLEY TO 2 TO 4
INCHES SOUTH OF ALLIGATOR ALLEY. AS TYPICALLY OBSERVED DURING THESE
EVENTS...LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS WILL CERTAINLY BECOME A POSSIBILITY
WHERE THE HEAVIER ACTIVITY BECOMES CONCENTRATED. INTERESTS ARE
ENCOURAGED TO MONITOR LATER FORECASTS FOR UPDATES THROUGH THIS TIME.
AS CONFIDENCE CONTINUES TO INCREASE...A FLOOD WATCH MAY BECOME
NECESSARY.
looks like here in S. PA i might get some action :D
True...But they have not backed away from sending a late season cold front to clear us out by Sunday. In fact, they send another back-door front through us next Thursday/Friday(quite bizarre for early June).
Definitely getting hairy out there for some people.
I live On Cape Hatteras and we are getting a lot of tide and flooding.
Maybe they're overdone but there are radar indicated winds of 100mph with that storm NE of Dodge City.
Ok, earlier around 6pm EST that was my post. Now, at 8:50PM EST NOAA is saying this:
Tonight: A chance of showers. Areas of fog after 3am. Otherwise, cloudy, with a low around 60. West wind between 3 and 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible
and here at WU it's saying this:
Overcast with rain showers, then a chance of rain after midnight. Fog overnight. Low of 59F. Winds from the WSW at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 80% with rainfall amounts near 0.3 in. possible.
So, total flip on both! LOL! I want this job! I don't have to be right, and I can change my forecast 180 degrees and get away with it!
Ok, NOAA from 80% to 20%
WU from 20% to 80%io
and the winner is? Neither. Rain is at 0%, storms are drying up before they get here, which is pretty typical. Our Cape Cod microclimate kicking the rain away. We should have gone to the Drive-In. They are still calling for fog, but that's going to be after midnight. Dang it. I should have never checked the weather and just gone and had fun.
2259 90 PADUCAH COTTLE TX 3401 10030
ESTIMATED 80-90 MPH WINDS IN PADUCAH. POWER IS OUT AND SEVERAL REPORTS OF TREES DOWN. (LUB)
2259 UNK PADUCAH COTTLE TX 3401 10030 REPORTS OF FULL TREES UPROOTED ... SHEET METAL FLYING THROUGH AIR ... POSSIBLE COMBINATION STRAIGHT LINE WINDS AND GUSTNADO (LUB)
Also the tornado near Point Rock and other tor reports...
2328 10 NW TRUSCOTT FOARD TX 3385 9992
STORM CHASER REPORTED A LARGE RAIN-WRAPPED TORNADO. LOCATION IS ESTIMATED. (OUN)
2338 6 NE PAINT ROCK RUNNELS TX 3158 9986
BRIEF TORNADO ALONG THE RUNNELS AND CONCHO COUNTY LINE APPROXIMATELY 2 MILES EAST OF US 83. (SJT)
2347 5 ENE PAINT ROCK CONCHO TX 3154 9984
RAIN WRAPPED TORNADO REPORTED APPROXIMATELY 5 MILES ENE OF PAINT ROCK ON RURAL ROAD 1929 (SJT)
Paducah again.
0018 8 WSW PADUCAH COTTLE TX 3397 10043
BRIEF TORNADO DEVELOPED AND DISSIPATED JUST SOUTH OF HIGHWAY 62 (LUB)
Cheerios... and banana.
I'm interested in what the rating will be on that tornado from earlier... I'd guess probably EF3 or 4
Already walked the dog so bring it on!
The same cannot be said of this one:
Viewing: 401 - 451
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