Hurricane Beatriz slams into Mexico; heavy rains, tornadoes hit the Midwest
Hurricane Beatriz plowed into the Pacific coast of Mexico near La Fortuna this morning as a Category 1 hurricane with 90 mph winds, bringing very heavy rains and mudslides to a 200-mile stretch of coast. Acapulco reported 5.20" of rain yesterday, and one injury due to a falling free. Hurricane-force winds extend outwards 25 miles from the center of Beatriz, and these winds are likely to cause moderate damage along a 200-mile stretch of the Mexican coast today as the storm moves northwestwards towards Cabo Corrientes. However, the primary threat from the storm will be heavy rain, and the expected rains of 6 - 12" are likely to cause very dangerous flooding and mudslides today and Wednesday morning. Satellite loops reveal that Beatriz weakened significantly over the past few hours, once the eye moved over land. The mountainous terrain of coastal Mexico will continue to tear up the storm today, and Beatriz will likely be a weak tropical storm by the time it moves back out to sea on Wednesday.

Figure 1. Morning satellite image of Hurricane Beatriz over the Pacific coast of Mexico taken at 9:30am EDT June 21, 2011. Image credit: NASA/GSFC.
Tornadoes, heavy rain slam the Midwest
Severe thunderstorms rumbled through a wide section of the Midwest yesterday, generating numerous tornadoes, baseball-sized hail, and heavy flooding rains. The storm also brought heavy snow to the mountains of Colorado above 9,500 feet, an unusual occurrence for so late in June. NOAA's Storm Prediction Center logged 43 preliminary tornado reports yesterday in Nebraska, Kansas, Iowa, Texas, and North Dakota. The tornadoes mostly avoided populated areas, and only sporadic damage was reported. Perhaps the most significant impact of the storm was the large area of 1 - 4 inches of rain it dropped on Nebraska and South Dakota. This rain will run off into the Missouri River, further aggravating the flooding that has breached two levees and overtopped two other levees in the past week. The large, slow-moving low pressure system responsible for the rains and severe weather will bring additional heavy rains of 1 - 3 inches over portions of the Missouri River watershed today, and will touch off a new round of severe weather today and Wednesday as the storm progresses slowly eastwards. However, the Storm Prediction Center is issuing only their "Slight Risk" forecast for severe weather for both days.

Figure 2. Radar reflectivity image of a supercell thunderstorm with a classic hook echo. The storm spawned a tornado that hit Elm Creek, Nebraska yesterday. The tornado ripped the roofs off of several houses and tore down power lines.
The Atlantic is quiet
The Atlantic is quiet, with no tropical cyclones predicted over the next seven days by the reliable computer models.
Jeff Masters
Reader Comments
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Bloody well QUIT TYPING IN ALL CAPS. It's annoying as all heck, and nearly unintelligible inre quick extraction of relevant data.
It makes the NWS and the NHC look like a buncha RAVING LUNATICS.
And the "international treaty obligations" excuse doesn't wash. Nothing in the treaty says they hafta print on the Web what they broadcast for teletype.
Heck I doubt that there's enough all-caps teletypes left in the world to make it worthwhile to repair them rather than replace them with modern equipment, let alone broadcast to them.
Is climate change raising sea levels, as Al Gore has argued -- or are climate scientists doctoring the data?
The University of Colorado’s Sea Level Research Group decided in May to add 0.3 millimeters -- or about the thickness of a fingernail -- every year to its actual measurements of sea levels, sparking criticism from experts who called it an attempt to exaggerate the effects of global warming.
Read more: http://www.foxnews.com/scitech/2011/06/17/research -center-under-fire-for-adjusted-sea-level-data/#ix zz1Ph20wPD6
* Landslides (1 injured)
* Heavy rain
* Winds ripping off roofs of houses
* Few cars swept out to sea
* Roundabout swept out by flood waters
Seems typical of a high-end Category 1 hurricane/low-end Category 2 hurricane.
Happy Summer! :)
The high pressure is coming from the ridge to its north, not from the Pacific, at least not entirely.
Precisely how many times do you guys hafta prove that you don't read this blog?
And how many times do you hafta prove that ya don't understand the article that you keep reposting?
I hope you are right. Pinellas county has had about 16% of June's rainfall so far.
What's to misunderstand about artificially increasing sea levels?
High pressure doesn't get pumped into an area. High pressure builds into an area as a result of the displacement of low pressure.
Yeah, how complicated can this climate science stuff possibly be...?
/sarcasm
Tropical cyclones, no matter what the strength, will always weaken if caught within a stratocumulus cloud deck since stratocumulus clouds are the classic signature of a very stable, cooler atmosphere.
morning Kitty Car
Thanks for the in-depth answer. You really made your case. I stand corrected.
thats interesting. so why would a high just stick in one place all summer? they must be able to squeeze a low out of the way:0
Its been raining off and on past 4 days with over 5 inches measured.
A cool 90 today so far. I saw a cloud. :|
GFS 06Z 384 H
I know don't really trust models after five day yes I know but I am just pointing out we could (if this pans out) see a burst of activity in that time frame
plus the 12Z run still showing
GFS 12Z 384 H
Possible tropical cyclone formation in the Western Caribbean and the Gulf of Mexico
This biased article gets posted in this blog every day, and gets shot down with reality and facts every day, and the next day someone else finds this blog and reposts the same article again....
Indeed. I believe the following sums it up nicely:
;-)
yeah i have noticed for the past 2 weeks its been calling for a storm to hit la/ms and its always on the weekend:(
nice
Celia was at 80 knots (90 mph), Blas at 30 knots (35 mph). Darby is the 40%-er.
The smoke here in Jackosnville is just absolutely suffocating. What a miserable day to deal with it I can assure all of you of that. The smoke plus upper 90s heat is really miserable.
High pressure usually sticks around in one place during the summer months due to the fact that low pressure systems usually brought into an area by the jet stream remain to the north, thus not able to shift the high pressure ridge.
Stratocumulus clouds typically form where high pressure and cooler surface and/or water exist. Pressure either rises or builds with high pressure and either falls or deepens with low pressure.
The decision to retire will allow Kelly to spend more time with his family, and to continue to focus on his wife's recovery, he said.
"As life takes unexpected turns we frequently come to a crossroads," Kelly said. "I am at this point today. Gabrielle is working hard every day on her mission of recovery. I want to be by her side. Stepping aside from my work in the Navy and at NASA will allow me to be with her and with my two daughters. I love them all very much and there is no doubt that we will move forward together. After some time off, I will look at new opportunities and am hopeful that one day I will again serve our country.
UGH!!
Nice article.
can u post the link to that NOGAP model
I reserve in-depth answers for honest questions.
...BEATRIZ WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL STORM...ALL COASTAL WARNINGS DISCONTINUED...
11:00 AM PDT Tue Jun 21
Location: 19.2°N 106.4°W
Max sustained: 70 mph
Moving: W at 14 mph
Min pressure: 988 mb
Mean trough in the mid-section looks to pull everything closer to land this year. I second the concern.....
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