Dr. Jeff Masters' WunderBlog

Category 4 Funso kills 12 in Mozambique; deadly Alabama tornado rated an EF-3
Posted by: Dr. Jeff Masters, 02:48 PM GMT del 24 Gennaio 2012 +22
Earth's first major tropical cyclone of 2012 is Tropical Cyclone Funso, a Category 4 storm with 135 mph winds located in the Mozambique Channel between Madagascar and Mozambique. Conditions for intensification have been favorable over the past few days, with light wind shear of 5 - 10 knots, water temperatures of 29°C, and a pocket of high oceanic heat content with warm waters extending to great depth located under the center of the storm. Funso is expected to intensify further and have sustained winds of 145 mph by Wednesday. Fortunately, the center of the storm is expected to remain offshore as the storm moves slowly southwards. The outer spiral bands of Funso have dumped torrential rains on Mozambique the past several days, triggering floods that have killed at least twelve people. The floods have swept across the main north-south highway in the country, cutting off the capital of Maputo from the north and center of the country. Flooding from Funso was made worse by the saturated soils left by Tropical Depression Dando, whose rains caused flooding that killed ten people in the country last week.


Figure 1. Image of Tropical Cyclone Funso taken by the MODIS instrument on NASA's Terra satellite on January 23, 2012. At the time, Funso was a Category 3 storm with 115 mph winds. Image credit: NASA/GSFC.

Yesterday's deadly Clay, Alabama tornado rated an EF-3
A damage survey by the NWS confirmed that the tornado that hit Clay, Alabama yesterday, killing two and injuring over 100, was a strong EF-3 tornado with 150 mph winds. A second EF-3 tornado with 140 mph winds touched down yesterday near Koffman, Alabama, and tore off the roof of a house and a barn. These are the only two EF-3 tornadoes of the year so far. There have been no EF-4 or EF-5 tornadoes yet. NOAA's Storm Prediction Center has placed portions of Southern Texas in their "Slight Risk" region for severe weather today, and portions of East Texas and Western Louisiana in the "Slight RIsk" region for Wednesday, and a few isolated tornadoes are possible in Texas and Louisiana over the next two days.

Jeff Masters
Categories: Hurricane Tornado
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201. ozprof 04:05 PM GMT del 25 Gennaio 2012    
You guys over in east Texas..... Would you please stop hogging all the rain and send some of it over to here in west Texas!! Still not a drop in sight. :-(
Member Since: Dicembre 4, 2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 28
202. RitaEvac 04:09 PM GMT del 25 Gennaio 2012    
Warnings continue to verify with numerous reports of wind damage across the region. Appears Grimes County was hit pretty hard with law enforcement reporting widespread wind damage to homes, trees and power lines across much of the county. Tire shop on HWY 36 in Burleson County was completely destroyed and numerous trees and power lines down over Montgomery County.

Radar continues to show frequent tornado signatures spinning up very quickly along the leading edge of the squall line over Montgomery and Walker counties. Watching growing cells closely over Colorado and southern Austin/Waller counties as these may go tornadic shortly. Cell motions of 35-50mph and leading to very short lead times. Additionally very low cloud bases and rain wrap nature of the event is making seeing any kind of funnel cloud or tornado almost impossible.

Threat will be shifting to the US 59 corridor over the next 1-3 hours.

Rainfall:

Cells over Colorado, Austin, and Waller counties have been showing decent cell merging and training over the past few hours, but it is clear that the entire line is slowing. Given tremendous Gulf moisture advection in progress with moisture levels near historical maximum for this time of year it will not take long to get into problems with hourly rainfall rates approaching 2.5-3 inches under the stronger cells. Urban flooding of street and low lying areas appears likely as this line sags into the more populated US 59 corridor.

Member Since: Luglio 14, 2008 Posts: 1 Comments: 8953
203. entrelac 04:14 PM GMT del 25 Gennaio 2012    
Quoting ozprof:
You guys over in east Texas..... Would you please stop hogging all the rain and send some of it over to here in west Texas!! Still not a drop in sight. :-(
No! We haven't seen it in awhile and need time to get reacquainted.
Member Since: Settembre 18, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 232
204. DavidHOUTX 04:20 PM GMT del 25 Gennaio 2012    
000
FXUS64 KHGX 251601
AFDHGX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
1001 AM CST WED JAN 25 2012

.DISCUSSION...
LINE OF STRONG/SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS MAKING PROGRESS MOVING EASTWARD
ACROSS SOUTHEAST TEXAS THIS MORNING WITH A TORNADO WATCH IN EFFECT
UNTIL 11 AM. NORTHERN HALF OF THE LINE (ROUGHLY NORTH OF I-10) IS
MOVING FASTER THAN THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE LINE. WE WILL PROBABLY
BE ISSUING ADDITIONAL FLOOD ADVISORIES TO COVER THE POTENTIAL FOR
WIDESPREAD 1 TO 3 INCH RAINFALL TOTALS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN HALF OF
THIS STORM COMPLEX...AND THIS AREA WILL ALSO BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR
THE POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE STORM DEVELOPMENT. HIGHER RAINFALL TOTALS
CANNOT BE RULED OUT.

UPDATED THE MORNING FORECAST WITH HIGHER RAIN CHANCES EAST AND COOLER
TEMPERATURES WEST. 42
Member Since: Agosto 18, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 301
205. DavidHOUTX 04:22 PM GMT del 25 Gennaio 2012    
Quoting RitaEvac:
Warnings continue to verify with numerous reports of wind damage across the region. Appears Grimes County was hit pretty hard with law enforcement reporting widespread wind damage to homes, trees and power lines across much of the county. Tire shop on HWY 36 in Burleson County was completely destroyed and numerous trees and power lines down over Montgomery County.

Radar continues to show frequent tornado signatures spinning up very quickly along the leading edge of the squall line over Montgomery and Walker counties. Watching growing cells closely over Colorado and southern Austin/Waller counties as these may go tornadic shortly. Cell motions of 35-50mph and leading to very short lead times. Additionally very low cloud bases and rain wrap nature of the event is making seeing any kind of funnel cloud or tornado almost impossible.

Threat will be shifting to the US 59 corridor over the next 1-3 hours.

Rainfall:

Cells over Colorado, Austin, and Waller counties have been showing decent cell merging and training over the past few hours, but it is clear that the entire line is slowing. Given tremendous Gulf moisture advection in progress with moisture levels near historical maximum for this time of year it will not take long to get into problems with hourly rainfall rates approaching 2.5-3 inches under the stronger cells. Urban flooding of street and low lying areas appears likely as this line sags into the more populated US 59 corridor.



The southern line of this system is definitely slowing down and pulling in mass amounts of moisture from the Gulf. We may have a pretty significant flooding situation south of the city throughout this afternoon.

TURN AROUND - DON'T DROWN
Member Since: Agosto 18, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 301
206. RitaEvac 04:22 PM GMT del 25 Gennaio 2012    
Quoting DavidHOUTX:
000
FXUS64 KHGX 251601
AFDHGX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
1001 AM CST WED JAN 25 2012

.DISCUSSION...
LINE OF STRONG/SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS MAKING PROGRESS MOVING EASTWARD
ACROSS SOUTHEAST TEXAS THIS MORNING WITH A TORNADO WATCH IN EFFECT
UNTIL 11 AM. NORTHERN HALF OF THE LINE (ROUGHLY NORTH OF I-10) IS
MOVING FASTER THAN THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE LINE. WE WILL PROBABLY
BE ISSUING ADDITIONAL FLOOD ADVISORIES TO COVER THE POTENTIAL FOR
WIDESPREAD 1 TO 3 INCH RAINFALL TOTALS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN HALF OF
THIS STORM COMPLEX...AND THIS AREA WILL ALSO BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR
THE POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE STORM DEVELOPMENT. HIGHER RAINFALL TOTALS
CANNOT BE RULED OUT.

UPDATED THE MORNING FORECAST WITH HIGHER RAIN CHANCES EAST AND COOLER
TEMPERATURES WEST. 42


Activity over the gulf is merging with main line, could see repeat of Jan 9th event
Member Since: Luglio 14, 2008 Posts: 1 Comments: 8953
207. Skyepony (Mod) 04:26 PM GMT del 25 Gennaio 2012    
0932 AM FLASH FLOOD HALTOM CITY 32.80N 97.27W
01/25/2012 TARRANT TX BROADCAST MEDIA

HIGH WATER RESCUES AT 121 AND HANDLEY EDERVILLE ROAD IN
HALTOM CITY


0903 AM FLASH FLOOD HALTOM CITY 32.80N 97.27W
01/25/2012 TARRANT TX BROADCAST MEDIA

HIGH WATER RESCUES IN HALTOM CITY. AIRPORT FREEWAY AND
MIDWAY ROAD.


0833 AM FLASH FLOOD IRVING 32.82N 96.92W
01/25/2012 DALLAS TX LAW ENFORCEMENT

WATER RESCUE OF 1 PERSON ON TOP OF A CAR IN A CREEK NEAR
S. STORY RD AND RUBY ST. RESCUE BOAT ENROUTE.


0800 AM FLOOD JEWETT 31.37N 96.15W
01/25/2012 LEON TX TRAINED SPOTTER

CITY STREETS UNDER WATER.


$$
Member Since: Agosto 10, 2005 Posts: 145 Comments: 29949
208. DavidHOUTX 04:26 PM GMT del 25 Gennaio 2012    
Quoting RitaEvac:


Activity over the gulf is merging with main line, could see repeat of Jan 9th event


That is my thinking as well. We may be in for a wash out. At least we are starting this year off well in regards to the rain category. Winter has sure skipped us so far this year.
Member Since: Agosto 18, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 301
209. RitaEvac 04:26 PM GMT del 25 Gennaio 2012    
Metal light poles in parking lot are swaying in the wind, winds are fueling into this system with copious amounts of gulf moisture
Member Since: Luglio 14, 2008 Posts: 1 Comments: 8953
210. RitaEvac 04:28 PM GMT del 25 Gennaio 2012    
Quoting DavidHOUTX:


That is my thinking as well. We may be in for a wash out. At least we are starting this year off well in regards to the rain category. Winter has sure skipped us so far this year.


Hell with winter, bring the rain
Member Since: Luglio 14, 2008 Posts: 1 Comments: 8953
211. RitaEvac 04:30 PM GMT del 25 Gennaio 2012    
If we don't get our reservoirs and lakes up before summer, we are dead where we stand. It HAS to flood and that's what it's gonna take
Member Since: Luglio 14, 2008 Posts: 1 Comments: 8953
212. BaltimoreBrian 04:31 PM GMT del 25 Gennaio 2012    
I've been invited to a conference on the impact of cold climate in Russian history and the Russian psyche. Obviously I can't go but I have been to a couple conferences like this and they are fun.

Here is the web site for the conference.
Member Since: Agosto 9, 2011 Posts: 25 Comments: 3770
213. bohonkweatherman 04:32 PM GMT del 25 Gennaio 2012    
Most rain i found around here where it flooded was in Uhland Texas about 10 to 12 miles south to southeast of Buda Texas or over 20 miles south of Austin at 9.3 inches, most of this rain fell in a 1 to 2 hour period, i have friends that live out there and it looks like a Lake. Most areas within 20 miles of my house received 5 to 9 inches early this morning, unreal electrical storm also. Reports of a possible tornado doing quite a bit of damage in northeast Austin, has not been confirmed though.
Member Since: Luglio 5, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 1348
214. Skyepony (Mod) 04:33 PM GMT del 25 Gennaio 2012    
That tire shop was tin construction

0700 AM TSTM WND DMG 6 N SOMERVILLE 30.43N 96.53W
01/25/2012 BURLESON TX PUBLIC

TIN CONSTUCTED TIRE SHOP ON HWY 36 DESTROYED.

..

Member Since: Agosto 10, 2005 Posts: 145 Comments: 29949
215. DavidHOUTX 04:34 PM GMT del 25 Gennaio 2012    
Reports of a Tornado touch down near Brenham, TX. Unconfirmed as of now but numerous reports of damage to cars, trees and homes.
Member Since: Agosto 18, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 301
216. RitaEvac 04:39 PM GMT del 25 Gennaio 2012    
Storms today have had a history of producing damaging winds. Additionally the Brenham airport recorded a 70mph wind gust earlier this morning.


Member Since: Luglio 14, 2008 Posts: 1 Comments: 8953
217. Skyepony (Mod) 04:42 PM GMT del 25 Gennaio 2012    
98S has just about made landfall. Making for some wild weather...Wild weather pops pool out of ground.
Member Since: Agosto 10, 2005 Posts: 145 Comments: 29949
218. percylives 04:44 PM GMT del 25 Gennaio 2012    
A lot of dry air coming into extreme S Texas and moving NNE on water vapor loop.

Link

Rain and weather event for TX may be about done.
Member Since: Agosto 23, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 73
219. Skyepony (Mod) 04:55 PM GMT del 25 Gennaio 2012    
US officials say the famine in Somalia has eased but 13.3 million people across the Horn of Africa still need emergency food, shelter or other aid.

The State Department says there has been significant improvement in the 1 1/2-year-long emergency, still one of the world's largest humanitarian crises.

David Robinson, acting assistant secretary for population, refugees and migration, told reporters on Tuesday the flow of refugees out of Somalia into neighbouring countries has diminished, but thousands continue to try to get out and new camps are opening in Ethiopia and Kenya.

The crisis was triggered by crop failures tied to a regional drought, but officials said it has been aggravated by the fighting between Somalia's U.N.-backed government and al-Qaeda linked insurgents. - Sapa-AP
Member Since: Agosto 10, 2005 Posts: 145 Comments: 29949
220. RitaEvac 05:00 PM GMT del 25 Gennaio 2012    
Severe TS warnings taking over large area of Houston/Galveston area now
Member Since: Luglio 14, 2008 Posts: 1 Comments: 8953
221. BaltimoreBrian 05:01 PM GMT del 25 Gennaio 2012    
Another conference I've been invited to is Culture, Politics and Climate Change in Boulder, CO Sept 13-15. I will not be able to go to that either, still will be in the stan. Wonder if Dr. Rood or Dr. Masters will go.
Member Since: Agosto 9, 2011 Posts: 25 Comments: 3770
222. SPLbeater 05:28 PM GMT del 25 Gennaio 2012    
Last night 2 AM EST
Member Since: Agosto 4, 2011 Posts: 43 Comments: 3961
223. SPLbeater 05:29 PM GMT del 25 Gennaio 2012    
I have about 50 CD's to destroy that mom dont need. any suggestions on how to destroy? remember, it cant be a safe and recommended way:D
Member Since: Agosto 4, 2011 Posts: 43 Comments: 3961
224. Patrap 10:46 PM GMT del 25 Gennaio 2012    
A new Record, maybe a all time one was Broken today in Louisiana..

Got to DMV at 8am Sharp, was 3rd in, and was out with renewed License in 7 minutes.

I hope the Pulitzer folks are made aware. I could use da cheque. : )
Member Since: Luglio 3, 2005 Posts: 377 Comments: 112933
225. Patrap 10:48 PM GMT del 25 Gennaio 2012    
One creepy looking Radar return,,looks like one funnel on end.

Member Since: Luglio 3, 2005 Posts: 377 Comments: 112933
226. dabirds 12:05 AM GMT del 26 Gennaio 2012    
Hoping we don't get repeat of Friday night, roads not icing yet, but 32 and wet. Looks like more moisture on way from sw though. Hope it brings warmer temps with it or we may have a mess!
Member Since: Agosto 23, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 505
227. ncgnto25 11:50 AM GMT del 27 Gennaio 2012    
I apologize for the tone of my removed post. I want to see us move in a direction to do something about cleaning our environment, whether we are affecting the global weather or not.
Member Since: Ottobre 5, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 49
228. Patrap 08:14 PM GMT del 05 Giugno 2012    
If you'd like to help with Portlights current project, feel free to check it out here.

Work is underway at the Tolbert House in Harrisburg Illinois.


The house donated by the community.

www.portlight.org

The Tolbert Family

Member Since: Luglio 3, 2005 Posts: 377 Comments: 112933

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About JeffMasters
Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

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