Alberto
Most models are indicating that the formation of a cut-off low seperated from a front could happen Monday or Tuesday. The system, which is strongly supported by the Euro, could be our 2nd April storm to occur in over 150 years. The system would be sub-tropical in nature if it were to form, though is shown that it could get to a decent strength before being absorbed into a trough around Friday. This set-up seems to be convincing, and it could very well become a named storm. At this point, the major models have been in agreement for almost 4 days of the formation of the storm. With this decent of a signal, I can actually see this formation occuring. Currently I'm giving the system a 50% chance of forming, though i'll have a much better indication when the system becomes more evident around Sunday.
