Deadly tornadoes rip OK, KS, and AR; high tornado risk today; Joplin tornado an EF-5
America's deadliest tornado season since 1953 continued its relentless onslaught of violent tornadoes yesterday. Numerous destructive and deadly tornadoes raked Oklahoma, Texas, Kansas, and Arkansas, killing at least nine people. Yesterday's deadliest tornado hit El Reno and Piedmont, Oklahoma, about 30 miles to the west and northwest of Oklahoma City. Four people died, and one child is missing. Video of the damage from this tornado near the town of Piedmont shot by a news9.com helicopter shows damage characteristic of an EF-4 tornado, with many homes completely demolished and swept off their foundations. This tornado produced a wind gust of 151 mph at an Oklahoma Mesonet station in El Reno, Oklahoma.
Figure 1. Radar reflectivity image of the supercell thunderstorm that spawned the Piedmont, Oklahoma tornado that killed at least four people about 30 miles northwest of Oklahoma City.
Figure 2. Doppler velocity image of the supercell thunderstorm that spawned the Piedmont, Oklahoma tornado.
Figure 3. Top wind gusts recorded by the Oklahoma Mesonet yesterday showed that over 2/3 of the state received gusts of 40 mph or greater, and ten stations got gusts in excess of 58 mph (the definition of a severe thunderstorm.) A remarkable gust of 151 mph was recorded in El Reno, about 30 miles west of Oklahoma City.
Video 1. Chase video of the 1/2-mile wide tornado that killed four people in Canadian/Caddo Counties about 30 miles northwest of Oklahoma City on Tuesday, May 24, 2011.
Joplin, Missouri got a scare last night when Doppler radar showed a rotating thunderstorm approaching the city from the southwest. A tornado warning was issued and the sirens sounded, but the storm passed just to the northwest of the city, bringing Joplin only heavy rains, wind gusts to 41 mph, and intense lightning. A tornado warning forced the evacuation of NOAA's Storm Prediction Center (SPC) in Norman Oklahoma late yesterday afternoon, and the center was out of commission for a 50-minute period. However, yesterday's dangerous tornadoes missed the most heavily populated areas of Oklahoma, and SPC was able to resume normal activity after the storms cleared Oklahoma City. The center logged 47 reports of tornadoes yesterday, bringing the preliminary 4-day total of the current outbreak to 153 twisters. With more tornadoes expected today over a wide swath of the country from Arkansas to Ohio, this week's tornado outbreak is likely to rank as one of the top ten tornado outbreaks in history. This year already has the two largest tornado outbreaks in history, the April 25 - 28 outbreak (327 tornadoes) and the April 14 - 16 outbreak (162 tornadoes.)
This year's tornado death toll is in the 495 - 499 range, making it the deadliest year for tornadoes in the U.S. since 1953, when 519 people died. That year, three heavily populated cities received direct hits by violent tornadoes. Waco, Texas (114 killed), Flint, Michigan (115 killed), and Worcester, Massachusetts (90 killed) all were hit by violent F-4 or F-5 tornadoes. A similar bad tornado year occurred in 1936, when violent tornadoes hit Tupelo Mississippi (216 killed), and Gainesville, Georgia (203 killed.)
Figure 4. Satellite image taken at 22:32 UTC (6:32pm EDT) May 24, 2011, showing a line of tornadic thunderstorms over Oklahoma, Texas, and Kansas. Image credit: NASA/GSFC.
Figure 5. Radar image of an unusual "J"-shaped tendril emerging from a tornadic thunderstorm near Dallas, Texas. This storm had unusually high radar reflectivity (note the pink colors of 70 dbZ echoes), because of large hail in the storm. This thunderstorm produced softball-sized hail (4.5 inch diameter.)
Video 2. Chase video of several Oklahoma tornadoes intercepted yesterday by Reed Timmer of tornadovideos.net.
The Joplin tornado an EF-5, and the costliest tornado in history
The Springfield, Missouri office of the National Weather Service announced yesterday that storm surveys of the 7-mile long, 3/4 mile-wide path of damage carved by the Joplin tornado revealed that winds in the violent tornado exceeded 200 mph, making it the 4th EF-5 tornado of the year. The twister roared through Joplin beginning at 5:41pm CDT on Sunday, May 22. In nine terrifying minutes, the tornado killed at least 125 people, injured 750 more, and destroyed 2,000 buildings. NOAA's Storm Prediction Center (SPC) rates this year's Joplin tornado as the 8th deadliest U.S. tornado of all-time, and the deadliest since at least 1947, when a violent F-5 tornado hit Woodward, Oklahoma, killing 181.
Catastrophe risk modeling firm EQECAT said yesterday that insured damages from the Joplin tornado could be between $1 billion and $3 billion dollars. According to NOAA's National Severe Storm Laboratory, the costliest tornado between 1890 - 1999 was the May 3, 1999 Oklahoma City tornado, which did $1 billion in damage (1999 dollars.) There were no tornadoes during the period 2000 - 2010 capable of causing $1 billion in damage; the only two EF-5 tornadoes during that period, the 2007 Greensburg, Kansas tornado and the 2008 Parkersburg, Iowa tornado each did less than $300 million in damage. Thus, with the possible exception of this year's Tuscaloosa-Birmingham tornado of April 27, the Joplin tornado is probably the most damaging tornado of all-time.
Another "High Risk" day for severe weather and violent tornadoes today
The Storm Prediction Center has placed portions of seven states, from Arkansas to Indiana, in their "High Risk" region for severe weather potential, and warn of the potential for long-lived strong or violent tornadoes. This is their second consecutive "High Risk" forecast day, and fourth of the year. A high risk forecast was also issued on April 27, which was the busiest tornado day in world history, with 198 tornadoes occurring in a 24-hour period. Over 300 people died. The other "High Risk" forecast by SPC came during the final day of the April 14 - 16 outbreak over the Southeast U.S. Fifty-two tornadoes hit that day, and 26 people died in North Carolina and Virginia. The severe weather threat will diminish considerably on Thursday, when only a slight risk of severe weather is expected from Alabama to New York.
Figure 5. Severe weather threat for Wednesday, May 25, 2011.
Joplin tornado the 7th U.S. billion-dollar weather disaster of 2011
The Joplin tornado is the 7th U.S. weather disaster of 2011 costing more than a billion dollars. With hurricane season still to come, 2011 has an excellent chance of beating 2008's record of nine billion-dollar weather disasters. The billion dollar weather disasters of 2011 so far:
1) 2011 Groundhog Day's blizzard ($1- $4 billion)
2) April 3 -5 Southeast U.S. severe weather outbreak ($2 billion)
3) April 8 - 11 severe weather outbreak ($2.25 billion)
4) April 25 - 28 super tornado outbreak ($3.5 - $6 billion)
5) Mississippi River flood of 2011 ($9 billion)
6) Texas drought ($1.2 billion)
7) Joplin tornado ($1 - $3 billion)
Links
The New York Times has an interactive tornado fatality map showing how this year's killer tornadoes have mostly clustered over the Southeast U.S., with the glaring exception of the Joplin, Missouri tornado.
NOAA's Visualization Laboratory has an impressive animation of the satellite imagery during the month of April, showing the locations of all the tornadoes as they happened.
Helping out tornado victims
For those who want to lend a helping hand to those impacted by the widespread destruction this month's severe weather has brought, stop by the Red Cross website, or portlight.org blog. Portlight has been very active bringing aid to the victims of this year's tornadoes.
Jeff Masters
The storm in Joplin Mo. before destruction
Much clearer view of it as it roped out (
vortecguy)
Reader Comments
Page: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 — Blog Index
3:14 AM, May. 26,
There's not as much Mississippi River floodwater entering the Atchafalaya Basin today.
The U.S. Army Corps of Engineers started closing gates on the Morganza Spillway control structure Tuesday, leaving floodwater passing through only 14 of its 125 gates by Wednesday evening.
http://www.theadvertiser.com/article/20110526/NEW S01/105260321
Link
This is a stretch....NOGAPS @ 144 hours....
Radar just drying up.....
Good morning all
The ECMWF is also picking up on a system in the W Caribbean at the 168 hour mark. Here is the 850 vort map
There will be a nice little TUTT in place on the east coast for much of next week.
A mostly quiet day for Tornados today?
86f here already. Going to be another steamy one.
1/2" rain yesterday was real nice.
Sending some for you, KMan!
a better day all around time for the clean up
Every little drop appreciated !
I emailed our local weather service for those rainfall stats from 1957 and they promised to get back to me today with the info. I intend to split it out into below and above average rainfall in the NW Caribbean between 1st Nov. and May 31st from inception and see if there is any correlation to TC activity in the season that follows. I will be looking not only for overall activity but when each season saw the first system in the Caribbean for the year.
If I understand correctly, TUTTs aid in tropical cyclone genesis and intensification, so thats not a good set up at all, correct?
Nice!
Would love to see that.
okay thanks!
Wow, those storm chasers are getting close!
I hope the fancy armored vehicles keep them safe.
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #49
TYPHOON SONGDA (T1102)
21:00 PM JST May 26 2011
==================================
SUBJECT: Category Five Typhoon In Sea East Of Philippines
At 12:00 PM UTC, Typhoon Songda (920 hPa) located at 16.2N 125.1E has 10 minute sustained winds of 105 knots with gusts of 150 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving northwest at 9 knots.
Storm Force Winds
==================
70 NM from the center
Gale Force Winds
===============
160 NM from the center
Dvorak Intensity: T6.5
Forecast And Intensity
=======================
24 HRS: 20.1N 123.4E - 105 knots (CAT 5/Very Intense Typhoon)
48 HRS: 24.6N 125.8E - 90 knots (CAT 4/Very Strong Typhoon)
72 HRS: 30.0N 131.0E - 65 knots (CAT 3/Strong Typhoon)
SUBJECTIVE FORECAST
SuperTY SONGDA 1102 (1102) INITIAL TIME 261200 UTC
00HR 16.2N 125.1E 910HPA 65M/S
30KTS 300KM
50KTS 120KM
P12HR NNW 20KM/H
P+24HR 20.2N 123.2E 910HPA 65M/S
P+48HR 25.5N 125.6E 940HPA 50M/S
---
130 knots on the 2 minute sustained winds scale from China Meteorological Administration
TCWC Jakarta satellite image from their page
Why hello there, stadium effect eyewall....
"The most likely number of tropical storms predicted to occur in the North Atlantic during the June to November period is 13, with a 70% chance that the number will be in the range 10 to 17. This represents near-normal activity relative to the 1980-2010 long-term average of 12.
"An ACE index of 151 is predicted as the most likely value, with a 70% chance that the index will be in the range 89 to 212, which is above normal relative to the 1980-2010 average of 104."
Viewing: 751 - 801
Page: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 — Blog Index