Hurricane Beatriz slams into Mexico; heavy rains, tornadoes hit the Midwest
Hurricane Beatriz plowed into the Pacific coast of Mexico near La Fortuna this morning as a Category 1 hurricane with 90 mph winds, bringing very heavy rains and mudslides to a 200-mile stretch of coast. Acapulco reported 5.20" of rain yesterday, and one injury due to a falling free. Hurricane-force winds extend outwards 25 miles from the center of Beatriz, and these winds are likely to cause moderate damage along a 200-mile stretch of the Mexican coast today as the storm moves northwestwards towards Cabo Corrientes. However, the primary threat from the storm will be heavy rain, and the expected rains of 6 - 12" are likely to cause very dangerous flooding and mudslides today and Wednesday morning. Satellite loops reveal that Beatriz weakened significantly over the past few hours, once the eye moved over land. The mountainous terrain of coastal Mexico will continue to tear up the storm today, and Beatriz will likely be a weak tropical storm by the time it moves back out to sea on Wednesday.
Figure 1. Morning satellite image of Hurricane Beatriz over the Pacific coast of Mexico taken at 9:30am EDT June 21, 2011. Image credit: NASA/GSFC.
Tornadoes, heavy rain slam the Midwest
Severe thunderstorms rumbled through a wide section of the Midwest yesterday, generating numerous tornadoes, baseball-sized hail, and heavy flooding rains. The storm also brought heavy snow to the mountains of Colorado above 9,500 feet, an unusual occurrence for so late in June. NOAA's Storm Prediction Center logged 43 preliminary tornado reports yesterday in Nebraska, Kansas, Iowa, Texas, and North Dakota. The tornadoes mostly avoided populated areas, and only sporadic damage was reported. Perhaps the most significant impact of the storm was the large area of 1 - 4 inches of rain it dropped on Nebraska and South Dakota. This rain will run off into the Missouri River, further aggravating the flooding that has breached two levees and overtopped two other levees in the past week. The large, slow-moving low pressure system responsible for the rains and severe weather will bring additional heavy rains of 1 - 3 inches over portions of the Missouri River watershed today, and will touch off a new round of severe weather today and Wednesday as the storm progresses slowly eastwards. However, the Storm Prediction Center is issuing only their "Slight Risk" forecast for severe weather for both days.
Figure 2. Radar reflectivity image of a supercell thunderstorm with a classic hook echo. The storm spawned a tornado that hit Elm Creek, Nebraska yesterday. The tornado ripped the roofs off of several houses and tore down power lines.
The Atlantic is quiet
The Atlantic is quiet, with no tropical cyclones predicted over the next seven days by the reliable computer models.
Jeff Masters
Reader Comments
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A TROPICAL WAVE MOVED OFF THE WEST COAST OF AFRICA THIS EARLY
AFTERNOON...NOW ANALYZED FROM 16N17W TO 10N18W MOVING W AT ABOUT
10-15 KT. THIS WAVE COINCIDES WITH A SURGE OF DEEP MOISTURE
EVIDENT ON TOTAL PRECIPITABLE WATER IMAGERY. A BROAD AREA OF
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION SURROUNDS THE WAVE E OF 22W FROM
5N-15N.
Buckle up.
I have a spot on the side of the house where the roof and the garage's roof make a funnel. I had to had rocks the size of throw pillows at the "impact point" to keep from the stream digging a cavern in the yard during rainy season. The hard part would be dredging the roof shingle "gravel" out of the bottom of the barrel.
A neighbor told me Sam's Club had rain barrels for $40, which is less than half the price I saw last year, but no idea how big they are.
I think Shary was the result of a disturbance interacting with an ULL, I'm just basing that off pure memory.
Are they at risk for severe weather ie hail tornados
yes they are
That was more the NHC than Grace. They made an error and didn't recognise it for a while. However, Grace was more of a novelty than anything.
The drought of United States majors is quite interesting. There have been periods of 3-5 years of no majors (take 1999-2004 as an example, from Bret to Charley), but not longer (unless you descend into hurricane antiquity, maybe). If the trend continues, I'm sure no-one would complain.
That's crazy how a system can develop that far NE, I remember everyone being puzzled by Vince in 2005.
Too much said. But an old man deserves a rant now and then.
In a deep booming voice,as in MGM etc, all that Ben Hur, 10 commandments! stuff!
''Thou shalt not be amazed!,''{no:-11?}
Sort of an 11th commandment for the weather predictors and analyzers!
I think this will be the the watchwords/statements of the mid to tail end of this season as Keeper says,''its early days yet!''
Yes, it is a very welcome site for them no doubt.
The entire post was well-put, Shen. Exactly what I would've said, had I had such linguistic prowness.
The seatbelts always stay fastened, Pat. Just sometimes they;re a little tighter than others.
warfighter at 144 hrs 18z run
Expect unusually heavy rain intensity, I'm sure you won't mind!
Good to see, hope it persists and helps other areas as well, these folks surely need it!
That'll work, Keeper. Prove me wrong and bring the south some rain. That includes Texas.
warfighter 156 hrs 18z run
Empty lake, empty streets, the sun goes down alone.
Another hot day in South Florida. It got to 97 and no rain expected until Friday.
So as I end this, everyone is talking about certain areas getting rain, and who needs it. The sad thing is that most of the areas that need rain, will be the ones who will be getting hit by large systems this year. Climatology wise, if you look at years past, the areas that got slammed with major storms were in drought regiments and had their droughts ended the hard way. I hate to say that, but thats unfortunately what South Florida may be looking at or even Texas, because our own rainy season seems always to collide with Hurricanes.
Radar Link
Severe Thunderstorm Warning
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
ILC037-043-063-089-093-099-103-197-220130-
/O.NEW.KLOT.SV.W.0104.110622T0031Z-110622T0130Z/
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
731 PM CDT TUE JUN 21 2011
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CHICAGO HAS ISSUED A
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
SOUTHERN DE KALB COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL ILLINOIS...
WESTERN DUPAGE COUNTY IN NORTHEAST ILLINOIS...
GRUNDY COUNTY IN NORTHEAST ILLINOIS...
KANE COUNTY IN NORTHEAST ILLINOIS...
KENDALL COUNTY IN NORTHEAST ILLINOIS...
NORTHEASTERN LA SALLE COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL ILLINOIS...
EAST CENTRAL LEE COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL ILLINOIS...
NORTHWESTERN WILL COUNTY IN NORTHEAST ILLINOIS...
* UNTIL 830 PM CDT
* AT 730 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DESTRUCTIVE
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS IN EXCESS OF 80 MPH. THESE STORMS WERE
LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM PAW PAW TO LELAND TO SERENA TO
6 MILES EAST OF STREATOR...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR...
SOMONAUK AND SENECA AROUND 740 PM CDT.
SHABBONA...SANDWICH AND NEWARK AROUND 745 PM CDT.
LITTLE ROCK...WATERMAN AND HINCKLEY AROUND 750 PM CDT.
PLANO AROUND 755 PM CDT.
DE KALB...YORKVILLE...MORRIS AND MAZON AROUND 800 PM CDT.
CORTLAND AND SUGAR GROVE AROUND 805 PM CDT.
OTHER LOCATIONS IMPACTED BY THESE SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS INCLUDE LEE...
MILLINGTON...KINSMAN...VERONA...LISBON...CARBON HILL...BOULDER
HILL...CRYSTAL LAWNS...SOUTH ELGIN AND CREST HILL.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
THESE STORMS HAVE A HISTORY OF PRODUCING WIDESPREAD WIND DAMAGE.
THIS IS AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS SITUATION. INTENSE SQUALL LINES CAN
OCCASSIONALY PRODUCE BRIEF TORNADOES IN ADDITION TO THE WIDESPREAD
SIGNIFICANT WIND DAMAGE. FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR
ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF YOUR HOME OR BUSINESS. THIS STORM HAS
THE POTENTIAL TO CAUSE SERIOUS INJURY AND SIGNIFICANT DAMAGE TO
PROPERTY.
Gotta get the rain further south or further west. NE Texas doesn't really need the rain. This area does need rain however, but it's right on the border of what needs it and what doesn't.
Drought is a cycle. Unfortunately, we rely on the hurricanes to bring us the rain in this type of situation.
I.E. 2004. It was a very dry start, and then along came Charley, Frances, Ivan, and Jeanne.
All major models are showing development both in the BOC and in the western caribbean. Both showing some form of Arlene next week. The NOGAPS has a literal bomb off the coast of New Orleans while the others develop something in the BOC.
And even though they did some good in getting rid of the drought that Northern Florida was in, some of those areas took a couple years to get over that strike. So looking at it from both sides, both the drought seasons and hurricane seasons cycle back and forth and most of the time meet in the middle as the saying goes.
warfighter nogaps 180 hrs 18z run
Link
Well, we won't necessarily need tropical cyclones to start the cycle at all. Historically, most rain during the wet season does not fall from tropical cyclones, they aren't frequent enough to be incorporated into Florida's history of being a wet climate. We just lie in a region that can experience intense periods of torrential rain as well as intense drought because the tropical climate dries out easily when its not in the rain season. Its part of living in the subtropics.
A large pattern change is finally occurring, the future only looks better from here on out. The forecast calls for at or above average rain for July, August and September, and above average in the rain season could mean absolutely drenching at times.
Keep in mind, as horrible as it seems, this is a pattern that has occurred in Florida at times before, very dry in spring all the way into June, which eventually transitions into a very active rain season later on, which can persist into October.
Now, the one bad thing about this, is that a very dry spring and late start to the wet season historically does favor hurricane landfalls in Florida. But hey, nature owned Florida before we barged in so that's the price to pay if we want to live here. Personally, never ending drought is far scarier then a hurricanes, but maybe that's just because I'm a weather freak and I love thunderstorms but hate dry and fair weather patterns.
I also love tropical jungles and nature, so whenever it rains, I know wild life rejoices.
Finally, it's raining dogs and cats and DEER!
True. And there is an old saying that Grothar mentioned not too long ago. He said that his elders told him when it was a very dry April and May, South Florida would be struck by major hurricanes. 2004 was a perfect example, and 2007 could have been another perfect example, but thankfully for South Florida, Dean and Felix stayed to the south into the Caribbean.
Falls Creek in Victoria is hit by a blizzard.
Welcome to snowy Orange
snow falling in the main street of Orange
Railway line at Nashdale near Orange covered in snow
Where did my ball go???
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