Nate makes landfall; Maria organizing, but pulling away from the islands
Tropical Storm Nate made landfall at 11 am EDT this morning just north of Barra de Nautla in the Mexican state of Veracruz, as a tropical storm with 45 mph winds. Satellite loops show that there is very little heavy thunderstorm activity associated with Nate, and the storm should not cause significant flooding or damage as it pushes inland and dissipates later today.
Figure 1. Visible satellite image of Nate as it made landfall in the Veracruz state of Mexico near 11 am EDT Sunday, September 11, 2011.
Tropical Storm Maria
Tropical Storm Maria has managed to organize in the face of the persistent moderate wind shear that has affected it, and now looks a little more like a tropical storm should. Though the center of circulation lies partially exposed to view, satellite imagery shows a large area of heavy thunderstorms lies to the northeast of Maria's center. These rains and the storm's strongest winds lie well away from the Lesser Antilles Islands, though one spiral band is bringing heavy rains to the islands, as seen on Martinique radar. A wind gust of 40 mph was reported on St. Martin at 11 am EDT, and one of 36 mph affected St. Kitts and Nevis at 9 am EDT during a rain squall. The trough of low pressure that is bringing hostile wind shear to Maria is predicted to slowly weaken over the next few days, which should allow the storm to grow to hurricane strength by Tuesday. On Wednesday, Maria will be making its closest approach to Bermuda, and the island could see sustained winds in the 20 - 40 mph range. Most of the models show that Maria will brush or strike Newfoundland, Canada on Friday or Saturday, and residents there should anticipate the possibility of tropical storm conditions late this week.
Figure 2. Morning satellite image of Tropical Storm Maria.
Extratropical Storm Katia
Hurricane Katia brushed by Newfoundland, Canada yesterday morning, and is now racing east-northeast at 50 - 60 mph across the open Atlantic. On Monday, the storm will pass very close to the northern British Isles, bringing winds of 50 - 60 mph to the offshore waters of Northern Ireland and Western Scotland. Ex-Katia will bring 2 - 4 inches of rain to the coast, and its strong winds will likely cause significant tree damage and power failures.
Figure 3. The center of Extratropical Storm Katia is predicted to pass just north of the British Isles on Monday, bringing a large area 45 - 50 knots (52 - 58 mph, red colors) to the coast. This wind forecast is from the 00Z (8 pm EDT) run of the GFS model made last night. To convert from knots to mph, multiply by 1.15.
Elsewhere in the tropics
Most of the models predict the development of a tropical depression or strong tropical disturbance 5 - 6 days from now off the coast of Africa.
I'll have an update Monday morning. Peace to all this September 11!
Jeff Masters
Reader Comments
Page: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 — Blog Index
no hes not report him plzs
so...why use his pic? That's a little, uhmm...weird.
I mean ya could been a puppy or a kitten or a mongoose or a slice of pizza...why use HIS pic?
I agree with all except the part about being 'volunteers'. It's not quite like that. They are well taken care of for life, and many traded service for a paid education.
noted
no it's not...jason can not make up good sentences. But this "newbie" could use a small dose of punctuation.
No, it makes him look like StormW.
Oh, ok. I see your point.
i know... hahahaha
cmon man, really? using mitch's avatar... :p
thats not the winter out look
NDBC
Location: 21.061N 64.966W
Conditions as of:
Sun, 11 Sep 2011 19:50:00 UTC
Winds: E (90°) at 31.1 kt gusting to 40.8 kt
Significant Wave Height: 21.7 ft
Dominant Wave Period: 11 sec
Nice waves to the NE of Maria's LLC.
Naaahhh...you're good. All the hurricane avatars look alike, anyways. And Hurricane Mitch hasn't posted here in quite a few years.
Would you create a proper sentence so yoboi there will realize you're not Jason?
Taz, it is - DJF 2001.
Except for mine ;-)
Valid DJF 2011:
(December)
(January)
(February)
I'm not an expert, but I think it could be due to the lack of vertical instability throughout the basin this season. While storms are developing left and right, they aren't able to attain hurricane status easily. Dry air can lower the amount of instability in the air, like what happened in the Gulf of Mexico a few days ago. That VERY dry air came off Texas/Louisiana, and entered the Gulf of Mexico, significantly lowering the atmospheric vertical instability available to Nate.
dry air has been the rule this year and some wind shear thats why we have had so many TS this year
Yep :)
A lack of atmospheric instability, which yes, causes or can be caused by dry air.
Levi, you're late :P
IMO, it was because of where they formed. Those frontal named systems had a short life. Then Arlene, Don, Harvey, Lee and Nate all hit land not to far from where they formed.
I think more hurricanes are still likely to come especially in the warm Caribbean or those long trackers going north-west of the Lesser Antilles.
I don't understand what you are trying to ask...?
Viewing: 251 - 301
Page: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 — Blog Index