Dr. Jeff Masters' WunderBlog

Quoting FLWeatherFreak91:
Has this run been developing it from its current location?.... Or does it look like it's developing the one behind 93l?

This is 93L.

ah ok, but I think you were right, what goes into Haiti is the wave approaching the Islands now, not 93L


this what Haiti dos not need

Quoting IpswichWeatherCenter:


Why is everyone blaming this on BP when it wasn't just them.

Okay, I'm going to be sorry I did this...

Who decided to replace the drilling mud in the core with seawater?
Who disregarded the maintenance reports for the BOP?
Whose company man repeatedly over ruled the driller and the tool pusher in the three days prior to the blow out?

If your answer to any of these questions is anything other than BP, you fail and are required to reread the materials to pass this class

Quoting leelee75k:
Thanks patrap, that's exactly the type of things I'm looking for, didn't think of either one of those to have.

anyone else?

You can accomplish almost anything with zip ties and duct tape! Lots and lots of paper plates/bowls and plastic silverware.

93L is starting to look like a comma. "The wheels on the bus go round and round..."

http://euler.atmos.colostate.edu/~vigh/guidance/northatlantic/intensity_early1.png

Looking sacary

scary stuff taz.

if this wave keeps going the way its going we may have 94L be for day ends

Quoting Patrap:


Brown Shrimp are a species.

So are White Shrimp

And No Shrimp were oiled.

The closure is a precaution,,and everyone dosent get the closure area down to a specific degree.


Thus the warnings and no fine.

Well said, Pat...

AL, 93, 2010062118, , BEST, 0, 135N, 678W, 25, 1010, DB

looking at the current vis/rgb loops...please tell me im not already seeing low level rotation trying to get going around 14/67....and are we really having venting starting to take place on the north and east sides. this is retarded...there was nothing there last night at all...its amazing how conditions change so quickly...wow.

You all happy now. I got NOAA to change 92L to 93L on their site.

Quoting Tazmanian:
if this wave keeps going the way its going we may have 94L be for day ends

There's no way both will get spinnin' though so either 93l or 94l would develop, in that case.

We got nuff problems in the Bayou and Marsh ,..we dont need rumor and hearsay flying round Like DNA in a Soap Opera .

The wave behind 93L seems to be confusing the ECMWF, distorting the vorticity field by getting too close and slowing development of 93L's low center on the model.

Quoting Tazmanian:
ah ok, but I think you were right, what goes into Haiti is the wave approaching the Islands now, not 93L


this what Haiti dos not need

on the news this weekend i saw where they showed an aerial of haiti and all the trees from the hills were gone from the earthquake, so if a storm comes there will be nothing to prevent runoff. They said even one med size tree has the root system to absorb some unbelievable amount of water, i think they said like 60,000 gallons per tree. and without that, the water will just run down and make mudslides and flooding. cause there is nothing on the hills but dirt.

Quoting leelee75k:
thanks boyznme!

Another great suggestion and one I didn't think of.

"Old-fashioned" phone. The kind you plug into the jack but doesn't take electricity like those with answering machines. You may have no cell service and no power, but still have landline service.

NOLALawyer you have mail

Here is a ship report directly under 93L:


British Kestrel

Position N 12°48', W 066°42'.


Wind from 100 at 18 knots

Waves 1.5 meters (5 feet), 5 second period


Barometer 1010.3 mb
Air temperature 28.0 ° C
Visibility: greater than 5.4 NM
Dewpoint 23.7 ° C

Quoting Tazmanian:
if this wave keeps going the way its going we may have 94L be for day ends

NO WAY! NO WAY! IMO

Quoting animalrsq:


"Old-fashioned" phone. The kind you plug into the jack but doesn't take electricity like those with answering machines. You may have no cell service and no power, but still have landline service.

True dat..

My only Line out Post K was the Sound Powered Bell rotary Phone.

Quoting Gumbogator:
There are a bunch of bull sharks stirring off of Ft Morgan Ala chasing the bait fish thru the earl(oil) close to shore!! 93L is lurking in the weeds!!

sharkcaster!

Quoting Levi32:
The wave behind 93L seems to be confusing the ECMWF, distorting the vorticity field by getting too close and slowing development of 93L's low center on the model.

It's going a good 10 mph west faster than 93l is moving. They are going to pile up.

Quoting Tazmanian:
if this wave keeps going the way its going we may have 94L be for day ends

95 and 96L are looking good as well

Quoting kanc2001:


sharkcaster!

lol

Quoting winter123:

95 and 96L are looking good as well

95 and 96L???

Quoting Tazmanian:



95 and 96L???

It was a joke

Quoting RobbieLSU:
Hey everyone. Reporting from Panama City Beach, FL. Water is absolutely gorgeous. It's nice and warm too, like bath water. But not a speck of oil where we're at. Not even any June grass or any seaweed in the water. Pristine!

you must work for the TDC haha

Every frame on satellite looks better going to red at 8pm my bet.

Quoting winter123:

95 and 96L are looking good as well

Investcaster lol

Quoting animalrsq:


"Old-fashioned" phone. The kind you plug into the jack but doesn't take electricity like those with answering machines. You may have no cell service and no power, but still have landline service.

Landline? LOL I've never had landline.

Quoting Grothar:
You all happy now. I got NOAA to change 92L to 93L on their site.

They tend to respect the elderly more.....LMAO

Quoting tropicfreak:


Looking healthier and healthier by the minute, I can almost spot an "eye"

did you really just say that....thats a no no...lol...we are looking at an invest...you are possibly seeing a "LLC" LOL...

Look at the area around 14.25N, 68.75W

I see a vortex.

Quoting gordydunnot:
Every frame on satellite looks better going to red at 8pm my bet.

I can GUARANTEE you that won't happen. And there won't be any crow involved. They may up it a little bit, but not to red. These model runs that are coming out now will help determine how far they raise the probability.

Quoting Hurricanes101:


Investcaster lol

LOL

The model runs pretty much stink...

ECMWF 168...not wanting to recurve as much and weaker.

....

Quoting CaneWarning:


The guys should be thrown in jail. They endanger the lives of everyone who might have eaten their "brown" shrimp.

i felt it was they were desperately trying to sneak and make a living.

Actually, it looks to me like it's spinning off all kinds of little vortices.

Quoting CaneWarning:


Landline? LOL I've never had landline.

Had two land lines until 2008 now with the opening of Dad's garage office its gone up to 6.

i say the mode runs are no good

quite a bit weaker Levi

now watch the ECMWF really freak people out and drop development completely on the 00Z run lol

Quoting watchingnva:
looking at the current vis/rgb loops...please tell me im not already seeing low level rotation trying to get going around 14/67....and are we really having venting starting to take place on the north and east sides. this is retarded...there was nothing there last night at all...its amazing how conditions change so quickly...wow.

Felix and Gustav were also quite fond of the spot 93L is in... Just saying.

Quoting Hurricanes101:
AL, 93, 2010062118, , BEST, 0, 135N, 678W, 25, 1010, DB

Where do you get that info from?

ECMWF 216 hours....see how it's weaker and more WNW track. These things aren't set in stone and will swing back and forth. Can't put much stock into any of these runs.