The Atlantic is quiet; Pakistan monsoon rains continue; last day of Russian heat wave
A tropical wave in the Caribbean near Jamaica is generating disorganized thunderstorm activity over the central Caribbean. Wind shear is a moderate 10 - 20 knots over the region, and water vapor satellite images show that there is some dry air to the west of Jamaica that will interfere with any development that might occur. None of the reliable computer models develop this wave.
The GFS, NOGAPS, and ECMWF continue to predict that a tropical storm will form between Africa and the Lesser Antilles Islands 3 - 7 days from now. A strong tropical wave currently moving off the coast of Africa is a good candidate for such a development. The NOGAPS model is predicting the development of a strong tropical disturbance near the coast of Honduras this weekend.

Figure 1. Extreme flooding along the Indus River in Pakistan has swollen the river to 16 miles (24 km) wide in sections, as seen in the top image from yesterday. For comparison, and image taken a year ago at this time in August (bottom image) shows that the Indus is normally just 1 - 2 km wide during monsoon season. Image credit: NASA Natural Hazards web site.
Extreme flooding and monsoon rains continue in Pakistan
In flood-ravaged Pakistan, heavy monsoon rains hit the Punjab region in the northeastern portion of the country yesterday, dropping up to 113 mm (4.45") of precipitation. The main river in Pakistan, the Indus, continues to cause extreme flooding, and has expanded to 16 miles (24 km) wide in some sections (Figure 1.) Dr. Ricky Rood, who writes our Climate Change Blog, has a sister that works in Pakistan. He has a must-read analysis of the catastrophe in Pakistan, "Pakistan: A Climate Disaster Case Study".
Moscow hits 93°F on the final day of the Great Russia Heat Wave of 2010
Temperatures at Moscow's Domodedovo airport hit 34°C (93°F) today, which is 13°C (22°F) above average. However, pressures are falling rapidly and winds are picking up out ouf the southwest in advance of a powerful cold front that promises to sweep through all of European Russia tonight, finally bringing an end to the Great Russian Heat Wave of 2010. The latest forecast for Moscow predicts Thursday's high will be just 21°C (69°F)--essentially average. With tonight's cold front will come rain to help put out the fires that continue to plague Russia with toxic smoke. Cool temperatures near of below average over the coming week will also help fire-fighting efforts.
Jeff Masters
Reader Comments
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There are people here (like me) who agree with you.
Unfortunately, in any popular blog, there will be attention-seekers and foolish posters.
Ignore them, and keep doing what you do.
It is appreciated..
I wonder if that is the wave over central Africa now?
Seems too quick?
And where are the others LOL
Go to my website so i can chat with you for a second.......please
96hrs it is out to 40W
that's a lot of west xD
Keeps moving west and it seems to be a strong TS
Stronger than last run, maybe the last run had some problems or rotten info?
Bro you are one of the good guys that have been on here during that time a well. You are truly appreciated and you always try to keep things civil when they get out of hand. And that i thank you for as a friend that you are.
LOL i just wanted to say that is seems to be moving west and sometimes a little bit southwest
No, I think it's the wave in the vicinity of the CV Islands. You know, the one we're watching now.
Thanks...
Keep your info coming.
Haha! No problem that was clear. :)
Those little wobbles to the south are worrying me a little, I do hope they dont happen.
25W, around 13N
OK. So not a lot of movement in 30 hrs then.
Slow is bad....
But the models drop that ?
Good to see you!
Nope that's the one the models are trying to develop, PGI31L.
OK, I am seeing that now.
I was confused...
Hey pottery....i've been very busy these days
That is one big and seems to be a very organized system in the middle of Africa.
No problem, this one has improved in appearance since yesterday and it should be spinning tomorrow if the models pan out and develop by Friday or Saturday.
edit: im a moron didnt realize they were posted since my last refresh many thanks
Me too!
I come here for Therapy LOL!
your not kidding wow
I'm getting it from here.
That is the one I was referring to, a couple mins ago.
Looks fearsome!
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