Dr. Jeff Masters' WunderBlog

2008: Ninth warmest year on record
Posted by: Dr. Jeff Masters, 02:05 AM GMT del 21 Gennaio 2009 +3
The temperature statistics are in, and the year 2008 ranks as the ninth warmest year for the globe on record, making it the coolest year since 2000, according to an analysis compiled by NASA. NOAA's National Climatic Data Center rated 2008 the eighth warmest on record, and the British Climate Research Unit rated it tenth warmest. NASA noted that given the uncertainty in the measurements, a range of 7th to 10th warmest was reasonable. Global temperature records extend back to 1880. December 2008 was also the eighth warmest December for the globe on record.

The average global temperature the past five years (and the last ten years) is the highest on record. The top ten warmest years since 1880 have all occurred in the past twelve years. So, despite the impressive cold blast in the Eastern U.S. this winter, the global climate is warming. The relatively cool temperatures of 2008 probably represent a normal year-to-year fluctuation in the weather. Cool weather is to be expected globally during a strong La Niña event in the Eastern Pacific Ocean, which was present during the first part of 2008 (see the cool blue colors over the Equatorial Pacific in Figure 1). It is no surprise that the last year it was cooler, 2000, was also the last time we had a La Niña event. With La Niña conditions beginning to develop again this year, I'd be surprised if 2009 turns out to be a record warm year. Dr. James Hansen of NASA is predicting a new global record temperature either this year or in 2010, though.


Figure 1. Global temperature anomalies in 2008 compared to the 1950-1980 baseline period. Below-average temperatures are shown in blue, average temperatures are white, and above-average temperatures are red. (Gray indicates no data.) Most of the world was either near normal or warmer than normal. Eastern Europe, Russia, the Arctic, and the Antarctic Peninsula were exceptionally warm (1.5 to 3.5 degrees Celsius above average). The temperature in the United States in 2008 was not much different than the 1951-1980 mean, which makes 2008 cooler than all of the previous years this decade. Large areas of the central and eastern Pacific Ocean were cooler than the long-term average, linked to a La Niña episode that began in 2007. The graph shows the long-term trend in surface temperatures since 1880. The annual average temperatures are shown in light orange, and the jaggedness of the line indicates how much the average global surface temperature varies from year to year. Because climate is so variable from year to year, it can be easier to spot long-term trends through multi-year averages. The dark red line shows the five-year running average, which is an average of five years of annual temperatures centered on a given year. Even this five-year average shows that climate has ups and downs, but the long-term increase in global average surface temperatures is obvious. The gray barbells indicate the range of uncertainty. Not surprisingly, the uncertainty is larger for older measurements than for more recent ones. Image credit: NASA.

A cool and snowy December in the U.S.
For the contiguous U.S., December was the 35th coolest December, ranking it in the coldest 30% of all Decembers observed since records began in 1895. December 2008 had near-average precipitation, ranking 43rd wettest. It was the 8th wettest December on record in the East North Central U.S., and 9th wettest for the Central U.S. Only the South experienced below average precipitation during the month. For the year 2008, temperatures in the U.S. were not much different than the 1951-1980 mean, which makes 2008 the coolest year since 1997. U.S. records set in December 2008 (courtesy of http://extremeweatherguide.com/updates.asp):

Spokane, WA: All-time 24-hour snowfall, 19.4", 12/17-12/18
Spokane, WA: All-time single storm snowfall: 23.3", 12/17-12/18
Sandpoint, ID: All-time 24-hour snowfall, 27.0"
Jackson, WY: All-time 24-hour snowfall, 27.0"
Fargo, ND: Snowiest month on record: 33.5"
Spokane, WA: Snowiest month on record: 61.5"
Green Bay, WI: Snowiest month on record: 45.6"
Madison, WI: Snowiest month on record: 40.4"
Wausau, WI: Snowiest month on record: 37.6"
Idaho: All-time 24-hour state snowfall record set at Dollar Hide, 46.5", 12/26-12/27 (not confirmed)

At the end of 2008, 20% of the contiguous United States was in moderate-to-exceptional drought. This is a decline from the 28% of the U.S. that was under similar drought conditions at the end of 2007. The average precipitation for the U.S. in 2008 was 30.48 inches, which is 1.34 inches above average. 2008 was the wettest year on record for New Hampshire and Missouri, second wettest for Massachusetts, and third wettest for Connecticut, Illinois, and Iowa. Also, 2008 was the fourth wettest year for Indiana, fifth wettest for Maine, Michigan, and Vermont, seventh wettest for New York, and eighth wettest for Kansas and Rhode Island.

Next post
Check out Ricky Rood's latest blog, called Cold in the East: A rant. There is a lot of misinformation circulating in the media right now about climate change, and Ricky and I will be doing our best to try to explain what is fact and what is crap in the coming weeks. I posted one such discussion last week, when I showed that the recent claims that sea ice is back to 1979 levels were a clever bit of cherry picking of the data that hides the critical summertime loss of Arctic sea ice. I'll have a new blog post on Friday.

Jeff Masters
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51. melwerle 05:34 AM GMT del 21 Gennaio 2009    
San Diego....
Member Since: Giugno 28, 2006 Posts: 12 Comments: 1837
52. Orcasystems 05:36 AM GMT del 21 Gennaio 2009    
Quoting melwerle:
San Diego....


Oh.. my second home while I was in the navy :)
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53. TampaSpin 05:38 AM GMT del 21 Gennaio 2009    
Quoting melwerle:
San Diego....


Mel, why would San Diego be better, never been there so i don't know....sorry.
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54. hurristat 05:39 AM GMT del 21 Gennaio 2009    
Quoting melwerle:
47. (and other comments)

I live in the deep south - our kids had one tv on in the lunch room with 200 kids (during lunch) - everyone couldn't care less here in the school...i taped it for them so they were able to watch it in peace when they got home without having to dodge the nonsense at school. Kind of bummed that the folks here didn't make a huge deal about it - which is why i am trying to make it back home. Had enough.


If you live in a largely republican area, the lack of interest can probably be attributed to that.
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55. Orcasystems 05:41 AM GMT del 21 Gennaio 2009    
Quoting TampaSpin:


Mel, why would San Diego be better, never been there so i don't know....sorry.


West Coast is a lot like Canada, much more liberal minded..
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56. melwerle 05:42 AM GMT del 21 Gennaio 2009    
San Diego...a major melting pot of everything...and everyone has just kind of learned to speak everyone's language and such...then come here and it's very one sided - there is still a fight over who one the civil war (they still refer to it as the war of northern aggression)...

I can go on but don't want to piss anyone off. Republican yes...but the things I hear would curl your ears.

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57. hurristat 05:42 AM GMT del 21 Gennaio 2009    
Quoting Orcasystems:


West Coast is a lot like Canada, much more liberal minded..


cross out Canada, write non-communist world...
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58. Orcasystems 05:45 AM GMT del 21 Gennaio 2009    
There is/was actually a large underground movement.. to start a new country/economic area..

Alaska/BC/Alberta/Washington/Oregon/California

They have a lot more similarity then say.. New York and California.. or Washington and the Carols.

Washington the State, not the City

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59. melwerle 05:46 AM GMT del 21 Gennaio 2009    
It's a MAJOR culture shock. Trust me. I never thought it would be like this when we decided to retire until i saw workman show up with the "stars and bars" on their cars and trucks. And openly calling folks names that I wouldn't dream of saying. When i say it's been quiet here, I mean it.
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60. Orcasystems 05:47 AM GMT del 21 Gennaio 2009    
Quoting hurristat:


cross out Canada, write non-communist world...


Concur
where are you at Hurristat
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61. hurristat 05:48 AM GMT del 21 Gennaio 2009    
Quoting melwerle:
San Diego...a major melting pot of everything...and everyone has just kind of learned to speak everyone's language and such...then come here and it's very one sided - there is still a fight over who one the civil war (they still refer to it as the war of northern aggression)...

I can go on but don't want to piss anyone off. Republican yes...but the things I hear would curl your ears.



Being from the north, and talking mostly to southerners, i have to um...monitor what i say to make sure i dont offend anyone, i tried to make it based more on party affiliation, which makes sense, than other factors (you know what I'm talking about) as not to offend anyone... i didnt want to stereotype. But with the South's history, it wouldn't be surprising to hear some select words...

I don't generalize about people, please know that. no offense to anyone.
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62. hurristat 05:49 AM GMT del 21 Gennaio 2009    
Quoting Orcasystems:


Concur
where are you at Hurristat


Michigan.
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63. Orcasystems 05:52 AM GMT del 21 Gennaio 2009    
Quoting hurristat:


Michigan.


Interesting place.. used to watch a fishing show from their all the time on cable... alwasy wanted to go there.. mind you.. people who go ice fishing appear to be playing with the low cards in the deck :)
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64. TampaSpin 05:56 AM GMT del 21 Gennaio 2009    
Quoting Orcasystems:


Interesting place.. used to watch a fishing show from their all the time on cable... alwasy wanted to go there.. mind you.. people who go ice fishing appear to be playing with the low cards in the deck :)


With Rev. Lowery outlook i'm sure he would see the ice thicker for the white man than for any other color of person.........LOL
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65. melwerle 05:57 AM GMT del 21 Gennaio 2009    
ok - so i have to just say it then hurristat as you've been here apparently.

The "choice words" fly here - and we are seriously offended by them being from the north or being from anywhere really but here. It's like this place is stuck in a time that won't move on. My daughter, who is blonde, blue eyed...we moved here and she fell in love with another kid from the school...I knew all about nicki - and was fine with whatever went on - innocent enough - they are kids. He is type 1, she is type 1 - they met in the nurse' office. Awwwwwww....

when I told someone about it - they felt the need to inform me that nicki was black. Half black anyway and that didn't i know. I was like "and your point IS?" This election here was kind of quieted and I won't even begin to say what the kids have been saying on the bus. there was a joke going around that would offend all of you - and i guarantee that you would all gasp. The principal here at least had the sense to tell the kids they would be expelled if he heard them repeat it.

When I moved here, I never thought it would be like this - I thought people had moved past this but apparently not. What I hope most is that Obama does REALLY WELL, kicks ass, takes names and shuts these people up...
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66. Orcasystems 05:58 AM GMT del 21 Gennaio 2009    
Quoting TampaSpin:


With Rev. Lowery outlook i'm sure he would see the ice thicker for the white man than for any other color of person.........LOL


Timmy my boy... sometimes you just worry me :)
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67. hurristat 05:59 AM GMT del 21 Gennaio 2009    
Quoting Orcasystems:


Interesting place.. used to watch a fishing show from their all the time on cable... alwasy wanted to go there.. mind you.. people who go ice fishing appear to be playing with the low cards in the deck :)


LOL... the lakes get annoying when you're trying to drive somewhere. you have to drive around several lakes to go 10 miles instead of taking a straight line like you do in North Dakota... and go to the Upper Peninsula before the lower if you do go; Stephen Colbert ruled it part of Canada : )
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68. Orcasystems 06:02 AM GMT del 21 Gennaio 2009    
Quoting hurristat:


LOL... the lakes get annoying when you're trying to drive somewhere. you have to drive around several lakes to go 10 miles instead of taking a straight line like you do in North Dakota... and go to the Upper Peninsula before the lower if you do go; Stephen Colbert ruled it part of Canada : )


You guys are technically part of the area they call the land of a thousand lakes aren't you?
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69. TampaSpin 06:05 AM GMT del 21 Gennaio 2009    
Quoting Orcasystems:


Timmy my boy... sometimes you just worry me :)


replay what he said....and listen.....White, black, yellow, red......im not a racist person at all....to your thinking but, obvious many are in denial and not open about this world.
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70. Orcasystems 06:05 AM GMT del 21 Gennaio 2009    
Anyway.. bed time for me.. work tomorrow :(
have fun.. play nice..
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71. TampaSpin 06:08 AM GMT del 21 Gennaio 2009    
Quoting Orcasystems:
Anyway.. bed time for me.. work tomorrow :(
have fun.. play nice..


Yep little BOYS like me should be in bed as labled......LMAO
Member Since: Settembre 2, 2007 Posts: 175 Comments: 19747
72. hurristat 06:08 AM GMT del 21 Gennaio 2009    
Quoting melwerle:
ok - so i have to just say it then hurristat as you've been here apparently.

The "choice words" fly here - and we are seriously offended by them being from the north or being from anywhere really but here. It's like this place is stuck in a time that won't move on. My daughter, who is blonde, blue eyed...we moved here and she fell in love with another kid from the school...I knew all about nicki - and was fine with whatever went on - innocent enough - they are kids. He is type 1, she is type 1 - they met in the nurse' office. Awwwwwww....

when I told someone about it - they felt the need to inform me that nicki was black. Half black anyway and that didn't i know. I was like "and your point IS?" This election here was kind of quieted and I won't even begin to say what the kids have been saying on the bus. there was a joke going around that would offend all of you - and i guarantee that you would all gasp. The principal here at least had the sense to tell the kids they would be expelled if he heard them repeat it.

When I moved here, I never thought it would be like this - I thought people had moved past this but apparently not. What I hope most is that Obama does REALLY WELL, kicks ass, takes names and shuts these people up...


I have to confess... i have been to the deep south maybe but twice, but I know some people who say very similar things about the same topics. I try not to stereotype, but based on the history of the south (as interpreted by the north), i inferred what many people would say about such touchy topics. It has only been 43-44 years since Former President Johnson signed the bill, and parents have a huge influence on their children... but if my interpretation is wrong, go ahead and call me on it.
Member Since: Ottobre 15, 2008 Posts: 11 Comments: 2302
73. Orcasystems 06:08 AM GMT del 21 Gennaio 2009    
Quoting TampaSpin:


replay what he said....and listen.....White, black, yellow, red......im not a racist person at all....to your thinking but, obvious many are in denial and not open about this world.


I didn't call you racist.. I just said to open your mind and listen to all of the lines.. to all of the remarks about each colour.. I am sure each one can be taken in a positive and or negative context, depending how your willing to look at them.

I looked at all of them in a positive context.. I could care less what colour anyone is. Its personality that counts for me.
Member Since: Ottobre 1, 2007 Posts: 77 Comments: 26077
74. hurristat 06:10 AM GMT del 21 Gennaio 2009    
Quoting Orcasystems:


You guys are technically part of the area they call the land of a thousand lakes aren't you?


that's Minnesota's nickname...but kind of... but in Michigan you're never more than 6 miles from water.
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75. TampaSpin 06:15 AM GMT del 21 Gennaio 2009    
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76. hurristat 06:18 AM GMT del 21 Gennaio 2009    
Quoting TampaSpin:


I watched it live at school... anyway, did anyone see the size of Biden's bible? It looked like it weighed a ton... poor Mrs. Biden.
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77. TampaSpin 06:20 AM GMT del 21 Gennaio 2009    
Quoting hurristat:


I watched it live at school... anyway, did anyone see the size of Biden's bible? It looked like it weighed a ton... poor Mrs. Biden.


That was a family Bible that had been in the family from i think 1880's something.....that was very cool actually..
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78. HurrMichaelOrl 06:22 AM GMT del 21 Gennaio 2009    
Anybody in the Tampa area watching for a few flurries? It might be too warm there, but the light showers are now moving into west central Fl. I'm sure it's cold enough in some areas for snow.
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79. TampaSpin 06:24 AM GMT del 21 Gennaio 2009    
Quoting HurrMichaelOrl:
Anybody in the Tampa area watching for a few flurries? It might be too warm there, but the light showers are now moving into west central Fl. I'm sure it's cold enough in some areas for snow.


Its about 43deg. here at my house. I live in NW Tampa.
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80. charlesimages 06:26 AM GMT del 21 Gennaio 2009    
2008 was far too cool for my liking, I sure hope 2009 is warmer. Great info Dr Masters thanks.
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81. hurristat 06:27 AM GMT del 21 Gennaio 2009    
Quoting TampaSpin:


That was a family Bible that had been in the family from i think 1880's something.....that was very cool actually..


that is cool, but still...

I think Obama swearing in on Lincoln's bible is even more cool however.

What's interesting is that the clause "so help me god" was added to the end of the inaugural address and the the founding fathers were not very religious, Thomas Jefferson was a deist, etc... not trying to get an argument going, just remarking on the subject.
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82. HurrMichaelOrl 06:28 AM GMT del 21 Gennaio 2009    
Well tampaspin, that might be too warm. We did have some wet flakes in Orlando in Nov 06 when it was 43, could happen?
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83. hurristat 06:29 AM GMT del 21 Gennaio 2009    
Quoting TampaSpin:


Its about 43deg. here at my house. I live in NW Tampa.


If it weren't for Orca, Keeper, NEwx, and Bonedog, I'd probably go crazy telling you Floridians that you guys have absolutely no idea.
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84. charlesimages 06:29 AM GMT del 21 Gennaio 2009    
Quoting hurristat:


Michigan.


Hello there fellow Michigander! I'm from the Cedar Springs area. I'll be moving to FL
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85. hurristat 06:30 AM GMT del 21 Gennaio 2009    
Quoting HurrMichaelOrl:
Well tampaspin, that might be too warm. We did have some wet flakes in Orlando in Nov 06 when it was 43, could happen?


47 being the highest temperature recorded for snow, definitely possible
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86. TampaSpin 06:31 AM GMT del 21 Gennaio 2009    
Quoting hurristat:


If it weren't for Orca, NEwx, and Bonedog, I'd probably go crazy telling you Floridians that you guys have absolutely no idea.


I live in Florida but, im not a Floridian. I am from the North........LOL
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87. hurristat 06:32 AM GMT del 21 Gennaio 2009    
Quoting charlesimages:


Hello there fellow Michigander! I'm from the Cedar Springs area.


HEY!!! OMG SOMEONE ELSE FROM MICHIGAN!!! I'm kinda in between Brighton and Novi, 15 min from Dr. Masters
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88. TampaSpin 06:32 AM GMT del 21 Gennaio 2009    
Quoting HurrMichaelOrl:
Well tampaspin, that might be too warm. We did have some wet flakes in Orlando in Nov 06 when it was 43, could happen?


I got the lights on outside...im watching....LOL
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89. hurristat 06:33 AM GMT del 21 Gennaio 2009    
Quoting TampaSpin:


I live in Florida but, im not a Floridian. I am from the North........LOL


you're half off the hook...
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90. charlesimages 06:34 AM GMT del 21 Gennaio 2009    
Quoting hurristat:


HEY!!! OMG SOMEONE ELSE FROM MICHIGAN!!! I'm kinda in between Brighton and Novi, 15 min from Dr. Masters


LOL yea!

I know where that is, I've been over there. Went to Ann Arbor in 2004 to see Michigan take on Indiana. GO BLUE!
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91. hurristat 06:34 AM GMT del 21 Gennaio 2009    
charles wu mail... why are you going to florida? you'll just join the nation of whiners about cold (jk)...
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92. hurristat 06:35 AM GMT del 21 Gennaio 2009    
Quoting charlesimages:


LOL yea!

I know where that is, I've been over there. Went to Ann Arbor in 2004 to see Michigan take on Indiana. GO BLUE!


when they were good...
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93. TampaSpin 06:38 AM GMT del 21 Gennaio 2009    
Quoting hurristat:


when they were good...


Was the Blue ever good.....I'm from Indiana.....LOL ....what a miserable Football school.....LOL.......i'm talking about Indiana of course....LMAO
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94. melwerle 06:39 AM GMT del 21 Gennaio 2009    
Quoting Orcasystems:


I didn't call you racist.. I just said to open your mind and listen to all of the lines.. to all of the remarks about each colour.. I am sure each one can be taken in a positive and or negative context, depending how your willing to look at them.

I looked at all of them in a positive context.. I could care less what colour anyone is. Its personality that counts for me.

I agree with you Orca - I don't care what color you are. I am way more interested in if you are a decent guy/gal and help folks. I tell my girls I'm going to ask for a TRW before they go out on a date just to make sure the guys aren't racking up huge bills and not paying on them...lol (j/k - in these times it would be a norm actually).

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95. charlesimages 06:40 AM GMT del 21 Gennaio 2009    
LOL! Yea so I can whine about the cold! Naw, to go make me some money and live with my best friend. Plus I have had a dream to move to FL since i was a little kid, I LOVE heat and humidity too!

Man, the OLD Wolverines were good now it's like.. dare I say it, no.. I can;t.. we already have the Lions *aaack*
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96. charlesimages 06:42 AM GMT del 21 Gennaio 2009    
Quoting TampaSpin:


Was the Blue ever good.....I'm from Indiana.....LOL ....what a miserable Football school.....LOL


Oh no you didn't just type that LOL
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97. melwerle 06:45 AM GMT del 21 Gennaio 2009    
Anywho - it's 25 here, no snow and my heat has been running on all three floors for i don't know...all day. I'm sure i am going to fall over when the bill comes in.

I gotta move the oldest from the upper level - to downstairs - I realize it's a teen thing to have the floor by yourself but DANG...enough already. We could shut the second and third story a/c & heat to a min and just take care of the downstairs.

Sweet dreams to all - I'm sure that my feet are feeling better than Michelle Obamas right now...and I'm sure that my night has been more quiet than their nanny that is watching their girls (they are all watching high school musical 3...i would rather gouge my own eyeballs out with a butterknife...)

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98. hurristat 06:46 AM GMT del 21 Gennaio 2009    
Quoting melwerle:

I agree with you Orca - I don't care what color you are. I am way more interested in if you are a decent guy/gal and help folks. I tell my girls I'm going to ask for a TRW before they go out on a date just to make sure the guys aren't racking up huge bills and not paying on them...lol (j/k - in these times it would be a norm actually).



THANK YOU!!! THAT FIRST STATEMENT IS WHAT PEOPLE SHOULD LIVE BY!!! (sorry for the overzealous caps)
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99. TampaSpin 06:49 AM GMT del 21 Gennaio 2009    
Quoting melwerle:

I agree with you Orca - I don't care what color you are. I am way more interested in if you are a decent guy/gal and help folks. I tell my girls I'm going to ask for a TRW before they go out on a date just to make sure the guys aren't racking up huge bills and not paying on them...lol (j/k - in these times it would be a norm actually).



Mel my house has kids of every color in and out of my house...sorry to offend you and other Democrats upon what i thought was improper things said and this historic event.....that my only point...look at the video replay above and many might have different views.......i just thought is was over the top for the event that we as witnessing.....WOW!
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100. hurristat 06:50 AM GMT del 21 Gennaio 2009    
Quoting charlesimages:
LOL! Yea so I can whine about the cold! Naw, to go make me some money and live with my best friend. Plus I have had a dream to move to FL since i was a little kid, I LOVE heat and humidity too!

Man, the OLD Wolverines were good now it's like.. dare I say it, no.. I can;t.. we already have the Lions *aaack*


no its more like *saaacked* with the lions but MSU has kinda replaced U of M... and for you Indiana folk... has Indiana ever won a national championship... that's what i thought... and we have 7... chew on that one
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101. hurristat 06:52 AM GMT del 21 Gennaio 2009    
Quoting melwerle:
Anywho - it's 25 here, no snow and my heat has been running on all three floors for i don't know...all day. I'm sure i am going to fall over when the bill comes in.

I gotta move the oldest from the upper level - to downstairs - I realize it's a teen thing to have the floor by yourself but DANG...enough already. We could shut the second and third story a/c & heat to a min and just take care of the downstairs.

Sweet dreams to all - I'm sure that my feet are feeling better than Michelle Obamas right now...and I'm sure that my night has been more quiet than their nanny that is watching their girls (they are all watching high school musical 3...i would rather gouge my own eyeballs out with a butterknife...)



aaahhh...Floridians...trade your butterknife for a spoon...
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About JeffMasters
Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

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