Deadly tornadoes rip OK, KS, and AR; high tornado risk today; Joplin tornado an EF-5
America's deadliest tornado season since 1953 continued its relentless onslaught of violent tornadoes yesterday. Numerous destructive and deadly tornadoes raked Oklahoma, Texas, Kansas, and Arkansas, killing at least nine people. Yesterday's deadliest tornado hit El Reno and Piedmont, Oklahoma, about 30 miles to the west and northwest of Oklahoma City. Four people died, and one child is missing. Video of the damage from this tornado near the town of Piedmont shot by a news9.com helicopter shows damage characteristic of an EF-4 tornado, with many homes completely demolished and swept off their foundations. This tornado produced a wind gust of 151 mph at an Oklahoma Mesonet station in El Reno, Oklahoma.
Figure 1. Radar reflectivity image of the supercell thunderstorm that spawned the Piedmont, Oklahoma tornado that killed at least four people about 30 miles northwest of Oklahoma City.
Figure 2. Doppler velocity image of the supercell thunderstorm that spawned the Piedmont, Oklahoma tornado.
Figure 3. Top wind gusts recorded by the Oklahoma Mesonet yesterday showed that over 2/3 of the state received gusts of 40 mph or greater, and ten stations got gusts in excess of 58 mph (the definition of a severe thunderstorm.) A remarkable gust of 151 mph was recorded in El Reno, about 30 miles west of Oklahoma City.
Video 1. Chase video of the 1/2-mile wide tornado that killed four people in Canadian/Caddo Counties about 30 miles northwest of Oklahoma City on Tuesday, May 24, 2011.
Joplin, Missouri got a scare last night when Doppler radar showed a rotating thunderstorm approaching the city from the southwest. A tornado warning was issued and the sirens sounded, but the storm passed just to the northwest of the city, bringing Joplin only heavy rains, wind gusts to 41 mph, and intense lightning. A tornado warning forced the evacuation of NOAA's Storm Prediction Center (SPC) in Norman Oklahoma late yesterday afternoon, and the center was out of commission for a 50-minute period. However, yesterday's dangerous tornadoes missed the most heavily populated areas of Oklahoma, and SPC was able to resume normal activity after the storms cleared Oklahoma City. The center logged 47 reports of tornadoes yesterday, bringing the preliminary 4-day total of the current outbreak to 153 twisters. With more tornadoes expected today over a wide swath of the country from Arkansas to Ohio, this week's tornado outbreak is likely to rank as one of the top ten tornado outbreaks in history. This year already has the two largest tornado outbreaks in history, the April 25 - 28 outbreak (327 tornadoes) and the April 14 - 16 outbreak (162 tornadoes.)
This year's tornado death toll is in the 495 - 499 range, making it the deadliest year for tornadoes in the U.S. since 1953, when 519 people died. That year, three heavily populated cities received direct hits by violent tornadoes. Waco, Texas (114 killed), Flint, Michigan (115 killed), and Worcester, Massachusetts (90 killed) all were hit by violent F-4 or F-5 tornadoes. A similar bad tornado year occurred in 1936, when violent tornadoes hit Tupelo Mississippi (216 killed), and Gainesville, Georgia (203 killed.)
Figure 4. Satellite image taken at 22:32 UTC (6:32pm EDT) May 24, 2011, showing a line of tornadic thunderstorms over Oklahoma, Texas, and Kansas. Image credit: NASA/GSFC.
Figure 5. Radar image of an unusual "J"-shaped tendril emerging from a tornadic thunderstorm near Dallas, Texas. This storm had unusually high radar reflectivity (note the pink colors of 70 dbZ echoes), because of large hail in the storm. This thunderstorm produced softball-sized hail (4.5 inch diameter.)
Video 2. Chase video of several Oklahoma tornadoes intercepted yesterday by Reed Timmer of tornadovideos.net.
The Joplin tornado an EF-5, and the costliest tornado in history
The Springfield, Missouri office of the National Weather Service announced yesterday that storm surveys of the 7-mile long, 3/4 mile-wide path of damage carved by the Joplin tornado revealed that winds in the violent tornado exceeded 200 mph, making it the 4th EF-5 tornado of the year. The twister roared through Joplin beginning at 5:41pm CDT on Sunday, May 22. In nine terrifying minutes, the tornado killed at least 125 people, injured 750 more, and destroyed 2,000 buildings. NOAA's Storm Prediction Center (SPC) rates this year's Joplin tornado as the 8th deadliest U.S. tornado of all-time, and the deadliest since at least 1947, when a violent F-5 tornado hit Woodward, Oklahoma, killing 181.
Catastrophe risk modeling firm EQECAT said yesterday that insured damages from the Joplin tornado could be between $1 billion and $3 billion dollars. According to NOAA's National Severe Storm Laboratory, the costliest tornado between 1890 - 1999 was the May 3, 1999 Oklahoma City tornado, which did $1 billion in damage (1999 dollars.) There were no tornadoes during the period 2000 - 2010 capable of causing $1 billion in damage; the only two EF-5 tornadoes during that period, the 2007 Greensburg, Kansas tornado and the 2008 Parkersburg, Iowa tornado each did less than $300 million in damage. Thus, with the possible exception of this year's Tuscaloosa-Birmingham tornado of April 27, the Joplin tornado is probably the most damaging tornado of all-time.
Another "High Risk" day for severe weather and violent tornadoes today
The Storm Prediction Center has placed portions of seven states, from Arkansas to Indiana, in their "High Risk" region for severe weather potential, and warn of the potential for long-lived strong or violent tornadoes. This is their second consecutive "High Risk" forecast day, and fourth of the year. A high risk forecast was also issued on April 27, which was the busiest tornado day in world history, with 198 tornadoes occurring in a 24-hour period. Over 300 people died. The other "High Risk" forecast by SPC came during the final day of the April 14 - 16 outbreak over the Southeast U.S. Fifty-two tornadoes hit that day, and 26 people died in North Carolina and Virginia. The severe weather threat will diminish considerably on Thursday, when only a slight risk of severe weather is expected from Alabama to New York.
Figure 5. Severe weather threat for Wednesday, May 25, 2011.
Joplin tornado the 7th U.S. billion-dollar weather disaster of 2011
The Joplin tornado is the 7th U.S. weather disaster of 2011 costing more than a billion dollars. With hurricane season still to come, 2011 has an excellent chance of beating 2008's record of nine billion-dollar weather disasters. The billion dollar weather disasters of 2011 so far:
1) 2011 Groundhog Day's blizzard ($1- $4 billion)
2) April 3 -5 Southeast U.S. severe weather outbreak ($2 billion)
3) April 8 - 11 severe weather outbreak ($2.25 billion)
4) April 25 - 28 super tornado outbreak ($3.5 - $6 billion)
5) Mississippi River flood of 2011 ($9 billion)
6) Texas drought ($1.2 billion)
7) Joplin tornado ($1 - $3 billion)
Links
The New York Times has an interactive tornado fatality map showing how this year's killer tornadoes have mostly clustered over the Southeast U.S., with the glaring exception of the Joplin, Missouri tornado.
NOAA's Visualization Laboratory has an impressive animation of the satellite imagery during the month of April, showing the locations of all the tornadoes as they happened.
Helping out tornado victims
For those who want to lend a helping hand to those impacted by the widespread destruction this month's severe weather has brought, stop by the Red Cross website, or portlight.org blog. Portlight has been very active bringing aid to the victims of this year's tornadoes.
Jeff Masters
The storm in Joplin Mo. before destruction
Much clearer view of it as it roped out (
vortecguy)
Reader Comments
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Absolutely amazing that they survived. If they had not gone into the cooler, they likely would have added to the already incredible death toll.
I had all these problems on IE. Switched to Chrome and it works fine.
Junky, your mailto didn't take...
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0953
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1018 AM CDT WED MAY 25 2011
AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS OF SERN MO...NERN AR...SRN IL/IND...WRN
KY/TN
CONCERNING...OUTLOOK UPGRADE
VALID 251518Z - 251615Z
AN EXPANSION OF THE CATEGORICAL HIGH RISK WILL OCCUR WITH THE
UPDATED DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AT 1630Z FOR A POTENTIAL MAJOR
TORNADO OUTBREAK. THIS WILL LIKELY INCLUDE ADDITIONAL PORTIONS OF
SERN MO...NERN AR...SRN IL/IND...AND WRN KY/TN. PLEASE SEE THE
FORTHCOMING DAY 1 OUTLOOK THAT WILL BE ISSUED BY 1630Z FOR FURTHER
METEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION.
..GRAMS.. 05/25/2011
ATTN...WFO...LMK...OHX...IND...PAH...ILX...MEG...L SX...LZK...
SGF...
LAT...LON 36489109 35259121 35009056 35039188 36839223 38329088
39138900 39718639 38988596 38188579 36618695 35618845
36298807 37288738 38418719 38708820 37718992 36489109
Wait till the hurricane season gets into full swing. That'll keep you awake.
Haha. I'm in the opposite end of the spectrum. My parents are in Kentucky, and I always inform them of severe weather headed their way. They had 60mph winds Monday night, and may get more tonight and tomorrow.
While I'm down here in a drought, they've been getting so much rain that the fields are too wet to cut. The major concern is that the seeds on top will get so heavy that the grass will bend over and not be able to be cut properly. This time last year, they were already getting green onions and radishes out of their garden, but haven't even been able to plant their garden yet this year.
Warning to all newbies: It gets crazy on here during hurricane season.
Of course it has to come from somewhere else...the inference here, given Cantor's voting record, is that he wants it to come from other people in need.
Let's just leave it at that: his statement is poorly timed, asinine, politically convenient and blatantly obvious.
Start? I suggest if you don't drink now to get a good running start at it...it'll surely come in handy later
Just a heartbreaking situation the past week.....Hope folks have serious shelter plans in place just in case.
People come on asking if a newly formed system off the coast of Africa is going to hit Miami as a cat 4.
True. Over 3,000 miles away.
(Though, clearly, actual fact checking goes on in here most of the time.)
I've already started getting warmed up. Even made a new drink for this season. hehe
I have always gotten up at 5 AM each day my whole life
natural born grandpapa
SEL0
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 370
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1110 AM CDT WED MAY 25 2011
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTHERN ILLINOIS
SOUTHERN INDIANA
WESTERN AND CENTRAL KENTUCKY
EASTERN MISSOURI
EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY MORNING AND EVENING FROM 1110 AM UNTIL
900 PM CDT.
...THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION...
DESTRUCTIVE TORNADOES...LARGE HAIL TO 3 INCHES IN DIAMETER...
THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE
POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 75 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 45 MILES WEST OF FARMINGTON
MISSOURI TO 40 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF LOUISVILLE KENTUCKY. FOR
A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 367...WW 368...WW 369...
DISCUSSION...AN OUTBREAK OF TORNADOES --SOME POTENTIALLY STRONG TO
VIOLENT AND LONG-TRACKED-- IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE WATCH AREA TODAY
IN ASSOCIATION WITH MULTIPLE WAVES OF SUPERCELLS. THE COMBINATION
OF A VERY MOIST BOUNDARY LAYER AND DAYTIME HEATING WILL CONTRIBUTE
TO A BROAD...MODERATELY TO STRONGLY UNSTABLE WARM SECTOR WITH MLCAPE
VALUES OF 1500-3500 J/KG. THIS INSTABILITY WILL COINCIDE WITH 50-60
KT OF DEEP SWLY SHEAR AND EFFECTIVE SRH OF 300-500 M2/S2...RESULTING
IN A VOLATILE ENVIRONMENT QUITE FAVORABLE FOR LONG-LIVED SUPERCELLS.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 3 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
600. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035.
...MEAD
WOW! OMG!!
I just came on.
Should I board up?
lol....yeah...throw in the shower curtain too.
Good morning Ella! How are you?
:)
It's coming down nice and gentle here, for the past hour or so.
Maybe 1/2" or so today.
Very nice!
Good morning, pottery! Were your ears burning earlier?
Post 83.
WOOOOW!!!!!
I clicked on "impressive pictures" and ended up with a screwed up wu.
Er, no!
Do I need to read back?
Sounds so.
Good Morning Floodman. Fingers crossed the Philippines only get a little rain and a little wind from this System, I have a feeling it's going to be a long season for them. The last time we had such a strong La Nina was in 1973-4, This is what the 1974 Typhoon season was like.
Seems like as the blog heats up...we will be Inside a tornado here, specially in september,
No, actually it was a conversation I had with presslord this morning on the phone. Good things were said, I can assure you...well, there was mention made of the bottle of rum, the carload of cheerleaders and the goat, but I pointed out that nothing was ever proven
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