Dr. Jeff Masters' WunderBlog

Heavy rains drench Texas
Posted by: Dr. Jeff Masters, 05:03 PM GMT del 25 Gennaio 2012 +25
Big smiles greeted heavy rains in Texas this morning, where an upper-level low pressure system brought significant soaking rains to eastern portions of the state. The rain was heavy enough to cause minor flooding of some creeks and rivers, and the NWS has posted flash flood watches and warnings for most of Eastern Texas. High water rescues have occurred on the streets of Haltom City, Texas. It's been a while since we've seen our severe weather map light up in green colors for Texas! Austin, Texas received 5.66" of rain this morning, setting a record for the date, and rainfall amounts of 2 - 4 inches have been common across most of East Texas. The storm has triggered severe thunderstorms over Texas yesterday and this morning, and two possible tornadoes were reported in Edwards County near Houston yesterday. NOAA's Storm Prediction Center has placed much of East Texas and Western Louisiana in their "Slight Risk" region for severe weather today, and tornado watches are posted. Some 24-hour rainfall amounts from the storm, for the period ending at 6am CST January 25:

Dallas Love 3.17"
Dallas/Fort Worth Airport 3.08"
San Antonio 3.13"
Waco 2.68"
Victoria 0.96"


FIgure 1. Radar-estimated rainfall for the 24 hours ending at 10:23am CST January 25, 2012.

Above-average rains for Texas this winter
Despite predictions that this winter would be unusually dry in Texas due to the on-going La Niña event in the Eastern Pacific, Texas has seen more rain than average. Today's storm is the second major soaking Eastern Texas has received this month. December also had plentiful rains, with the state recording its 19th wettest December in 117 years of record keeping. However, 2011 was the driest year in Texas history, and many regions still have a long way to go before drought conditions abate. The January 17, 2012 Drought Monitor showed 62% of Texas in two worst categories of drought--extreme to exceptional. That's quite an improvement from the 97% of the state that was in extreme to exceptional drought back on September 27, 2011, though. The latest GFS model forecast shows mostly dry conditions returning to Texas next week, with the possibility of more heavy rain for East Texas on February 3.

Category 4 Tropical Cyclone Funso moves away from Mozambique
The most powerful tropical cyclone of 2012 is Tropical Cyclone Funso, which intensified to a Category 4 storm with 140 mph winds early this morning. Funso is located in the Mozambique Channel between Madagascar and Mozambique, and is expected to remain offshore and move slowly southwards. The outer spiral bands of Funso dumped torrential rains on Mozambique early this week, triggering floods that killed at least twelve people. Flooding from Funso was made worse by the saturated soils left by Tropical Depression Dando, whose rains caused flooding that killed ten people in the country last week.


Figure 2. Image of Tropical Cyclone Funso taken by the MODIS instrument on NASA's Terra satellite on January 25, 2012, at 07:40 UTC. At the time, Funso was a Category 4 storm with 135 mph winds. Image credit: NASA.

Largest solar storm since October 2003 hits Earth
On January 23 near 03:39 UTC, big sunspot 1402 erupted, sending a coronal mass ejection (CME) headed towards Earth. The CME arrived at Earth on January 24 near 15 UTC, setting off the biggest solar storm since October 2003. Bright auroras were observed at many northern locations, and a G1-class geomagnetic storm is in progress. For more info, see NOAA's Space Weather Prediction Center or spaceweather.com.


Figure 3. Solar flare as observed by the Atmospheric Imaging Assembly (AIA) on NASA’s Solar Dynamics Observatory (SDO) at 03:27, 03:42, and 04:12 UTC January 23, 2012. Note the brightening of the solar surface as gas was superheated and magnetically supercharged. By the third (right) image, a stream of solar material is seen flowing off into space above the hot spot, likely solar protons and a coronal mass ejection (CME). Image credit: NASA Earth Observatory.

Jeff Masters
Green and clean. (Altred)
Green and clean.
Magic Fjord (Altred)
I want to thank all of you for vots and comments.THANK YOU ALL
Magic Fjord
Categories: Drought Flood
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201. BobWallace 01:54 PM GMT del 26 Gennaio 2012    
Quoting Neapolitan:
Some signs are subtly sneaky:Full article here.


RE: The new plant hardiness zones.

I'm hoping that this graphic will get updated.

http://www.arborday.org/media/mapchanges.cfm

It shows how planting zones changed between 1990 and 2006. Now we have seen even further change.
Member Since: Febbraio 22, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 1344
202. RitaEvac 01:56 PM GMT del 26 Gennaio 2012    
New??

Member Since: Luglio 14, 2008 Posts: 1 Comments: 8953
203. AussieStorm 01:56 PM GMT del 26 Gennaio 2012    
SOI still at +11.4

Member Since: Settembre 30, 2007 Posts: 5 Comments: 13797
204. Thrawst 02:00 PM GMT del 26 Gennaio 2012    
Member Since: Luglio 18, 2010 Posts: 49 Comments: 1158
205. Xyrus2000 02:04 PM GMT del 26 Gennaio 2012    
Quoting Bergeron:


Global what?



You post a graph with no context to counteract the temperature records coming from no less than 5 separate data sources? Please, do tell which cherry picked data is used for that graph. Perhaps a link to the site would be useful. Hopefully it is a legitimate source and not some pseudo-science hack site.

Look, if the the US Department of Agriculture is releasing updated growing charts as a result of climate change, it really is time to stop covering your ears and screaming "la-la-la".
Member Since: Ottobre 31, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 1037
206. Bergeron 02:06 PM GMT del 26 Gennaio 2012    
Quoting Xyrus2000:


You post a graph with no context to counteract the temperature records coming from no less than 5 separate data sources? Please, do tell which cherry picked data is used for that graph. Perhaps a link to the site would be useful. Hopefully it is a legitimate source and not some pseudo-science hack site.

Look, if the the US Department of Agriculture is releasing updated growing charts as a result of climate change, it really is time to stop covering your ears and screaming "la-la-la".


The graph is from NCEP



Member Since: Ottobre 19, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 101
207. hydrus 02:14 PM GMT del 26 Gennaio 2012    
Quoting Thrawst:
Funso is looking annular. Decent squall line in the gulf..
Member Since: Settembre 27, 2007 Posts: 1 Comments: 14721
208. hydrus 02:19 PM GMT del 26 Gennaio 2012    
The name Iggy reminded me of Fifi in 74..The name Fifi may sound inappropriate for such a devastating killer...Hurricane Fifi (later Hurricane Orlene) was a catastrophic tropical cyclone that killed between 3,000 and 10,000 people in Honduras in September 1974, ranking it as the fourth deadliest Atlantic hurricane on record. Originating from a strong tropical wave on September 14, the system steadily tracked west-northwestward through the eastern Caribbean Sea. On September 16, the depression intensified into Tropical Storm Fifi just off the coast of Jamaica. The storm quickly intensified into a hurricane the following afternoon and attained its peak intensity on September 18 as a strong Category 2 hurricane. Maintaining hurricane intensity, Fifi brushed the northern coast of Honduras before making landfall in Belize the following day. The storm quickly weakened after landfall, becoming a depression late on September 20. Continuing westward, the former hurricane began to interact with another system in the eastern Pacific.

Early on September 22, Fifi re-attained tropical storm status before fully regenerating into a new tropical cyclone, Tropical Storm Orlene. Orlene storm traveled in an arced path toward Mexico while quickly intensifying into a Category 2 hurricane before landfall. The storm weakened after landfall and dissipated fully during the afternoon of September 24 over the mountains of Mexico. Along its path, Fifi impacted nine countries, leaving over 8,200 fatalities and $1.8 billion (1974 USD; $8.02 billion 2012 USD) in damages. Most of the loss of life and damage occurred in Honduras where rainfall from the hurricane, peaking around 24 in (610 mm), triggered widespread flash flooding and mudslides.

In a single town, between 2,000 and 5,000 people were killed overnight after a massive flood inundated the area. Fifi brought continuous rainfall to the area for three days, hampering relief efforts in what was the worst disaster in Honduras' history at the time. In nearby Guatemala, an additional 200 people were killed by severe flooding, making Fifi the worst hurricane to impact the country in nearly 20 years. Following the catastrophic damage wrought by the storm, relief agencies from around the world flew in emergency supplies to assist the hundreds of thousands of homeless people. Countries closer to Honduras, such as the United States, set up city donation centers that would send supplies to the country. In efforts to prevent the spread of post-storm diseases, the government allowed the burning of bodies as they were recovered. In a single day, up to 6,000 bodies were burned. Due to the extreme damage and loss of life, the name was retired from the list of Atlantic hurricane names and has not been used since.
Member Since: Settembre 27, 2007 Posts: 1 Comments: 14721
209. MrBoujangles 02:58 PM GMT del 26 Gennaio 2012    
Quoting Bergeron:


The graph is from NCEP




lol... This guy is posting a 3yr plot of global temperature anomalies based on the 30yr average of '81-'10 to try and prove that AGW is not real. The graphs could very well be from NCEP but they were selectively chosen by a website that is so crazy they write half the articles in Latin.
Member Since: Maggio 10, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 19
210. hydrus 03:00 PM GMT del 26 Gennaio 2012    
Filling in nicely now..
Member Since: Settembre 27, 2007 Posts: 1 Comments: 14721
211. aspectre 03:04 PM GMT del 26 Gennaio 2012    
The net-zero-energy home.
I do wonder about whether the energy to manufacture the materials&technology used to build&run the house is higher than for a regular house; and whether the energy-payback period is sufficiently low as to make a "net-zero-energy" home more sustainable than a regular house.
Member Since: Agosto 21, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 4855
212. SPLbeater 03:12 PM GMT del 26 Gennaio 2012    
Its my birthday
Member Since: Agosto 4, 2011 Posts: 43 Comments: 3961
213. SPLbeater 03:14 PM GMT del 26 Gennaio 2012    

Iggy
Member Since: Agosto 4, 2011 Posts: 43 Comments: 3961
214. yqt1001 03:26 PM GMT del 26 Gennaio 2012    
Must be hell on those islands in the middle of that extremely intense convection.


Member Since: novembre 19, 2010 Posts: 1 Comments: 1193
215. yqt1001 03:29 PM GMT del 26 Gennaio 2012    
Quoting SPLbeater:
Its my birthday


Happy birthday!

Member Since: novembre 19, 2010 Posts: 1 Comments: 1193
216. RitaEvac 03:55 PM GMT del 26 Gennaio 2012    
Quoting aspectre:
The net-zero-energy home.
I do wonder about whether the energy to manufacture the materials&technology used to build&run the house is higher than for a regular house; and whether the energy-payback period is sufficiently low as to make a "net-zero-energy" home more sustainable than a regular house.


Seeing new houses built by Lennar with solar panels on the west side of the roofs now. Odd seeing those now, wonder how they will hold up in a hurricane or hail storm though, and how much insurance is to cover them and so on.
Member Since: Luglio 14, 2008 Posts: 1 Comments: 8953
217. SPLbeater 04:55 PM GMT del 26 Gennaio 2012    
Quoting yqt1001:


Happy birthday!



Thank u! I am officially a teenager lol xD
Member Since: Agosto 4, 2011 Posts: 43 Comments: 3961
218. MahFL 06:01 PM GMT del 26 Gennaio 2012    
Quoting RitaEvac:


Seeing new houses built by Lennar with solar panels on the west side of the roofs now. Odd seeing those now, wonder how they will hold up in a hurricane or hail storm though, and how much insurance is to cover them and so on.


How can you have privicy and still get solar heating, everyone can see what you have in the rooms to steal !
Member Since: Giugno 9, 2004 Posts: 0 Comments: 2467
219. yqt1001 06:10 PM GMT del 26 Gennaio 2012    
Rina's TCR is out.

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/AL182011_Rina.pd f

She was upgraded to a major hurricane!

19-7-4

Rina at peak intensity.

Member Since: novembre 19, 2010 Posts: 1 Comments: 1193

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About JeffMasters
Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

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