Dr. Jeff Masters' WunderBlog |
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| Posted by: Dr. Jeff Masters, 02:27 PM GMT del 23 Aprile 2012 | +30 |
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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.
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Most of the party goers said, "let them burn all the way down first, then we can safely have our cake."
"Eating it too," is the name of this forecast.
No they weren't. I went through Gustav.
Why We Are Drawn to Fire
"Unlike a spider that inherently knows how to weave a web, humans don't instinctively know how to produce and control fire. The ability must be learned during childhood. This may be because there was no universal method of fire building and control among our ancestors, who lived in diverse environments, and so there was no single method for evolution to ingrain in us. Instead, "fire learning" became the instinct. As Fessler put it in an article in the Journal of Cognition and Culture, "The only avenue open to selection processes operating on a species as wide-ranging as ourselves was to rely on learning for the acquisition of the requisite behaviors." [Top 10 Inventions that Changed the World]
"Children are universally fascinated by predatory animals in a similar manner in which they are fascinated by fire. Because both could seriously harm or kill them, evolution requires that they be interested in those subjects, Fessler argues, as a way of ensuring that they pay special attention to information obtained about them. For example, children are naturally curious about which animals are dangerous and which aren't, as well as which materials are flammable and which aren't, and what the consequences are of adding, removing and rearranging objects in a fire. Our brains soak up this predator and fire knowledge."
Knowledge of disasters of all kinds would be as important to the survival of a species as would knowledge of predators or fire. So us WUBA's could be acting on instinctive impulses when we follow disasters--we follow just about any kind of natural disaster and even man-made ones (global warming, nuclear meltdowns).
We just came out of a recession, and have an expensive war in Afghanistan to fund. GW Bush had a lavish idea of Constellation, but as with everything he screwed up, by not sorting out the $$$ for the project.
According to HAMweather's site in the past week 30 low temperature records were tied or beaten while 529 high temperature records did the same in the US. At least on the home front the weather still seems to be trending toward a warmer climate.
Nature is going to do what she's going to do. She's not paying any attention to what either side of the human spat is saying. Best thing we can do is not aggravate her.
I guess that's one reason she's called "Mother Nature".
It's been there since the 18Z.
Must resist pitical argument!
Isnt there a heat wave out west moving to the east?? I'm tired of these 50's its way to late for this
IF this run were to happen wouldn't that be on or slightly below cane status, it's at 997 mb anyway.
It'd be a weak/moderate tropical storm typically. However, pressure varies with tropical cyclones primarily due to its origins and environment. Alex was a monsoonal-type tropical cyclone like we see in the West Pacific. It had Category 2 winds (110 mph) but had a Category 4 pressure (946 mbar).
It was Mississippi's worst disaster since Hurricane Katrina...which would soon be surpassed by the outbreaks of 2011.
Image. High resolution radar imagery of the Yazoo City supercell as a violent, wedge tornado moved through the city. Notice the area of intense dBZ reflection just south of the city; that is a debris ball.
Doesn't it also vary with size?
Everyone have a great Tuesday.
It was 48 here in mandeville also....
CMC looks to take a bit of the remains of 91L & toss it in there..
Interesting however I won't get my hopes up as the GFS doesn't show this scenario but instead shows a gradual increase in moisture leading to a 20 to 30 percent chance of rain. I think it's Odd the HPC folks are siding with the Euro on this one. Well see.
GOING INTO THE WEEKEND THE
EXTENDED GUIDANCE SUGGESTS THAT A BROAD UPPER LEVEL TROUGH NEAR THE
YUCATAN PENINSULA COULD INFLUENCE SOUTH FLORIDA AS SOUTHEASTERLY LOW
LEVEL FLOW COULD BRING SOME MOISTURE AND CLOUDINESS INTO THE
REGION. THIS TREND COULD CONTINUE SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...BUT FOR
NOW JUST INTRODUCING A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND WILL HAVE TO
WAIT AND SEE IF THE GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO BE PERSISTENT WITH THIS
SCENARIO BEFORE INDICATING ANYTHING OTHER THAN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
PRECIP.
AS HIGH PRESSURE AND A MORE NORTHERLY FLOW ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE
REGION TONIGHT...TEMPERATURES WILL CERTAINLY BE UNSEASONABLY COOL.
THE MINIMUM TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE PENINSULA EARLY WEDNESDAY
MORNING ARE FORECAST TO RANGE FROM THE LOWER TO MID 50S ACROSS THE
PALM BEACH METRO AREAS...FROM THE MID 50S TO UPPER 50S FR THE
MIAMI DADE AND BROWARD COUNTY METRO AREAS TO THE LOWER 50S ACROSS
THE NAPLES METRO AREAS. THESE FORECAST TEMPERATURES ARE IN GENERAL
A FEW DEGREES ABOVE RECORD LEVELS FOR THAT DATE BUT A FEW ISOLATED
LOCATIONS COULD REACH NEAR RECORD MINIMUM TEMPERATURES. THEN A
SLOWLY GRADUAL WARMING TREND IS EXPECTED THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF
THE WORK WEEK.
Last night's numbers aren't included yet, and there were probably quite a few low temperature records broken. But many of yesterday's highs out west aren't yet included, either.
(FWIW, we are now entering the 17th week of 2012. 16 of those weeks have seen more record highs than record lows; just one week--February 12-18--had more lows than highs.)
I was just thinking the same about this mornings temps here. Good Ol' return flow starts back tomorrow. Good morning all. :)
Orange County Airport
Lat: 30.07 Lon: -93.8 Elev: 13
Fair
48 °F
(9 °C)
Humidity: 100 %
Wind Speed: Calm
Barometer: 30.08"
Dewpoint: 48 °F (9 °C)
Visibility: 7.00 m
High Temp: 144
Low Temp: 3
Low Max Temp: 41
High Min Temp: 43
The 3 lows are all ties, while a quick scan of the 144 highs finds several breaks of 5 to 7 degrees from Texas to the Pacific Northwest state.
High mins and low maxes seem about balanced for the average size of the breaks, with probably a slight edge to high mins.
NASA's Unexplained Files
Countless mysterious objects have been caught by NASA's cameras. Many astronauts have even reported seeing unidentified flying objects. In this special, we'll reveal NASA's top ten unexplained encounters using original footage and groundbreaking interviews with astronauts and scientists. Can these phenomena be explained away through science and detective work? Or have NASA's cameras potentially captured the first traces of extraterrestrial life?
I caught that show last week and have seen a lot of the NASA footage. A lot of it looks like out of focus ice particles floating out there in space with the exception of some footage of objects shooting in towards the atmosphere then executing a hard 90 degree turn taken during one of the early Shuttle missions........I am stumped by those.
I'm not real hopeful, but tossing in such a persistent swirl is worth noting. GFS doesn't include it. Looking at what 91L remains have endured & how it's dived SE as that front approached I can see siding with ECMWF, though it still needs to get past that front.
That one and the red light
Lol....I forgot about the red light.... :)
The object that stops and goes back and then something shoots past it is awesome, and the red light is crazy. Red light was moving and they captured it
There's only 2 that are legit to me, the one stopping and going back and the red light figure, and the tank dump where the thing seems to follow the movement of the tank falling back to earth.
the CMC and Euro were really good with the storm from this weekend..looks like are trying to go two for two
Yeah I just ran the NOGAPS as it shows 91L wraping and the Atlantic ridge and swinging up the east coast of FL as it combines with a weak ULL over the SE Gulf. Very interesting!
You beat me to it!
Watch the show, and what did you see
Let there be a NEW BLOG.
And there was.
And it was good.
And there was much rejoicing.
That may have just been Grothar experimenting again. He has tried many forms of transportation. This is his "blast from the past" and one of his favorites:
This was his first two horse power vehicle:
We all know that Grothar does not like being in one place for too long, so he later doubled the horse power:
But, this is probably one of the UFOs you saw that Grothar may have been playing with at the time:
Now, Grothar just says, "Beam me up, Scotty.":
I worked Ike as a catastrophic insurance adjuster and I can tell you inland damages were not "non existent".
Agreed. We went through Ike and we are located 70 miles inland...lost lots of trees and power was out for a week. Our house was okay, but damage in the area was definitely not "non-existent".
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