Dr. Jeff Masters' WunderBlog |
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| Posted by: Dr. Jeff Masters, 04:06 PM GMT del 03 Febbraio 2012 | +25 |
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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.
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Hockey's not big down here so I can't really comment.
No.
I honestly guess so.
Oh my god, I think I found one of my favourite image ever. Amazing! Thanks! :D
422,000 soldiers went into Russia under Napoleon's command.
10,000 made it out alive.
I also exercise five days a week.
The way it's going, looks like 3.
What's your goal?
To stay below 180 (I'm 175), and to tone up this flabby body.
Roughly translated by me, the first line is "Figurative map of the successive losses of soldiers in the Russian countryside in 1812-13"
The fatality rate in the Russian campaign has to be the highest ever seen in humanity. Even the gruesome trench warfare of WW1 only had a fatality rate of 10%.
Yes, it's very impressive. Even more impressive when you can actually understand it. :P Though the font isn't the easiest to read.
The Battle of Borodino is not well known now, but it was where the Russians made a stand before Napoleon made it to Moscow.
The battle must have given Napoleon pause. He won, but he lost more soldiers than in any other battle.
Napoleon lost 30,000-35,000 men, including 480 officers. 47 generals.
The Russians under Mikhail Illarionovich Golenishchev-Kutuzov lost 39,000-45,000 soldiers and 221 officers and 23 generals. The Russians had to retreat, but were not destroyed. And winter was waiting.
It looks Ok to moi.
Although maybe he wouldn't do much better. He achieved perfection with the tools he had. But he could have made them faster and graphed more things.
Depends on your height. Lift weights but DONT exercise the same muscle groups on consecutive days. Biking is the best aerobic exercise if you are building muscle. Running if you want to be lean.
Running hard tends to break muscle down.
I'm 6'2".
I rocked the boat last night so I might as well tonight.
IMO nature has not given humans the instincts to avoid catastrophic disasters happening. Thus the storm chasers, such as Jim Cantore, and others exists. The only thing that will stop this attitude is when those people have to go through these same happenings with no protection. Have I made any sense?
Jesse
Right on the money. Humans are inherently attracted to danger, calamity, and misfortune; we just react to it differently.
Might need new pants, then. My waist size has decreased considerably. >.>
Woohoo!
I have the opposite problem though..I'm pretty skinny and I'm trying to gain weight. I'm just under 6 feet tall and I weigh like 150, so this year my new year's resolution was to eat as much as I can lol
That's certainly not a one-size-fits all stat. I'm 6'4" with an inseam around 34. If my waist was 34 with my body frame, I'd look anorexic. When I was at my peak condition (when I was working out a couple hours a day), I was a 36 and I really didn't have much body fat left to lose unless I wanted to become Bastardi. :P
My goodness you guys are all rails. :D
My lowest weight in adulthood was 225, and I had a body fat percentage of around 11% at that weight. Supposedly I get it from grandfather. He was bear 6'8" and around 300. He used to work on the railroads in PA.
PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 409 AM EST SAT FEB 4 2012/
DISCUSSION...
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES TO EXTEND INTO THE SOUTHEAST U.S.
AND INTO THE FLORIDA PENINSULA AND ADJACENT WATERS WHICH IS MAINTAINING
THE ENHANCED WINDS ACROSS THE REGION. AS A SURFACE LOW AND
ASSOCIATED FRONTAL SYSTEM DEVELOPS INTO THE MISSISSIPPI
VALLEY...THE SURFACE RIDGE WILL START TO BE PUSHED EASTWARD WITH
THE PRESSURE GRADIENT AND WINDS LESSENING ACROSS THE REGION LATER
TODAY INTO TONIGHT. FOR TODAY THE ENHANCED SURFACE AND LOW LEVEL
EASTERLY FLOW WILL CONTINUE TO BRING IN MOISTURE IN THE VICINITY
OF THE BAHAMAS INTO THE REGION...WITH ISOLATED TO SCATTERED
SHOWERS EXPECTED ACROSS MOST OF THE AREA TODAY. MOST OF THE FOCUS
OF THE SHOWER ACTIVITY WILL BE ACROSS THE LOCAL ATLANTIC WATERS
AND EASTERN PORTIONS OF SOUTH FLORIDA. ADDITIONAL MOISTURE AND
CLOUDINESS AT THE MID TO UPPER LEVELS WILL CONTINUE TO STREAM
NORTHWARD INTO THE REGION WITH A WELL ESTABLISHED MID TO UPPER
LEVEL TROUGH PERSISTING ACROSS THE CENTRAL GULF AND EXTENDING TO
NEAR THE YUCATAN PENINSULA.
THE LATEST GUIDANCE CONSISTENTLY FORECASTS A LOW LEVEL TROUGH IN
THE VICINITY OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA TO SLOWLY DRIFT TO THE
NORTHEAST TODAY AND SUNDAY...WITH DEEPER LAYER TROPICAL MOISTURE
TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE LOW FORECAST TO ENTER THE REGION ON
SUNDAY...WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS POSSIBLE ACROSS THE REGION. THE
GUIDANCE ALSO SUGGESTS THAT A SHORTWAVE MID TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH
COULD EXTEND INTO THE REGION...WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS INTRODUCED ACROSS THE AREA SUNDAY AFTERNOON. THE
GUIDANCE THEN SUGGESTS THAT ADDITIONAL TROPICAL MOISTURE COULD
ENTER THE REGION SUNDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY MONDAY...WITH THE
SHORTWAVE TROUGH PERSISTING IN THE GUIDANCE AS WELL...WITH A
CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS FORECAST
FOR THE REGION SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY WITH SIMILAR CONDITIONS
POSSIBLY PERSISTING INTO MONDAY AFTERNOON. AT THIS
POINT...HOWEVER...NEED TO STRESS THE UNCERTAINTY IN THE FORECAST.
SOME OF THE GUIDANCE INDICATES THAT PERHAPS THE BEST CHANCES OF
CONVECTION COULD REMAIN JUST WEST OF THE REGION OR IN THE CENTRAL
GULF ON SUNDAY. BUT EVEN WITH THIS SCENARIO INCREASING LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE AND INCREASING CHANCES OF SHOWERS ACROSS THE REGION WOULD
BE EXPECTED EVEN IF IT IS ON THE NORTHEASTERN PERIPHERY OF THE
TROUGH DEVELOPING IN THE GULF. SO EVEN WITH THE UNCERTAINTY...THE
FORECAST CALLS FOR INCREASING MOISTURE...CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS
THROUGH THE WEEKEND INTO AT LEAST MONDAY. OBVIOUSLY THE EXTENDED
FORECAST IS UNCERTAIN AS WELL GIVEN THE SHORT TERM UNCERTAINTY.
I just retired, and I've used this method for years, it works.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY
A MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS WILL LIKELY CONTINUE INTO SUNDAY.
THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS ALONG WITH INCREASING
RAIN CHANCES ACROSS THE AREA LATER SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY AS A
WEAK AREA OF LOW PRESSURE EVOLVES ACROSS THE SOUTH-CENTRAL GULF OF
MEXICO.
CARIBBEAN SEA...
AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS SOUTHEASTWARD ALONG THE SPINE
OF CENTRAL AMERICA FROM THE YUCATAN PENINSULA TO A BASE OVER
PANAMA. AS A RESULT...SOUTHERLY MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL FLOW
PERSISTS OVER MUCH OF THE CARIBBEAN W OF 70W WITH WIDELY
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS OCCURRING W OF 77W TO OVER
PORTIONS OF THE YUCATAN CHANNEL AND PENINSULA. EASTERLY TRADES
REMAIN STRONG ACROSS MUCH OF THE BASIN WITH GALE FORCE WINDS
ENCOMPASSING THE AREA FROM 11N TO 14N BETWEEN 73W TO 78W AND
SEAS IN THE RANGE OF 8 TO 12 FT. EAST OF 70W...WATER VAPOR
IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE ATMOSPHERE HAS VERY LITTLE MIDDLE TO
UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE DUE TO AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING
FROM OVER TRINIDAD NEAR 10N61W TO BEYOND 20N70W. WITH THIS
OVERALL SUBSIDENT ENVIRONMENT IN PLACE OVER THE EASTERN
CARIBBEAN...CONDITIONS AT THE SURFACE REMAIN FAIR WITH GENERALLY
CLEAR SKIES THIS MORNING.
Link
Less falling in the Lakes directly, and less from the watershed as the (lack of) snow melts.
Additionally, evaporation going on all winter with less ice cover.
Tropical Cyclone Bulletin
TROPICAL CYCLONE JASMINE (12U)
11:00 PM EST February 4 2012
=========================================
At 10:00 AM EST, Tropical Cyclone Jasmine, Category One (987 hPa) located at 16.9S 150.7E or 100 km southeast of Willis Is and 490 km east northeast of Townsville has 10 minute sustained winds of 45 knots with gusts of 65 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving northeast at 7 knots.
Dvorak Intensity: T3.0/3.0/D1.0/24 HRS
Gale Force Winds
=================
180 NM from the center in northern quadrant
30 NM from the center in southeastern quadrant
60 NM from the center in southwestern quadrant
Forecast and Intensity
======================
12 HRS: 17.1S 152.5E - 50 knots (CAT 2)
24 HRS: 17.0S 154.4E - 50 knots (CAT 2)
48 HRS: 17.2S 159.4E - 60 knots (CAT 2)
72 HRS: 17.3S 164.8E - 60 knots (CAT 2)
Additional Information
========================
Tropical Cyclone centre position confident as system within Willis Island radar. Convection has flared near the low level circulation center suggesting lowering shear and increasing organization, though most of the convection still remains to the west of the system. Strongest winds remain to the north of the system with consistent Willis Island observations of 45 knots. Favourable upper divergence and wind shear indicating gradual intensification probable over the next 48 hours. The system has increased its easterly movement over the past few hours and is expected to continue moving to the east.
The next tropical cyclone advice/bulletin from Brisbane Tropical Cyclone Warning Center on TC Jasmine will be issued at 19:30 PM UTC..
I was wundering: Will this lack of snow mitigate Spring flooding?
Like the plants in the picture, my garlic have grown above the soil surface here in central VA.
Meanwhile in frigid Europe, what little warmth there is seems to be coming from the North. Here is the global temperature picture and anomalies for 2/1/12.
Finally, the Arctic Sea Ice extent continues to grow very slowly as the sun creeps over the horizon. As can be seen the level is considerably below (about 250,000 square km) that for record year 2007 on this date.
Probably a very bad drought season coming for the MidWest and NorthEast this summer.
Featured in The Visual Display of Quantitative Information by Edward R. Tufte (p 41). Said to be the greatest information graphic ever created.
Viewing: 251 - 301
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