Dr. Jeff Masters' WunderBlog |
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| Posted by: Dr. Jeff Masters, 01:27 PM GMT del 06 Settembre 2011 | +32 |
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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.
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Some people, if they dont wanna know, you cant tell um..
So a 0.8C increase in 100years is what's called rapid warming?
Everything after that was devoid of real content.
Just tryin' to help.
Check out the above loop... and the Steering Flow
Very Dry Air means HIGH PRESSURE...which you can also see on the Steering Layer Graphic also......Conclusion would be for it to move into Mexico or nearly be in a Stall position for a few days......then anything is possible......it should not move much for the next few days and if it does move it should move SW toward Mexico only in the short term.
Indeed.
True dat. (Did I do that right?)
But it's not about convincing the posters of spin and emotion. It's about contesting misinformation.
Yes.
But look at the dry air coming off Texas.
Thats a transient thing and it wont be there but for a day or so,,plus the inflow fetch is on the Se side of the System and thus not affecting it at this time.
look at it this was, if it wasn't for all the scientific advancements over the last 100-150years, where would the world be, population 2billion.
Drak do you think it will move much over the next couple of days.......i just looked at it........not sure.....
Weather at a Glance
Uptown, New Orleans
Elevation
20 ft
Clear
Temperature
71.8 F
Feels Like 76 F
No
Off to classes. Later all
I think I'd trust ground based observations before satellite measurements.
Antarctic stratospheric ozone depletion was detected by a ground based survey team from the UK. The US satellite which measured stratospheric ozone failed to detect the depletion because it was programmed to discard anomalous readings.
Thanks thats what i see as well.......LEARN SOMETHING TODAY and thanks for the input.
I agree with Drak.....there is very weak steering! As i said above....in the short term it might possibly move toward Mexico....but after that anything is possible.......BE READY! This might become a little shocker to some!
The satellites tell the same tale as the thermometers. It's warming according to both --and at about the same rate.
Indeed, indeed.
Even when the GFS is wrong it's right, lol. Weak steering may be correct also.
12Z GFS 700mb @ 36 hrs.
clearly your no scientist, just because it isn't affecting you doesn't mean its not affecting other people. Read Dr. Masters section on Texas, go back to last summer and read his article on the Russian drought and heat wave. I'm not sure how people can just shrug their shoulders to phenomena like these. If drought and extreme heat waves aren't enough, what do you think about the extreme flooding of the Mississippi river earlier this year, and all the extreme flooding in the north east from irene. How about we go back to April and all the tornadoes. How come everybody forgets such extreme phenomena in such short periods of time?
Because the ~1 degree celcius of warming, on a global scale, is a truly unfathomable amount of added energy. "temperature is tied directly to the mean kinetic energy of particles moving relative to the center of mass coordinates for that object" thank you wikipedia. It is the epitome of american thinking at work, if it isn't hurting me now I don't care.
or it could pull a quick exit....Lee was supposed to sit forever and continued on. The only to expect is the unexpected. The good news is that the season has leaned more to unexpected "good" news rather than bad.
Storms training off the gulf today in SWFL make me wanna go home and take a nap. STUPID WORK!
So a 0.8C increase in 100years is what's called rapid warming?
Uh. Um. Yes.
000
NOUS42 KNHC 051445
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1045 AM EDT MON 05 SEPTEMBER 2011
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 06/1100Z TO 07/1100Z SEPTEMBER 2011
TCPOD NUMBER.....11-097
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. HURRICANE KATIA
FLIGHT ONE -- TEAL 70
A. 06/17Z
B. AFXXX 0112A KATIA
C. 06/1415Z
D. 27.5N 66.5W
E. 06/1615Z-06/1830Z
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY: PSBL 07/17Z FIX
3. REMARK: NOAA G-IV RESEARCH MISSIONS
FOR HURRICANE KATIA TAKING OFF 06/11Z AND 07/11Z.
about time..
Lets hope the unexpected does not occur. Gotta run out for a while. Everyone be nice to each and stop being such Denier's on both sides of GW. I have tried to be more subjective as i have been a very much Denier of ManMade GW. I have tried to read much more about GW. So, try to be a little more open on both sides of the Argument as you might flop the other way. Didn't say i flopped tho......LOL
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0745 AM CDT TUE SEP 06 2011
...THE UPR LOW ASSOCIATED WITH WHAT WAS HYBRID T.D. LEE
would we have all the great meteorological tools we have today if it wasn't for scientific advancements like satellites and Doppler radars. Look at Hurricane Katrina, how many people died, 1200, imagine if we didn't know Katrina was coming, what would the total deaths be?
How do the Satellites we all rely on get into space, rocket propulsion, how was that developed, with the use of RP-1 (alternately, Rocket Propellant-1 or Refined Petroleum-1) + Liquid oxygen. If we had no satellites no HH planes, no super computers to run models on, the only way any of us know that there was a hurricane approaching would be to late.
I am all for greening the planet using reusable, Geo-thermal, wind, water and Solar power, but I am thankful of the scientific development that has been done, so we don't have 10000's of deaths from a single hurricane.
If you weren't aware, my government here has taken a drastic step of putting a carbon tax on almost everything, which will start July 2012, $100billion of my countries hard earned money will go to the UN and they will hand it out to 3rd world countries that are run by dictators that would rather fight with there neighbouring countries that help there own people to live. What will happen to the very strong economy of my country when all the manufacturing closes and moves to China or India?
Probably.
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