Dr. Jeff Masters' WunderBlog

Tropical Storm Erika likely soon; a weaker Jimena powers towards Baja

Posted by: Dr. Jeff Masters, 07:48 PM GMT del 01 Settembre 2009

Hurricane Jimena has weakened to a low-end Category 4 hurricane with 135 mph winds, thanks to the collapse of its inner eyewall. The hurricane is undergoing a process common in intense hurricanes called an Eyewall Replacement Cycle (ERC), where the eye shrinks to a size too small to be stable, resulting in the disintegration of the eyewall, and the formation of a new eyewall from one of the outer spiral bands. Once the new eyewall becomes stable tonight, Jimena has an opportunity to re-strengthen.

The latest set of 12Z model runs show little change in Jimena's track. The hurricane is still expected to make landfall Wednesday along Mexico's Baja Peninsula. If the hurricane makes landfall over the southern portion of Baja, it would likely be at major hurricane strength. However, SSTs cool quickly to 23°C at the middle of the Baja Peninsula, and Jimena would likely weaken to a Category 2 or 1 hurricane if it makes a strike towards the middle of Baja. The computer models are split on what might happen once Jimena makes landfall on Baja, with one camp predicting a northeast turn bringing the storm over Mainland Mexico and eventually into Arizona, and the other camp stalling Jimena out over or just west of Baja. Regardless, the main threat from Jimena will be flooding and mudslides due to heavy rains.

Baja's hurricane history
The most powerful hurricane on record to hit the west coast of Baja occurred last year, when Hurricane Norbert made landfall on the central Baja coast with sustained winds of 105 mph (Category 2) . Norbert's central pressure of 956 mb at landfall made it the 3rd strongest hurricane to hit the Pacific coast of Mexico since record keeping began in 1949. Norbert killed eight, knocked out power to 20,000 homes, and damaged or destroyed 40% of the homes on the islands of Margarita and Magdalena. Norbert crossed the Baja Peninsula and made landfall on Mainland Mexico as a Category 1 hurricane with 85 mph winds.

Only two major hurricanes have made landfall on Baja since record keeping began in 1949. Both hurricanes hit the east (Gulf of California) side of Baja. The first was Hurricane Olivia of 1967. Olivia made landfall on October 13, 1967 as a Category 3 hurricane with 125 mph winds. Due to its small size and the unpopulated region of coast it hit, damage was minimal. The second major hurricane was Hurricane Kiko, which made landfall on August 27, 1989, as a Category 3 hurricane with winds of 115 mph (minimal Category 3). Kiko was a small hurricane and hit a relatively unpopulated area, resulting in no loss of life and only scattered reports of damage.

Figure 1. A plot of all the major hurricanes to pass within 200 miles of Mexico's Baja Peninsula since 1949. Image credit: NOAA Coastal Services Center.

Invest 94L almost Tropical Storm Erika
The Air Force Hurricane Hunters are investigating tropical wave 94L, about 200 miles east of the Lesser Antilles Islands. So far this afternoon, they have found a broad circulation with top winds of 45 - 50 mph in heavy thunderstorms on the east side. The circulation may be too broad for 94L to be considered a tropical storm, but visible satellite imagery shows that the circulation is getting better defined, and 94L's heavy thunderstorms are moving closer to the center of circulation. Recent satellite wind shear analyses by NOAA/Colorado State University and the University of Wisconsin show that wind shear is a moderate 10 - 20 knots over 94L, and this shear is keeping any thunderstorms from developing on the system's west side.

The forecast for 94L
The latest of 12Z model runs are more in tune with the idea that 94L will become a tropical storm, with the latest ECMWF run now on board. The storm will be steered west-northwest to northwest over the next three days thanks to the presence to two upper-level lows to the northwest of the storm. Since most of 94L's heavy thunderstorms and high winds are on the east side, the northern Lesser Antilles and Puerto Rico will probably be spared tropical storm force winds from this system. The best guess track for 94L, assuming it does intensify into a tropical storm in the next 24 hours, is on a northwest path between the Bahamas and Bermuda. If 94L stays weak, a more southerly path, along the northern edge of the Bahama Islands, is more likely.

Figure 2. Infrared satellite image taken at 12pm EDT, Tuesday Sep 1, 2009. Five major African tropical waves are apparent. Image credit: Navy Research Lab, Monterey.

Elsewhere in the tropics
It's September, the most active month for hurricane activity in the Northern Hemisphere. There's every indication that the 2009 Atlantic hurricane season will have an active first half of September, since SSTs are 0.5 - 1.0°C above average, wind shear is near average, and the African monsoon is sending a long parade of African waves spinning off the coast of Africa. An IR satellite image from noon today shows this activity well (Figure 2). We can see a line-up of five African waves stretching from the Lesser Antilles to eastern Africa. The GFS model develops the waves numbered "2" and "3" into tropical depressions next week, and the waves labeled "1" and "4" also have a chance to develop into tropical depressions, as well. The wave labeled "1" is mentioned on NHC's Tropical Weather Outlook as having a low (less than 30%) chance of developing into a tropical depression by Thursday. This wave is under a moderate 10 - 15 knots of wind shear, and is over sufficiently warm waters (27 - 28°C) that some development may occur this week. The wave is far enough north that it will be hampered by dry air from the Sahara Desert.

California fire webcams
As I discussed in this morning's post, you can use our wundermap for Los Angeles with the fire layer turned on to see where the fire and smoke are located, and track the temperatures and winds during today's air pollution event. We also have two webcams with views of the fire: Altadena and Tujunga.

Jeff Masters

Backing Down (Fotoguy77)

Part of the massive Station Fire backs down toward Sunland, Ca in this shot taken around 1am. The fire has burned through over 122,000 acres and killed two.

getting out (Fotoguy77)

This fire Chief from El Dorado County in Northern California is chased out of Aliso Canyon by a wall of flames. This was in the Acton area just off the 14 Freeway.

Categories: Hurricane

Permalink | A A A

Top of Page

Reader Comments

Display: 0, 50, 100, 200

Sort: Newest First - Order Posted

Viewing: 2351 - 2401

Page: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 32 | 33 | 34 | 35 | 36 | 37 | 38 | 39 | 40 | 41 | 42 | 43 | 44 | 45 | 46 | 47 | 48 | 49 | 50 | 51 | 52 | 53 | 54 | 55 | 56 | 57 | 58 | 59 | 60 | 61 | 62 | 63 | 64 | 65 | 66 | 67 | 68 | 69 | 70 | 71 | 72 | 73 | 74 | 75 | 76 | 77 — Blog Index

2351. TampaSpin 03:19 AM GMT del 02 Settembre 2009
Something strange with the models now tho... The BAMD--is the Southern most while The BAMS--is the Northern most while The BAMM--is in between the two.. This is just the reverse the way in should be if my thinking is correct... Member Since: Settembre 2, 2007 Posts: 175 Comments: 19747

2352. PackerFan2 03:19 AM GMT del 02 Settembre 2009
Quoting katlbeach: My favorite quote when my daughter was a teenager was from the movie "Clueless". "I have a .45 and a shovel. I don't think anyone will miss you." (it went something like that) you said that to your daughter? jeez

2353. southernstorm 03:20 AM GMT del 02 Settembre 2009
Thx for ur take, StormW. I enjoy ur updates. Member Since: Giugno 28, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 54

2354. Brillig 03:20 AM GMT del 02 Settembre 2009
Is there a source of relatively current water vapor imagery for Google Earth available somewhere? I'd like to see it together with HH flight data. Please wumail a reply to me if you have one, since this thread is moving so fast. I'll look in the thread but might not find it. Member Since: Giugno 23, 2006 Posts: 20 Comments: 398

2356. PensacolaBuoy 03:20 AM GMT del 02 Settembre 2009
Quoting PackerFan2: another plane? my taxpayer dollars! Part of the federal stimulus package! Member Since: Luglio 28, 2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 348

2357. futurenavymet 03:21 AM GMT del 02 Settembre 2009
Quoting TampaSpin: StormW do you think that weakness will close as there appears to be a high coming off the East Coast? i do imo. its one of those jeanne and frances feelings. i called her to be named when hh went in and she was. i said she would put her brakes on and she did. i just really think that this is a fl storm based on my exp. i called charlie and 04 i called katrina in 05 and people thought i was crazy. i called gustav and whats the one that hit houston last yr? people thought was crazy and called me names so im used to it. so yes at the moment i am a floricaster but not every storm that comes off africa is fl. thanks im out.

2358. midgulfmom 03:21 AM GMT del 02 Settembre 2009
Quoting Patrap: In MArch 2003 My Father was Being treated at Ochsner before he Passed March 21,the day the war started..and coming out the elevator one Aft came Nash Roberts and His Wife. I spent about a Good 20 Minutes with Him drinking coffee and it was a Moment I'll never forget. A true Met Legend. I felt Like Hank Hill hanging with Tom Landry. You're a lucky man Patrap... Member Since: Luglio 9, 2005 Posts: 2 Comments: 1002

2359. kuppenskup 03:21 AM GMT del 02 Settembre 2009
Why are most of the tracks taking the system NW? It seems to me after the 2 lows move out of the way, strong high pressure will build in and the other Trough coming down from canada will not dig deep enough to pick up Erika. Looks like a WNW motion througout the next 96-120hrs? What do you guys think? Member Since: Agosto 26, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 404

2360. stormsurge39 03:21 AM GMT del 02 Settembre 2009
Quoting Nolehead: 2341. stormsurge39 3:16 AM GMT on September 02, 2009 Chief Met here in Mobile, Al. says that with growing confidence this is not going to be a GOM storm. Looks more like an East Coast event! I really hope nobody gets this, because its exciting out in the water, but sucks on land!! LMAO!!! please tell me your not talking about little Alan Seals?? that guy couldn't predict the weather if it slapped him in the face...good grief don't rely on his forcast... Its not Alan its the new chief at NBC 15, I dont watch Alan because of that reason!

2361. truecajun 03:21 AM GMT del 02 Settembre 2009
our local met says Erika is falling apart as we speak and that it will experience high shear near the carribbean. He says that it will basically follow the danny and bill track. good Ole Pat. He said all of that with LOTS of confindence. I suppose he knows what he's talking about. Member Since: Agosto 24, 2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 1848

2362. TampaSpin 03:21 AM GMT del 02 Settembre 2009
Quoting cchsweatherman: I don't know how anyone can make any emphatic declarations at this point as to the future of this system when even the National Hurricane Center has low confidence in the forecasts and the computer models have such wide divergence in solutions. I'm really split tonight as it pertains to the future of Erika. I agree fully.....Heck this lack of sudden shear relaxing has fooled me currenlty....LOL Member Since: Settembre 2, 2007 Posts: 175 Comments: 19747

2363. MrsOsa 03:22 AM GMT del 02 Settembre 2009
Quoting atmoaggie: From there, that would be easy. Anout the only route is that I-64 I mentioned. If you miss out on the George Washington memorial battlefield and Yorktown (think surrender of Cornwallis) that would be shame since you are going to be less than 10 miles away. I'm a history buff so I'm definitely headed to Colonial Williamsburg. Kinda going to play it by ear. If this storm or labor day weekend crowds make it too unpleasant, I'll be back up in October. And then maybe I can see fall colors too! You know we on the gulf coast only have two seasons, summer and a week of winter, so we miss out.

2364. watchingnva 03:22 AM GMT del 02 Settembre 2009
Quoting PackerFan2: that airplane does not run on electric charge, solar or wind! it runs on money lol yeah i'm kidding... i'm all for science when it's done feasibly and with austerity seriously tho, those planes eat a lot of gas... do you have any idea how much it costs? i had a friend who has a jet plane with a rolls royce 16 cylinder single turbine engine. he burns thru $500 of gas in about an hour, maybe a little more. granted, he does 400 knots. yes it does cost, but id rather have gas in these planes that umm....the other billions wasted elsewhere...nws and the nhc are one of the last places to be cutting...i can think of alot of things to save money....flying fewer planes into hurricanes for vital data is at the bottom of a very large list...lol... anyways, im out...you have a good one man... ill catch everyone else later...we will see what erika has for us tomorrow... Member Since: Settembre 7, 2005 Posts: 3 Comments: 1310

2365. atmoaggie 03:23 AM GMT del 02 Settembre 2009
Quoting TampaSpin: Something strange with the models now tho... The BAMD--is the Southern most while The BAMS--is the Northern most while The BAMM--is in between the two.. This is just the reverse the way in should be if my thinking is correct... Been doing that for the last 2 days, too. I don't have a handle on it either. (Neither do they, in my opinion) Member Since: Agosto 16, 2007 Posts: 6 Comments: 12461

2366. reedzone 03:24 AM GMT del 02 Settembre 2009
Quoting TampaSpin: It sure looks like Shear is relaxing even further..... Although according to CIMMS, the anticyclone is now south of Erika. Member Since: Luglio 1, 2008 Posts: 13 Comments: 7247

2367. stormsurge39 03:23 AM GMT del 02 Settembre 2009
Quoting truecajun: our local met says Erika is falling apart as we speak and that it will experience high shear near the carribbean. He says that it will basically follow the danny and bill track. good Ole Pat. He said all of that with LOTS of confindence. I suppose he knows what he's talking about. Falling apart? He must have got his met degree in a cracker jack box!

2368. midgulfmom 03:23 AM GMT del 02 Settembre 2009
Quoting TampaSpin: Something strange with the models now tho... The BAMD--is the Southern most while The BAMS--is the Northern most while The BAMM--is in between the two.. This is just the reverse the way in should be if my thinking is correct... I think that too.. but you're more qualified than me to know from your knowledgable posts. Member Since: Luglio 9, 2005 Posts: 2 Comments: 1002

2369. Patrap 03:23 AM GMT del 02 Settembre 2009
When my Daughter first started dating years ago..She learned one thing from me to tell her suitors if they got outta Line.. "My Dad say he's got no problem going back to Prison" ,.. Member Since: Luglio 3, 2005 Posts: 372 Comments: 111620

2370. TreasureCoastFl 03:24 AM GMT del 02 Settembre 2009
Quoting futurenavymet: i do imo. its one of those jeanne and frances feelings. i called her to be named when hh went in and she was. i said she would put her brakes on and she did. i just really think that this is a fl storm based on my exp. i called charlie and 04 i called katrina in 05 and people thought i was crazy. i called gustav and whats the one that hit houston last yr? people thought was crazy and called me names so im used to it. so yes at the moment i am a floricaster but not every storm that comes off africa is fl. thanks im out. I'm leaning toward the trough picking itup and it being a fish taking a path very similar to Bill. Just my early prediction. I am not even close to being a professional just giving my opinion. Member Since: Agosto 18, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 444

2371. BKM77 03:24 AM GMT del 02 Settembre 2009
Quoting Patrap: Never Fails every year we get this statement..LOL With the Pentagon Spending 1 Billion a Month in a War we never should have started,..one Nutbag rants over a C-130 topping off. Amazing Ignorance always never disappoints. LOL I agree with Pat.. This what we should spend the money on and fuel is not the main cost issue in most things... However, as a pilot my self I assure you a C130 is going to burn more fuel than your buddies RR 16 cylinder turbine... Even at 400 knots..

2372. PensacolaBuoy 03:24 AM GMT del 02 Settembre 2009
Quoting Nolehead: 2341. stormsurge39 3:16 AM GMT on September 02, 2009 Chief Met here in Mobile, Al. says that with growing confidence this is not going to be a GOM storm. Looks more like an East Coast event! I really hope nobody gets this, because its exciting out in the water, but sucks on land!! LMAO!!! please tell me your not talking about little Alan Seals?? that guy couldn't predict the weather if it slapped him in the face...good grief don't rely on his forcast... In Mobile/Pensacola broadcast area, I'd put Alan Seals at the top, honestly. Member Since: Luglio 28, 2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 348

2373. atmoaggie 03:25 AM GMT del 02 Settembre 2009
Quoting MrsOsa: I'm a history buff so I'm definitely headed to Colonial Williamsburg. Kinda going to play it by ear. If this storm or labor day weekend crowds make it too unpleasant, I'll be back up in October. And then maybe I can see fall colors too! You know we on the gulf coast only have two seasons, summer and a week of winter, so we miss out. Hah, the single thing my wife and I miss most about that area is the four actual seasons. (and the lack of pine trees up there) LA native, lived in Newport News for a while, now back in SE LA. I know exactly what you mean. Member Since: Agosto 16, 2007 Posts: 6 Comments: 12461

2374. CaneHunter031472 03:25 AM GMT del 02 Settembre 2009
Quoting MrsOsa: Hi all, just a quick intro. I've been a lurker for a while and finally want to get in on the action. My husband and I are both cops on the MS gulf coast so we don't have the option of evacuating. We get to stay behind and try and help the ones who didn't (or couldn't) listen to the warnings. You can see why I check this page religiously during hurricane season. So far the last four years since Katrina have been lucky for us. Gustav brushed us but no problems. Our offices (and many others) are still in trailers = no good for strong thunderstorms let alone hurricanes! I'm praying Erika stays out of the GOM. But even then, I'll be on the VA coast for labor day weekend. Chancing an EC hit/brush, what are the chances I'll get stuck there? Erika's been so slow moving I'm not clear on her timeframe First of all. Thank you for all ya'll do down here keeping us safe. I am sure that your leaders have a plan for shelter if you need to stay behind. Ocean springs Hospital and Singing river hospital if you are close to Jackson county can provide shelter I believe. The further north of I 10 you go the better. I will be praying as well Katrina was enough and now that we are starting to see reconstruction almost finished it would be devastating to have another event like that. Trust me I believe we will be spared this year the patterns in the Gulf are more Fall like and hopefully this will last long enough, but having a plan is always the way to go during this season because weather is very unpredictable and there is no way you can get a 100% accurate forecast on these systems. May God keep you and your husband safe while protecting us. God bless. Member Since: Agosto 1, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 895

2375. cchsweatherman 03:25 AM GMT del 02 Settembre 2009
Quoting TampaSpin: I agree fully.....Heck this lack of sudden shear relaxing has fooled me currenlty....LOL Don't know about you man, but I'm ready to just sit back, watch Erika, and go with the pros at the NHC for the time being since I'm just completely split and combined with all my classes (Calculus, Physics 1, Physics 1 Lab, and American History) and drama in my life, its leaving my head spinning, almost literally. Member Since: Aprile 14, 2007 Posts: 8 Comments: 4926

2376. Droab92 03:26 AM GMT del 02 Settembre 2009
This so called "box" I keep reading about over the past few days, if it goes in it then it hits FL 70% of the time, looking at the historical data on storms in this area, only one clipped the panhandle, sure doesn't look like 70%.

2379. cchsweatherman 03:27 AM GMT del 02 Settembre 2009
Quoting Patrap: When my Daughter first started dating years ago..She learned one thing from me to tell her suitors if they got outta Line.. "My Dad say he's got no problem going back to Prison" ,.. Heard that from Bill Engvall. If I have a daughter, thats what I'll say any guys she'll go out with. Member Since: Aprile 14, 2007 Posts: 8 Comments: 4926

2380. Patrap 03:27 AM GMT del 02 Settembre 2009
Quoting cchsweatherman: Don't know about you man, but I'm ready to just sit back, watch Erika, and go with the pros at the NHC for the time being since I'm just completely split and combined with all my classes (Calculus, Physics 1, Physics 1 Lab, and American History) and drama in my life, its leaving my head spinning, almost literally. Try Prayer at night and listen to that still inner voice cchs..never fails me during the good and bad times in my Lil Time on Terra Firma Member Since: Luglio 3, 2005 Posts: 372 Comments: 111620

2381. 954FtLCane 03:27 AM GMT del 02 Settembre 2009
Quoting StormW: I think that's where that nudge back west, according to the steering layers forecast, comes in about 96+ hours. The steering forecast shows an almost N movement at the end, then the last frame on the run looks like where that ridge may come into play. Hi storm w, never directed a question at you but thought now would be a good a time as ever. Is that nudge you mention the same the the hwrc model is showing? and if so (I know to early to ask I imagine), would that be a temporary nudge or would that ridge possibly. make it a more pronounced movement? Thanks in advance for your answer/comment. Member Since: Settembre 30, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 1464

2382. truecajun 03:27 AM GMT del 02 Settembre 2009
Quoting stormsurge39: Falling apart? He must have got his met degree in a cracker jack box! I know. that surprised me. he's usually on his game too. and when he's not so sure, he doesn't sound as confident. but he really sounded confident tonight. Member Since: Agosto 24, 2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 1848

2383. KATRINABILOXIGIRL 03:29 AM GMT del 02 Settembre 2009
Quoting Patrap: When my Daughter first started dating years ago..She learned one thing from me to tell her suitors if they got outta Line.. "My Dad say he's got no problem going back to Prison" ,.. Well Pat, my hubby is 6'7" and 320 pounds...not fat but a big guy none the less...he will probably only have to stand up and ask what time will she be home and they guy will probablay say forget it you can have her....lol Member Since: Luglio 31, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 324

2385. SWFLDigTek 03:27 AM GMT del 02 Settembre 2009
NEW ENTRY POSTED: South Florida StormWatch Member Since: Agosto 31, 2008 Posts: 117 Comments: 398

2386. midgulfmom 03:27 AM GMT del 02 Settembre 2009
Quoting truecajun: our local met says Erika is falling apart as we speak and that it will experience high shear near the carribbean. He says that it will basically follow the danny and bill track. good Ole Pat. He said all of that with LOTS of confindence. I suppose he knows what he's talking about. Bob Breck Fox news N.O. said something similiar last night and acted like GOM was out the the question. Hope he's right. Member Since: Luglio 9, 2005 Posts: 2 Comments: 1002

2387. presslord 03:28 AM GMT del 02 Settembre 2009
Quoting Patrap: When my Daughter first started dating years ago..She learned one thing from me to tell her suitors if they got outta Line.. "My Dad say he's got no problem going back to Prison" ,.. excellent... Member Since: Agosto 13, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 10377

2389. PensacolaBuoy 03:28 AM GMT del 02 Settembre 2009
Quoting Patrap: Never Fails every year we get this statement..LOL With the Pentagon Spending 1 Billion a Month in a War we never should have started,..one Nutbag rants over a C-130 topping off. Amazing Ignorance always never disappoints. LOL Planes burn less fuel without bombs on board. Member Since: Luglio 28, 2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 348

2390. PackerFan2 03:28 AM GMT del 02 Settembre 2009
Quoting Patrap: Never Fails every year we get this statement..LOL With the Pentagon Spending 1 Billion a Month in a War we never should have started,..one Nutbag rants over a C-130 topping off. Amazing Ignorance always never disappoints. LOL You're taking what I'm saying wrong... I was kidding about the taxpayer dollars... it's just a remark that was used earlier today. I'm not against the planes.

2391. TampaSpin 03:29 AM GMT del 02 Settembre 2009
Quoting cchsweatherman: Don't know about you man, but I'm ready to just sit back, watch Erika, and go with the pros at the NHC for the time being since I'm just completely split and combined with all my classes (Calculus, Physics 1, Physics 1 Lab, and American History) and drama in my life, its leaving my head spinning, almost literally. I think the Models need about 2 or 3 more runs to get things worked out now since we have a LLC now. Tomorrow at this time will make a big difference in confidence....LOL at least a little..LOL Member Since: Settembre 2, 2007 Posts: 175 Comments: 19747

2392. atmoaggie 03:30 AM GMT del 02 Settembre 2009
Wow, cool, Oz. Might turn the TV on in the morning for the first time...in decades. Member Since: Agosto 16, 2007 Posts: 6 Comments: 12461

2393. midgulfmom 03:32 AM GMT del 02 Settembre 2009
Quoting Patrap: When my Daughter first started dating years ago..She learned one thing from me to tell her suitors if they got outta Line.. "My Dad say he's got no problem going back to Prison" ,.. LOL, I might steal that one. Bet it was very effective. Member Since: Luglio 9, 2005 Posts: 2 Comments: 1002

2394. Patrap 03:30 AM GMT del 02 Settembre 2009
Quoting CycloneOz: I am back. Sorry for the length...I've got alot to report. After the beach in Cabo, I left to return to my room to upload pictures to you folks. I had walked from my hotel, and I started walking back. When I got to the road, for some reason...and I don't know why...I stopped. I stood there for many minutes...and I struggled with my head "why aren't you moving your feet! The hotel is just right up there." But I kept standing and waiting...it was so weird. After 5 minutes, a car pulled up beside me. It was full of Americans. The guys in front said I looked like a "retar..." standing there with this confused look on my face and some kind of weird helmet suit. So they stopped and asked me if I needed help. I told them I just had to go to that hotel. What are you doing here they asked. I told them I was intercepting Jimena. GET IN! they all shouted at me. The hotel was only two blocks away. The older gentleman in front asked me if I needed anything. I replied that the only thing I really needed was a chauffer. And thus began a great adventure up the western coast of Baha. These two guys who picked me up this afternoon were awesome...and for the first time every, I actually had fun covering a hurricane. But there were moments of real fear...and those moments will only be revealed on "Experience Hurricane Jimena." Finally, and before I show you some pretty cool images from this PM, I need to let you know that Good Morning America has been calling everyone to contact me. My wife, my daughter have gotten calls, plus my yahoo e-mail has a direct email and one sent from YouTube that they visited. (I guess they saw my Dolly video, huh?) Anyway, they're calling me here at the hotel like anytime now. They want me on tomorrow morning's show. So, that's all for now. All I say in closing is that no one, except the poor few on the deserted central coast of Baha got any closer today to Jimena than me. I've got compelling footage of another near miss! :) Here are the pics... Waves crashing into the point at Cerritos Beach View of the eastern edge of Hurricane Jimena from Cerritos Beach, 7:15 PM local - Tropical Force Winds Were Present Cerritos Beach Webcam - That was the internet place to be today!!! Were any of you on it? :) The owner was pretty proud of it! His pride and joy on this day...I can imagine. Best webcam available for Jimena! Wow! The Cerritos Beach Surf Club. I met the locals today. They are a proud and aloof bunch of local pro surfers. The quote of the day came from one of them: "Famous don't mean st here." Gots to go. Just like StormW getting some beauty sleep before appearing on the Barometer Bob show... :) Dont forget to Smile and Plug the wunderground Oz. Be cool and take a Lil time to rest up. Member Since: Luglio 3, 2005 Posts: 372 Comments:** 111620

2395. kuppenskup 03:30 AM GMT del 02 Settembre 2009
The longer Erika goes without making that NW turn the more the models will turn it West, Im telling you guys-This is a Florida storm! Member Since: Agosto 26, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 404

2396. PackerFan2 03:31 AM GMT del 02 Settembre 2009
Quoting CycloneOz: for the first time every, I actually had fun covering a hurricane. Can someone then tell me why he does it?

2398. watchingnva 03:32 AM GMT del 02 Settembre 2009
before calling it a night....i wanted to see if anyone else sees the next large burst of convection on the nw side of erika...its only just started to blossom the last 2 frames or so....but looks as if shes trying to get more symmetrical and build on the west/nw side... does anyone else see this or am i just getting too tired...figured id throw it out there... Member Since: Settembre 7, 2005 Posts: 3 Comments: 1310

2399. GTcooliebai 03:32 AM GMT del 02 Settembre 2009
local met just said a bolt of lightning can avg. 50,000 degrees Fahrenheit and also said Erika's track rest highly on if a Ridge will establish on days 4 and 5 which would act as a road block and steer it to the west somewhere along the eastern seaboard. Member Since: Agosto 31, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 5203

2400. yamil20 03:33 AM GMT del 02 Settembre 2009
wow that sounds like a lot of fun cicloneoz!! thanks for the update. Take care men Member Since: Giugno 10, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 478

2401. Patrap 03:33 AM GMT del 02 Settembre 2009
Quoting iceman55: Bob Breck lolol he a joke Bob Breck,Hmmm,let see..30 years as a Broadcast Met,and a Degree to boot and a Former Marine..well your just gonna have to suck on it ice,ice baby .. Bob has them beat by Miles. LOL Member Since: Luglio 3, 2005 Posts: 372 Comments: 111620

Viewing: 2351 - 2401

Top of Page

New Comment

Community Standards Policy Comments will take a few seconds to appear.

Post Your Comments

Please sign in to post comments.

or Join

Not only will you be able to leave comments on this blog, but you'll also have the ability to upload and share your photos in our Wunder Photos section.

About JeffMasters