Hurricane Beatriz slams into Mexico; heavy rains, tornadoes hit the Midwest

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 02:34 PM GMT del 21 Giugno 2011

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Hurricane Beatriz plowed into the Pacific coast of Mexico near La Fortuna this morning as a Category 1 hurricane with 90 mph winds, bringing very heavy rains and mudslides to a 200-mile stretch of coast. Acapulco reported 5.20" of rain yesterday, and one injury due to a falling free. Hurricane-force winds extend outwards 25 miles from the center of Beatriz, and these winds are likely to cause moderate damage along a 200-mile stretch of the Mexican coast today as the storm moves northwestwards towards Cabo Corrientes. However, the primary threat from the storm will be heavy rain, and the expected rains of 6 - 12" are likely to cause very dangerous flooding and mudslides today and Wednesday morning. Satellite loops reveal that Beatriz weakened significantly over the past few hours, once the eye moved over land. The mountainous terrain of coastal Mexico will continue to tear up the storm today, and Beatriz will likely be a weak tropical storm by the time it moves back out to sea on Wednesday.


Figure 1. Morning satellite image of Hurricane Beatriz over the Pacific coast of Mexico taken at 9:30am EDT June 21, 2011. Image credit: NASA/GSFC.

Tornadoes, heavy rain slam the Midwest
Severe thunderstorms rumbled through a wide section of the Midwest yesterday, generating numerous tornadoes, baseball-sized hail, and heavy flooding rains. The storm also brought heavy snow to the mountains of Colorado above 9,500 feet, an unusual occurrence for so late in June. NOAA's Storm Prediction Center logged 43 preliminary tornado reports yesterday in Nebraska, Kansas, Iowa, Texas, and North Dakota. The tornadoes mostly avoided populated areas, and only sporadic damage was reported. Perhaps the most significant impact of the storm was the large area of 1 - 4 inches of rain it dropped on Nebraska and South Dakota. This rain will run off into the Missouri River, further aggravating the flooding that has breached two levees and overtopped two other levees in the past week. The large, slow-moving low pressure system responsible for the rains and severe weather will bring additional heavy rains of 1 - 3 inches over portions of the Missouri River watershed today, and will touch off a new round of severe weather today and Wednesday as the storm progresses slowly eastwards. However, the Storm Prediction Center is issuing only their "Slight Risk" forecast for severe weather for both days.


Figure 2. Radar reflectivity image of a supercell thunderstorm with a classic hook echo. The storm spawned a tornado that hit Elm Creek, Nebraska yesterday. The tornado ripped the roofs off of several houses and tore down power lines.

The Atlantic is quiet
The Atlantic is quiet, with no tropical cyclones predicted over the next seven days by the reliable computer models.

Jeff Masters

Rainbow Over Mt. Sopris (enghorn)
Rainbow Over Mt. Sopris

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Quoting AtHomeInTX:


Thanks for all the rain wishes. Much appreciated. :)


Not a problem, you folks are in my meditations. Looks like the models might be favoring some relief for you folks in the long run. Take care!
Member Since: Agosto 13, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 655
Quoting troy1993:
Could you possibly see an Alex/Dolly type of situation within the next week and into the first week of July?


I could, yes. Well not as intense.
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Tropical Depression Beatriz?

Member Since: Luglio 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 32267
Quoting KEEPEROFTHEGATE:


warfighter nogaps 180 hrs 18z run


What seems to be pulling the storm north? I see a high, upper/lower? north of it. Just wondering because the ECMWF showed a big low pressure system in the western GOM for one run. Since then it shows a ridge building bk over the gulf keeping everything south like last year. Just trying to learn how to read the models. I'm assuming the NOGAPS sees a break in the ridge somewhere on that run?
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Could you possibly see an Alex/Dolly type of situation within the next week and into the first week of July?
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Quoting KoritheMan:


Yes, but remember, they could just as easily flip back in the other direction.
Yeah just like 94L.One minute they were developing the next minute they dropped it faster then you can say stop.
Member Since: Agosto 14, 2010 Posts: 10 Comments: 17081
Quoting Skyepony:
The storm in the midwest is trying to grab at Beatriz a bit. Pulled some midlevel something toward the gulf, moisture maybe on the way to some drought areas.
same storm has been pulling at 02E since last night strong system and yes something is coming what remains to be seen sky
Member Since: Luglio 15, 2006 Posts: 174 Comments: 54353
Quoting AtHomeInTX:


Thanks for all the rain wishes. Much appreciated. :)
Once again my area is under a floodwatch.We just finished having a thunderstorm just now.We don't need no more rain.
Member Since: Agosto 14, 2010 Posts: 10 Comments: 17081
Quoting washingtonian115:
All the models on board?.Interesting....


Yes, but remember, they could just as easily flip back in the other direction.
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Quoting alfabob:
There is some low level vorticity associated with the recent blowup of convection to the west of the BOC, but it is overland right now. Maybe this will be the start of something. Still waiting to see what is up with the large area of LLC left over from Beatriz.
This should help Mexico's drought.
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Quoting druseljic:
GO! TEXAS. Much needed rain.. You guys deserve it!!!


Thanks for all the rain wishes. Much appreciated. :)
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Quoting druseljic:
GO! TEXAS. Much needed rain.. You guys deserve it!!!
Go D.C!!
Member Since: Agosto 14, 2010 Posts: 10 Comments: 17081
546. j2008
EP, 02, 2011062200, , BEST, 0, 190N, 1066W, 25, 1002, DB, Bye Bye Beatriz, its been good knowing you.
Winds at 25 knots and pressure at 1002, Id say its pretty much gone.
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Quoting druseljic:


No problem, glad you're enjoying it!
Member Since: Ottobre 8, 2008 Posts: 14 Comments: 4553
Quoting AussieStorm:

I might bookmark that for later, still getting over 15in of rain last week here.


Must be bad out there.

But when you do get the chance, it's cool, very soothing.
Member Since: Ottobre 8, 2008 Posts: 14 Comments: 4553
GO! TEXAS. Much needed rain.. You guys deserve it!!!
Member Since: Agosto 13, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 655
Quoting MTWX:

Or this one. Just click on the warning you want to view one the bottom of the screen and it will bring up all active warnings.Link
This one isn't to shabby either
Member Since: Settembre 9, 2007 Posts: 36 Comments: 4687
Quoting caneswatch:
rainymood.com

Interesting site. You can listen listen to rain falling while browsing or listening to a song. It's quite enjoyable with a few songs.

Thanks listening to it with Sofaspace(ambient) right now!
Member Since: Agosto 13, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 655
Quoting washingtonian115:
Maybe since everyone stop commenting that's a sign not to do that again.Back to weather anyone?
Lol as soon as I made that comment people got back on.Lls.
Member Since: Agosto 14, 2010 Posts: 10 Comments: 17081
Quoting caneswatch:
rainymood.com

Interesting site. You can listen listen to rain falling while browsing or listening to a song. It's quite enjoyable with a few songs.

I might bookmark that for later, still getting over 15in of rain last week here.
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Quoting alfabob:

To early to really say, I've been watching the left-overs of Beatriz spin off weak circulations towards the BOC since yesterday (mostly from the adjacent monsoon inflow being to strong). Still not really sure what is going on with it though; a cold pocket of air did run into it right before it collapsed, so its difficult to predict how it will transform over the next day or two. Maybe Beatriz will acquire unicorns and flying pigs over the next few hours, otherwise the area near the BOC could have a very slight chance of becoming what the models are sensing (but if Beatriz redevelops then I would say a 0% chance).

Beatriz is dead, I pulled her life support plug out last night before going to bed.
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rainymood.com

Interesting site. You can listen listen to rain falling while browsing or listening to a song. It's quite enjoyable with a few songs.
Member Since: Ottobre 8, 2008 Posts: 14 Comments: 4553
Wrigley Field webcam with audio. So dark outside there!
Link
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Maybe since everyone stop commenting that's a sign not to do that again.Back to weather anyone?
Member Since: Agosto 14, 2010 Posts: 10 Comments: 17081
531. MTWX
AT 811 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE SQUALL LINE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING STRAIGHT LINE WINDS
AND BRIEF RAIN-WRAPPED TORNADOES. THESE DANGEROUS STORMS WERE
LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM MAPLE PARK TO NORTH AURORA TO
OSWEGO TO COAL CITY...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH.

THESE DANGEROUS STORMS WILL BE NEAR...
WEST CHICAGO...WARRENVILLE...ST. CHARLES AND SHOREWOOD AROUND 820
PM CDT.
WINFIELD AND WAYNE AROUND 825 PM CDT.
GILBERTS...WOODRIDGE...WHEATON AND ROMEOVILLE AROUND 830 PM CDT.
DARIEN...YORK CENTER...WESTMONT AND STREAMWOOD AROUND 835 PM CDT.
VILLA PARK AROUND 840 PM CDT.

OTHER LOCATIONS IMPACTED BY THIS LINE OF TORNADO PRODUCING STORMS
INCLUDE PINGREE GROVE...SOUTH ELGIN...CRYSTAL LAWNS...GLENBARD
SOUTH...CREST HILL...PRESTON HEIGHTS...GLENDALE HEIGHTS...FAIRMONT...
BLOOMINGDALE AND WILLOWBROOK.
Member Since: Luglio 20, 2009 Posts: 23 Comments: 1393
Quoting alfabob:

Yea it might not even reach me, but who knows; I've had strong lines of severe weather coming and then a little gap forms making everyone else get hit but my area. Definitely would have major flooding up here if there was rainfall like Florida usually has, I think the most we got from a storm this year is 2-3 inches and even then the streets begin to backup with water. Maximum monthly average around this area (peak of the year) is only around 3.16 inches.


Yeah its amazing how that kind of rain up there makes everything beautiful and green, but the dry season here is 2.5 to 3.5 inches a month. It all depends on how the climate is adjusted to, type of foliage as well as soil. The wet season we average 7 to 10 inches a month. sometimes less during some years years, and sometimes it can be way more during others. I have seen us get 15 to 20 inches in August and September several times before since Ive lived here. But then there's last year, which was very dry, and we only had 4 to 5 inches both months, which was considered bad for us. I have seen us get a foot of rain sometimes in June, and years like this, we have only had 1 inch so far. The good news is, climate forecasts are calling for lots of rain the rest of the rain season.

The way it works in the subtropics of Florida. We either get slammed for a while with rain, or we get real dry for a while. Also, most of the days it rains, we also get lots of sun, some of our heaviest rain days we manage to squeeze out several hours of sun, hence why they call us the sunshine state. Being a weather freak and an athletic/outdoorsman, its the best Climate in the U.S. to me.
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527. Skyepony (Mod)
The storm in the midwest is trying to grab at Beatriz a bit. Pulled some midlevel something toward the gulf, moisture maybe on the way to some drought areas.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
* AT 815 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DESTRUCTIVE
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS LOCALLY IN EXCESS OF 80 MPH. THESE STORMS
WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM HAMPSHIRE TO AURORA TO
SHOREWOOD...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
THE GREATET CHICAGO METROPOLITAN AREA.


Well, hope this doesn't actually pan out.
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525. MTWX
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
This is a good page to use when trying to look at a list of Severe Thunderstorm/Tornado warnings in effect.

Link

Or this one. Just click on the warning you want to view one the bottom of the screen and it will bring up all active warnings.Link
Member Since: Luglio 20, 2009 Posts: 23 Comments: 1393
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
This is a good page to use when trying to look at a list of Severe Thunderstorm/Tornado warnings in effect.

Link


Yep, one of my permanent tabs.
Member Since: Agosto 22, 2008 Posts: 12 Comments: 6010
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:


Not all the models, just the GFS, CMC, and NGP.
Mmmm well at least we got some model support.But one thing to note is that the GOM is above average and if upper level conditions previel than who knows what could happen...
Member Since: Agosto 14, 2010 Posts: 10 Comments: 17081
Worst part of the severe line SW of Chicago should go to the North and West of Downtown. Cantore is live in Chicago giving updates on TWC, so we should get a good view of how bad it gets there!
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
This is a good page to use when trying to look at a list of Severe Thunderstorm/Tornado warnings in effect.

Link
Member Since: Luglio 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 32267
Quoting FrankZapper:
If you mean in poor taste, NO. Its in the news.


Wow, dead animals repeatedly shown on power lines...yeah, I guess your right that is news.
Member Since: Agosto 13, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 655
518. MTWX
Quoting IceCoast:
Second day in a row we have seen wording like this. Hopefully the line weakens before reaching Chicago.

AT 743 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING EXTREME DAMAGING
WINDS OF LOCALLY 80 TO 100 MPH. THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A
LINE EXTENDING FROM WATERMAN TO HINCKLEY TO NEWARK TO 8 MILES SOUTH
OF SENECA...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH.

Most of the area to the SW of Chicago is under a tornado warning!Link
Member Since: Luglio 20, 2009 Posts: 23 Comments: 1393
Quoting AussieStorm:

Falls Creek in Victoria is hit by a blizzard.

Welcome to snowy Orange


snow falling in the main street of Orange


Railway line at Nashdale near Orange covered in snow


Where did my ball go???
july is the half way point of winter for you guys down under is it not aussie
Member Since: Luglio 15, 2006 Posts: 174 Comments: 54353
Quoting washingtonian115:
All the models on board?.Interesting....


Not all the models, just the GFS, CMC, and NGP.
Member Since: Luglio 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 32267
Quoting druseljic:


Wow thats pretty sick, don't you think?
If you mean in poor taste, NO. Its in the news.
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All the models on board?.Interesting....
Member Since: Agosto 14, 2010 Posts: 10 Comments: 17081
Quoting alfabob:
There is some low level vorticity associated with the recent blowup of convection to the west of the BOC, but it is overland right now. Maybe this will be the start of something. Still waiting to see what is up with the large area of LLC left over from Beatriz.


Beatriz is nearing her death, there will be no re-intensification of the system. I'll believe there will be when we start seeing unicorns and pigs start flying.
Member Since: Luglio 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 32267
Quoting IceCoast:
Second day in a row we have seen wording like this. Hopefully the line weakens before reaching Chicago.

AT 743 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING EXTREME DAMAGING
WINDS OF LOCALLY 80 TO 100 MPH. THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A
LINE EXTENDING FROM WATERMAN TO HINCKLEY TO NEWARK TO 8 MILES SOUTH
OF SENECA...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH.


Ouch, defintely an area to watch, TY!
Member Since: Agosto 13, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 655
Quoting alfabob:

Could that make it into the BOC and become something for TX?
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Quoting caneswatch:


If that can scoot a little more to the right, a lot of people will be happy.


But if it were to scoot more to the left, a lot more people would be happy.
Member Since: Luglio 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 32267
Second day in a row we have seen wording like this. Hopefully the line weakens before reaching Chicago.

AT 743 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING EXTREME DAMAGING
WINDS OF LOCALLY 80 TO 100 MPH. THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A
LINE EXTENDING FROM WATERMAN TO HINCKLEY TO NEWARK TO 8 MILES SOUTH
OF SENECA...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:

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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.