Sea of Cortez Weather for 08/31/12
The Sonrisenet: The premier source for Sea of Cortez weather.
Click here for the Sonrisa Net Weather Webpage
Click here for the Satellite WunderMap view of the Sea of Cortez
After the Sonrisa Weather it’s back to work.
This summary and the daily postings are now posted on the Sonrisanet webpage usually by 8:30 MDT daily.
The following is from my daily ham radio Report
And is now available as a podcast.
Click above to Go to the Sonrisa Net Website
Friday, August 31, 2012
Voice to Text---
.Looking down into the Sea this morning I can see that the south end of the peninsula had showers yesterday morning. Several locations around the cape reported over two inches of rain. Showers picked up in the afternoon from La Paz south. Juncalitoville reported a trace of rain and downtown Loreto reported a little over a quarter inch of rain yesterday afternoon. La Paz had over an inch of rain. Here in the cove we had a few sprinkles late in the afternoon but that was it. It looked like the southern peninsula had most of the rain.
This morning the spin off from hurricane Ileana is sending broad scattered bands of clouds over the central and northern Sea.
Looking over to Sonora I can see that there was some thunderbumper activity in the northwest corner of the state with some thumpers moving up the lower Colorado River Valley and a few up into the California deserts.
In the Sea I can see there was a few cells develop around San Franciscito bay. They looked to be short lived. There were several others along the northern coast that all looked to be short lived.
Over night with the exception of some cloudiness in the northern Sea the Sea has just some fluffys here and there.
Looking south along the Mexican Riviera I can see there has been numerous cells develop along the coast. Most are off shore now. The heaviest is west of Acapulco this morning. Yesterday afternoon Puerto Vallarta had over 3 inches of rain.
Looking now in our Tropical Kitchen where hurricane Ileana is approaching colder waters just west of the cape this morning. The forecast continues to show her being plutoed to a tropical storm later today. She will continue to move WNW over the next couple of days.
The other item is a wanna-be that is a bit west of Acapulco this morning. The area of showers and thunderbumper has increased over the past 24 hours and it’s trying hard to become the next tropical storm. As of 6am this morning it still has not been given an invest designation. Should that happen and it does develop into a tropical storm it will be just another John. The “J” named storms in the past have been the ones that have caused us grief. Let’s hope this is an exception.
OK, that’s what is going on in our hood so looking now north to the west coast of America where there has not been much change in the weather all week.
Southern California will continue to see thunderbumper activity in the mountains and deserts and that’s about it.
Looking over to the southwest where they will continue to see temperatures around the century mark into the Labor Day weekend. Weak high pressure will result in a slight chance of some thunderbumper activity over the weekend. Next week the high is forecast to rebuild over the region.
That’s what is going on to the north of us. Back on this side of the Fence
The next three days in the Gonzaga bay area will see ballpark 15 knot winds today from the ESE, tomorrow WSW, and Sunday NE. just to give them some variety.
The rest of the Sea in general mostly ESE winds over the 3-day forecast period. However tomorrow the Baja side of the northern crossing area is forecast to see moderate NE winds into Sunday.
There is a good possibility that the Baja peninsula will again see showers and thunderbumper today.’
Temperatures today will be in the low to mid 90s.
73s Y’all
Friday, August 31, 2012
Don't chisel these forecasts in stone. This is an Amateur Endeavor.
………...DAILYS………...
ALL winds are in Knots.
NORTHERN CROSSING FORECAST:
TODAY : Friday, August 31, 2012
Baja Side : Afternoon Winds: ESE 12-16
CENTER : Afternoon Winds: SE 15-19
Guaymas Side : Afternoon Winds: S 14-18
TOMORROW: Saturday, September 01, 2012
Baja side : Afternoon Winds: ENE 9-12
Center : Afternoon Winds: SSE 7-9
Guaymas side : Afternoon Winds: WSW 7-9
.
SOUTHERN CROSSING FORECAST:
TODAY : Friday, August 31, 2012
East Cape : Afternoon Winds: SSE 9-11
Center : Afternoon Winds: S 10-13
Mazatlan : Afternoon Winds: SSW 10-13
TOMORROW : Saturday, September 01, 2012
East Cape : Afternoon Winds: ESE 6-7
Center : Afternoon Winds: SW 9-12
Mazatlan : Afternoon Winds: SSW 9-11
.
….. 3 DAY FORECAST (OUTSIDE)…...
Ensenada
Friday 8/31 Afternoon Winds: NW 14-18
Seas: SSW 5 feet at 19 sec.
Saturday 9/1 Afternoon Winds: NW 14-18
Seas: SSW 6 feet at 17 sec.
Sunday 9/2 Afternoon Winds: WNW 9-12
Seas: SSW 6 feet at 16 sec.
Point San Quintin
Friday 8/31 Afternoon Winds: WNW 12-16
Seas: Seas: SSW 6 feet at 19 sec.
Saturday 9/1 Afternoon Winds: WNW 9-12
Seas: SSW 7 feet at 16 sec.
Sunday 9/2 Afternoon Winds: WNW 9-12
Seas: SSW 6 feet at 16 sec.
Turtle Bay
Friday 8/31 Afternoon Winds: WNW 15-19
Seas: WNW 3 feet at 8 sec.
Saturday 9/1 Afternoon Winds: WNW 14-18
Seas: NW 2 feet at 8 sec.
Sunday 9/2 Afternoon Winds: WNW 14-18
Seas: WNW 2 feet at 8 sec.
Cedros Island
Friday 8/31 Afternoon Winds: WNW 9-12
Seas: SSW 3 feet at 18 sec.
Saturday 9/1 Afternoon Winds: SW 10-13
Seas: SSW 4 feet at 16 sec.
Sunday 9/2 Afternoon Winds: W 9-11
Seas: SSW 3 feet at 16 sec.
ABREOJOS
Friday 8/31 Afternoon Winds: SSE 11-14
Seas: S 10 feet at 12 sec.
Saturday 9/1 Afternoon Winds: S 9-12
Seas: SSW 8 feet at 16 sec.
Sunday 9/2 Afternoon Winds: W 12-16
Seas: SSW 6 feet at 15 sec.
Mag Bay
Friday 8/31 Afternoon Winds: SE 18-23
Seas: SSW 10 feet at 18 sec.
Saturday 9/1 Afternoon Winds: SW 10-13
Seas: SSW 7 feet at 16 sec.
Sunday 9/2 Afternoon Winds: WNW 10-13
Seas: SSW 6 feet at 15 se
*CABO FALSO (Pedregal)
Today's Sunrise Temp.: 81 °
Daily High Temperature: 85%
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Friday 8/31 Morning Winds: SSE 10 to 13 knots
Afternoon Winds: SSW 11-14
Seas: Seas: SSW 9 feet at 18 sec.
Saturday 9/1 Afternoon Winds: SW 7-9
Seas: SSW 7 feet at 16 sec.
Sunday 9/2 Afternoon Winds: W 8-10
Seas: SSW 5 feet at 15 sec
. SEA OF CORTEZ
* indicates WeatherUnderground Station
*Puerto Penasco Casa Weez:
Morning Winds: SSE 7 to 9 knots
Afternoon Winds: SW 11-14
Sunrise Temp.: 81 °
Daily High Temperature: 90 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: Calm
#VALUE!
*Bahia Kino Nuevo :
Morning Winds: SSE 11 to 14 knots
Afternoon Winds: S 12-16
Sunrise Temp.: 83 °
Daily High Temperature: 90 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*San Filepe:
Morning Winds: NNE 2 to 3 knots
Afternoon Winds: E 8-10
Sunrise Temp.: 81 °
Daily High Temperature: 93 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*Gonzoga Bay Pappa Fernandez Landing. :
Morning Winds: ESE 9 to 12 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 11-14
Sunrise Temp.: 88 °
Daily High Temperature: 94 °
Yesterday's Rainfall:
#VALUE!
*Bay of LA. :
Morning Winds: SE 10 to 14 knots
Afternoon Winds: SE 12-15
Sunrise Temp.: N/A
Daily High Temperature: N/A
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
San Franciscito Bay :
Morning Winds: ESE 11 to 15 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 12-16
Santa Rosalia :
Morning Winds: SE 11 to 15 knots
Afternoon Winds: SE 12-16
Sunrise Temp.: N/A
Daily High Temperature: N/A
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*Mulegé :
Morning Winds: ESE 11 to 15 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 12-16
Sunrise Temp.: 80 °
Daily High Temperature: 94 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*San Carlos
Morning Winds: S 6 to 7 knots
Afternoon Winds: WSW 7-9
Sunrise Temp.: 83 °
Daily High Temperature: 89 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Pt Concepcion :
Morning Winds: E 2 to 2 knots
Afternoon Winds: ENE 9-12
Punta Chivato :
Morning Winds: SE 11 to 15 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 12-16
*El Burro Cove in Concepcion Bay
Morning Winds Winds: ESE 11 to 15 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 12-16
Sunrise Temp.: 83 °
Daily High Temperature: 91 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Sunrise Sea Temperature: 87
Puerto Escondido Juncalitoville
Morning Winds: ESE 9 to 13 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 12-15
Sunrise Temp.: 83 °
Daily High Temperature: 93 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
San Lorenzo Channel :
Morning Winds: ESE 6 to 8 knots
Afternoon Winds: S 8-10
La Paz:
Morning Winds: SE 8 to 11 knots
Afternoon Winds: SE 6-7
Sunrise Temp.: 75 °
Daily High Temperature: 91 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*La Ventana Baja Joe's :
Morning Winds: SE 10 to 13 knots
Afternoon Winds: SSE 9-11
Sunrise Temp.: N/A
Daily High Temperature: N/A
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*Los Barriles :
Morning Winds: SE 11 to 14 knots
Afternoon Winds: SSE 10-13
Sunrise Temp.: N/A
Daily High Temperature: N/A
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Cabo Pulmo :
Morning Winds: SSE 9 to 12 knots
Afternoon Winds: SSW 12-16
Seas: SSW 4 feet at 18 sec.
*Cabo San Lucas :
Morning Winds: SSE 8 to 10 knots
Afternoon Winds: SW 11-14
Sunrise Temp.: 83 °
Daily High Temperature: 88 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
MEXICAN RIVIERA
*Mazatlan,
Morning Winds: E 4 to 5 knots
Afternoon Winds: SSW 10-13
Sunrise Temp.: 81 °
Daily High Temperature: 90 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*Puerta Vallarta:
Morning Winds: ENE 3 to 4 knots
Afternoon Winds: WNW 8-10
Sunrise Temp.: 79 °
Daily High Temperature: 94 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Manzanillo :
Morning Winds: NW 9 to 12 knots
Afternoon Winds: SW 6-7
Sunrise Temp.: 77 °
Daily High Temperature: 90 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Ixtapa Zihuatanejo :
Morning Winds: SSE 8 to 10 knots
Afternoon Winds: SE 12-16
Sunrise Temp.: 76 °
Daily High Temperature: 91 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Cabo Corrienties :
Morning Winds: N 4 to 5 knots
Afternoon Winds: WNW 7-9
Seas: SSW 7 feet at 16 sec.
Sea of Cortez Weather for 08/30/12
The Sonrisenet: The premier source for Sea of Cortez weather.
Click here for the Sonrisa Net Weather Webpage
Click here for the Satellite WunderMap view of the Sea of Cortez
After the Sonrisa Weather it’s back to work.
This summary and the daily postings are now posted on the Sonrisanet webpage usually by 8:30 MDT daily.
The following is from my daily ham radio Report
And is now available as a podcast.
Click above to Go to the Sonrisa Net Website
Thursday, August 30, 2012
Voice to Text---
.Looking down into the Sea this morning I can see that yesterday morning most of the debris clouds cleared for the Sea of Cortez and the morning hours and early afternoon the Sea saw mostly sunshine.
Then heavy clouds starting developing all along the Baja coast and by late afternoon a line of thunderclouds paralleled the coast and by late afternoon there was heavy thunderbumper activity from La Paz south to the Bay of La.
Here in the cove we had almost an inch of rain in 45 minutes. Over an inch in the past two days. Tremendous thunder claps as the storms came rolling over. Rattle your teeth thunder claps. The humidity was so thick you could cut it with a knife. (That was rather poetic)
Every location along the Baja coast from Cabo to the Bay of La reported at least a trace of rain including Guaymas except Juncalitoville
If you remember when tropical storm Hector was exactly where Ileana is now we had the same pattern with thunderbumpers and rain in the afternoons. Ileana is much stronger than Hector and it looks like we will continue to see these afternoon delights right into Labor Day weekend at least.
Over in Sonora there were many thunderbumper that developed and all moved north with a few extending out into the Sea around the Bay of La area.
This morning the entire state of Sonora is blanketed with remnant clouds with some extending into the San Filepe region.
The Sea this morning south of San Filepe is mostly clear with scattered remnant clouds that should clear by early morning.
At 5am the extreme cape area had a thunderbumper over it. The webcam at La Paz showing some overcast. The webcam at Cabo showed heavy rain.
Looking south of the cape I looks like there was not a lot of thunderbumper activity along the Mexican Riviera yesterday or last night except Puerto Vallarta which had over an inch of rain. They have had over 60 inches of rain this year.
Looking now in our Tropical Kitchen where a couple hundred miles west of Central America we have a wanna-be. Right now is just large area of disorganized showers and thumpers. It is forecast to move WNW over the next couple of days. No invest designation has been given at this time.
On the front burner we have Ileana which was designated a hurricane at 9:30 last night. She will continue to follow the track of tropical storm Hector and move NW then probably late tomorrow be plutoed to a tropical storm as she hits cooler waters. That however will not lessen the chances of moisture from this system producing thunderbumper in the Baja peninsula.
That’s what is going on in our hood so looking now north to the west coast of America where is should be a boring day for the weather talkers. Absolutely nothing going on except normal August weather. Hot inland and cool along the coast.
The weather folks in Southern California will have something to talk about and that is the monsoon moisture in the region. They are forecasting thunderbumper and heavy showers to the deserts and mountains through tomorrow. Flash flooding advisories will be in their forecasts.
Starting tomorrow night high pressure will weaken and allow for a slow cooling trend however moisture coming up from the south will continue.
Looking now over to the southwest where temperatures today will be in the low 100s. High pressure will continue to weaken through the end of the week resulting temperatures remaining around the century mark. In the meantime the monsoon will continue to bring isolated scattered afternoon and evening showers and thunderbumper into early next week.
That’s what is going on to the north of us. Back on this side of the fence it looks like if you are in Baja you will most likely need an umbrella this afternoon.
Wind-wise today and tomorrow the southern Sea and the northern crossing will see brisk to strong southerlies to 20K in the afternoons. The southern Sea from Puerto Escondido south moderate southerlies. La Paz could see perhaps up to 18 knot this afternoon thought.
Saturday right now it looks like the winds will be back to the moderate ranges again.
So plan your parade for this morning. This afternoon it looks like rain is in the forecast.
Temperatures today will be in the low 90s in most locations.
73s Y’all
Thursday, August 30, 2012
Don't chisel these forecasts in stone. This is an Amateur Endeavor.
………...DAILYS………...
ALL winds are in Knots.
NORTHERN CROSSING FORECAST:
TODAY : Thursday, August 30, 2012
Baja Side : Afternoon Winds: ESE 14-18
CENTER : Afternoon Winds: SE 14-18
Guaymas Side : Afternoon Winds: SSE 15-20
TOMORROW: Friday, August 31, 2012
Baja side : Afternoon Winds: SE 16-21
Center : Afternoon Winds: SE 18-23
Guaymas side : Afternoon Winds: SE 15-19
.
SOUTHERN CROSSING FORECAST:
TODAY : Thursday, August 30, 2012
East Cape : Afternoon Winds: SE 16-21
Center : Afternoon Winds: SSE 13-17
Mazatlan : Afternoon Winds: S 12-16
TOMORROW : Friday, August 31, 2012
East Cape : Afternoon Winds: SSE 11-14
Center : Afternoon Winds: SSE 11-14
Mazatlan : Afternoon Winds: SSE 10-13
.
….. 3 DAY FORECAST (OUTSIDE)…...
Ensenada
Thursday 8/30 Afternoon Winds: WNW 11-14
Seas: SSW 4 feet at 22 sec.
Friday 8/31 Afternoon Winds: WNW 11-14
Seas: SSW 5 feet at 19 sec.
Saturday 9/1 Afternoon Winds: WNW 10-13
Seas: SSW 6 feet at 17 sec
Point San Quintin
Thursday 8/30 Afternoon Winds: W 10-13
Seas: Seas: SSW 5 feet at 22 sec.
Friday 8/31 Afternoon Winds: NW 14-18
Seas: SSW 6 feet at 19 sec.
Saturday 9/1 Afternoon Winds: S 7 10-13
Seas: SSW 8 feet at 16 sec.
Turtle Bay
Thursday 8/30 Afternoon Winds: WNW 15-19
Seas: NW 3 feet at 9 sec.
Friday 8/31 Afternoon Winds: WNW 14-18
Seas: WNW 3 feet at 8 sec.
Saturday 9/1 Afternoon Winds: WSW 12-16
Seas: NW 2 feet at 8 sec.
Cedros Island
Thursday 8/30 Afternoon Winds: WNW 11-14
Seas: SSE 3 feet at 12 sec.
Friday 8/31 Afternoon Winds: NW 10-13
Seas: SSW 3 feet at 18 sec.
Saturday 9/1 Afternoon Winds: SSW 13-17
Seas: SSW 4 feet at 16 sec.
ABREOJOS
Thursday 8/30 Afternoon Winds: WSW 11-14
Seas: SSE 7 feet at 12 sec.
Friday 8/31 Afternoon Winds: SSE 13-17
Seas: S 10 feet at 12 sec.
Saturday 9/1 Afternoon Winds: S 11-14
Seas: SSW 8 feet at 16 s
Mag Bay
Thursday 8/30 Afternoon Winds: SE 14-18
Seas: S 10 feet at 12 sec.
Friday 8/31 Afternoon Winds: SSE 19-25
Seas: SSW 12 feet at 11 sec.
Saturday 9/1 Afternoon Winds: SW 10-13
Seas: SSW 8 feet at 16 sec.
*CABO FALSO (Pedregal)
Today's Sunrise Temp.: 79 °
Daily High Temperature: 92%
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Thursday 8/30 Morning Winds: SE 14 to 20 knots
Afternoon Winds: SE 15-20
Seas: Seas: SSW 10 feet at 11 sec.
Friday 8/31 Afternoon Winds: S 11-14
Seas: SSW 10 feet at 18 sec.
Saturday 9/1 Afternoon Winds: WSW 9-12
Seas: SSW 7 feet at 16 sec.
. SEA OF CORTEZ
* indicates WeatherUnderground Station
*Puerto Penasco Casa Weez:
Morning Winds: S 8 to 11 knots
Afternoon Winds: SW 12-16
Sunrise Temp.: 86 °
Daily High Temperature: 90 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: Calm
#VALUE!
*Bahia Kino Nuevo :
Morning Winds: SSE 9 to 13 knots
Afternoon Winds: SSE 13-17
Sunrise Temp.: 80 °
Daily High Temperature: 88 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*San Filepe:
Morning Winds: SSE 10 to 14 knots
Afternoon Winds: SSE 9-12
Sunrise Temp.: 88 °
Daily High Temperature: 97 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*Gonzoga Bay Pappa Fernandez Landing. :
Morning Winds: ESE 6 to 9 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 15-20
Sunrise Temp.: 86 °
Daily High Temperature: °
Yesterday's Rainfall:
#VALUE!
*Bay of LA. :
Morning Winds: SE 8 to 11 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 14-18
Sunrise Temp.: N/A
Daily High Temperature: N/A
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
San Franciscito Bay :
Morning Winds: ESE 9 to 12 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 15-19
Santa Rosalia :
Morning Winds: SE 10 to 13 knots
Afternoon Winds: SE 14-18
Sunrise Temp.: N/A
Daily High Temperature: N/A
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*Mulegé :
Morning Winds: SE 9 to 12 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 14-18
Sunrise Temp.: 76 °
Daily High Temperature: 96 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*San Carlos
Morning Winds: SE 14 to 18 knots
Afternoon Winds: SE 15-19
Sunrise Temp.: 81 °
Daily High Temperature: 88 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Pt Concepcion :
Morning Winds: SE 14 to 18 knots
Afternoon Winds: SE 16-21
Punta Chivato :
Morning Winds: ESE 9 to 13 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 14-18
*El Burro Cove in Concepcion Bay
Morning Winds Winds: SE 9 to 12 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 14-18
Sunrise Temp.: 80 °
Daily High Temperature: 91 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Sunrise Sea Temperature: 87
Puerto Escondido Juncalitoville
Morning Winds: ESE 8 to 11 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 12-15
Sunrise Temp.: 81 °
Daily High Temperature: 98 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
San Lorenzo Channel :
Morning Winds: ESE 10 to 13 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 10-13
La Paz:
Morning Winds: ESE 13 to 17 knots
Afternoon Winds: SE 14-18
Sunrise Temp.: 77 °
Daily High Temperature: 100 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*La Ventana Baja Joe's :
Morning Winds: SE 13 to 18 knots
Afternoon Winds: SE 16-21
Sunrise Temp.: N/A
Daily High Temperature: N/A
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*Los Barriles :
Morning Winds: SE 14 to 18 knots
Afternoon Winds: SSE 17-22
Sunrise Temp.: N/A
Daily High Temperature: N/A
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Cabo Pulmo :
Morning Winds: SE 12 to 17 knots
Afternoon Winds: SSE 16-21
Seas: S 5 feet at 11 sec.
*Cabo San Lucas :
Morning Winds: SE 13 to 18 knots
Afternoon Winds: SSE 13-17
Sunrise Temp.: 80 °
Daily High Temperature: 89 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0.7 in.
#VALUE!
MEXICAN RIVIERA
*Mazatlan,
Morning Winds: ESE 6 to 8 knots
Afternoon Winds: S 12-16
Sunrise Temp.: 82 °
Daily High Temperature: 88 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*Puerta Vallarta:
Morning Winds: ESE 5 to 7 knots
Afternoon Winds: SW 10-13
Sunrise Temp.: 80 °
Daily High Temperature: 94 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Manzanillo :
Morning Winds: NNW 6 to 8 knots
Afternoon Winds: W 13-17
Sunrise Temp.: 79 °
Daily High Temperature: 90 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Ixtapa Zihuatanejo :
Morning Winds: WSW 8 to 11 knots
Afternoon Winds: WNW 10-13
Sunrise Temp.: 75 °
Daily High Temperature: 87 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Cabo Corrienties :
Morning Winds: ESE 4 to 5 knots
Afternoon Winds: SSW 10-13
Seas: SSW 8 feet at 18 sec.
Sea of Cortez Weather for 08/29/12
The Sonrisenet: The premier source for Sea of Cortez weather.
Click here for the Sonrisa Net Weather Webpage
Click here for the Satellite WunderMap view of the Sea of Cortez
After the Sonrisa Weather it’s back to work.
This summary and the daily postings are now posted on the Sonrisanet webpage usually by 8:30 MDT daily.
The following is from my daily ham radio Report
And is now available as a podcast.
Click above to Go to the Sonrisa Net Website
Wednesday, August 29, 2012
Voice to Text---
.Looking down into the Sea this morning with the 24 hour loop I can see that yesterday afternoon from Mazatlan to northern Sonora was pretty much one solid thunderbumper.
Over in Baja from just north of La Paz to around San Franciscito bay was also one solid cell that brought light to moderate rain to that region.
Here in the Cove starting at a little after 4 in the afternoon it was the most intense thunderstorm I’ve ever been in as far a thunder. For an hour it was almost defining. One tremendous clap right after the other. I could see it vibrating the water in a glass on my table; We had a steady moderate rain during this period.
During the night the Baja side has pretty much cleared of the heavy stuff but I can see a lot of residual cloudiness close to the Baja coast.
Over in Sonora a cell developed around Los Mochas and moved north during the morning hours and it is currently over the Guaymas area.
Looking south to the Mexican Riviera there has not been a lot of thunderbumper activity along the coast in the past 24 hours. This morning just a few cells mostly just off shore.
In our Tropical Kitchen this morning we have tropical storm Ileana. She is forecast to continue moving WNW today and tomorrow before swinging more to the west. Today sometime she should reach hurricane strength. The current forecasting models indicate there should be no danger to the Baja peninsula. This image is starting to show some circulation.
I would expect to see some cloudiness over the next couple of days over southern Baja then speeding north to central Baja as Ileana passed to the west. With all this moisture in the air more rain is probable in the mountains and could extend to the Sea.
In fact I’d be surprised if we did not get some afternoon showers for the rest of the week along the southern and central Baja coast.
That’s what’s going on in our hood so looking now north to the west coast of America where typical August weather blankets the west coast currently under high pressure. During the week weak lows will assault the high pushing it to the east cooling things off a bit. Then the high will return later in the weak and warm things back up again.
In southern California monsoonal moisture will bring a threat to afternoon showers and thunderbumper to the mountains and California deserts through Friday. It will remain seasonally warn for this period
Looking now over to the southwest where the strong high pressure system will slowly weaken and skirt east for the remainder of the week allowing temperatures to gradually fall towards the seasonal norms. The monsoonal moisture has shifted toward the coast and should return later in the week. Until the return the best chances of thunderbumper activity is in the higher elevations. Major concern over the Great Basin and in general the west is fires from lightning strikes.
That’s what is going on to the north of us. Back on this side of the Fence the only change in our weather pattern will be the threat of afternoon thunderbumpers for at least the end of the week.
There will be some areas where the afternoon breezes will thermally driven but in general we can expect to see moderate southerlies over the next 3 days.
That being said if Baja were to have a rainy season it would be short and would be from Late august into September. With these afternoon thunderbumpers strong winds can accompany them or not so keep a weather eye on approaching afternoon storms.
73s Y’all
Wednesday, August 29, 2012
Don't chisel these forecasts in stone. This is an Amateur Endeavor.
………...DAILYS………...
ALL winds are in Knots.
NORTHERN CROSSING FORECAST:
TODAY : Wednesday, August 29, 2012
Baja Side : Afternoon Winds: ESE 10-13
CENTER : Afternoon Winds: SSE 16-21
Guaymas Side : Afternoon Winds: S 11-14
TOMORROW: Thursday, August 30, 2012
Baja side : Afternoon Winds: ESE 9-12
Center : Afternoon Winds: SE 11-14
Guaymas side : Afternoon Winds: SSW 11-14
.
SOUTHERN CROSSING FORECAST:
TODAY : Wednesday, August 29, 2012
East Cape : Afternoon Winds: SE 10-13
Center : Afternoon Winds: SSW 6-8
Mazatlan : Afternoon Winds: SW 9-11
TOMORROW : Thursday, August 30, 2012
East Cape : Afternoon Winds: SE 12-16
Center : Afternoon Winds: S 8-10
Mazatlan : Afternoon Winds: SSW 8-10
.
….. 3 DAY FORECAST (OUTSIDE)…...
Ensenada
Wednesday 8/29 Afternoon Winds: W 8-10
Seas: S 3 feet at 12 sec.
Thursday 8/30 Afternoon Winds: W 8-10
Seas: SSW 3 feet at 22 sec.
Friday 8/31 Afternoon Winds: WNW 11-14
Seas: SSW 5 feet at 19 sec.
Point San Quintin
Wednesday 8/29 Afternoon Winds: WNW 10-13
Seas: Seas: SSW 4 feet at 11 sec.
Thursday 8/30 Afternoon Winds: WNW 11-14
Seas: SSW 4 feet at 22 sec.
Friday 8/31 Afternoon Winds: WNW 12-15
Seas: SSW 6 feet at 19 sec.
Turtle Bay
Wednesday 8/29 Afternoon Winds: WNW 14-18
Seas: WNW 2 feet at 6 sec.
Thursday 8/30 Afternoon Winds: WNW 15-19
Seas: NW 3 feet at 9 sec.
Friday 8/31 Afternoon Winds: WNW 15-19
Seas: NW 2 feet at 8 sec.
Cedros Island
Wednesday 8/29 Afternoon Winds: W 10-13
Seas: S 2 feet at 11 sec.
Thursday 8/30 Afternoon Winds: WNW 10-13
Seas: SSW 2 feet at 21 sec.
Friday 8/31 Afternoon Winds: WNW 11-14
Seas: SSW 3 feet at 18 sec.
ABREOJOS
Wednesday 8/29 Afternoon Winds: WSW 10-13
Seas: SSE 4 feet at 11 sec.
Thursday 8/30 Afternoon Winds: W 12-16
Seas: SSE 6 feet at 11 sec.
Friday 8/31 Afternoon Winds: WSW 9-12
Seas: SSW 7 feet at 18 sec.
Mag Bay
Wednesday 8/29 Afternoon Winds: W 9-11
Seas: SSE 5 feet at 11 sec.
Thursday 8/30 Afternoon Winds: S 12-16
Seas: S 8 feet at 11 sec.
Friday 8/31 Afternoon Winds: S 12-16
Seas: SSW 8 feet at 18 s
*CABO FALSO (Pedregal)
Today's Sunrise Temp.: 82 °
Daily High Temperature: 84%
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Wednesday 8/29 Morning Winds: ESE 9 to 12 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 12-16
Seas: Seas: SSE 7 feet at 11 sec.
Thursday 8/30 Afternoon Winds: SE 14-18
Seas: SSW 7 feet at 20 sec.
Friday 8/31 Afternoon Winds: SSW 9-11
Seas: SSW 8 feet at 18 sec.
. SEA OF CORTEZ
* indicates WeatherUnderground Station
*Puerto Penasco Casa Weez:
Morning Winds: SSE 11 to 15 knots
Afternoon Winds: SW 12-16
Sunrise Temp.: 87 °
Daily High Temperature: 94 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 8se
#VALUE!
*Bahia Kino Nuevo :
Morning Winds: SSE 12 to 16 knots
Afternoon Winds: SSE 11-14
Sunrise Temp.: N/A
Daily High Temperature: N/A
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*San Filepe:
Morning Winds: SE 7 to 9 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 15-19
Sunrise Temp.: 93 °
Daily High Temperature: 100 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*Gonzoga Bay Pappa Fernandez Landing. :
Morning Winds: SE 5 to 7 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 15-20
Sunrise Temp.: 86 °
Daily High Temperature: 96 °
Yesterday's Rainfall:
#VALUE!
*Bay of LA. :
Morning Winds: SE 8 to 11 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 14-18
Sunrise Temp.: N/A
Daily High Temperature: N/A
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
San Franciscito Bay :
Morning Winds: SE 8 to 10 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 11-14
Santa Rosalia :
Morning Winds: SSE 11 to 15 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 10-13
Sunrise Temp.: N/A
Daily High Temperature: N/A
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*Mulegé :
Morning Winds: SSE 10 to 13 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 10-13
Sunrise Temp.: 79 °
Daily High Temperature: 96 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*San Carlos
Morning Winds: SE 7 to 9 knots
Afternoon Winds: SSW 11-14
Sunrise Temp.: 79 °
Daily High Temperature: 91 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0.04 in.
#VALUE!
Pt Concepcion :
Morning Winds: E 6 to 8 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 9-12
Punta Chivato :
Morning Winds: SE 10 to 14 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 10-13
*El Burro Cove in Concepcion Bay
Morning Winds Winds: SSE 10 to 13 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 10-13
Sunrise Temp.: 82 °
Daily High Temperature: 93 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Sunrise Sea Temperature: 0
Puerto Escondido Juncalitoville
Morning Winds: SE 4 to 6 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 10-13
Sunrise Temp.: 84 °
Daily High Temperature: 96 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
San Lorenzo Channel :
Morning Winds: E 6 to 8 knots
Afternoon Winds: ENE 9-12
La Paz:
Morning Winds: ESE 6 to 8 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 10-13
Sunrise Temp.: N/A
Daily High Temperature: N/A
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*La Ventana Baja Joe's :
Morning Winds: SE 6 to 9 knots
Afternoon Winds: SE 10-13
Sunrise Temp.: N/A
Daily High Temperature: N/A
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*Los Barriles :
Morning Winds: SE 7 to 10 knots
Afternoon Winds: SSE 12-16
Sunrise Temp.: 82 °
Daily High Temperature: 86 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Cabo Pulmo :
Morning Winds: SSE 6 to 8 knots
Afternoon Winds: S 11-14
Seas: SSE 5 feet at 11 sec.
*Cabo San Lucas :
Morning Winds: ESE 9 to 12 knots
Afternoon Winds: SE 11-14
Sunrise Temp.: 83 °
Daily High Temperature: 91 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
MEXICAN RIVIERA
*Mazatlan,
Morning Winds: WNW 1 to 2 knots
Afternoon Winds: SW 9-11
Sunrise Temp.: 87 °
Daily High Temperature: 89 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*Puerta Vallarta:
Morning Winds: ESE 3 to 4 knots
Afternoon Winds: WNW 5-6
Sunrise Temp.: 79 °
Daily High Temperature: 92 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Manzanillo :
Morning Winds: NNE 2 to 3 knots
Afternoon Winds: WSW 9-12
Sunrise Temp.: 76 °
Daily High Temperature: 88 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Ixtapa Zihuatanejo :
Morning Winds: W 10 to 13 knots
Afternoon Winds: W 11-14
Sunrise Temp.: 73 °
Daily High Temperature: 89 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Cabo Corrienties :
Morning Winds: SE 5 to 7 knots
Afternoon Winds: SSW 6-8
Seas: SSW 6 feet at 21 sec.
Sea of Cortez Weather for 08/28/12
The Sonrisenet: The premier source for Sea of Cortez weather.
Click here for the Sonrisa Net Weather Webpage
Click here for the Satellite WunderMap view of the Sea of Cortez
After the Sonrisa Weather it’s back to work.
This summary and the daily postings are now posted on the Sonrisanet webpage usually by 8:30 MDT daily.
The following is from my daily ham radio Report
And is now available as a podcast.
Click above to Go to the Sonrisa Net Website
Tuesday, August 28, 2012
Voice to Text---
.Looking down into the Sea this morning I can see that yesterday morning that cell that developed right over Mazatlan and extended most of the way across the Sea finally broke up mid morning leaving a lot of residual clouds over the cape until the early afternoon.
The cape area was clear the rest of the afternoon as well as most of the Sea.
There was considerable thunderbumper activity starting in the afternoon just to the north of Mazatlan that continued to build during the later afternoon and evening hours. With clouds and scattered thunderbumpers popping up here and there.
This continued through out the night and this morning most of the central and southern Sea are overcast this morning. There was a strong cell that developed along the Sonoran coast and crossed the central Sea and ended up around Mulegé around 4am this morning. I had 20 knot winds here for about a half hour as the storm passed to the north.
The northern Sea is now seeing the remnant clouds from several large cells that developed in northern Sonora and in south central Arizona during the night.
That pretty much covers the Sea so looking south where around Cabo Corrienties a large cell is just moving off shore. The rest of the Riviera has some cloudiness with most of the cells off shore.
Now looking in our Tropical Kitchen. Yesterday afternoon invest 97 became a tropical depression. By 8:30 last night it had grown to become tropical storm Ileana and by tomorrow afternoon Ileana will become a cat 1 hurricane. This image is showing some circulation developing and it is much lager than Himicane Hector when it was in the same area. The forecast models are showing Ileana to pretty much follow Hector’s track moving WNW until it is west of the cape and then turning NW well off the Baja coast. Now if Ileana follows the forecast some high surf at the cape and along the outside will be the only effect of this storm to Baja. We’ll see if she reads the forecasts.
That’s what is going on in our hood so looking now north to the west coast of America where most of the west coast along the coast will see high clouds or overcast during the day with the inland areas seeing sunshine.
There is front passing through the Great Northwest this morning that will bring some showers to the cascades this afternoon. The rest of the coast will be dry and seasonally warm
Southern California will see a deepening of the marine layer along the coast and an increase in monsoonal moisture that will give cause to some thunderbumper activity in the deserts and mountains mainly tomorrow and Thursday. It should cool off a bit on Friday due to a weak front moving in from the Pacific.
Looking now over to the southwest where strong high pressure will result in southeast Arizona being mostly dry with slight chances of showers and thunderbumper in the higher elevations through tomorrow. Thereafter the monsoon will be monsooning through Labor Day weekend.
That’s what is going on to the north of us. Back on this side of the fence it looks like another 3 days of what we have been seeing for the past couple of weeks. Moderate southerlies for the entire Sea.
And FYI: There is a guy in Mulegé that does the local weather there on VHF and I think he also runs the chit chat net in the mornings. He’s now sending out emails to selected recipients which I guess I’m one of them with his bird’s version of the weather. So I guess you could say that Mulege’s weather is for the birds. Now that’s a CYA.
73s Y’all
Tuesday, August 28, 2012
Don't chisel these forecasts in stone. This is an Amateur Endeavor.
………...DAILYS………...
ALL winds are in Knots.
NORTHERN CROSSING FORECAST:
TODAY : Tuesday, August 28, 2012
Baja Side : Afternoon Winds: ESE 10-13
CENTER : Afternoon Winds: SE 10-13
Guaymas Side : Afternoon Winds: SSW 11-14
TOMORROW: Wednesday, August 29, 2012
Baja side : Afternoon Winds: ESE 12-15
Center : Afternoon Winds: SE 9-11
Guaymas side : Afternoon Winds: SSW 8-10
.
SOUTHERN CROSSING FORECAST:
TODAY : Tuesday, August 28, 2012
East Cape : Afternoon Winds: SE 8-10
Center : Afternoon Winds: SSW 6-7
Mazatlan : Afternoon Winds: WSW 6-8
TOMORROW : Wednesday, August 29, 2012
East Cape : Afternoon Winds: SSE 9-12
Center : Afternoon Winds: SSW 9-11
Mazatlan : Afternoon Winds: SSW 9-12
.
….. 3 DAY FORECAST (OUTSIDE)…...
Ensenada
Tuesday 8/28 Afternoon Winds: W 7-9
Seas: S 4 feet at 12 sec.
Wednesday 8/29 Afternoon Winds: W 7-9
Seas: WNW 4 feet at 8 sec.
Thursday 8/30 Afternoon Winds: WSW 8-10
Seas: SSW 4 feet at 22 sec.
Point San Quintin
Tuesday 8/28 Afternoon Winds: NW 15-20
Seas: Seas: WNW 4 feet at 6 sec.
Wednesday 8/29 Afternoon Winds: WNW 12-15
Seas: SSW 4 feet at 11 sec.
Thursday 8/30 Afternoon Winds: WNW 9-12
Seas: SSW 5 feet at 22 sec.
Turtle Bay
Tuesday 8/28 Afternoon Winds: WNW 13-17
Seas: WNW 3 feet at 7 sec.
Wednesday 8/29 Afternoon Winds: WNW 15-20
Seas: WNW 2 feet at 6 sec.
Thursday 8/30 Afternoon Winds: WNW 15-19
Seas: NW 3 feet at 9 se
Cedros Island
Tuesday 8/28 Afternoon Winds: WNW 11-14
Seas: S 2 feet at 12 sec.
Wednesday 8/29 Afternoon Winds: WNW 12-16
Seas: S 2 feet at 11 sec.
Thursday 8/30 Afternoon Winds: WNW 11-14
Seas: SSW 3 feet at 21 sec.
ABREOJOS
Tuesday 8/28 Afternoon Winds: W 12-16
Seas: S 4 feet at 12 sec.
Wednesday 8/29 Afternoon Winds: WSW 12-15
Seas: SSE 4 feet at 12 sec.
Thursday 8/30 Afternoon Winds: WSW 12-16
Seas: SSE 6 feet at 12 sec.
Mag Bay
Tuesday 8/28 Afternoon Winds: ESE 9-12
Seas: SSE 1 feet at 12 sec.
Wednesday 8/29 Afternoon Winds: ESE 10-13
Seas: SSE 1 feet at 11 sec.
Thursday 8/30 Afternoon Winds: ESE 14-18
Seas: SSE 2 feet at 11 se
*CABO FALSO (Pedregal)
Today's Sunrise Temp.: 81 °
Daily High Temperature: 88%
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Tuesday 8/28 Morning Winds: NW 1 to 2 knots
Afternoon Winds: SW 7-9
Seas: Seas: SSE 4 feet at 12 sec.
Wednesday 8/29 Afternoon Winds: ESE 10-13
Seas: SSE 6 feet at 11 sec.
Thursday 8/30 Afternoon Winds: ESE 16-21
Seas: SSW 8 feet at 11 sec.
. SEA OF CORTEZ
* indicates WeatherUnderground Station
*Puerto Penasco Casa Weez:
Morning Winds: S 8 to 11 knots
Afternoon Winds: WSW 11-14
Sunrise Temp.: 88 °
Daily High Temperature: 91 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: Calm
#VALUE!
*Bahia Kino Nuevo :
Morning Winds: SSE 7 to 9 knots
Afternoon Winds: S 9-12
Sunrise Temp.: N/A
Daily High Temperature: N/A
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*San Filepe:
Morning Winds: SE 8 to 11 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 15-19
Sunrise Temp.: 90 °
Daily High Temperature: 101 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*Gonzoga Bay Pappa Fernandez Landing. :
Morning Winds: ESE 6 to 9 knots
Afternoon Winds: E 12-16
Sunrise Temp.: 85 °
Daily High Temperature: 94 °
Yesterday's Rainfall:
#VALUE!
*Bay of LA. :
Morning Winds: SE 8 to 11 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 11-14
Sunrise Temp.: N/A
Daily High Temperature: N/A
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
San Franciscito Bay :
Morning Winds: ESE 7 to 10 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 13-17
Santa Rosalia :
Morning Winds: ESE 7 to 9 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 10-13
Sunrise Temp.: N/A
Daily High Temperature: N/A
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*Mulegé :
Morning Winds: ESE 7 to 9 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 10-13
Sunrise Temp.: 83 °
Daily High Temperature: 100 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*San Carlos
Morning Winds: SSE 5 to 6 knots
Afternoon Winds: SSW 8-10
Sunrise Temp.: 84 °
Daily High Temperature: 94 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Pt Concepcion :
Morning Winds: ESE 6 to 8 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 12-15
Punta Chivato :
Morning Winds: ESE 7 to 10 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 12-15
*El Burro Cove in Concepcion Bay
Morning Winds Winds: ESE 7 to 9 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 10-13
Sunrise Temp.: 86 °
Daily High Temperature: 95 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Sunrise Sea Temperature: 86
Puerto Escondido Juncalitoville
Morning Winds: ESE 6 to 8 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 12-15
Sunrise Temp.: 84 °
Daily High Temperature: 96 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 96 in.
#VALUE!
San Lorenzo Channel :
Morning Winds: ESE 2 to 3 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 9-11
La Paz:
Morning Winds: ENE 1 to 1 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 9-12
Sunrise Temp.: 77 °
Daily High Temperature: 95 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*La Ventana Baja Joe's :
Morning Winds: ESE 1 to 2 knots
Afternoon Winds: SE 8-10
Sunrise Temp.: N/A
Daily High Temperature: N/A
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*Los Barriles :
Morning Winds: E 2 to 3 knots
Afternoon Winds: SE 9-11
Sunrise Temp.: N/A
Daily High Temperature: N/A
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Cabo Pulmo :
Morning Winds: SE 2 to 3 knots
Afternoon Winds: S 9-12
Seas: SSE 3 feet at 12 sec.
*Cabo San Lucas :
Morning Winds: SSW 1 to 1 knots
Afternoon Winds: SSW 9-11
Sunrise Temp.: 82 °
Daily High Temperature: 90 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
MEXICAN RIVIERA
*Mazatlan,
Morning Winds: S 5 to 7 knots
Afternoon Winds: WSW 6-8
Sunrise Temp.: 84 °
Daily High Temperature: 88 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*Puerta Vallarta:
Morning Winds: ENE 3 to 4 knots
Afternoon Winds: NNW 7-9
Sunrise Temp.: 79 °
Daily High Temperature: 93 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Manzanillo :
Morning Winds: E 5 to 7 knots
Afternoon Winds: S 13-17
Sunrise Temp.: 78 °
Daily High Temperature: 89 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Ixtapa Zihuatanejo :
Morning Winds: SW 7 to 9 knots
Afternoon Winds: W 6-7
Sunrise Temp.: 75 °
Daily High Temperature: 89 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Cabo Corrienties :
Morning Winds: E 4 to 6 knots
Afternoon Winds: SW 6-8
Seas: S 6 feet at 10 sec.
Sea of Cortez Weather for 08/28/12
The Sonrisenet: The premier source for Sea of Cortez weather.
Click here for the Sonrisa Net Weather Webpage
Click here for the Satellite WunderMap view of the Sea of Cortez
After the Sonrisa Weather it’s back to work.
This summary and the daily postings are now posted on the Sonrisanet webpage usually by 8:30 MDT daily.
The following is from my daily ham radio Report
And is now available as a podcast.
Click above to Go to the Sonrisa Net Website
Tuesday, August 28, 2012
Voice to Text---
.Looking down into the Sea this morning I can see that yesterday morning that cell that developed right over Mazatlan and extended most of the way across the Sea finally broke up mid morning leaving a lot of residual clouds over the cape until the early afternoon.
The cape area was clear the rest of the afternoon as well as most of the Sea.
There was considerable thunderbumper activity starting in the afternoon just to the north of Mazatlan that continued to build during the later afternoon and evening hours. With clouds and scattered thunderbumpers popping up here and there.
This continued through out the night and this morning most of the central and southern Sea are overcast this morning. There was a strong cell that developed along the Sonoran coast and crossed the central Sea and ended up around Mulegé around 4am this morning. I had 20 knot winds here for about a half hour as the storm passed to the north.
The northern Sea is now seeing the remnant clouds from several large cells that developed in northern Sonora and in south central Arizona during the night.
That pretty much covers the Sea so looking south where around Cabo Corrienties a large cell is just moving off shore. The rest of the Riviera has some cloudiness with most of the cells off shore.
Now looking in our Tropical Kitchen. Yesterday afternoon invest 97 became a tropical depression. By 8:30 last night it had grown to become tropical storm Ileana and by tomorrow afternoon Ileana will become a cat 1 hurricane. This image is showing some circulation developing and it is much lager than Himicane Hector when it was in the same area. The forecast models are showing Ileana to pretty much follow Hector’s track moving WNW until it is west of the cape and then turning NW well off the Baja coast. Now if Ileana follows the forecast some high surf at the cape and along the outside will be the only effect of this storm to Baja. We’ll see if she reads the forecasts.
That’s what is going on in our hood so looking now north to the west coast of America where most of the west coast along the coast will see high clouds or overcast during the day with the inland areas seeing sunshine.
There is front passing through the Great Northwest this morning that will bring some showers to the cascades this afternoon. The rest of the coast will be dry and seasonally warm
Southern California will see a deepening of the marine layer along the coast and an increase in monsoonal moisture that will give cause to some thunderbumper activity in the deserts and mountains mainly tomorrow and Thursday. It should cool off a bit on Friday due to a weak front moving in from the Pacific.
Looking now over to the southwest where strong high pressure will result in southeast Arizona being mostly dry with slight chances of showers and thunderbumper in the higher elevations through tomorrow. Thereafter the monsoon will be monsooning through Labor Day weekend.
That’s what is going on to the north of us. Back on this side of the fence it looks like another 3 days of what we have been seeing for the past couple of weeks. Moderate southerlies for the entire Sea.
And FYI: There is a guy in Mulegé that does the local weather there on VHF and I think he also runs the chit chat net in the mornings. He’s now sending out emails to selected recipients which I guess I’m one of them with his bird’s version of the weather. So I guess you could say that Mulege’s weather is for the birds. NOW THAT'S A CYA!
73s Y’all
Tuesday, August 28, 2012
Don't chisel these forecasts in stone. This is an Amateur Endeavor.
………...DAILYS………...
ALL winds are in Knots.
NORTHERN CROSSING FORECAST:
TODAY : Tuesday, August 28, 2012
Baja Side : Afternoon Winds: ESE 10-13
CENTER : Afternoon Winds: SE 10-13
Guaymas Side : Afternoon Winds: SSW 11-14
TOMORROW: Wednesday, August 29, 2012
Baja side : Afternoon Winds: ESE 12-15
Center : Afternoon Winds: SE 9-11
Guaymas side : Afternoon Winds: SSW 8-10
.
SOUTHERN CROSSING FORECAST:
TODAY : Tuesday, August 28, 2012
East Cape : Afternoon Winds: SE 8-10
Center : Afternoon Winds: SSW 6-7
Mazatlan : Afternoon Winds: WSW 6-8
TOMORROW : Wednesday, August 29, 2012
East Cape : Afternoon Winds: SSE 9-12
Center : Afternoon Winds: SSW 9-11
Mazatlan : Afternoon Winds: SSW 9-12
.
….. 3 DAY FORECAST (OUTSIDE)…...
Ensenada
Tuesday 8/28 Afternoon Winds: W 7-9
Seas: S 4 feet at 12 sec.
Wednesday 8/29 Afternoon Winds: W 7-9
Seas: WNW 4 feet at 8 sec.
Thursday 8/30 Afternoon Winds: WSW 8-10
Seas: SSW 4 feet at 22 sec.
Point San Quintin
Tuesday 8/28 Afternoon Winds: NW 15-20
Seas: Seas: WNW 4 feet at 6 sec.
Wednesday 8/29 Afternoon Winds: WNW 12-15
Seas: SSW 4 feet at 11 sec.
Thursday 8/30 Afternoon Winds: WNW 9-12
Seas: SSW 5 feet at 22 sec.
Turtle Bay
Tuesday 8/28 Afternoon Winds: WNW 13-17
Seas: WNW 3 feet at 7 sec.
Wednesday 8/29 Afternoon Winds: WNW 15-20
Seas: WNW 2 feet at 6 sec.
Thursday 8/30 Afternoon Winds: WNW 15-19
Seas: NW 3 feet at 9 se
Cedros Island
Tuesday 8/28 Afternoon Winds: WNW 11-14
Seas: S 2 feet at 12 sec.
Wednesday 8/29 Afternoon Winds: WNW 12-16
Seas: S 2 feet at 11 sec.
Thursday 8/30 Afternoon Winds: WNW 11-14
Seas: SSW 3 feet at 21 sec.
ABREOJOS
Tuesday 8/28 Afternoon Winds: W 12-16
Seas: S 4 feet at 12 sec.
Wednesday 8/29 Afternoon Winds: WSW 12-15
Seas: SSE 4 feet at 12 sec.
Thursday 8/30 Afternoon Winds: WSW 12-16
Seas: SSE 6 feet at 12 sec.
Mag Bay
Tuesday 8/28 Afternoon Winds: ESE 9-12
Seas: SSE 1 feet at 12 sec.
Wednesday 8/29 Afternoon Winds: ESE 10-13
Seas: SSE 1 feet at 11 sec.
Thursday 8/30 Afternoon Winds: ESE 14-18
Seas: SSE 2 feet at 11 se
*CABO FALSO (Pedregal)
Today's Sunrise Temp.: 81 °
Daily High Temperature: 88%
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Tuesday 8/28 Morning Winds: NW 1 to 2 knots
Afternoon Winds: SW 7-9
Seas: Seas: SSE 4 feet at 12 sec.
Wednesday 8/29 Afternoon Winds: ESE 10-13
Seas: SSE 6 feet at 11 sec.
Thursday 8/30 Afternoon Winds: ESE 16-21
Seas: SSW 8 feet at 11 sec.
. SEA OF CORTEZ
* indicates WeatherUnderground Station
*Puerto Penasco Casa Weez:
Morning Winds: S 8 to 11 knots
Afternoon Winds: WSW 11-14
Sunrise Temp.: 88 °
Daily High Temperature: 91 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: Calm
#VALUE!
*Bahia Kino Nuevo :
Morning Winds: SSE 7 to 9 knots
Afternoon Winds: S 9-12
Sunrise Temp.: N/A
Daily High Temperature: N/A
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*San Filepe:
Morning Winds: SE 8 to 11 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 15-19
Sunrise Temp.: 90 °
Daily High Temperature: 101 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*Gonzoga Bay Pappa Fernandez Landing. :
Morning Winds: ESE 6 to 9 knots
Afternoon Winds: E 12-16
Sunrise Temp.: 85 °
Daily High Temperature: 94 °
Yesterday's Rainfall:
#VALUE!
*Bay of LA. :
Morning Winds: SE 8 to 11 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 11-14
Sunrise Temp.: N/A
Daily High Temperature: N/A
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
San Franciscito Bay :
Morning Winds: ESE 7 to 10 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 13-17
Santa Rosalia :
Morning Winds: ESE 7 to 9 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 10-13
Sunrise Temp.: N/A
Daily High Temperature: N/A
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*Mulegé :
Morning Winds: ESE 7 to 9 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 10-13
Sunrise Temp.: 83 °
Daily High Temperature: 100 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*San Carlos
Morning Winds: SSE 5 to 6 knots
Afternoon Winds: SSW 8-10
Sunrise Temp.: 84 °
Daily High Temperature: 94 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Pt Concepcion :
Morning Winds: ESE 6 to 8 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 12-15
Punta Chivato :
Morning Winds: ESE 7 to 10 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 12-15
*El Burro Cove in Concepcion Bay
Morning Winds Winds: ESE 7 to 9 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 10-13
Sunrise Temp.: 86 °
Daily High Temperature: 95 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Sunrise Sea Temperature: 86
Puerto Escondido Juncalitoville
Morning Winds: ESE 6 to 8 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 12-15
Sunrise Temp.: 84 °
Daily High Temperature: 96 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 96 in.
#VALUE!
San Lorenzo Channel :
Morning Winds: ESE 2 to 3 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 9-11
La Paz:
Morning Winds: ENE 1 to 1 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 9-12
Sunrise Temp.: 77 °
Daily High Temperature: 95 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*La Ventana Baja Joe's :
Morning Winds: ESE 1 to 2 knots
Afternoon Winds: SE 8-10
Sunrise Temp.: N/A
Daily High Temperature: N/A
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*Los Barriles :
Morning Winds: E 2 to 3 knots
Afternoon Winds: SE 9-11
Sunrise Temp.: N/A
Daily High Temperature: N/A
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Cabo Pulmo :
Morning Winds: SE 2 to 3 knots
Afternoon Winds: S 9-12
Seas: SSE 3 feet at 12 sec.
*Cabo San Lucas :
Morning Winds: SSW 1 to 1 knots
Afternoon Winds: SSW 9-11
Sunrise Temp.: 82 °
Daily High Temperature: 90 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
MEXICAN RIVIERA
*Mazatlan,
Morning Winds: S 5 to 7 knots
Afternoon Winds: WSW 6-8
Sunrise Temp.: 84 °
Daily High Temperature: 88 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*Puerta Vallarta:
Morning Winds: ENE 3 to 4 knots
Afternoon Winds: NNW 7-9
Sunrise Temp.: 79 °
Daily High Temperature: 93 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Manzanillo :
Morning Winds: E 5 to 7 knots
Afternoon Winds: S 13-17
Sunrise Temp.: 78 °
Daily High Temperature: 89 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Ixtapa Zihuatanejo :
Morning Winds: SW 7 to 9 knots
Afternoon Winds: W 6-7
Sunrise Temp.: 75 °
Daily High Temperature: 89 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Cabo Corrienties :
Morning Winds: E 4 to 6 knots
Afternoon Winds: SW 6-8
Seas: S 6 feet at 10 sec.
|
Updated: 01:24 PM GMT del 28 Agosto 2012
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Sea of Cortez Weather for 08/27/12
The Sonrisenet: The premier source for Sea of Cortez weather.
Click here for the Sonrisa Net Weather Webpage
Click here for the Satellite WunderMap view of the Sea of Cortez
After the Sonrisa Weather it’s back to work.
This summary and the daily postings are now posted on the Sonrisanet webpage usually by 8:30 MDT daily.
The following is from my daily ham radio Report
And is now available as a podcast.
Click above to Go to the Sonrisa Net Website
Monday, August 27, 2012
Voice to Text---
.Looking down into the Sea this morning with the 24 hour loop I can see that yesterday lots of sun was seen over most of the Sea of Cortez. In the late afternoon there was some thunderbumper development over in Sonora that drifted NW out into the Sea from just north of San Carlos to the middrifts. That area of the Sea still has a lot of remnant clouds. It does however look like they will clear by mid morning.
Looking now at the cape area and the southern crossing. At 5am I could see that a large cell had developed pretty much on top of Mazatlan. It has spread out into the southern crossing about half way across.
At 7am the storm was starting to diminish but was almost three quarters across the Sea.
Looking south along the Mexican Riviera I can see that there has been considerable cell development and thunderbumpers all along the coast south to Central America.
Looking now in our Tropical Kitchen where we have invest 97 Echo moving slowly NW at about 10 mph. Still just a lot of rain and thumpers within this system however it is approaching a very fertile region for tropical development. The forecast models are all in agreement that this system will pretty much follow the track of tropical storm Hector and continue NW passing the cape well to the west. The National Hurricane Center is giving this system a very good chance of development into a tropical storm within the next 48 hours. We could be moving this up to a front burner by tomorrow.
That’s what is going on in our hood so looking now north to the west coast of America where a normal summer pattern is in place for the west coast with occasional lows bumping the high a bit and cooling the coast and then the high coming back and warming things back up again. That is what will be going on this week along the west coast. The only area to see some wet weather will be Washington and the Cascades today with a small front moving through.
Southern California will see a minor influx of monsoonal moisture bringing a slight chance of some rain or thunderbumpers to the mountains and California deserts later in the week. Today promises to be dry with a heavy threat of fires.
Looking now over to the southwest where water vapor imagery is showing the state to be pretty dry this morning. Chances of thunderbumper activity will increase tomorrow into the end of the week. Tomorrow will also be a little gusterly in south-central Arizona. The IR imagery is showing that no thumpers have crossed the border in the past 24 hours but there is some residual cloudiness from Sonora in the region this morning.
That’s what is gong on to the north of us. Back on this side of the Fence the next 3 day will look like the last three days. The general flow in the Sea is from the south however with these warm days and light winds thermal conditions my prevail and winds can come from the opposite direction. So don’t’ chisel the directions in stone. The speeds will normally e pretty close though.
Here is what today’s forecast looks like.
The northern Sea: light to moderate northerlies with a strong western component along the Sonoran coast.
The central Sea: East or Northeast
Puerto Escondido south SE
Temperatures today will be in the mid to high 90s.
73s Y’all
Monday, August 27, 2012
Don't chisel these forecasts in stone. This is an Amateur Endeavor.
………...DAILYS………...
ALL winds are in Knots.
NORTHERN CROSSING FORECAST:
TODAY : Monday, August 27, 2012
Baja Side : Afternoon Winds: NE 6-8
CENTER : Afternoon Winds: SE 6-8
Guaymas Side : Afternoon Winds: WSW 12-15
TOMORROW: Tuesday, August 28, 2012
Baja side : Afternoon Winds: ESE 11-14
Center : Afternoon Winds: SE 13-17
Guaymas side : Afternoon Winds: S 11-14
.
SOUTHERN CROSSING FORECAST:
TODAY : Monday, August 27, 2012
East Cape : Afternoon Winds: SE 11-14
Center : Afternoon Winds: SSE 10-13
Mazatlan : Afternoon Winds: SSE 13-17
TOMORROW : Tuesday, August 28, 2012
East Cape : Afternoon Winds: SSW 9-12
Center : Afternoon Winds: WSW 5-6
Mazatlan : Afternoon Winds: WSW 7-9
.
….. 3 DAY FORECAST (OUTSIDE)…...
Ensenada
Monday 8/27 Afternoon Winds: NW 14-18
Seas: S 3 feet at 13 sec.
Tuesday 8/28 Afternoon Winds: NW 14-18
Seas: S 4 feet at 12 sec.
Wednesday 8/29 Afternoon Winds: WNW 9-12
Seas: WNW 4 feet at 8 sec.
Point San Quintin
Monday 8/27 Afternoon Winds: NW 19-25
Seas: Seas: WNW 5 feet at 5 sec.
Tuesday 8/28 Afternoon Winds: NW 15-19
Seas: S 4 feet at 12 sec.
Wednesday 8/29 Afternoon Winds: WNW 11-14
Seas: WNW 4 feet at 9 sec.
Turtle Bay
Monday 8/27 Afternoon Winds: WNW 15-20
Seas: WNW 3 feet at 6 sec.
Tuesday 8/28 Afternoon Winds: WNW 14-18
Seas: WNW 3 feet at 6 sec.
Wednesday 8/29 Afternoon Winds: WNW 14-18
Seas: WNW 2 feet at 6 sec.
Cedros Island
Monday 8/27 Afternoon Winds: NW 15-20
Seas: SSW 3 feet at 13 sec.
Tuesday 8/28 Afternoon Winds: WNW 12-15
Seas: S 2 feet at 12 sec.
Wednesday 8/29 Afternoon Winds: WNW 10-13
Seas: S 2 feet at 11 sec.
ABREOJOS
Monday 8/27 Afternoon Winds: WNW 18-23
Seas: S 4 feet at 13 sec.
Tuesday 8/28 Afternoon Winds: W 14-18
Seas: S 4 feet at 12 sec.
Wednesday 8/29 Afternoon Winds: W 13-17
Seas: SSE 4 feet at 11 sec.
Mag Bay
Monday 8/27 Afternoon Winds: WNW 14-18
Seas: S 4 feet at 13 sec.
Tuesday 8/28 Afternoon Winds: W 10-13
Seas: S 4 feet at 12 sec.
Wednesday 8/29 Afternoon Winds: W 11-14
Seas: SSE 4 feet at 11 sec.
*CABO FALSO (Pedregal)
Today's Sunrise Temp.: 79 °
Daily High Temperature: 86%
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Monday 8/27 Morning Winds: NW 4 to 6 knots
Afternoon Winds: WNW 8-10
Seas: Seas: S 4 feet at 12 sec.
Tuesday 8/28 Afternoon Winds: WSW 8-10
Seas: SSE 5 feet at 12 sec.
Wednesday 8/29 Afternoon Winds: WSW 6-7
Seas: SSE 5 feet at 11 sec.
. SEA OF CORTEZ
* indicates WeatherUnderground Station
*Puerto Penasco Casa Weez:
Morning Winds: WNW 7 to 10 knots
Afternoon Winds: W 18-23
Sunrise Temp.: 79 °
Daily High Temperature: 91 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: Calm
#VALUE!
*Bahia Kino Nuevo :
Morning Winds: SW 3 to 4 knots
Afternoon Winds: W 9-11
Sunrise Temp.: N/A
Daily High Temperature: N/A
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*San Filepe:
Morning Winds: NNE 5 to 6 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 12-16
Sunrise Temp.: 88 °
Daily High Temperature: 100 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*Gonzoga Bay Pappa Fernandez Landing. :
Morning Winds: N 6 to 9 knots
Afternoon Winds: NNE 11-14
Sunrise Temp.: 85 °
Daily High Temperature: 97 °
Yesterday's Rainfall:
#VALUE!
*Bay of LA. :
Morning Winds: NNW 5 to 7 knots
Afternoon Winds: NNW 12-16
Sunrise Temp.: N/A
Daily High Temperature: N/A
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
San Franciscito Bay :
Morning Winds: SE 2 to 3 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 9-12
Santa Rosalia :
Morning Winds: ESE 3 to 4 knots
Afternoon Winds: NNE 4-5
Sunrise Temp.: N/A
Daily High Temperature: N/A
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*Mulegé :
Morning Winds: E 4 to 6 knots
Afternoon Winds: NE 6-8
Sunrise Temp.: 83 °
Daily High Temperature: 99 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*San Carlos
Morning Winds: SE 9 to 12 knots
Afternoon Winds: S 11-14
Sunrise Temp.: 84 °
Daily High Temperature: 91 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Pt Concepcion :
Morning Winds: ESE 9 to 12 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 11-14
Punta Chivato :
Morning Winds: ESE 3 to 5 knots
Afternoon Winds: E 6-7
*El Burro Cove in Concepcion Bay
Morning Winds Winds: E 4 to 6 knots
Afternoon Winds: NE 6-8
Sunrise Temp.: 87 °
Daily High Temperature: 96 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Sunrise Sea Temperature: 87
Puerto Escondido Juncalitoville
Morning Winds: E 5 to 6 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 12-15
Sunrise Temp.: 83 °
Daily High Temperature: 96 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
San Lorenzo Channel :
Morning Winds: ENE 2 to 3 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 9-11
La Paz:
Morning Winds: W 0 to 0 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 11-14
Sunrise Temp.: 80 °
Daily High Temperature: 94 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*La Ventana Baja Joe's :
Morning Winds: NE 0 to 0 knots
Afternoon Winds: SE 11-14
Sunrise Temp.: N/A
Daily High Temperature: N/A
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*Los Barriles :
Morning Winds: ENE 2 to 3 knots
Afternoon Winds: SE 12-15
Sunrise Temp.: 84 °
Daily High Temperature: °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Cabo Pulmo :
Morning Winds: ESE 4 to 5 knots
Afternoon Winds: SSE 10-13
Seas: S 3 feet at 13 sec.
*Cabo San Lucas :
Morning Winds: E 2 to 2 knots
Afternoon Winds: SSW 6-8
Sunrise Temp.: 81 °
Daily High Temperature: 93 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
MEXICAN RIVIERA
*Mazatlan,
Morning Winds: S 1 to 1 knots
Afternoon Winds: SSE 13-17
Sunrise Temp.: 78 °
Daily High Temperature: 88 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0.02 in.
#VALUE!
*Puerta Vallarta:
Morning Winds: ENE 6 to 8 knots
Afternoon Winds: NNW 10-13
Sunrise Temp.: 80 °
Daily High Temperature: 89 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Manzanillo :
Morning Winds: ENE 3 to 5 knots
Afternoon Winds: S 12-15
Sunrise Temp.: 77 °
Daily High Temperature: 83 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Ixtapa Zihuatanejo :
Morning Winds: SW 6 to 8 knots
Afternoon Winds: S 6-8
Sunrise Temp.: 75 °
Daily High Temperature: 91 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Cabo Corrienties :
Morning Winds: NE 4 to 6 knots
Afternoon Winds: WNW 7-9
Seas: S 6 feet at 11 sec.
Sea of Cortez Weather for 08/26/12
The Sonrisenet: The premier source for Sea of Cortez weather.
Click here for the Sonrisa Net Weather Webpage
Click here for the Satellite WunderMap view of the Sea of Cortez
After the Sonrisa Weather it’s back to work.
This summary and the daily postings are now posted on the Sonrisanet webpage usually by 8:30 MDT daily.
The following is from my daily ham radio Report
And is now available as a podcast.
Click above to Go to the Sonrisa Net Website
Sunday, August 26, 2012
Voice to Text---
.Looking down into the Sea this morning I can see that most of the Sea saw abundant sunshine yesterday.
The cape area had a lot of remnant clouds from cells developing between Puerto Vallarta and Mazatlan yesterday morning. It looks like most had cleared by early afternoon.
This morning it looks like there are still a few fluffys here and there around the cape area however for the past week there have been cells developing in the early morning hours that have drifted toward the cape bringing mostly overcast skies until late morning. We’ll see.
Looking over at Sonora with the 24 hour loop I can see that there was very little thunderbumper activity there yesterday. None moved north toward Arizona or New Mexico.
Looking now south to the Mexican Riviera where a cell developed way back in the mountains to the east of Cabo Corrienties and moved NW toward Puerto Vallarta and then moved out into the Sea and began dissipating. As it began to dissipate another cell developed in open water to the west of Puerto Vallarta and has been building ever since.
Further south most of the cells were off shore and the coast has been mostly clear all night. At bit further south there is a big honk’n thunderbumper that has moved in from Guatemala into the Gulf of Tehuantepec this morning.
Looking now at the ITCZ/Monsoon trough I can see it is very activity this morning with lots of rain and thunderbumper all along the zone.
Now taking a look in our Tropical Kitchen. That low that was just west of the Gulf of Tehuantepec yesterday morning has been moving NW at about 10 mph and is now about 400 miles south of Acapulco. Last night it was designated invest 97 Echo and the early tracking models are showing it moving NW much like tropical storm Hector a couple of week ago. Still not a lot happening there mostly rain with no high topped cells YET. I’m going to move this system up to a middle burner.
Looking now over to the Gulf of Mexico where I can’t see any Tropical Waves heading our way. There is tropical storm Isaac over there that is forecast to become a cat 1 himicane today. As it passed Cuba it dropped 10 inches of rain in 24 hours. Much the same is expected as it takes dead aim on Florida. Right now it looks like it will rain on the Republican National Convention’s parade in Tampa. They have postponed the start until Tuesday.
Well, that’s what is going on in our hood so looking now north to the west coast of America where at the top of this image west of the Columbia River is a low that is descending from the Gulf of Alaska. As it moves south it will mostly cool off the west coast at bit. No rain is forecast from this system except, you guessed it, the Seattle area.
Southern California will see a slight cooling trend until Tuesday when the high over in Colorado right now starts a westward migration which will bring back the warm weather.
Looking now over to the southwest where the monsoon will be back
increasing the threat of afternoon and evening showers and thunderbumpers first in south central Arizona today and tomorrow then spreading west toward the Colorado River Tuesday and Wednesday.
That’s what is going on to the north of us. Back on this side of the Fence it looks like the next three day the Sea will be just about like the past week. Light to moderate southerlies. The northern crossing area mainly from Mulege to Concepción Bay is forecast to have east or NE again today. Yesterday here inside Concepción Bay it came from the SE. High odds are that will happen again today.
Temperatures will continue to be in the mid to high 90s today
73s Y’all
Sunday, August 26, 2012
Don't chisel these forecasts in stone. This is an Amateur Endeavor.
………...DAILYS………...
ALL winds are in Knots.
NORTHERN CROSSING FORECAST:
TODAY : Sunday, August 26, 2012
Baja Side : Afternoon Winds: ENE 9-12
CENTER : Afternoon Winds: ESE 11-14
Guaymas Side : Afternoon Winds: WSW 10-13
TOMORROW: Monday, August 27, 2012
Baja side : Afternoon Winds: NE 7-9
Center : Afternoon Winds: SSW 4-5
Guaymas side : Afternoon Winds: W 10-13
.
SOUTHERN CROSSING FORECAST:
TODAY : Sunday, August 26, 2012
East Cape : Afternoon Winds: ESE 7-9
Center : Afternoon Winds: SSE 7-9
Mazatlan : Afternoon Winds: S 6-8
TOMORROW : Monday, August 27, 2012
East Cape : Afternoon Winds: SE 6-8
Center : Afternoon Winds: SSW 5-6
Mazatlan : Afternoon Winds: SW 6-8
.
….. 3 DAY FORECAST (OUTSIDE)…...
Ensenada
Sunday 8/26 Afternoon Winds: NW 15-20
Seas: S 3 feet at 14 sec.
Monday 8/27 Afternoon Winds: NW 15-20
Seas: S 3 feet at 13 sec.
Tuesday 8/28 Afternoon Winds: NW 15-19
Seas: S 3 feet at 12 sec.
Point San Quintin
Sunday 8/26 Afternoon Winds: NW 19-25
Seas: Seas: SSW 5 feet at 14 sec.
Monday 8/27 Afternoon Winds: NW 18-24
Seas: S 5 feet at 13 sec.
Tuesday 8/28 Afternoon Winds: NW 16-21
Seas: S 4 feet at 12 sec.
Turtle Bay
Sunday 8/26 Afternoon Winds: WNW 15-20
Seas: NW 3 feet at 9 sec.
Monday 8/27 Afternoon Winds: WNW 15-19
Seas: WNW 3 feet at 6 sec.
Tuesday 8/28 Afternoon Winds: WNW 15-20
Seas: WNW 3 feet at 6 sec.
Cedros Island
Sunday 8/26 Afternoon Winds: NW 16-21
Seas: SSW 3 feet at 14 sec.
Monday 8/27 Afternoon Winds: NW 15-19
Seas: SSW 3 feet at 13 sec.
Tuesday 8/28 Afternoon Winds: NW 15-19
Seas: S 2 feet at 12 sec.
ABREOJOS
Sunday 8/26 Afternoon Winds: WNW 18-24
Seas: S 4 feet at 14 sec.
Monday 8/27 Afternoon Winds: WNW 17-22
Seas: S 4 feet at 13 sec.
Tuesday 8/28 Afternoon Winds: W 12-16
Seas: S 4 feet at 12 sec.
Mag Bay
Sunday 8/26 Afternoon Winds: WNW 15-20
Seas: SSW 4 feet at 14 sec.
Monday 8/27 Afternoon Winds: WNW 14-18
Seas: S 4 feet at 13 sec.
Tuesday 8/28 Afternoon Winds: W 12-15
Seas: S 4 feet at 12 sec.
*CABO FALSO (Pedregal)
Today's Sunrise Temp.: 80 °
Daily High Temperature: 84%
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Sunday 8/26 Morning Winds: NW 6 to 9 knots
Afternoon Winds: WNW 12-16
Seas: Seas: SSW 4 feet at 13 sec.
Monday 8/27 Afternoon Winds: WNW 10-13
Seas: S 4 feet at 12 sec.
Tuesday 8/28 Afternoon Winds: WNW 9-11
Seas: SSE 4 feet at 12 sec.
. SEA OF CORTEZ
* indicates WeatherUnderground Station
*Puerto Penasco Casa Weez:
Morning Winds: S 10 to 13 knots
Afternoon Winds: WSW 10-13
Sunrise Temp.: N/A
Daily High Temperature: N/A
Yesterday's Rainfall: Calm
#VALUE!
*Bahia Kino Nuevo :
Morning Winds: S 6 to 8 knots
Afternoon Winds: S 8-10
Sunrise Temp.: N/A
Daily High Temperature: N/A
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*San Filepe:
Morning Winds: NNW 6 to 8 knots
Afternoon Winds: NNW 7-9
Sunrise Temp.: 88 °
Daily High Temperature: 100 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*Gonzoga Bay Pappa Fernandez Landing. :
Morning Winds: S 3 to 5 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 11-14
Sunrise Temp.: 92 °
Daily High Temperature: 102 °
Yesterday's Rainfall:
#VALUE!
*Bay of LA. :
Morning Winds: S 4 to 6 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 9-11
Sunrise Temp.: N/A
Daily High Temperature: N/A
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
San Franciscito Bay :
Morning Winds: SSW 3 to 4 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 10-13
Santa Rosalia :
Morning Winds: ESE 6 to 8 knots
Afternoon Winds: E 7-9
Sunrise Temp.: N/A
Daily High Temperature: N/A
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*Mulegé :
Morning Winds: E 7 to 10 knots
Afternoon Winds: ENE 9-12
Sunrise Temp.: 83 °
Daily High Temperature: 99 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*San Carlos
Morning Winds: WSW 3 to 4 knots
Afternoon Winds: W 10-13
Sunrise Temp.: 83 °
Daily High Temperature: 94 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Pt Concepcion :
Morning Winds: ENE 3 to 5 knots
Afternoon Winds: NE 7-9
Punta Chivato :
Morning Winds: E 5 to 7 knots
Afternoon Winds: E 9-12
*El Burro Cove in Concepcion Bay
Morning Winds Winds: E 7 to 10 knots
Afternoon Winds: ENE 9-12
Sunrise Temp.: 86 °
Daily High Temperature: 95 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Sunrise Sea Temperature: 87
Puerto Escondido Juncalitoville
Morning Winds: SE 1 to 2 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 12-15
Sunrise Temp.: 83 °
Daily High Temperature: 97 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
San Lorenzo Channel :
Morning Winds: W 1 to 2 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 7-9
La Paz:
Morning Winds: WSW 4 to 5 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 9-11
Sunrise Temp.: 79 °
Daily High Temperature: 101 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*La Ventana Baja Joe's :
Morning Winds: SW 2 to 3 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 7-9
Sunrise Temp.: N/A
Daily High Temperature: N/A
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*Los Barriles :
Morning Winds: E 2 to 2 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 7-9
Sunrise Temp.: 82 °
Daily High Temperature: 90 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Cabo Pulmo :
Morning Winds: ESE 3 to 4 knots
Afternoon Winds: SE 6-7
Seas: SSE 2 feet at 10 sec.
*Cabo San Lucas :
Morning Winds: WNW 2 to 3 knots
Afternoon Winds: W 10-13
Sunrise Temp.: 81 °
Daily High Temperature: 93 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
MEXICAN RIVIERA
*Mazatlan,
Morning Winds: ESE 3 to 4 knots
Afternoon Winds: S 6-8
Sunrise Temp.: 81 °
Daily High Temperature: 85 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*Puerta Vallarta:
Morning Winds: SE 1 to 2 knots
Afternoon Winds: W 8-10
Sunrise Temp.: 78 °
Daily High Temperature: 92 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 1.46 in.
#VALUE!
Manzanillo :
Morning Winds: ENE 2 to 3 knots
Afternoon Winds: WSW 9-11
Sunrise Temp.: 76 °
Daily High Temperature: 88 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Ixtapa Zihuatanejo :
Morning Winds: WSW 7 to 9 knots
Afternoon Winds: S 6-7
Sunrise Temp.: 73 °
Daily High Temperature: 89 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Cabo Corrienties :
Morning Winds: E 2 to 3 knots
Afternoon Winds: WSW 7-9
Seas: S 4 feet at 13 sec.
Sea of Cortez Weather for 08/25/12
The Sonrisenet: The premier source for Sea of Cortez weather.
Click here for the Sonrisa Net Weather Webpage
Click here for the Satellite WunderMap view of the Sea of Cortez
After the Sonrisa Weather it’s back to work.
This summary and the daily postings are now posted on the Sonrisanet webpage usually by 8:30 MDT daily.
The following is from my daily ham radio Report
And is now available as a podcast.
Click above to Go to the Sonrisa Net Website
Saturday, August 25, 2012
Voice to Text---
.Looking down into the Sea this morning I can see that most of the Sea saw sunshine yesterday. The cape area saw some cloudiness from storms over on the mainland pass over in the morning hours. The afternoon saw sunshine.
Around 11 o’clock last night it looks like the extreme cape has a nice size thumper come over it and the remnants are a bit to the west of the cape this morning. However no rain was reported at any of the reporting stations.
At 5am there were still a lot of thin clouds in the general region of the southern crossing. At 7:30 not much had changed. The rest of the Sea looks to be clear of any cloudiness.
Looking over a Sonora with the 24 hour loop I can see there was a few thunderbumpers that developed but none came close to the coast yesterday or last night.
Looking now south to the Mexican Riviera where there is not quite as many cells building along coast from Puerto Vallarta north as we have seen in the past week. There were a few developing over night but they are now on the wane leaving just a lot of cloudiness along that stretch.
The rest of the Riviera pretty much the same picture with just mostly cloudiness along the coast this morning. There is a nice honker over the Tehuantepec this morning though.
Looking now in our Tropical Kitchen where yesterday I mentioned a Tropical Wave had popped out in the Pacific and found a low to stimulate. Just to the west of the bay of Tehuantepec. I thought by now it would be at least designated as an invest. But ney ney ney. It’s just sitting there producing a few thunderbumpers and showers and very slowly moving west at about 10 mph looking for environmentally conditions that are a bit more friendly to tropical development.
The last activity we have had down there was tropical storm Hector a couple of weeks ago and Hurricane Gilma faded around the 11th of August. We’ll put this no-name system on the back burner for the time being and continue to see what it does.
Looking east out in the Gulf of Mexico I can’t see any Tropical Waves headed our way. There is tropical storm Isaac that is taking dead aim on Florida. He will be an uninvited guest at the Republican National Convention in Tampa next week unless the republicans change locations. We’ll see?
Well, that’s what is going on in our hood so looking now north to the west coast of America where there is a weather-maker low descending from the Gulf of Alaska this morning. As it moves south over the weekend it will nudge the high off to the east until mid next week.
It will bring cooler temperatures along the west coast, a few clouds but that’s about it.
Looking over to the southwest where the water vapor imagery is showing the southwest without much moisture. The IR images are showing no thunderbumpers in the in southwest Arizona in the past 24 hours and the forecast is for more of the same. Oh they may get a shower or two but the monsoon will not return until mid next week. The major concern for the southwest is fire danges.
That’s what is going on to the north of us. Back on this side of the Fence we should see a day much like yesterday and the 3-day forecast period just like today.
Today the northern Sea will see moderate southerlies.
The central Sea Baja side will see light to moderate northerlies in the afternoon from around Santa Rosalia to Concepcion Bay.
The southern Sea will continue to see light to moderate southerlies.
Temperatures again in the mid to high 90s today.
73s Y’all
Saturday, August 25, 2012
Don't chisel these forecasts in stone. This is an Amateur Endeavor.
………...DAILYS………...
ALL winds are in Knots.
NORTHERN CROSSING FORECAST:
TODAY : Saturday, August 25, 2012
Baja Side : Afternoon Winds: ENE 11-14
CENTER : Afternoon Winds: NW 9-11
Guaymas Side : Afternoon Winds: WNW 12-15
TOMORROW: Sunday, August 26, 2012
Baja side : Afternoon Winds: E 11-14
Center : Afternoon Winds: ESE 7-9
Guaymas side : Afternoon Winds: WSW 8-10
.
SOUTHERN CROSSING FORECAST:
TODAY : Saturday, August 25, 2012
East Cape : Afternoon Winds: E 6-7
Center : Afternoon Winds: S 7-9
Mazatlan : Afternoon Winds: SSW 8-10
TOMORROW : Sunday, August 26, 2012
East Cape : Afternoon Winds: E 7-9
Center : Afternoon Winds: SSE 9-12
Mazatlan : Afternoon Winds: S 9-12
.
….. 3 DAY FORECAST (OUTSIDE)…...
Ensenada
Saturday 8/25 Afternoon Winds: NW 14-18
Seas: S 3 feet at 15 sec.
Sunday 8/26 Afternoon Winds: NW 14-18
Seas: S 3 feet at 14 sec.
Monday 8/27 Afternoon Winds: NW 15-20
Seas: S 3 feet at 13 sec.
Point San Quintin
Saturday 8/25 Afternoon Winds: WNW 16-21
Seas: Seas: SSW 4 feet at 15 sec.
Sunday 8/26 Afternoon Winds: NW 17-22
Seas: SSW 4 feet at 14 sec.
Monday 8/27 Afternoon Winds: NW 18-24
Seas: S 4 feet at 13 sec.
Turtle Bay
Saturday 8/25 Afternoon Winds: WNW 15-19
Seas: WNW 3 feet at 9 sec.
Sunday 8/26 Afternoon Winds: WNW 15-19
Seas: NW 3 feet at 9 sec.
Monday 8/27 Afternoon Winds: WNW 15-19
Seas: NW 3 feet at 8 sec.
Cedros Island
Saturday 8/25 Afternoon Winds: NW 15-19
Seas: SSW 2 feet at 14 sec.
Sunday 8/26 Afternoon Winds: NW 15-19
Seas: SSW 2 feet at 14 sec.
Monday 8/27 Afternoon Winds: NW 15-20
Seas: SSW 3 feet at 13 sec.
ABREOJOS
Saturday 8/25 Afternoon Winds: WNW 18-24
Seas: SSW 4 feet at 14 sec.
Sunday 8/26 Afternoon Winds: WNW 18-23
Seas: S 4 feet at 14 sec.
Monday 8/27 Afternoon Winds: WNW 17-22
Seas: S 4 feet at 13 sec.
Mag Bay
Saturday 8/25 Afternoon Winds: WNW 18-23
Seas: S 5 feet at 12 sec.
Sunday 8/26 Afternoon Winds: WNW 15-20
Seas: SSW 4 feet at 14 sec.
Monday 8/27 Afternoon Winds: WNW 13-17
Seas: S 4 feet at 13 sec.
*CABO FALSO (Pedregal)
Today's Sunrise Temp.: 80 °
Daily High Temperature: 89%
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Saturday 8/25 Morning Winds: NW 10 to 14 knots
Afternoon Winds: WNW 14-18
Seas: Seas: SSW 4 feet at 15 sec.
Sunday 8/26 Afternoon Winds: WNW 12-16
Seas: SSW 4 feet at 14 sec.
Monday 8/27 Afternoon Winds: WNW 10-13
Seas: S 4 feet at 12 sec.
. SEA OF CORTEZ
* indicates WeatherUnderground Station
*Puerto Penasco Casa Weez:
Morning Winds: SSW 8 to 10 knots
Afternoon Winds: SW 11-14
Sunrise Temp.: 78 °
Daily High Temperature: 90 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: Calm
#VALUE!
*Bahia Kino Nuevo :
Morning Winds: WSW 4 to 5 knots
Afternoon Winds: W 6-7
Sunrise Temp.: N/A
Daily High Temperature: N/A
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*San Filepe:
Morning Winds: ESE 4 to 6 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 12-15
Sunrise Temp.: 87 °
Daily High Temperature: 98 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*Gonzoga Bay Pappa Fernandez Landing. :
Morning Winds: SW 5 to 7 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 8-10
Sunrise Temp.: 83 °
Daily High Temperature: 98 °
Yesterday's Rainfall:
#VALUE!
*Bay of LA. :
Morning Winds: SW 5 to 6 knots
Afternoon Winds: SE 6-8
Sunrise Temp.: N/A
Daily High Temperature: N/A
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
San Franciscito Bay :
Morning Winds: WSW 6 to 8 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 3-4
Santa Rosalia :
Morning Winds: N 4 to 5 knots
Afternoon Winds: NNE 8-10
Sunrise Temp.: N/A
Daily High Temperature: N/A
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*Mulegé :
Morning Winds: NE 6 to 8 knots
Afternoon Winds: ENE 11-14
Sunrise Temp.: 83 °
Daily High Temperature: 99 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*San Carlos
Morning Winds: SSE 3 to 4 knots
Afternoon Winds: WSW 8-10
Sunrise Temp.: 84 °
Daily High Temperature: 91 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Pt Concepcion :
Morning Winds: E 7 to 10 knots
Afternoon Winds: E 11-14
Punta Chivato :
Morning Winds: NW 3 to 4 knots
Afternoon Winds: NE 9-11
*El Burro Cove in Concepcion Bay
Morning Winds Winds: NE 6 to 8 knots
Afternoon Winds: ENE 11-14
Sunrise Temp.: 87 °
Daily High Temperature: 96 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Sunrise Sea Temperature: 87
Puerto Escondido Juncalitoville
Morning Winds: S 1 to 2 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 12-15
Sunrise Temp.: 84 °
Daily High Temperature: 97 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
San Lorenzo Channel :
Morning Winds: W 2 to 3 knots
Afternoon Winds: E 8-10
La Paz:
Morning Winds: WSW 6 to 8 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 8-10
Sunrise Temp.: 77 °
Daily High Temperature: 94 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*La Ventana Baja Joe's :
Morning Winds: W 6 to 8 knots
Afternoon Winds: E 6-7
Sunrise Temp.: N/A
Daily High Temperature: N/A
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*Los Barriles :
Morning Winds: WNW 6 to 8 knots
Afternoon Winds: E 6-8
Sunrise Temp.: 84 °
Daily High Temperature: 91 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Cabo Pulmo :
Morning Winds: NNW 4 to 5 knots
Afternoon Winds: E 6-8
Seas: SSE 2 feet at 11 sec.
*Cabo San Lucas :
Morning Winds: WNW 8 to 10 knots
Afternoon Winds: WNW 10-13
Sunrise Temp.: 82 °
Daily High Temperature: 90 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
MEXICAN RIVIERA
*Mazatlan,
Morning Winds: SW 6 to 8 knots
Afternoon Winds: SSW 8-10
Sunrise Temp.: 83 °
Daily High Temperature: 86 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*Puerta Vallarta:
Morning Winds: SSE 2 to 3 knots
Afternoon Winds: W 8-10
Sunrise Temp.: 80 °
Daily High Temperature: 88 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Manzanillo :
Morning Winds: ENE 4 to 6 knots
Afternoon Winds: SSW 10-13
Sunrise Temp.: 78 °
Daily High Temperature: 89 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Ixtapa Zihuatanejo :
Morning Winds: S 4 to 6 knots
Afternoon Winds: WSW 7-9
Sunrise Temp.: 73 °
Daily High Temperature: 91 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Cabo Corrienties :
Morning Winds: ESE 3 to 4 knots
Afternoon Winds: WSW 6-7
Seas: SSW 3 feet at 14 sec.
Sea of Cortez Weather for 08/24/12
The Sonrisenet: The premier source for Sea of Cortez weather.
Click here for the Sonrisa Net Weather Webpage
Click here for the Satellite WunderMap view of the Sea of Cortez
After the Sonrisa Weather it’s back to work.
This summary and the daily postings are now posted on the Sonrisanet webpage usually by 8:30 MDT daily.
The following is from my daily ham radio Report
And is now available as a podcast.
Click above to Go to the Sonrisa Net Website
Friday, August 24, 2012
Voice to Text---
.Looking down into the Sea this morning I can see that the Sea was pretty much free of any cloudiness all morning. In the afternoon cells began to develop around Puerto Vallarta and los Mochas and continue during the night spilling out into the southern Sea. This morning it looks like these storms are just starting to wind down. There is considerable cloudiness in the Sea from a bit north of La Paz to along the East Cape. The webcams at La Paz and the cape were showing overcast skies at 7am.
The rest of the Sea is currently clear and should remain clear unless some of this cloudiness drifts north. Even so that should clear my at least mid morning and the Sea should see sunny skies today.
Looking south to the along the Mexican Riviera where there have been scattered showers and thunderbumper all day yesterday and last night all the way south to Central America. Rain totals along the coast have however been minimal for the past 24 hours.
Now looking in our Tropical Kitchen this morning. For the past few days I have been watching a Tropical Wave move across the Caribbean thinking it would probably pop out in the Pacific between Acapulco and the Gulf of Tehuantepec. . Well that is just what happened. It is now tickling the fancy of a lonely low just west of the Gulf. A lot of convection is building in this area. As of 5am the Navy had not designated this as an invest however I’d wager a peso that by mid morning they will. This is the genesis of our tropical storms this time of year. Not quite front burner stuff yet but I’m thinking soon. We’ll see.
Looking at the ITCZ/Monsoon trough where it is showing a number of embedded lows that have virtually no chance of developing into any thing but thunderbumpers along the zone.
That’s what is going on in our hood so looking now north to the west coast of America where in the Seattle area my evil twin brother Larry will be see mostly cloudy skies all week with afernoon temperatures in the high 60s.
The rest of the west coast with high pressure filling in the wake of that departing low will remain dry and mostly sunny into the weekend.
Southern California will see seasonal normal temperatures into the weekend with a weak low moving through. High pressure will rebuild early next week to begin a warming trend.
Looking now over to the southwest where this image is showing some cloudiness over Arizona that should clear early. Most of the thunderbumper activity was over in New Mexico yesterday afternoon and last night. The Tucson area will see a downturn in thunderbumper activity through the weekend with a slight chance of some thunderbumper or shower activity in the afternoons mainly Tucson eastward.
Early next week the monsoon should return with widespread activity again by Tuesday.
That’s what is going on to the north of us. Back on this side of the
Fence the central Sea from around Santa Rosalia south to Concepción Bay will see moderate northerlies over the 3-day forecast period. Puerto Escondido south moderate to light southerlies. The northern Sea mostly light southerlies for the next 3 days.
Temperatures today will continue to be in the mid to high 90s.
73s Y’all
Friday, August 24, 2012
Don't chisel these forecasts in stone. This is an Amateur Endeavor.
………...DAILYS………...
ALL winds are in Knots.
NORTHERN CROSSING FORECAST:
TODAY : Friday, August 24, 2012
Baja Side : Afternoon Winds: ENE 12-15
CENTER : Afternoon Winds: NNW 6-7
Guaymas Side : Afternoon Winds: WNW 9-12
TOMORROW: Saturday, August 25, 2012
Baja side : Afternoon Winds: ENE 11-14
Center : Afternoon Winds: NW 9-11
Guaymas side : Afternoon Winds: WNW 9-12
.
SOUTHERN CROSSING FORECAST:
TODAY : Friday, August 24, 2012
East Cape : Afternoon Winds: SE 6-7
Center : Afternoon Winds: WSW 8-10
Mazatlan : Afternoon Winds: WSW 9-12
TOMORROW : Saturday, August 25, 2012
East Cape : Afternoon Winds: NNE 4-5
Center : Afternoon Winds: S 8-10
Mazatlan : Afternoon Winds: S 11-14
.
….. 3 DAY FORECAST (OUTSIDE)…...
Ensenada
Friday 8/24 Afternoon Winds: WNW 11-14
Seas: S 3 feet at 13 sec.
Saturday 8/25 Afternoon Winds: WNW 11-14
Seas: S 3 feet at 15 sec.
Sunday 8/26 Afternoon Winds: NW 13-17
Seas: S 3 feet at 14 sec.
Point San Quintin
Friday 8/24 Afternoon Winds: WNW 12-16
Seas: Seas: S 3 feet at 17 sec.
Saturday 8/25 Afternoon Winds: WNW 15-19
Seas: SSW 4 feet at 15 sec.
Sunday 8/26 Afternoon Winds: NW 16-21
Seas: SSW 4 feet at 14 sec.
Turtle Bay
Friday 8/24 Afternoon Winds: ENE 13-17
Seas: E 1 feet at 10 sec.
Saturday 8/25 Afternoon Winds: ENE 17-22
Seas: E 2 feet at 10 sec.
Sunday 8/26 Afternoon Winds: NE 14-18
Seas: E 4 feet at 9 sec.
Cedros Island
Friday 8/24 Afternoon Winds: NW 12-16
Seas: S 2 feet at 13 sec.
Saturday 8/25 Afternoon Winds: NW 14-18
Seas: SSW 2 feet at 14 sec.
Sunday 8/26 Afternoon Winds: NW 15-19
Seas: SSW 2 feet at 14 sec.
ABREOJOS
Friday 8/24 Afternoon Winds: WNW 18-23
Seas: S 4 feet at 13 sec.
Saturday 8/25 Afternoon Winds: WNW 18-24
Seas: SSW 4 feet at 14 sec.
Sunday 8/26 Afternoon Winds: WNW 18-24
Seas: S 4 feet at 14 sec.
Mag Bay
Friday 8/24 Afternoon Winds: ESE 7-9
Seas: SSE 1 feet at 12 sec.
Saturday 8/25 Afternoon Winds: ESE 5-6
Seas: SSE 1 feet at 11 sec.
Sunday 8/26 Afternoon Winds: ESE 9-11
Seas: SSE 1 feet at 10 sec.
*CABO FALSO (Pedregal)
Today's Sunrise Temp.: 83 °
Daily High Temperature: 82%
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Friday 8/24 Morning Winds: WNW 3 to 4 knots
Afternoon Winds: WNW 12-16
Seas: Seas: S 4 feet at 13 sec.
Saturday 8/25 Afternoon Winds: WNW 15-19
Seas: SSW 4 feet at 15 sec.
Sunday 8/26 Afternoon Winds: WNW 13-17
Seas: SSW 4 feet at 14 sec.
. SEA OF CORTEZ
* indicates WeatherUnderground Station
*Puerto Penasco Casa Weez:
Morning Winds: S 8 to 10 knots
Afternoon Winds: SW 12-15
Sunrise Temp.: 88 °
Daily High Temperature: 90 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: Calm
#VALUE!
*Bahia Kino Nuevo :
Morning Winds: WSW 4 to 5 knots
Afternoon Winds: WSW 6-7
Sunrise Temp.: N/A
Daily High Temperature: N/A
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*San Filepe:
Morning Winds: SE 5 to 6 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 13-17
Sunrise Temp.: 87 °
Daily High Temperature: 98 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*Gonzoga Bay Pappa Fernandez Landing. :
Morning Winds: SW 5 to 7 knots
Afternoon Winds: SSE 8-10
Sunrise Temp.: 84 °
Daily High Temperature: 94 °
Yesterday's Rainfall:
#VALUE!
*Bay of LA. :
Morning Winds: SW 4 to 6 knots
Afternoon Winds: S 6-7
Sunrise Temp.: N/A
Daily High Temperature: N/A
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
San Franciscito Bay :
Morning Winds: WSW 6 to 7 knots
Afternoon Winds: SE 4-5
Santa Rosalia :
Morning Winds: NNE 3 to 4 knots
Afternoon Winds: ENE 9-11
Sunrise Temp.: N/A
Daily High Temperature: N/A
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*Mulegé :
Morning Winds: NE 6 to 9 knots
Afternoon Winds: ENE 12-15
Sunrise Temp.: 84 °
Daily High Temperature: 98 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*San Carlos
Morning Winds: WNW 6 to 8 knots
Afternoon Winds: WNW 9-12
Sunrise Temp.: 83 °
Daily High Temperature: 91 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Pt Concepcion :
Morning Winds: NE 6 to 8 knots
Afternoon Winds: ENE 11-14
Punta Chivato :
Morning Winds: NW 1 to 2 knots
Afternoon Winds: ENE 9-11
*El Burro Cove in Concepcion Bay
Morning Winds Winds: NE 6 to 9 knots
Afternoon Winds: ENE 12-15
Sunrise Temp.: 88 °
Daily High Temperature: 93 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Sunrise Sea Temperature: 87
Puerto Escondido Juncalitoville
Morning Winds: NE 2 to 3 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 11-14
Sunrise Temp.: 84 °
Daily High Temperature: 99 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
San Lorenzo Channel :
Morning Winds: WNW 1 to 2 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 6-8
La Paz:
Morning Winds: W 3 to 5 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 7-9
Sunrise Temp.: 77 °
Daily High Temperature: 94 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*La Ventana Baja Joe's :
Morning Winds: W 3 to 4 knots
Afternoon Winds: SE 6-7
Sunrise Temp.: N/A
Daily High Temperature: N/A
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*Los Barriles :
Morning Winds: WNW 1 to 2 knots
Afternoon Winds: SE 6-8
Sunrise Temp.: 83 °
Daily High Temperature: 91 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Cabo Pulmo :
Morning Winds: ESE 1 to 1 knots
Afternoon Winds: SSW 7-9
Seas: SSE 4 feet at 12 sec.
*Cabo San Lucas :
Morning Winds: SW 3 to 4 knots
Afternoon Winds: W 12-16
Sunrise Temp.: 81 °
Daily High Temperature: 90 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
MEXICAN RIVIERA
*Mazatlan,
Morning Winds: W 4 to 5 knots
Afternoon Winds: WSW 9-12
Sunrise Temp.: 81 °
Daily High Temperature: 87 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0.01 in.
#VALUE!
*Puerta Vallarta:
Morning Winds: S 2 to 3 knots
Afternoon Winds: WNW 8-10
Sunrise Temp.: 80 °
Daily High Temperature: 90 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Manzanillo :
Morning Winds: ENE 3 to 5 knots
Afternoon Winds: SSW 9-11
Sunrise Temp.: 75 °
Daily High Temperature: 89 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Ixtapa Zihuatanejo :
Morning Winds: SW 5 to 6 knots
Afternoon Winds: WSW 6-8
Sunrise Temp.: 68 °
Daily High Temperature: 84 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Cabo Corrienties :
Morning Winds: ESE 2 to 3 knots
Afternoon Winds: W 8-10
Seas: SSW 4 feet at 15 sec.
Sea of Cortez Weather for 08/23/12
The Sonrisenet: The premier source for Sea of Cortez weather.
Click here for the Sonrisa Net Weather Webpage
Click here for the Satellite WunderMap view of the Sea of Cortez
After the Sonrisa Weather it’s back to work.
This summary and the daily postings are now posted on the Sonrisanet webpage usually by 8:30 MDT daily.
The following is from my daily ham radio Report
And is now available as a podcast.
Click above to Go to the Sonrisa Net Website
Thursday, August 23, 2012
Voice to Text---
.Looking down into the Sea this morning I can see in the 24 hour loop that the MSC did not developed over in Sonora yesterday. There was some heavy cell build up early yesterday morning in northern Sonora but it petered out by around noon.
There was one cell that quickly built and dissipated just as fast right along the Fence south of Tucson last evening but that has pretty much been it for any thunderbumper activity in Sonora yesterday, last night and this morning.
The Sea has been virtually free of any cloudiness since the early morning burn-off yesterday morning.
The cape area had sun all afternoon yesterday.
Looking now over along the Mexican Riviera where at 5am I could see a small cell develop around Puerto Vallarta and move out into the Sea.
It was on the wane by 7:30 this morning.
Looking south I can see there were a few locations that had some showers last night but most of the thunderbumper activity is off shore a bit. Puerto Vallarta did have a heavy cell come through yesterday afternoon dropping a little over 5 inches of rain.
The ITCZ/Monsoon trough is fairly quiet this morning and the only thing in our Tropical Kitchen is a weak low west of Cabo Corrienties and about 275 miles south of the cape. It has not been given a invest designation at this time and one might not be coming as this is a very weak low. Well put it on a back burner in our Tropical Kitchen but I don’t think much will come or this. We’ll see? That Tropical Wave I’ve been watching for the last couple days is just passing over onto the mainland and should emerge late tomorrow or Saturday on the Pacific side somewhere around Manzanillo.
That’s what is going on in our hood so looking now north to the west coast of America where there is not much going on weather-wise there either. Seattle may get a little drizzle today but the rest of the west coast will be pretty much dry.
Southern California has that low trough slowly exiting east into the Great Basin today leaving some lingering moisture and instability of isolated showers and thunderbumpers in the deserts and mountains this afternoon. High pressure will fill in the wake of the departing low and bring warmer temperatures to the southland by this weekend.
Looking now over to the southwest where the low moving into the Great Basin will bring more rain to parts of southeast Arizona today. Thereafter a drying trend can be expected by the weekend.
That’s what is going on to the north of us. Back on this side of the Fence the afternoon winds in the Sea will be light to moderate for the 3-day forecast period in general from the south. Some will be thermally driven and come from the NE or NW but in general there will be a southerly flow in the Sea.
There was some cloudiness over night in the Sea but it now looks like the Sea is clear and will be sunny all day.
Temperatures will be in the mid to high 90s today in most locations.
73s
.
Thursday, August 23, 2012
Don't chisel these forecasts in stone. This is an Amateur Endeavor.
………...DAILYS………...
ALL winds are in Knots.
NORTHERN CROSSING FORECAST:
TODAY : Thursday, August 23, 2012
Baja Side : Afternoon Winds: E 12-16
CENTER : Afternoon Winds: ESE 6-8
Guaymas Side : Afternoon Winds: SSW 9-12
TOMORROW: Friday, August 24, 2012
Baja side : Afternoon Winds: ENE 11-14
Center : Afternoon Winds: NNW 6-8
Guaymas side : Afternoon Winds: W 8-10
.
SOUTHERN CROSSING FORECAST:
TODAY : Thursday, August 23, 2012
East Cape : Afternoon Winds: SE 9-11
Center : Afternoon Winds: SSW 7-9
Mazatlan : Afternoon Winds: SSW 9-11
TOMORROW : Friday, August 24, 2012
East Cape : Afternoon Winds: SSW 6-7
Center : Afternoon Winds: WSW 9-12
Mazatlan : Afternoon Winds: WSW 11-14
.
….. 3 DAY FORECAST (OUTSIDE)…...
Ensenada
Thursday 8/23 Afternoon Winds: WNW 12-15
Seas: S 3 feet at 13 sec.
Friday 8/24 Afternoon Winds: WNW 12-15
Seas: S 3 feet at 13 sec.
Saturday 8/25 Afternoon Winds: WNW 12-16
Seas: S 3 feet at 15 sec.
Point San Quintin
Thursday 8/23 Afternoon Winds: WNW 10-13
Seas: Seas: S 3 feet at 13 sec.
Friday 8/24 Afternoon Winds: WNW 15-19
Seas: S 3 feet at 17 sec.
Saturday 8/25 Afternoon Winds: NW 17-22
Seas: SSW 4 feet at 15 sec.
Turtle Bay
Thursday 8/23 Afternoon Winds: SSE 9-11
Seas: SSE 2 feet at 6 sec.
Friday 8/24 Afternoon Winds: SE 11-14
Seas: SSE 2 feet at 6 sec.
Saturday 8/25 Afternoon Winds: ENE 12-15
Seas: SE 2 feet at 6 sec.
Cedros Island
Thursday 8/23 Afternoon Winds: WNW 12-15
Seas: S 2 feet at 14 sec.
Friday 8/24 Afternoon Winds: WNW 12-16
Seas: S 2 feet at 13 sec.
Saturday 8/25 Afternoon Winds: WNW 14-18
Seas: SSW 2 feet at 14 sec.
ABREOJOS
Thursday 8/23 Afternoon Winds: WNW 18-23
Seas: S 4 feet at 14 sec.
Friday 8/24 Afternoon Winds: WNW 18-23
Seas: S 4 feet at 13 sec.
Saturday 8/25 Afternoon Winds: WNW 18-23
Seas: SSW 4 feet at 14 sec.
Mag Bay
Thursday 8/23 Afternoon Winds: WNW 15-19
Seas: S 4 feet at 14 sec.
Friday 8/24 Afternoon Winds: WNW 15-20
Seas: S 4 feet at 15 sec.
Saturday 8/25 Afternoon Winds: WNW 16-21
Seas: S 4 feet at 12 sec.
*CABO FALSO (Pedregal)
Today's Sunrise Temp.: 80 °
Daily High Temperature: 86%
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Thursday 8/23 Morning Winds: SE 2 to 3 knots
Afternoon Winds: WSW 6-8
Seas: Seas: S 4 feet at 14 sec.
Friday 8/24 Afternoon Winds: WNW 12-16
Seas: S 4 feet at 13 sec.
Saturday 8/25 Afternoon Winds: WNW 15-20
Seas: SSW 4 feet at 15 sec.
. SEA OF CORTEZ
* indicates WeatherUnderground Station
*Puerto Penasco Casa Weez:
Morning Winds: NNW 1 to 2 knots
Afternoon Winds: SSW 4-5
Sunrise Temp.: 86 °
Daily High Temperature: 90 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: Calm
#VALUE!
*Bahia Kino Nuevo :
Morning Winds: SSW 6 to 8 knots
Afternoon Winds: S 9-12
Sunrise Temp.: N/A
Daily High Temperature: N/A
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*San Filepe:
Morning Winds: SE 5 to 6 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 12-16
Sunrise Temp.: 88 °
Daily High Temperature: 96 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*Gonzoga Bay Pappa Fernandez Landing. :
Morning Winds: SSW 5 to 6 knots
Afternoon Winds: S 9-11
Sunrise Temp.: 82 °
Daily High Temperature: 101 °
Yesterday's Rainfall:
#VALUE!
*Bay of LA. :
Morning Winds: ESE 8 to 11 knots
Afternoon Winds: SE 14-18
Sunrise Temp.: 79 °
Daily High Temperature: °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
San Franciscito Bay :
Morning Winds: WNW 5 to 6 knots
Afternoon Winds: WNW 12-15
Santa Rosalia :
Morning Winds: ENE 4 to 5 knots
Afternoon Winds: E 11-14
Sunrise Temp.: N/A
Daily High Temperature: N/A
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*Mulegé :
Morning Winds: ENE 5 to 7 knots
Afternoon Winds: E 12-16
Sunrise Temp.: 83 °
Daily High Temperature: 98 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*San Carlos
Morning Winds: WNW 2 to 3 knots
Afternoon Winds: W 8-10
Sunrise Temp.: 83 °
Daily High Temperature: 89 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Pt Concepcion :
Morning Winds: NE 7 to 9 knots
Afternoon Winds: ENE 11-14
Punta Chivato :
Morning Winds: ENE 3 to 4 knots
Afternoon Winds: E 12-15
*El Burro Cove in Concepcion Bay
Morning Winds Winds: ENE 5 to 7 knots
Afternoon Winds: E 12-16
Sunrise Temp.: 85 °
Daily High Temperature: 93 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Sunrise Sea Temperature: 87
Puerto Escondido Juncalitoville
Morning Winds: SE 3 to 4 knots
Afternoon Winds: SE 12-15
Sunrise Temp.: 83 °
Daily High Temperature: 93 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
San Lorenzo Channel :
Morning Winds: SSE 1 to 2 knots
Afternoon Winds: SE 9-11
La Paz:
Morning Winds: S 1 to 2 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 9-12
Sunrise Temp.: 77 °
Daily High Temperature: 91 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*La Ventana Baja Joe's :
Morning Winds: SSE 3 to 4 knots
Afternoon Winds: SE 9-11
Sunrise Temp.: N/A
Daily High Temperature: N/A
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*Los Barriles :
Morning Winds: SE 4 to 6 knots
Afternoon Winds: SSE 9-11
Sunrise Temp.: 81 °
Daily High Temperature: 90 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Cabo Pulmo :
Morning Winds: SSE 5 to 6 knots
Afternoon Winds: S 10-13
Seas: SSE 3 feet at 13 sec.
*Cabo San Lucas :
Morning Winds: SE 2 to 3 knots
Afternoon Winds: WSW 6-8
Sunrise Temp.: 84 °
Daily High Temperature: 90 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
MEXICAN RIVIERA
*Mazatlan,
Morning Winds: W 2 to 3 knots
Afternoon Winds: SSW 9-11
Sunrise Temp.: 78 °
Daily High Temperature: 87 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0.05 in.
#VALUE!
*Puerta Vallarta:
Morning Winds: SE 2 to 3 knots
Afternoon Winds: W 7-9
Sunrise Temp.: 78 °
Daily High Temperature: 82 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Manzanillo :
Morning Winds: ENE 4 to 5 knots
Afternoon Winds: SSW 10-13
Sunrise Temp.: 77 °
Daily High Temperature: 88 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Ixtapa Zihuatanejo :
Morning Winds: S 1 to 2 knots
Afternoon Winds: SW 7-9
Sunrise Temp.: 73 °
Daily High Temperature: 86 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Cabo Corrienties :
Morning Winds: ESE 2 to 3 knots
Afternoon Winds: SW 7-9
Seas: SSW 4 feet at 13 sec.
Sea of Cortez Weather for 08/22/12
The Sonrisenet: The premier source for Sea of Cortez weather.
Click here for the Sonrisa Net Weather Webpage
Click here for the Satellite WunderMap view of the Sea of Cortez
After the Sonrisa Weather it’s back to work.
This summary and the daily postings are now posted on the Sonrisanet webpage usually by 8:30 MDT daily.
The following is from my daily ham radio Report
And is now available as a podcast.
Click above to Go to the Sonrisa Net Website
Wednesday, August 22, 2012
Voice to Text---
.Looking down into the Sea this morning with first the 24 hour loop. I can see that late yesterday morning into the afternoon numerous thunderbumper developed in the mountains along the cape area. The East Cape as well. It looks like most were to the west of La Paz though.
During the evening hours the skies cleared up over the cape area then around mid night a cell developed around los Mochas and moved out into the Sea toward the East Cape pretty much blanketing the Sea by 5am.
None of the reporting stations around the cape reported any rain accumulations though. The latest sat image was showing that system dissipating and shrinking back toward the mainland. There is however another cell building from Los Mochas north to north of Hermacillo at this time. This looks like the start of a MSC.
The rest of the Sea saw mostly clear skies yesterday and last night.
Looking over at Sonora there were several cells that developed and moved north into Arizona bringing heavy rain and thunderbumpers to SW Arizona. I did note that Bob’s station at 5000 feet did not receive any rain accumulations last night.
Starting early this morning the Sea started to see some cloudiness move from the mainland into the Sea and at 5am the Sea from around Santa Rosalia south to the cape were overcast. That had not changed much at 7am.
The only station that reported any rain and that was a trace in Puerto Escondido at Juncalitoville.
Looking now south to the Mexican Riviera I can see that there was a lot of thumpers develop back in the mountains all along the Riviera during the nigh and move toward the coast. At this time the coast is pretty much clear with all the storms off shore.
Looking not at the ITCZ/Monsoon trough where there are a couple of insignificant low in the zone this morning. No development is expected from either of these.
If fact there is absolutely nothing cooking in our Tropical Kitchen
This morning and the next 48 hours look to be the same. As I mentioned yesterday there is a Tropical Wave moving across the Caribbean that will most likely cross Mexico and enter the Pacific probably late tomorrow. We’ll see?
That’s what is going on in our hood so looking not north to the west coast of America where at the top of this image I can see a low moving down the British Columbia coast. This cold front will most likely bring rain along the Washington/British Columbia border this weekend. My evil twin brother Larry said the weather in Seattle has been awful this summer. Last week they had afternoon temperatures in the 90s and today the forecast is for the low 70s. He said his tomato plant has yet to produce any salad material.
Looking south now to California where a low is moving though the state bringing cooler temperatures. It is also mingling with the monsoon moisture in the region enhancing the thunderbumper activity in the deserts and mountains in southern California. The low is forecast to have move east by tomorrow.
Looking now over to the southwest where that low is arriving from California and will give cause to significant rain and thunderbumpers to the SW today. Flash flood advisories have been issued in several counties in SW Arizona for today.
The National Weather Service is forecasting MCSs (there is that term again. Mesoscale convective systems) to develop over Sonora this afternoon.
The low will move through the area this evening leaving some lingering showers tomorrow and then a drying period this weekend.
As far as the MCSs, we will have to wait and see how they affect the Sea of Cortes this afternoon and evening. I’ve only seen a couple and these are very powerful and enormous storms stretching perhaps a thousand miles in length. That’s a very significant storm. So far I don’t have any data on winds or rainfall accumulations from these systems.
OK, that’s what is going on to the north of us. Back on this side of the Fence the very moderate winds will continue in the Sea today. Southerlies in the northern and southern Sea and it looks like easterly in the central Sea around the northern crossing.
That is the forecast. That being said, for the past week we have had storms move across the Sea to the cape region. There is probably a good chance that will continue today. There will be some butt-ugly weather in Sonora this afternoon and there is the possibility that we could see some outflow from these storms enter the Sea. All of this is conjecture on my part of course. My best advise is to keep a wary weather eye to the east today.
A final note. All these charts is I use in my forecast are available on the Sonrisanet website. Perhaps a little brag but I think I have the best Tropical weather page in the region. One other thing: As of this week the website has now had over 80,000 hits. To me that pretty amazing.
73s Y’all
Wednesday, August 22, 2012
Don't chisel these forecasts in stone. This is an Amateur Endeavor.
………...DAILYS………...
ALL winds are in Knots.
NORTHERN CROSSING FORECAST:
TODAY : Wednesday, August 22, 2012
Baja Side : Afternoon Winds: E 12-15
CENTER : Afternoon Winds: ESE 6-7
Guaymas Side : Afternoon Winds: E 17-22
TOMORROW: Thursday, August 23, 2012
Baja side : Afternoon Winds: ESE 13-17
Center : Afternoon Winds: ESE 9-11
Guaymas side : Afternoon Winds: SE 15-19
.
SOUTHERN CROSSING FORECAST:
TODAY : Wednesday, August 22, 2012
East Cape : Afternoon Winds: SE 8-10
Center : Afternoon Winds: SW 7-9
Mazatlan : Afternoon Winds: SW 9-11
TOMORROW : Thursday, August 23, 2012
East Cape : Afternoon Winds: SE 10-13
Center : Afternoon Winds: S 8-10
Mazatlan : Afternoon Winds: S 9-11
.
….. 3 DAY FORECAST (OUTSIDE)…...
Ensenada
Wednesday 8/22 Afternoon Winds: WNW 10-13
Seas: S 3 feet at 15 sec.
Thursday 8/23 Afternoon Winds: WNW 10-13
Seas: S 3 feet at 13 sec.
Friday 8/24 Afternoon Winds: NW 12-16
Seas: S 3 feet at 13 sec
Point San Quintin
Wednesday 8/22 Afternoon Winds: W 11-14
Seas: Seas: S 4 feet at 15 sec.
Thursday 8/23 Afternoon Winds: WNW 11-14
Seas: S 3 feet at 13 sec.
Friday 8/24 Afternoon Winds: WNW 15-20
Seas: S 4 feet at 17 sec.
Turtle Bay
Wednesday 8/22 Afternoon Winds: SSW 9-11
Seas: E 1 feet at 10 sec.
Thursday 8/23 Afternoon Winds: ESE 9-12
Seas: E 1 feet at 10 sec.
Friday 8/24 Afternoon Winds: ENE 13-17
Seas: E 1 feet at 10 sec.
Cedros Island
Wednesday 8/22 Afternoon Winds: WNW 11-14
Seas: S 2 feet at 15 sec.
Thursday 8/23 Afternoon Winds: WNW 11-14
Seas: S 2 feet at 14 sec.
Friday 8/24 Afternoon Winds: NW 13-17
Seas: S 2 feet at 13 sec.
ABREOJOS
Wednesday 8/22 Afternoon Winds: WNW 17-22
Seas: S 4 feet at 14 sec.
Thursday 8/23 Afternoon Winds: WNW 18-23
Seas: S 4 feet at 14 sec.
Friday 8/24 Afternoon Winds: WNW 17-22
Seas: S 4 feet at 13 sec.
Mag Bay
Wednesday 8/22 Afternoon Winds: ESE 10-13
Seas: SSE 1 feet at 14 sec.
Thursday 8/23 Afternoon Winds: SE 9-12
Seas: SSE 1 feet at 14 sec.
Friday 8/24 Afternoon Winds: SW 9-11
Seas: SSE 1 feet at 12 sec.
*CABO FALSO (Pedregal)
Today's Sunrise Temp.: 80 °
Daily High Temperature: 80%
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Wednesday 8/22 Morning Winds: SE 2 to 3 knots
Afternoon Winds: W 6-7
Seas: Seas: SSE 4 feet at 14 sec.
Thursday 8/23 Afternoon Winds: SSW 8-10
Seas: S 4 feet at 13 sec.
Friday 8/24 Afternoon Winds: W 12-16
Seas: S 4 feet at 13 sec.
. SEA OF CORTEZ
* indicates WeatherUnderground Station
*Puerto Penasco Casa Weez:
Morning Winds: S 12 to 16 knots
Afternoon Winds: S 16-21
Sunrise Temp.: 86 °
Daily High Temperature: 89 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: Calm
#VALUE!
*Bahia Kino Nuevo :
Morning Winds: SSW 6 to 8 knots
Afternoon Winds: S 11-14
Sunrise Temp.: N/A
Daily High Temperature: N/A
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*San Filepe:
Morning Winds: SE 6 to 8 knots
Afternoon Winds: SE 13-17
Sunrise Temp.: 87 °
Daily High Temperature: 97 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*Gonzoga Bay Pappa Fernandez Landing. :
Morning Winds: SW 7 to 10 knots
Afternoon Winds: SSW 11-14
Sunrise Temp.: 84 °
Daily High Temperature: 96 °
Yesterday's Rainfall:
#VALUE!
*Bay of LA. :
Morning Winds: SSW 6 to 9 knots
Afternoon Winds: S 11-14
Sunrise Temp.: 79 °
Daily High Temperature: °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
San Franciscito Bay :
Morning Winds: NW 5 to 7 knots
Afternoon Winds: WNW 11-14
Santa Rosalia :
Morning Winds: ENE 3 to 4 knots
Afternoon Winds: E 9-12
Sunrise Temp.: N/A
Daily High Temperature: N/A
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*Mulegé :
Morning Winds: ENE 5 to 7 knots
Afternoon Winds: E 12-15
Sunrise Temp.: 81 °
Daily High Temperature: 91 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*San Carlos
Morning Winds: SE 8 to 11 knots
Afternoon Winds: SE 15-19
Sunrise Temp.: 82 °
Daily High Temperature: 92 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Pt Concepcion :
Morning Winds: ESE 7 to 9 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 13-17
Punta Chivato :
Morning Winds: NE 1 to 2 knots
Afternoon Winds: E 11-14
*El Burro Cove in Concepcion Bay
Morning Winds Winds: ENE 5 to 7 knots
Afternoon Winds: E 12-15
Sunrise Temp.: 83 °
Daily High Temperature: 93 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Sunrise Sea Temperature: 87
Puerto Escondido Juncalitoville
Morning Winds: S 2 to 3 knots
Afternoon Winds: SE 12-15
Sunrise Temp.: 82 °
Daily High Temperature: 94 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
San Lorenzo Channel :
Morning Winds: WNW 1 to 2 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 8-10
La Paz:
Morning Winds: WSW 2 to 3 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 10-13
Sunrise Temp.: 75 °
Daily High Temperature: 92 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*La Ventana Baja Joe's :
Morning Winds: WSW 2 to 2 knots
Afternoon Winds: SE 8-10
Sunrise Temp.: N/A
Daily High Temperature: N/A
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*Los Barriles :
Morning Winds: NW 9 to 12 knots
Afternoon Winds: WNW 16-21
Sunrise Temp.: 81 °
Daily High Temperature: 90 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Cabo Pulmo :
Morning Winds: SSE 3 to 5 knots
Afternoon Winds: S 8-10
Seas: SSE 3 feet at 14 sec.
*Cabo San Lucas :
Morning Winds: SE 2 to 3 knots
Afternoon Winds: W 6-7
Sunrise Temp.: 80 °
Daily High Temperature: 93 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
MEXICAN RIVIERA
*Mazatlan,
Morning Winds: ESE 2 to 2 knots
Afternoon Winds: SW 9-11
Sunrise Temp.: 80 °
Daily High Temperature: 87 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*Puerta Vallarta:
Morning Winds: SE 3 to 5 knots
Afternoon Winds: WSW 8-10
Sunrise Temp.: 78 °
Daily High Temperature: 88 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Manzanillo :
Morning Winds: ENE 1 to 2 knots
Afternoon Winds: S 11-14
Sunrise Temp.: 76 °
Daily High Temperature: 87 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Ixtapa Zihuatanejo :
Morning Winds: E 5 to 6 knots
Afternoon Winds: NE 4-5
Sunrise Temp.: 72 °
Daily High Temperature: 84 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Cabo Corrienties :
Morning Winds: ESE 3 to 5 knots
Afternoon Winds: S 9-11
Seas: S 4 feet at 13 sec.
Sea of Cortez Weather for 08/20/12
The Sonrisenet: The premier source for Sea of Cortez weather.
Click here for the Sonrisa Net Weather Webpage
Click here for the Satellite WunderMap view of the Sea of Cortez
After the Sonrisa Weather it’s back to work.
This summary and the daily postings are now posted on the Sonrisanet webpage usually by 8:30 MDT daily.
The following is from my daily ham radio Report
And is now available as a podcast.
Click above to Go to the Sonrisa Net Website
Tuesday, August 21, 2012
Voice to Text---
.Looking down into the Sea this morning first with the 24 hour loop I can see that yesterday morning there were numerous small cells pop up all over the Sea and along the Baja peninsula as far north as Santa Rosalia. The cloudiness did not start to clear until late morning and by mid afternoon most of the Sea had hazy skies.
There was very little thunderbumper activity in the length of Sonora yesterday afternoon. Since midnight there has been no thunderbumper in Sonora with the exception of one right over Mazatlan during the early morning hours. There has been some, what appear to be fluffys, drifting west from the Sonoran coast into the Sea and it looks like the Sea this morning has partial overcast.
Looking now south to the Mexican Riviera where there has not been the heavy storm activity along the coast that we have seen for the past week. These storms have been moving across the Sea to the cape area virtually every day for the past week. A friend of mine at San Jose del Cabo says they have received 8 inches of rain in the past 4 days. This current image suggests that they could see some sunshine today. Since early morning there have been several cells build between Mazatlan and Cabo Corrienties and then dissipate or are now on the wane.
Looking now in our Tropical Kitchen where there is nothing going on. The wanna-be low that was west of Cabo Corrienties yesterday morning has sort of petered out over the past 24 hours and is no longer listed as any threat for tropical development. The only other item is a Tropical Wave I’ve been watching cross the Caribbean. It is now headed west down the southern coast of the Yucatan and will most likely show up Wednesday in the Pacific around the Gulf of Tehuantepec or perhaps a little north of there. We’ll see?
It’s a bit unusual to have nothing cooking in our Tropical Kitchen this time of month in August. No complaints though.
That’s what is happening in our hood so looking now north to the west coast of America where a rather strong low is set to move into California today and tomorrow. This will be the weather maker for the next couple of days. It will interact with the monsoon moisture already in the area and bring more thunderbumper and showers to the deserts and mountains in southern California.
It will also deepen the marine layer along the coast to around 2000 feet. The third affect will be to cool down the west coast as much as 10 degrees from yesterday by Thursday.
Looking now over to the southwest where the monsoon moisture is unusually high and will result in afternoon and evening thunderbumper and showers region wide. By mid week when low arrives from the west they should see a significant increase in the coverage and intensity of the thunderbumpers especially tomorrow afternoon and evening. The thunderstorm activity will cool temperatures a bit and then rebound during the weekend.
That’s what is going on to the north of us. Back on this side of the Fence the next 3 days the winds in the Sea will continue to be light to moderate southerlies.
Temperatures today will inch up an degree or two and be in the mid to high 90s.
73s Y’all
Tuesday, August 21, 2012
Don't chisel these forecasts in stone. This is an Amateur Endeavor.
………...DAILYS………...
ALL winds are in Knots.
NORTHERN CROSSING FORECAST:
TODAY : Tuesday, August 21, 2012
Baja Side : Afternoon Winds: ENE 11-14
CENTER : Afternoon Winds: ESE 6-8
Guaymas Side : Afternoon Winds: WSW 9-12
TOMORROW: Wednesday, August 22, 2012
Baja side : Afternoon Winds: E 13-17
Center : Afternoon Winds: SE 4-5
Guaymas side : Afternoon Winds: SSW 7-9
.
SOUTHERN CROSSING FORECAST:
TODAY : Tuesday, August 21, 2012
East Cape : Afternoon Winds: SSE 7-9
Center : Afternoon Winds: WSW 6-7
Mazatlan : Afternoon Winds: W 7-9
TOMORROW : Wednesday, August 22, 2012
East Cape : Afternoon Winds: SSE 6-8
Center : Afternoon Winds: SW 6-8
Mazatlan : Afternoon Winds: SW 8-10
.
….. 3 DAY FORECAST (OUTSIDE)…...
Ensenada
Tuesday 8/21 Afternoon Winds: WNW 9-11
Seas: SSW 3 feet at 17 sec.
Wednesday 8/22 Afternoon Winds: WNW 9-11
Seas: S 3 feet at 15 sec.
Thursday 8/23 Afternoon Winds: WNW 9-12
Seas: S 3 feet at 13 sec.
Point San Quintin
Tuesday 8/21 Afternoon Winds: WNW 10-13
Seas: Seas: SSW 4 feet at 17 sec.
Wednesday 8/22 Afternoon Winds: W 11-14
Seas: S 3 feet at 15 sec.
Thursday 8/23 Afternoon Winds: WNW 11-14
Seas: S 3 feet at 13 sec.
Turtle Bay
Tuesday 8/21 Afternoon Winds: E 15-19
Seas: SE 2 feet at 5 sec.
Wednesday 8/22 Afternoon Winds: E 13-17
Seas: SE 2 feet at 6 sec.
Thursday 8/23 Afternoon Winds: ESE 14-18
Seas: SE 3 feet at 6 sec.
Cedros Island
Tuesday 8/21 Afternoon Winds: WNW 12-15
Seas: S 2 feet at 16 sec.
Wednesday 8/22 Afternoon Winds: WNW 10-13
Seas: S 2 feet at 15 sec.
Thursday 8/23 Afternoon Winds: WNW 11-14
Seas: S 2 feet at 14 sec.
ABREOJOS
Tuesday 8/21 Afternoon Winds: W 15-20
Seas: S 4 feet at 16 sec.
Wednesday 8/22 Afternoon Winds: WNW 16-21
Seas: S 4 feet at 14 sec.
Thursday 8/23 Afternoon Winds: WNW 17-22
Seas: S 4 feet at 14 sec.
Mag Bay
Tuesday 8/21 Afternoon Winds: WNW 13-17
Seas: S 4 feet at 16 sec.
Wednesday 8/22 Afternoon Winds: WNW 14-18
Seas: S 4 feet at 14 sec.
Thursday 8/23 Afternoon Winds: WNW 15-20
Seas: S 4 feet at 14 sec.
*CABO FALSO (Pedregal)
Today's Sunrise Temp.: 79 °
Daily High Temperature: 83%
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Tuesday 8/21 Morning Winds: NW 6 to 8 knots
Afternoon Winds: WNW 11-14
Seas: Seas: S 5 feet at 15 sec.
Wednesday 8/22 Afternoon Winds: WNW 12-15
Seas: S 5 feet at 14 sec.
Thursday 8/23 Afternoon Winds: WNW 12-15
Seas: S 4 feet at 14 sec.
. SEA OF CORTEZ
* indicates WeatherUnderground Station
*Puerto Penasco Casa Weez:
Morning Winds: S 12 to 16 knots
Afternoon Winds: SSW 12-16
Sunrise Temp.: 86 °
Daily High Temperature: 92 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: Calm
#VALUE!
*Bahia Kino Nuevo :
Morning Winds: ENE 10 to 13 knots
Afternoon Winds: ENE 11-14
Sunrise Temp.: N/A
Daily High Temperature: N/A
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*San Filepe:
Morning Winds: SSE 8 to 11 knots
Afternoon Winds: SSE 15-19
Sunrise Temp.: 89 °
Daily High Temperature: 98 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*Gonzoga Bay Pappa Fernandez Landing. :
Morning Winds: S 0 to 0 knots
Afternoon Winds: WNW 9-12
Sunrise Temp.: 85 °
Daily High Temperature: 96 °
Yesterday's Rainfall:
#VALUE!
*Bay of LA. :
Morning Winds: SW 5 to 7 knots
Afternoon Winds: SSW 8-10
Sunrise Temp.: 82 °
Daily High Temperature: 89 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
San Franciscito Bay :
Morning Winds: SW 3 to 4 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 9-12
Santa Rosalia :
Morning Winds: ENE 3 to 3 knots
Afternoon Winds: ENE 8-10
Sunrise Temp.: N/A
Daily High Temperature: N/A
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*Mulegé :
Morning Winds: ENE 4 to 5 knots
Afternoon Winds: ENE 11-14
Sunrise Temp.: 83 °
Daily High Temperature: 97 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*San Carlos
Morning Winds: S 3 to 5 knots
Afternoon Winds: SSW 7-9
Sunrise Temp.: 82 °
Daily High Temperature: 89 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Pt Concepcion :
Morning Winds: ENE 4 to 5 knots
Afternoon Winds: E 13-17
Punta Chivato :
Morning Winds: NE 2 to 3 knots
Afternoon Winds: ENE 9-11
*El Burro Cove in Concepcion Bay
Morning Winds Winds: ENE 4 to 5 knots
Afternoon Winds: ENE 11-14
Sunrise Temp.: 86 °
Daily High Temperature: 93 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Sunrise Sea Temperature: 87
Puerto Escondido Juncalitoville
Morning Winds: WSW 3 to 4 knots
Afternoon Winds: SSE 10-13
Sunrise Temp.: 82 °
Daily High Temperature: 4 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
San Lorenzo Channel :
Morning Winds: WSW 3 to 3 knots
Afternoon Winds: SSW 6-8
La Paz:
Morning Winds: WSW 5 to 6 knots
Afternoon Winds: SE 8-10
Sunrise Temp.: 76 °
Daily High Temperature: 90 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*La Ventana Baja Joe's :
Morning Winds: W 4 to 6 knots
Afternoon Winds: SSE 7-9
Sunrise Temp.: N/A
Daily High Temperature: N/A
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*Los Barriles :
Morning Winds: NW 2 to 3 knots
Afternoon Winds: SE 8-10
Sunrise Temp.: 80 °
Daily High Temperature: 90 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Cabo Pulmo :
Morning Winds: WNW 5 to 6 knots
Afternoon Winds: W 12-16
Seas: S 4 feet at 16 sec.
*Cabo San Lucas :
Morning Winds: NW 2 to 2 knots
Afternoon Winds: W 9-11
Sunrise Temp.: 80 °
Daily High Temperature: 80 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
MEXICAN RIVIERA
*Mazatlan,
Morning Winds: NNW 4 to 6 knots
Afternoon Winds: W 7-9
Sunrise Temp.: 79 °
Daily High Temperature: 84 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*Puerta Vallarta:
Morning Winds: ESE 4 to 5 knots
Afternoon Winds: WNW 5-6
Sunrise Temp.: 77 °
Daily High Temperature: 89 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0.04 in.
#VALUE!
Manzanillo :
Morning Winds: ENE 9 to 13 knots
Afternoon Winds: ENE 13-17
Sunrise Temp.: 75 °
Daily High Temperature: 87 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0.02 in.
#VALUE!
Ixtapa Zihuatanejo :
Morning Winds: SW 7 to 9 knots
Afternoon Winds: W 6-7
Sunrise Temp.: 72 °
Daily High Temperature: 84 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Cabo Corrienties :
Morning Winds: ESE 7 to 9 knots
Afternoon Winds: S 10-13
Seas: S 4 feet at 14 sec.
Sea of Cortez Weather for 08/20/12
The Sonrisenet: The premier source for Sea of Cortez weather.
Click here for the Sonrisa Net Weather Webpage
Click here for the Satellite WunderMap view of the Sea of Cortez
After the Sonrisa Weather it’s back to work.
This summary and the daily postings are now posted on the Sonrisanet webpage usually by 8:30 MDT daily.
The following is from my daily ham radio Report
And is now available as a podcast.
Click above to Go to the Sonrisa Net Website
Monday, August 20, 2012
Voice to Text---
.Looking down into the Sea this morning in the 24 hour loop I can see that the cell that moved out of the Puerto Vallarta area into the southern crossing yesterday morning continued to move north moving first into the southern crossing and then back over the Sonoran coast and continued during the afternoon moving north paralleling the coast and finally stopping at the Fence at 5am this morning. At no time did it diminish in size.
I can see that other cells popped up hear and there. One fairly large one built after midnight just north of La Paz and soon enlarged to blanketed the Sea between there and Puerto Escondido.
Another cell developed around Los Mochas after midnight and enlarged and moved out into the Sea ending up over La Paz early this morning. It was still there at 5am but the intensity was waning.
This image is showing most of the central and southern Sea overcast this morning. There is considerable cloudiness over Sonora this morning that is having a westward flow so if we do have some cleaning it will be perhaps early afternoon.
Looking now south to the Mexican Riviera I can see there has been considerable thunderbumper activity along the coast during the early morning hours. Most have moved off shore and behind them the mainland is clear.
Taking a look in our Tropical Kitchen this morning where we have a wanna-be west of Manzanillo and SW of Cabo Corrienties this morning. Yesterday the Navy designated this invest 96 Echo. I has been rather stationary and now just started to move NW toward the Cape. The National Hurricane Center is still only giving it a 10% chance of tropical development in the next couple of days. We’ll keep this on the back burner for now as this area is the genesis of most of our hurricanes this time of year.
The only other tropical item this morning is a tropical wave just passing Cuba this morning. It most likely will show up in the Pacific around the Gulf of Tehuantepec in a couple of days. We’ll see?
That’s what is going on in our hood so looking now north to the west coast of America where a low is developing off the west coast that will start to move east later today and into the later part of the week. This will bring a cooling trend to the west coast as much as 10 degrees by later in the week. This low will also deepen the fog along the coast of southern California.
Looking now over to the southwest where high pressure will remain firmly in place today gradually giving way to the low moving in from the west by midweek. There will continue to be showers and thunderbumpers mostly in the higher elevations with much better chances spreading throughout the region by Wednesday. Temperatures will also cool a litter during the week and return to the norms by this weekend.
That’s what is going on to the north of us. Back on this side of the Fence it looks like the 3-day forecast period will see light to moderate southerlies. This is sort of a typical pattern for this time in August.
The other typical pattern is the monsoon storms developing over on the mainland. The general flow is from the south to the north. As these storms move out over the Sea some grow to produce chubbascos with their high winds. We have about another month of this activity so keep a wary eye out the east during this period.
Temperatures today will again inch up a few degrees and be in the mid to high 90s
73s Y’all
Monday, August 20, 2012
Don't chisel these forecasts in stone. This is an Amateur Endeavor.
………...DAILYS………...
ALL winds are in Knots.
NORTHERN CROSSING FORECAST:
TODAY : Monday, August 20, 2012
Baja Side : Afternoon Winds: E 11-14
CENTER : Afternoon Winds: SE 6-8
Guaymas Side : Afternoon Winds: SSW 9-12
TOMORROW: Tuesday, August 21, 2012
Baja side : Afternoon Winds: ENE 11-14
Center : Afternoon Winds: ESE 6-7
Guaymas side : Afternoon Winds: WSW 7-9
.
SOUTHERN CROSSING FORECAST:
TODAY : Monday, August 20, 2012
East Cape : Afternoon Winds: E 4-5
Center : Afternoon Winds: SW 9-11
Mazatlan : Afternoon Winds: W 10-13
TOMORROW : Tuesday, August 21, 2012
East Cape : Afternoon Winds: ESE 7-9
Center : Afternoon Winds: SE 9-11
Mazatlan : Afternoon Winds: SSE 9-12
.
….. 3 DAY FORECAST (OUTSIDE)…...
Ensenada
Monday 8/20 Afternoon Winds: SSW 14-18
Seas: SE 1 feet at 5 sec.
Tuesday 8/21 Afternoon Winds: SSW 14-18
Seas: SSE 2 feet at 3 sec.
Wednesday 8/22 Afternoon Winds: SW 9-12
Seas: ESE 1 feet at 11 sec.
Point San Quintin
Monday 8/20 Afternoon Winds: W 9-12
Seas: Seas: S 4 feet at 13 sec.
Tuesday 8/21 Afternoon Winds: WNW 10-13
Seas: SSW 3 feet at 17 sec.
Wednesday 8/22 Afternoon Winds: W 7 10-13
Seas: S 3 feet at 15 sec.
Turtle Bay
Monday 8/20 Afternoon Winds: WNW 12-16
Seas: WNW 2 feet at 10 sec.
Tuesday 8/21 Afternoon Winds: WNW 14-18
Seas: WNW 2 feet at 9 sec.
Wednesday 8/22 Afternoon Winds: WNW 12-16
Seas: WNW 2 feet at 8 sec.
Cedros Island
Monday 8/20 Afternoon Winds: WNW 9-12
Seas: SSW 2 feet at 19 sec.
Tuesday 8/21 Afternoon Winds: WNW 12-15
Seas: S 2 feet at 16 sec.
Wednesday 8/22 Afternoon Winds: WNW 10-13
Seas: S 2 feet at 15 sec.
ABREOJOS
Monday 8/20 Afternoon Winds: W 12-16
Seas: SSW 3 feet at 13 sec.
Tuesday 8/21 Afternoon Winds: WNW 16-21
Seas: S 4 feet at 16 sec.
Wednesday 8/22 Afternoon Winds: WNW 16-21
Seas: S 4 feet at 14 sec.
Mag Bay
Monday 8/20 Afternoon Winds: ESE 5-6
Seas: SSE 1 feet at 18 sec.
Tuesday 8/21 Afternoon Winds: ESE 9-12
Seas: SSE 1 feet at 16 sec.
Wednesday 8/22 Afternoon Winds: ESE 11-14
Seas: SSE 1 feet at 14 sec.
*CABO FALSO (Pedregal)
Today's Sunrise Temp.: 78 °
Daily High Temperature: 88%
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Monday 8/20 Morning Winds: WNW 4 to 6 knots
Afternoon Winds: WNW 6-8
Seas: Seas: S 4 feet at 17 sec.
Tuesday 8/21 Afternoon Winds: NNW 6-8
Seas: S 4 feet at 15 sec.
Wednesday 8/22 Afternoon Winds: WNW 7-9
Seas: SSE 4 feet at 14 sec.
. SEA OF CORTEZ
* indicates WeatherUnderground Station
*Puerto Penasco Casa Weez:
Morning Winds: S 9 to 12 knots
Afternoon Winds: SW 13-17
Sunrise Temp.: 87 °
Daily High Temperature: 90 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: Calm
#VALUE!
*Bahia Kino Nuevo :
Morning Winds: SSW 5 to 7 knots
Afternoon Winds: S 11-14
Sunrise Temp.: N/A
Daily High Temperature: N/A
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*San Filepe:
Morning Winds: SSE 8 to 11 knots
Afternoon Winds: SSE 15-20
Sunrise Temp.: 89 °
Daily High Temperature: 98 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*Gonzoga Bay Pappa Fernandez Landing. :
Morning Winds: SSW 5 to 7 knots
Afternoon Winds: SSE 8-10
Sunrise Temp.: 86 °
Daily High Temperature: 95 °
Yesterday's Rainfall:
#VALUE!
*Bay of LA. :
Morning Winds: SSW 4 to 6 knots
Afternoon Winds: SSE 7-9
Sunrise Temp.: 82 °
Daily High Temperature: 93 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
San Franciscito Bay :
Morning Winds: NW 3 to 4 knots
Afternoon Winds: WNW 9-12
Santa Rosalia :
Morning Winds: ESE 1 to 1 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 9-12
Sunrise Temp.: N/A
Daily High Temperature: N/A
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*Mulegé :
Morning Winds: ENE 2 to 3 knots
Afternoon Winds: E 11-14
Sunrise Temp.: 84 °
Daily High Temperature: 96 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*San Carlos
Morning Winds: SSE 4 to 5 knots
Afternoon Winds: WSW 7-9
Sunrise Temp.: 82 °
Daily High Temperature: 92 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Pt Concepcion :
Morning Winds: ENE 4 to 6 knots
Afternoon Winds: ENE 11-14
Punta Chivato :
Morning Winds: NE 10 to 14 knots
Afternoon Winds: E 12-15
*El Burro Cove in Concepcion Bay
Morning Winds Winds: ENE 2 to 3 knots
Afternoon Winds: E 11-14
Sunrise Temp.: 86 °
Daily High Temperature: 93 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Sunrise Sea Temperature: 0
Puerto Escondido Juncalitoville
Morning Winds: SW 4 to 6 knots
Afternoon Winds: SSE 10-13
Sunrise Temp.: 84 °
Daily High Temperature: 100 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
San Lorenzo Channel :
Morning Winds: W 5 to 7 knots
Afternoon Winds: W 4-5
La Paz:
Morning Winds: WSW 7 to 9 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 5-6
Sunrise Temp.: 80 °
Daily High Temperature: 94 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*La Ventana Baja Joe's :
Morning Winds: WNW 5 to 6 knots
Afternoon Winds: E 4-5
Sunrise Temp.: N/A
Daily High Temperature: N/A
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*Los Barriles :
Morning Winds: N 4 to 5 knots
Afternoon Winds: ENE 6-7
Sunrise Temp.: 82 °
Daily High Temperature: 89 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Cabo Pulmo :
Morning Winds: NE 3 to 4 knots
Afternoon Winds: ENE 5-6
Seas: SSE 3 feet at 18 sec.
*Cabo San Lucas :
Morning Winds: WNW 4 to 6 knots
Afternoon Winds: WNW 6-8
Sunrise Temp.: 81 °
Daily High Temperature: 91 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
MEXICAN RIVIERA
*Mazatlan,
Morning Winds: WSW 3 to 4 knots
Afternoon Winds: W 10-13
Sunrise Temp.: 79 °
Daily High Temperature: 87 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*Puerta Vallarta:
Morning Winds: SE 7 to 9 knots
Afternoon Winds: SSW 12-15
Sunrise Temp.: 75 °
Daily High Temperature: 86 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Manzanillo :
Morning Winds: E 5 to 6 knots
Afternoon Winds: S 9-12
Sunrise Temp.: 75 °
Daily High Temperature: 91 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Ixtapa Zihuatanejo :
Morning Winds: SSW 7 to 10 knots
Afternoon Winds: SSW 6-8
Sunrise Temp.: 70 °
Daily High Temperature: 87 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Cabo Corrienties :
Morning Winds: ESE 8 to 11 knots
Afternoon Winds: ENE 15-20
Seas: ENE 4 feet at 5 sec.
Sea of Cortez Weather for 08/18/12
The Sonrisenet: The premier source for Sea of Cortez weather.
Click here for the Sonrisa Net Weather Webpage
Click here for the Satellite WunderMap view of the Sea of Cortez
After the Sonrisa Weather it’s back to work.
This summary and the daily postings are now posted on the Sonrisanet webpage usually by 8:30 MDT daily.
The following is from my daily ham radio Report
And is now available as a podcast.
Click above to Go to the Sonrisa Net Website
Sunday, August 19, 2012
Voice to Text---
.Looking down into the Sea this morning first with the 24 hour loop I can see that the Sea gradually cleared yesterday from the south to the north later in the afternoon. There were some cells that developed along the coast of Baja in the mountains that could have produced showers in that area especially in the northern end of the Sea.
This morning there is a broadly scattered mix of fluffys and whispys scattered around the Sea that should probably clear my early morning but in general the skies are clear in the Sea this morning.
Looking over at Sonora I can see that along the Sierra Madre Occidentals there was considerable thunderbumper activity there yesterday afternoon that moved north into New Mexico and a few into the southeast corner of Arizona yesterday afternoon. None moved west toward the coast.
Looking south to the Mexican Riviera where there has been numerous cells develop in the mountains to the east of Puerto Vallarta south to around Manzanillo. These have moved west and north during the early morning hours and one is currently west of Cabo Corrienties and the other was still building and moving into the Sea between Cabo Corrienties and Puerto Vallarta. Most locations from Manzanillo north have had at least an inch of rain in the past 24 hours.
Around Cabo Corrienties is where a Tropical Wave has emerged and is tickling the fancy of a lonely low there. As of 7am it has no invest designation and the National Hurricane Center is only giving it a 10% chance of developing into anything tropical in the next 48 hours.
So we will put this on the very back burner in our Tropical Kitchen this morning. The only other item of interest is a tropical low, that is the remnants of hurricane Helen, has moved inland from the Caribbean and is now over central Mexico this morning. It still producing a lot of rain in that area.
That’s what is going on in our hood so looking now north to the west coast of America where a weak low off the California coast has nudged the high and the monsoon moisture to the east resulting in a cooling trend that will last most of next week for California.
There is still a small chance of some showers and thumpers in the deserts and the mountains in southern California today decreasing as the week wears on.
Looking over to the southwest this image is showing some thunderbumper activity mostly in the mountains last night and with the exception of the far SE corner of the state it is pretty much clear this morning. Cooler weather will continue today and gradually rise into early next week but remain just below seasonal norms. A daily chance of showers and thunderbumper are anticipated daily into next weekend.
That’s what is going on to the north of us. Back on this side of the Fence it looks like the next 3 days will have moderate winds. Today from the north on the Baja side and westerlies along the Sonoran coast. Monday and Tuesday the moderate winds should all be from the south.
I noted that all the sunrise temperatures were up a degree or two and that should be reflected in this afternoons temperatures as well. It looks like the low to mid 90s today.
73s Y’all
.
Sunday, August 19, 2012
Don't chisel these forecasts in stone. This is an Amateur Endeavor.
………...DAILYS………...
ALL winds are in Knots.
NORTHERN CROSSING FORECAST:
TODAY : Sunday, August 19, 2012
Baja Side : Afternoon Winds: N 10-13
CENTER : Afternoon Winds: WNW 12-15
Guaymas Side : Afternoon Winds: WNW 15-19
TOMORROW: Monday, August 20, 2012
Baja side : Afternoon Winds: ESE 12-16
Center : Afternoon Winds: W 7-9
Guaymas side : Afternoon Winds: S 6-8
.
SOUTHERN CROSSING FORECAST:
TODAY : Sunday, August 19, 2012
East Cape : Afternoon Winds: W 10-13
Center : Afternoon Winds: WNW 13-17
Mazatlan : Afternoon Winds: WNW 12-16
TOMORROW : Monday, August 20, 2012
East Cape : Afternoon Winds: W 10-13
Center : Afternoon Winds: SW 6-8
Mazatlan : Afternoon Winds: S 9-11
.
….. 3 DAY FORECAST (OUTSIDE)…...
Ensenada
Sunday 8/19 Afternoon Winds: W 9-11
Seas: S 4 feet at 14 sec.
Monday 8/20 Afternoon Winds: W 9-11
Seas: S 4 feet at 13 sec.
Tuesday 8/21 Afternoon Winds: WSW 7-9
Seas: SSW 4 feet at 17 sec.
Point San Quintin
Sunday 8/19 Afternoon Winds: WNW 13-17
Seas: Seas: S 4 feet at 14 sec.
Monday 8/20 Afternoon Winds: W 10-13
Seas: S 4 feet at 13 sec.
Tuesday 8/21 Afternoon Winds: W 5 9-11
Seas: SSW 4 feet at 17 sec.
Turtle Bay
Sunday 8/19 Afternoon Winds: WNW 15-19
Seas: WNW 2 feet at 12 sec.
Monday 8/20 Afternoon Winds: WNW 12-15
Seas: WNW 2 feet at 10 sec.
Tuesday 8/21 Afternoon Winds: WNW 12-16
Seas: WNW 2 feet at 9 sec.
Cedros Island
Sunday 8/19 Afternoon Winds: ENE 6-8
Seas: SSE 0 feet at 10 sec.
Monday 8/20 Afternoon Winds: SSE 6-7
Seas: WSW 0 feet at 3 sec.
Tuesday 8/21 Afternoon Winds: E 10-13
Seas: ESE 1 feet at 3 sec.
ABREOJOS
Sunday 8/19 Afternoon Winds: W 15-19
Seas: S 4 feet at 14 sec.
Monday 8/20 Afternoon Winds: W 15-19
Seas: SSW 4 feet at 13 sec.
Tuesday 8/21 Afternoon Winds: W 16-21
Seas: S 4 feet at 16 sec
Mag Bay
Sunday 8/19 Afternoon Winds: WSW 12-16
Seas: WSW 1 feet at 3 sec.
Monday 8/20 Afternoon Winds: W 12-15
Seas: SSE 1 feet at 18 sec.
Tuesday 8/21 Afternoon Winds: WSW 10-13
Seas: SSE 1 feet at 16 sec.
*CABO FALSO (Pedregal)
Today's Sunrise Temp.: 78 °
Daily High Temperature: 79%
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Sunday 8/19 Morning Winds: WNW 9 to 13 knots
Afternoon Winds: WNW 15-19
Seas: Seas: SSW 4 feet at 14 sec.
Monday 8/20 Afternoon Winds: WNW 11-14
Seas: S 4 feet at 17 sec.
Tuesday 8/21 Afternoon Winds: WNW 13-17
Seas: S 4 feet at 15 sec.
. SEA OF CORTEZ
* indicates WeatherUnderground Station
*Puerto Penasco Casa Weez:
Morning Winds: S 5 to 7 knots
Afternoon Winds: WSW 12-15
Sunrise Temp.: 82 °
Daily High Temperature: 88 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: Calm
#VALUE!
*Bahia Kino Nuevo :
Morning Winds: WNW 4 to 6 knots
Afternoon Winds: W 8-10
Sunrise Temp.: N/A
Daily High Temperature: N/A
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*San Filepe:
Morning Winds: SE 5 to 7 knots
Afternoon Winds: SE 13-17
Sunrise Temp.: 85 °
Daily High Temperature: 90 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*Gonzoga Bay Pappa Fernandez Landing. :
Morning Winds: SW 4 to 5 knots
Afternoon Winds: E 8-10
Sunrise Temp.: 82 °
Daily High Temperature: 88 °
Yesterday's Rainfall:
#VALUE!
*Bay of LA. :
Morning Winds: SW 2 to 3 knots
Afternoon Winds: ENE 6-8
Sunrise Temp.: 82 °
Daily High Temperature: 89 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
San Franciscito Bay :
Morning Winds: WNW 2 to 3 knots
Afternoon Winds: ENE 6-8
Santa Rosalia :
Morning Winds: NW 6 to 8 knots
Afternoon Winds: NNW 9-12
Sunrise Temp.: N/A
Daily High Temperature: N/A
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*Mulegé :
Morning Winds: NNW 6 to 9 knots
Afternoon Winds: N 10-13
Sunrise Temp.: 82 °
Daily High Temperature: 93 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*San Carlos
Morning Winds: WSW 5 to 6 knots
Afternoon Winds: S 6-8
Sunrise Temp.: 81 °
Daily High Temperature: 90 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Pt Concepcion :
Morning Winds: NW 1 to 1 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 12-16
Punta Chivato :
Morning Winds: NW 5 to 7 knots
Afternoon Winds: N 9-11
*El Burro Cove in Concepcion Bay
Morning Winds Winds: NNW 6 to 9 knots
Afternoon Winds: N 10-13
Sunrise Temp.: 85 °
Daily High Temperature: 88 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Sunrise Sea Temperature: 87
Puerto Escondido Juncalitoville
Morning Winds: SSE 9 to 13 knots
Afternoon Winds: S 12-16
Sunrise Temp.: 82 °
Daily High Temperature: 95 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
San Lorenzo Channel :
Morning Winds: W 5 to 6 knots
Afternoon Winds: WSW 11-14
La Paz:
Morning Winds: W 8 to 11 knots
Afternoon Winds: WSW 12-16
Sunrise Temp.: 79 °
Daily High Temperature: 98 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*La Ventana Baja Joe's :
Morning Winds: W 8 to 11 knots
Afternoon Winds: W 10-13
Sunrise Temp.: N/A
Daily High Temperature: N/A
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*Los Barriles :
Morning Winds: WNW 7 to 10 knots
Afternoon Winds: NW 9-11
Sunrise Temp.: 83 °
Daily High Temperature: 90 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Cabo Pulmo :
Morning Winds: WNW 5 to 7 knots
Afternoon Winds: WNW 5-6
Seas: S 2 feet at 14 sec.
*Cabo San Lucas :
Morning Winds: WNW 8 to 11 knots
Afternoon Winds: W 15-19
Sunrise Temp.: 80 °
Daily High Temperature: 90 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
MEXICAN RIVIERA
*Mazatlan,
Morning Winds: NW 11 to 15 knots
Afternoon Winds: WNW 12-16
Sunrise Temp.: 80 °
Daily High Temperature: 87 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0.14 in.
#VALUE!
*Puerta Vallarta:
Morning Winds: W 5 to 6 knots
Afternoon Winds: SW 10-13
Sunrise Temp.: 79 °
Daily High Temperature: 94 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Manzanillo :
Morning Winds: ESE 9 to 12 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 16-21
Sunrise Temp.: 74 °
Daily High Temperature: 88 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0.83 in.
#VALUE!
Ixtapa Zihuatanejo :
Morning Winds: S 7 to 9 knots
Afternoon Winds: SE 10-13
Sunrise Temp.: 73 °
Daily High Temperature: 84 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Cabo Corrienties :
Morning Winds: S 4 to 5 knots
Afternoon Winds: SSW 7-9
Seas: SSW 4 feet at 19 sec.
Sea of Cortez Weather for 08/18/12
The Sonrisenet: The premier source for Sea of Cortez weather.
Click here for the Sonrisa Net Weather Webpage
Click here for the Satellite WunderMap view of the Sea of Cortez
After the Sonrisa Weather it’s back to work.
This summary and the daily postings are now posted on the Sonrisanet webpage usually by 8:30 MDT daily.
The following is from my daily ham radio Report
And is now available as a podcast.
Click above to Go to the Sonrisa Net Website
Saturday, August 18, 2012
Voice to Text---
.Looking down into the Sea this morning this image is showing the skies have pretty much cleared in the southern Sea this morning south to about Puerto Escondido.
North of there are still some remnant clouds from thunderbumper activity in the central and northern Sea yesterday afternoon and earlier this morning.
The general flow of clouds in the Sea this morning is from west to east and I can see that there was a cell develop in the northern crossing early this morning and drift over the Guaymas area and is dissipating right now with just some cloudiness over that area. They had a 1/10 of rain this morning and 1.33 inches yesterday.
There were some thumpers that developed just north of Santa Rosalia yesterday afternoon and drifted east over the Sea and dissipated around Puerto Panesco.
The follow is from a blogger in La Paz.
“Yesterday, beginning just past 11AM Los Cabos was pasted by heavy showers which precipitated flash flooding. The highway between Sam Jose and Cabo San Lucas was closed in several placed for mud washing into the road way and accidents. Taxi and shuttle service was halted and more than a meter of something flowed in front of Riu Place blocking the only entrance/exit. This system has moved north and continues to deliver showers along the eastern side of Baja. La Paz and Todos received very little rain.”
Interesting I checked several of the hotel stations at Cabo and the most rain they reported was a half inch. So it must have come down hard for only a short time.
As I mentioned during the night the southern Sea has cleared but it looks like Cabo had a gully washer yesterday morning. He also reported flash flooding in the arroyos between Loreto and El Rosario.
Looking at this morning’s sat images it would appear that the central Sea will clear later this morning. Not too sure about the northern Sea. Yuma radar this morning was showing just a few returns around Puerto Panesco.
Water vapor imagery is showing a surge of moisture moving up the Gulf this morning and I’d expect to see thunderbumpers build over Sonora this afternoon and evening hours.
That’s what is going on in the Sea. Looking south to the Mexican Riviera where from a bit past Mazatlan all the way south to the Tehuantepec there has been cells develop over land and then move out into the Sea overnight. There are currently numerous squalls all along the coast.
There is absolutely nothing cooking in our Tropical Kitchen this morning and I am unable to see any Tropical Waves moving in from the east and none have shown up in the Pacific.
So it looks like that is what is going on in our hood so looking now north to the west coast of America where it looks like it is overcast for most of the coast this morning.
In general with west will begin a cooling trend into the middle of next week due to a trough of low pressure that will move in from the Pacific.. That being said southern California will be rather hot and humid this weekend with thunderbumpers developing in the mountains and the California deserts. They could see some flash flooding today and then a gradual decrease in thunderbumper activity into next week.
Looking now over to the southwest where the monsoon is forecast to continue to monsoon. Thunderbumper and shower activity is expected to be heavy today with a slight decrease over the next five days. Temperatures will gradually rise through early next week.
That’s what is going on to the north of us. Back on this side of the Fence wind-wise they will be light to moderate for the 3-day forecast period except in those areas that have thumpers near them.
The southern Sea has pretty much cleared and this image viewed a few minutes ago is showing the central Sea clearing. There are still a lot of remnant clouds in the northern Sea. That could be slow to clear today.
With the cloud cover mostly gone temperatures will inch up a few degrees today and be in the mid to high 90s. It could be a decent solar day.
73s Y’all
Saturday, August 18, 2012
Don't chisel these forecasts in stone. This is an Amateur Endeavor.
………...DAILYS………...
ALL winds are in Knots.
NORTHERN CROSSING FORECAST:
TODAY : Saturday, August 18, 2012
Baja Side : Afternoon Winds: NNE 10-13
CENTER : Afternoon Winds: WNW 7-9
Guaymas Side : Afternoon Winds: WNW 12-16
TOMORROW: Sunday, August 19, 2012
Baja side : Afternoon Winds: NE 10-13
Center : Afternoon Winds: WNW 9-12
Guaymas side : Afternoon Winds: WNW 11-14
.
SOUTHERN CROSSING FORECAST:
TODAY : Saturday, August 18, 2012
East Cape : Afternoon Winds: NW 9-11
Center : Afternoon Winds: NW 12-16
Mazatlan : Afternoon Winds: WNW 12-16
TOMORROW : Sunday, August 19, 2012
East Cape : Afternoon Winds: W 11-14
Center : Afternoon Winds: WNW 14-18
Mazatlan : Afternoon Winds: WNW 15-20
.
….. 3 DAY FORECAST (OUTSIDE)…...
Ensenada
Saturday 8/18 Afternoon Winds: WNW 9-11
Seas: SSW 4 feet at 15 sec.
Sunday 8/19 Afternoon Winds: WNW 9-11
Seas: S 4 feet at 14 sec.
Monday 8/20 Afternoon Winds: WSW 8-10
Seas: S 4 feet at 13 sec.
Point San Quintin
Saturday 8/18 Afternoon Winds: WSW 9-12
Seas: Seas: SSW 4 feet at 15 sec.
Sunday 8/19 Afternoon Winds: WNW 13-17
Seas: S 4 feet at 14 sec.
Monday 8/20 Afternoon Winds: W 7 11-14
Seas: S 4 feet at 13 sec.
Turtle Bay
Saturday 8/18 Afternoon Winds: SSE 10-13
Seas: SE 2 feet at 7 sec.
Sunday 8/19 Afternoon Winds: S 11-14
Seas: SE 4 feet at 6 sec.
Monday 8/20 Afternoon Winds: NE 12-16
Seas: SSE 3 feet at 6 sec.
Cedros Island
Saturday 8/18 Afternoon Winds: WNW 8-10
Seas: S 2 feet at 15 sec.
Sunday 8/19 Afternoon Winds: WNW 12-15
Seas: SSW 2 feet at 14 sec.
Monday 8/20 Afternoon Winds: WNW 12-15
Seas: SSW 2 feet at 19 sec.
ABREOJOS
Saturday 8/18 Afternoon Winds: SSW 9-11
Seas: S 5 feet at 15 sec.
Sunday 8/19 Afternoon Winds: W 12-16
Seas: S 4 feet at 14 sec.
Monday 8/20 Afternoon Winds: W 15-20
Seas: SSW 4 feet at 19 sec.
Mag Bay
Saturday 8/18 Afternoon Winds: W 7-9
Seas: SSE 1 feet at 10 sec.
Sunday 8/19 Afternoon Winds: WSW 16-21
Seas: WSW 2 feet at 3 sec.
Monday 8/20 Afternoon Winds: WSW 13-17
Seas: WSW 2 feet at 3 sec.
*CABO FALSO (Pedregal)
Today's Sunrise Temp.: 78 °
Daily High Temperature: 88%
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Saturday 8/18 Morning Winds: W 5 to 6 knots
Afternoon Winds: W 12-16
Seas: Seas: SSW 5 feet at 15 sec.
Sunday 8/19 Afternoon Winds: W 14-18
Seas: SSW 4 feet at 14 sec.
Monday 8/20 Afternoon Winds: WNW 13-17
Seas: S 4 feet at 17 sec.
. SEA OF CORTEZ
* indicates WeatherUnderground Station
*Puerto Penasco Casa Weez:
Morning Winds: SSE 15 to 21 knots
Afternoon Winds: S 16-21
Sunrise Temp.: N/A
Daily High Temperature: N/A
Yesterday's Rainfall: Calm
#VALUE!
*Bahia Kino Nuevo :
Morning Winds: WSW 3 to 4 knots
Afternoon Winds: WNW 8-10
Sunrise Temp.: N/A
Daily High Temperature: N/A
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*San Filepe:
Morning Winds: SSE 5 to 6 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 13-17
Sunrise Temp.: 85 °
Daily High Temperature: 91 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*Gonzoga Bay Pappa Fernandez Landing. :
Morning Winds: SSE 3 to 4 knots
Afternoon Winds: E 9-11
Sunrise Temp.: 80 °
Daily High Temperature: 87 °
Yesterday's Rainfall:
#VALUE!
*Bay of LA. :
Morning Winds: WNW 4 to 5 knots
Afternoon Winds: WSW 11-14
Sunrise Temp.: 80 °
Daily High Temperature: 86 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
San Franciscito Bay :
Morning Winds: WNW 2 to 2 knots
Afternoon Winds: ENE 9-12
Santa Rosalia :
Morning Winds: NW 3 to 4 knots
Afternoon Winds: NNE 9-11
Sunrise Temp.: N/A
Daily High Temperature: N/A
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*Mulegé :
Morning Winds: NW 3 to 4 knots
Afternoon Winds: NNE 10-13
Sunrise Temp.: 78 °
Daily High Temperature: 90 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*San Carlos
Morning Winds: WNW 6 to 9 knots
Afternoon Winds: WNW 11-14
Sunrise Temp.: 80 °
Daily High Temperature: 84 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0.01 in.
#VALUE!
Pt Concepcion :
Morning Winds: N 5 to 7 knots
Afternoon Winds: NE 10-13
Punta Chivato :
Morning Winds: NNW 3 to 4 knots
Afternoon Winds: NE 9-12
*El Burro Cove in Concepcion Bay
Morning Winds Winds: NW 3 to 4 knots
Afternoon Winds: NNE 10-13
Sunrise Temp.: N/A
Daily High Temperature: N/A
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Sunrise Sea Temperature: 87
Puerto Escondido Juncalitoville
Morning Winds: W 3 to 3 knots
Afternoon Winds: E 9-11
Sunrise Temp.: 80 °
Daily High Temperature: 93 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
San Lorenzo Channel :
Morning Winds: W 3 to 5 knots
Afternoon Winds: SW 6-8
La Paz:
Morning Winds: W 7 to 9 knots
Afternoon Winds: W 7-9
Sunrise Temp.: 76 °
Daily High Temperature: 90 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*La Ventana Baja Joe's :
Morning Winds: WNW 7 to 10 knots
Afternoon Winds: NW 9-11
Sunrise Temp.: N/A
Daily High Temperature: N/A
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*Los Barriles :
Morning Winds: NW 7 to 9 knots
Afternoon Winds: NNW 10-13
Sunrise Temp.: 81 °
Daily High Temperature: 89 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Cabo Pulmo :
Morning Winds: NW 6 to 8 knots
Afternoon Winds: NNW 8-10
Seas: S 4 feet at 15 sec.
*Cabo San Lucas :
Morning Winds: W 5 to 7 knots
Afternoon Winds: W 13-17
Sunrise Temp.: 79 °
Daily High Temperature: 88 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
MEXICAN RIVIERA
*Mazatlan,
Morning Winds: NW 9 to 12 knots
Afternoon Winds: WNW 12-16
Sunrise Temp.: 83 °
Daily High Temperature: 87 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*Puerta Vallarta:
Morning Winds: N 7 to 9 knots
Afternoon Winds: NW 13-17
Sunrise Temp.: 77 °
Daily High Temperature: 92 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Manzanillo :
Morning Winds: NW 7 to 10 knots
Afternoon Winds: SSE 15-19
Sunrise Temp.: 77 °
Daily High Temperature: 90 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Ixtapa Zihuatanejo :
Morning Winds: ESE 8 to 11 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 4-5
Sunrise Temp.: 72 °
Daily High Temperature: 86 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Cabo Corrienties :
Morning Winds: NNW 10 to 14 knots
Afternoon Winds: NW 14-18
Seas: SSW 4 feet at 14 sec.
Sea of Cortez Weather for 08/17/12
The Sonrisenet: The premier source for Sea of Cortez weather.
Click here for the Sonrisa Net Weather Webpage
Click here for the Satellite WunderMap view of the Sea of Cortez
After the Sonrisa Weather it’s back to work.
This summary and the daily postings are now posted on the Sonrisanet webpage usually by 8:30 MDT daily.
The following is from my daily ham radio Report
And is now available as a podcast.
Click above to Go to the Sonrisa Net Website
Friday, August 17, 2012
Voice to Text---
.Looking down into the Sea this morning I can see that long plume of clouds moving up from the ITCZ/Monsoon trough for the past few days appears to be weakening. This plume has been feeding moisture into the Sea and into central Mexico.
The past 24 hours the southern Sea has periodic rain showers often heavy at times. The cape area reported over 4 inches of rain yesterday. The East Cape about and inch and a half. Down town Loreto two and a half inches of rain. Mulegé and the Guaymas area a little over an inch.
This morning this image is not showing the heavy rain around the cape that they had yesterday afternoon and evening. Even though the moister plume appears to be weakening it is still providing solid cloud cover for the southern Sea.
The central Sea has also had its share of showers but not with intensity of the southern Sea. A 5:30 image was showing a long string of cells in the center of the Sea from a bit north of La Paz to the middrifts. There are several cells with high tops that could be producing chubbasco winds. Here at el Burro it has been calm all night and at 5:30 the bay was flat and no wind. By 7:30 this sting of cells in the center of the Sea was from La Paz to Puerto Panesco almost shore to shore. However still no winds her in the cove.
The rest of the northern Sea is curently mainly overcast although the San Filipe area looks clear this morning?
Will these condition continue today? Based on the amount of moisture in the air and building convection over central Mexico I’d say we have a pretty good chance of a day like yesterday in the central Sea. If that plume continues to weaken the southern Sea could see some clearing starting this morning. We’ll see?
Looking south to the Mexican Riviera I can see that there has been some locations that have had light rain within the past 24 hours but this morning it is mostly clear along the coast. The Mazatlan area had about an inch of rain yesterday.
Not much going on in our Tropical Kitchen this morning. Hector is history. There is a Tropical Wave that is somewhere around the Tehuantepec isthmus this morning. It has not immerged in the Pacific yet. There is another Tropical Wave around Vera Cruz that will emerge in our hood probably this weekend. No tropical development is forecast for the Eastern Pacific basin for at least the next 48 hours.
That’s what is going on in our hood so looking now north to the west coast of America where the Great Northwest is experiencing unseasonal hot weather and the rest of the west coast pretty much normal for August.
Southern California will be humid with the increase in monsoonal moisture in the region. There is a possibility of thunderbumpers in the inland valleys as well as the deserts and the mountains this afternoon.
Looking now over to the southwest where it will be a little cooler today. The monsoon with continue monsooning bringing a daily cycle of afternoon and evening thunderbumpers and showers into the weekend.
That’s what is going on to the north of us. Back on this side of the Fence it looks like for the central and northern Sea they may see a few more showers today. The winds in general are forecast to be in the moderate ranges so bring on the rain.
The only down side to the rain were having is some minor flooding and a few rock slides on the roads. We really need the rain after a very dry summer here last year.
73s Y’all
Friday, August 17, 2012
Don't chisel these forecasts in stone. This is an Amateur Endeavor.
………...DAILYS………...
ALL winds are in Knots.
NORTHERN CROSSING FORECAST:
TODAY : Friday, August 17, 2012
Baja Side : Afternoon Winds: SE 12-16
CENTER : Afternoon Winds: SE 10-13
Guaymas Side : Afternoon Winds: SSE 13-17
TOMORROW: Saturday, August 18, 2012
Baja side : Afternoon Winds: NNE 10-13
Center : Afternoon Winds: WNW 8-10
Guaymas side : Afternoon Winds: WNW 11-14
.
SOUTHERN CROSSING FORECAST:
TODAY : Friday, August 17, 2012
East Cape : Afternoon Winds: NNE 6-8
Center : Afternoon Winds: WSW 8-10
Mazatlan : Afternoon Winds: WNW 9-12
TOMORROW : Saturday, August 18, 2012
East Cape : Afternoon Winds: WNW 12-15
Center : Afternoon Winds: WNW 15-20
Mazatlan : Afternoon Winds: WNW 13-17
.
….. 3 DAY FORECAST (OUTSIDE)…...
Ensenada
Friday 8/17 Afternoon Winds: W 9-11
Seas: S 4 feet at 17 sec.
Saturday 8/18 Afternoon Winds: W 9-11
Seas: SSW 4 feet at 15 sec.
Sunday 8/19 Afternoon Winds: WNW 9-11
Seas: S 4 feet at 14 sec.
Point San Quintin
Friday 8/17 Afternoon Winds: WNW 10-13
Seas: Seas: S 4 feet at 17 sec.
Saturday 8/18 Afternoon Winds: WNW 12-15
Seas: SSW 4 feet at 15 sec.
Sunday 8/19 Afternoon Winds: WNW 12-15
Seas: S 4 feet at 14 sec.
Turtle Bay
Friday 8/17 Afternoon Winds: WNW 8-10
Seas: WNW 2 feet at 11 sec.
Saturday 8/18 Afternoon Winds: WNW 15-19
Seas: WNW 2 feet at 10 sec.
Sunday 8/19 Afternoon Winds: WNW 15-19
Seas: WNW 2 feet at 12 sec.
Cedros Island
Friday 8/17 Afternoon Winds: W 7-9
Seas: SSW 2 feet at 16 sec.
Saturday 8/18 Afternoon Winds: NW 11-14
Seas: S 2 feet at 15 sec.
Sunday 8/19 Afternoon Winds: WNW 12-16
Seas: SSW 2 feet at 14 s
ABREOJOS
Friday 8/17 Afternoon Winds: SSE 11-14
Seas: S 6 feet at 16 sec.
Saturday 8/18 Afternoon Winds: WSW 9-12
Seas: S 5 feet at 15 sec.
Sunday 8/19 Afternoon Winds: W 15-19
Seas: S 4 feet at 14 sec.
Mag Bay
Friday 8/17 Afternoon Winds: ENE 5-6
Seas: SE 1 feet at 5 sec.
Saturday 8/18 Afternoon Winds: W 9-12
Seas: SSE 1 feet at 10 sec.
Sunday 8/19 Afternoon Winds: WSW 16-21
Seas: WSW 2 feet at 3 sec
*CABO FALSO (Pedregal)
Today's Sunrise Temp.: 78 °
Daily High Temperature: 86%
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0.04 in.
#VALUE!
Friday 8/17 Morning Winds: SSW 7 to 9 knots
Afternoon Winds: WSW 10-13
Seas: Seas: S 6 feet at 16 sec.
Saturday 8/18 Afternoon Winds: WNW 13-17
Seas: SSW 5 feet at 15 sec.
Sunday 8/19 Afternoon Winds: WNW 15-19
Seas: SSW 4 feet at 14 sec
. SEA OF CORTEZ
* indicates WeatherUnderground Station
*Puerto Penasco Casa Weez:
Morning Winds: SSE 8 to 11 knots
Afternoon Winds: S 13-17
Sunrise Temp.: N/A
Daily High Temperature: N/A
Yesterday's Rainfall: Calm
#VALUE!
*Bahia Kino Nuevo :
Morning Winds: SW 6 to 8 knots
Afternoon Winds: SSW 10-13
Sunrise Temp.: N/A
Daily High Temperature: N/A
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*San Filepe:
Morning Winds: SE 4 to 6 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 12-16
Sunrise Temp.: 86 °
Daily High Temperature: 95 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*Gonzoga Bay Pappa Fernandez Landing. :
Morning Winds: SE 11 to 15 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 12-16
Sunrise Temp.: 86 °
Daily High Temperature: 92 °
Yesterday's Rainfall:
#VALUE!
*Bay of LA. :
Morning Winds: SE 12 to 17 knots
Afternoon Winds: SE 12-16
Sunrise Temp.: 83 °
Daily High Temperature: 88 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
San Franciscito Bay :
Morning Winds: SSW 6 to 8 knots
Afternoon Winds: E 12-15
Santa Rosalia :
Morning Winds: SE 8 to 11 knots
Afternoon Winds: SE 15-19
Sunrise Temp.: N/A
Daily High Temperature: N/A
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*Mulegé :
Morning Winds: SE 4 to 5 knots
Afternoon Winds: SE 12-16
Sunrise Temp.: 79 °
Daily High Temperature: 86 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*San Carlos
Morning Winds: WNW 4 to 5 knots
Afternoon Winds: WNW 11-14
Sunrise Temp.: 78 °
Daily High Temperature: 88 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 1.01 in.
#VALUE!
Pt Concepcion :
Morning Winds: NNW 4 to 6 knots
Afternoon Winds: NNE 10-13
Punta Chivato :
Morning Winds: SE 3 to 4 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 12-15
*El Burro Cove in Concepcion Bay
Morning Winds Winds: SE 4 to 5 knots
Afternoon Winds: SE 12-16
Sunrise Temp.: 81 °
Daily High Temperature: 85 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Sunrise Sea Temperature: 0
Puerto Escondido Juncalitoville
Morning Winds: SSE 4 to 6 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 10-13
Sunrise Temp.: 77 °
Daily High Temperature: 79 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
San Lorenzo Channel :
Morning Winds: S 5 to 6 knots
Afternoon Winds: S 9-12
La Paz:
Morning Winds: NW 2 to 3 knots
Afternoon Winds: ENE 5-6
Sunrise Temp.: 75 °
Daily High Temperature: 84 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: n/a in.
#VALUE!
*La Ventana Baja Joe's :
Morning Winds: NNW 0 to 1 knots
Afternoon Winds: NNE 6-8
Sunrise Temp.: N/A
Daily High Temperature: N/A
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*Los Barriles :
Morning Winds: ESE 2 to 2 knots
Afternoon Winds: NNE 8-10
Sunrise Temp.: 77 °
Daily High Temperature: 80 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Cabo Pulmo :
Morning Winds: S 5 to 7 knots
Afternoon Winds: W 6-7
Seas: S 4 feet at 16 sec.
*Cabo San Lucas :
Morning Winds: SSW 6 to 9 knots
Afternoon Winds: WSW 12-15
Sunrise Temp.: 81 °
Daily High Temperature: 81 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0.02 in.
#VALUE!
MEXICAN RIVIERA
*Mazatlan,
Morning Winds: WNW 5 to 6 knots
Afternoon Winds: WNW 9-12
Sunrise Temp.: 80 °
Daily High Temperature: 88 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*Puerta Vallarta:
Morning Winds: N 4 to 5 knots
Afternoon Winds: NW 9-12
Sunrise Temp.: 78 °
Daily High Temperature: 91 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Manzanillo :
Morning Winds: SSW 10 to 14 knots
Afternoon Winds: WSW 9-12
Sunrise Temp.: 76 °
Daily High Temperature: 90 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Ixtapa Zihuatanejo :
Morning Winds: SW 7 to 10 knots
Afternoon Winds: WSW 6-8
Sunrise Temp.: 72 °
Daily High Temperature: 86 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Cabo Corrienties :
Morning Winds: NNW 6 to 8 knots
Afternoon Winds: NW 11-14
Seas: S 6 feet at 15 sec.
Sea of Cortez Weather for 08/16/12
The Sonrisenet: The premier source for Sea of Cortez weather.
Click here for the Sonrisa Net Weather Webpage
Click here for the Satellite WunderMap view of the Sea of Cortez
After the Sonrisa Weather it’s back to work.
This summary and the daily postings are now posted on the Sonrisanet webpage usually by 8:30 MDT daily.
The following is from my daily ham radio Report
And is now available as a podcast.
Click above to Go to the Sonrisa Net Website
Thursday, August 16, 2012
Voice to Text---
.Looking down into the Sea this morning I can see that our focus has moved from the Eastern Pacific basin to the Sea of Cortez yesterday and again this morning.
There has not been a MSC in Sonora in the past 24 hours but numerous thunderbumpers. Remember these MSC’s are gigantic stretching hundreds of miles and made up of very severe, oftern many thunderstorms and in generally over land. Chubbascos are small in comparison and are over water and normally move quickly and in general from south to north. They however can be as intense.
Yesterday there were numerous thunderbumpers develop in the Sea some small in the northern and central Sea and some large in the southern Sea. The entire Sea was blanketed with clouds from these systems yesterday the heaviest being in the southern Sea.
This morning at 5am there were two still working in the Sea. A small one on the East Cape and a larger one in the center of the northern crossing. The skies are still overcast and it looks like they will continue to be all day.
Looking now down at the southern end of the Sea where most of the action has been for the past 24 hours. The cape had the heaviest rain over the past 24 hours about an inch and a half. The East Cape an inch and a quarter. The La Paz reporting station did not list any rain totals for yesterday. Downtown Loreto must have had a whopper go over it yesterday afternoon. 32 knot winds and almost 5 inches of rain recorded downtown. Rays station at Juncalitoville reported almost an inch of rain since midnight and 10.41 inches of rain yesterday. It sounds like his cup runith over.
Looking now over to the Mexican Riviera where I can see a cell developed around Puerto Vallarta early this morning and it has increased in size since then and has moved north up the Sea past the southern crossing along the Sonora coast extending out about half way across the Sea just before I went on the air. It also looks like thumper from this band of cells is headed toward Loreto. . Further south there is some cloudiness but in general clear skies south of Manzanillo.
There is nothing cooking in our Tropical Kitchen this morning except what is left of tropical storm Hector. He finally became officially depressed at around 8”30 last night and is now heading to Hawaii.
Looking over in the Caribbean I can see a Tropical Wave moving along the southern coast of the Yucatan Peninsula. It should show on Saturday around the Tehuantepec. We’ll see?
That’s what is going on in our hood so looking now north to the west coast of America where the heat wave has ended except for the Great Northwest where Seattle will see 90 today and Portland 99. The rest of the west coast about 10 degrees cooler than 5 days ago.
Southern California will see some thunderbumper and showers in the lower deserts and the mountains due to increased monsoonal moisture.
Looking now over to the southwest where an active monsoon will continue bringing showers and thunderbumpers into the weekend. Flash flooding in a concern today with a Flash flood watch being posted for this afternoon in some counties. Temperatures will be a tad cooler due to the moisture in the air. The forecast is for the monsoon to remain active into next week.
That’s what is going on to the north of us. Back on this side of the Fence today looks like the last day of these strong southerlies. Ballpark just a tad less than what you had yesterday unless you were under a thumper. A last look at the sat images looks lke the cape area will be very active today. Friday and Saturday look like a return to our moderate August southerlies.
73s Y’all
Thursday, August 16, 2012
Don't chisel these forecasts in stone. This is an Amateur Endeavor.
………...DAILYS………...
ALL winds are in Knots.
NORTHERN CROSSING FORECAST:
TODAY : Thursday, August 16, 2012
Baja Side : Afternoon Winds: SE 17-22
CENTER : Afternoon Winds: ESE 23-30
Guaymas Side : Afternoon Winds: SE 20-26
TOMORROW: Friday, August 17, 2012
Baja side : Afternoon Winds: ESE 11-14
Center : Afternoon Winds: SE 9-12
Guaymas side : Afternoon Winds: SE 11-14
.
SOUTHERN CROSSING FORECAST:
TODAY : Thursday, August 16, 2012
East Cape : Afternoon Winds: S 13-17
Center : Afternoon Winds: SSE 18-24
Mazatlan : Afternoon Winds: SSE 15-19
TOMORROW : Friday, August 17, 2012
East Cape : Afternoon Winds: ESE 5-6
Center : Afternoon Winds: S 9-12
Mazatlan : Afternoon Winds: S 7-9
.
….. 3 DAY FORECAST (OUTSIDE)…...
Ensenada
Thursday 8/16 Afternoon Winds: SW 13-17
Seas: S 4 feet at 19 sec.
Friday 8/17 Afternoon Winds: SW 13-17
Seas: S 5 feet at 17 sec.
Saturday 8/18 Afternoon Winds: W 9-11
Seas: SSW 4 feet at 15 se
Point San Quintin
Thursday 8/16 Afternoon Winds: WNW 16-21
Seas: Seas: S 5 feet at 19 sec.
Friday 8/17 Afternoon Winds: SSE 8-10
Seas: S 4 feet at 17 sec.
Saturday 8/18 Afternoon Winds: WNW 12-15
Seas: SSW 4 feet at 15 sec.
Turtle Bay
Thursday 8/16 Afternoon Winds: WNW 11-14
Seas: WNW 2 feet at 13 sec.
Friday 8/17 Afternoon Winds: WNW 14-18
Seas: WNW 2 feet at 11 sec.
Saturday 8/18 Afternoon Winds: WNW 15-19
Seas: WNW 2 feet at 10 sec.
Cedros Island
Thursday 8/16 Afternoon Winds: WNW 12-16
Seas: S 2 feet at 18 sec.
Friday 8/17 Afternoon Winds: NW 10-13
Seas: SSW 2 feet at 16 sec.
Saturday 8/18 Afternoon Winds: WNW 12-15
Seas: S 2 feet at 15 sec.
ABREOJOS
Thursday 8/16 Afternoon Winds: SSW 9-12
Seas: S 5 feet at 18 sec.
Friday 8/17 Afternoon Winds: S 9-12
Seas: S 5 feet at 16 sec.
Saturday 8/18 Afternoon Winds: WSW 12-15
Seas: S 4 feet at 15 sec.
Mag Bay
Thursday 8/16 Afternoon Winds: SSE 15-19
Seas: S 6 feet at 18 sec.
Friday 8/17 Afternoon Winds: S 12-15
Seas: S 6 feet at 16 sec.
Saturday 8/18 Afternoon Winds: W 11-14
Seas: S 5 feet at 15 sec.
*CABO FALSO (Pedregal)
Today's Sunrise Temp.: 77 °
Daily High Temperature: 94%
Yesterday's Rainfall: 1.42 in.
#VALUE!
Thursday 8/16 Morning Winds: SSE 10 to 13 knots
Afternoon Winds: S 12-15
Seas: Seas: S 7 feet at 17 sec.
Friday 8/17 Afternoon Winds: SW 9-11
Seas: S 6 feet at 16 sec.
Saturday 8/18 Afternoon Winds: WNW 14-18
Seas: SSW 5 feet at 15 sec
. SEA OF CORTEZ
* indicates WeatherUnderground Station
*Puerto Penasco Casa Weez:
Morning Winds: S 8 to 11 knots
Afternoon Winds: SW 13-17
Sunrise Temp.: 83 °
Daily High Temperature: 91 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: Calm
#VALUE!
*Bahia Kino Nuevo :
Morning Winds: SE 14 to 18 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 12-16
Sunrise Temp.: N/A
Daily High Temperature: N/A
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*San Filepe:
Morning Winds: NW 2 to 3 knots
Afternoon Winds: SW 9-12
Sunrise Temp.: 87 °
Daily High Temperature: 91 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*Gonzoga Bay Pappa Fernandez Landing. :
Morning Winds: SE 12 to 17 knots
Afternoon Winds: SE 14-18
Sunrise Temp.: 86 °
Daily High Temperature: 92 °
Yesterday's Rainfall:
#VALUE!
*Bay of LA. :
Morning Winds: SE 13 to 18 knots
Afternoon Winds: SE 16-21
Sunrise Temp.: 85 °
Daily High Temperature: 89 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
San Franciscito Bay :
Morning Winds: ESE 15 to 20 knots
Afternoon Winds: E 6-8
Santa Rosalia :
Morning Winds: ESE 16 to 21 knots
Afternoon Winds: SE 16-21
Sunrise Temp.: N/A
Daily High Temperature: N/A
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*Mulegé :
Morning Winds: SE 15 to 20 knots
Afternoon Winds: SE 17-22
Sunrise Temp.: 82 °
Daily High Temperature: 96 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*San Carlos
Morning Winds: SE 9 to 12 knots
Afternoon Winds: SE 11-14
Sunrise Temp.: 81 °
Daily High Temperature: 87 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Pt Concepcion :
Morning Winds: E 2 to 2 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 11-14
Punta Chivato :
Morning Winds: E 15 to 21 knots
Afternoon Winds: SE 12-15
*El Burro Cove in Concepcion Bay
Morning Winds Winds: SE 15 to 20 knots
Afternoon Winds: SE 17-22
Sunrise Temp.: 83 °
Daily High Temperature: 90 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Sunrise Sea Temperature: 87
Puerto Escondido Juncalitoville
Morning Winds: SSE 8 to 11 knots
Afternoon Winds: SE 12-16
Sunrise Temp.: 80 °
Daily High Temperature: 94 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0.85 in.
#VALUE!
San Lorenzo Channel :
Morning Winds: ESE 5 to 7 knots
Afternoon Winds: S 12-15
La Paz:
Morning Winds: SE 9 to 12 knots
Afternoon Winds: SSW 11-14
Sunrise Temp.: 76 °
Daily High Temperature: 92 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*La Ventana Baja Joe's :
Morning Winds: SE 12 to 16 knots
Afternoon Winds: S 13-17
Sunrise Temp.: N/A
Daily High Temperature: N/A
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*Los Barriles :
Morning Winds: SE 12 to 16 knots
Afternoon Winds: SSE 13-17
Sunrise Temp.: 76 °
Daily High Temperature: 84 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0.17 in.
#VALUE!
Cabo Pulmo :
Morning Winds: SSE 11 to 15 knots
Afternoon Winds: S 15-19
Seas: S 5 feet at 18 sec.
*Cabo San Lucas :
Morning Winds: S 9 to 13 knots
Afternoon Winds: SSW 12-15
Sunrise Temp.: 78 °
Daily High Temperature: 81 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 1.12 in.
#VALUE!
MEXICAN RIVIERA
*Mazatlan,
Morning Winds: SE 10 to 13 knots
Afternoon Winds: SSE 15-19
Sunrise Temp.: 78 °
Daily High Temperature: 88 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0.22 in.
#VALUE!
*Puerta Vallarta:
Morning Winds: SSE 7 to 9 knots
Afternoon Winds: SW 9-11
Sunrise Temp.: 78 °
Daily High Temperature: 93 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Manzanillo :
Morning Winds: NNE 2 to 3 knots
Afternoon Winds: W 9-12
Sunrise Temp.: 73 °
Daily High Temperature: 85 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Ixtapa Zihuatanejo :
Morning Winds: WSW 9 to 12 knots
Afternoon Winds: WNW 8-10
Sunrise Temp.: N/A
Daily High Temperature: N/A
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Cabo Corrienties :
Morning Winds: SE 7 to 10 knots
Afternoon Winds: SSW 9-12
Seas: S 6 feet at 16 sec.
Sea of Cortez Weather for 08/15/12
The Sonrisenet: The premier source for Sea of Cortez weather.
Click here for the Sonrisa Net Weather Webpage
Click here for the Satellite WunderMap view of the Sea of Cortez
After the Sonrisa Weather it’s back to work.
This summary and the daily postings are now posted on the Sonrisanet webpage usually by 8:30 MDT daily.
The following is from my daily ham radio Report
And is now available as a podcast.
Click above to Go to the Sonrisa Net Website
Wednesday, August 15, 2012
Voice to Text---
.Looking down into the Sea this morning first with the 24 hour loop. Starting early yesterday there was that cell that developed over Hermosillo and moved out into the Sea around the middrifts. The intensity of the storm diminished but it moved all the way across the Sea to encompass both the Bay of La and the Gonzaga Bay area.
That was just the start of a wild day of weather primarily but not exclusively in the northern Sea. By late afternoon a massive MCS (mesoscale convective system) begin building around Hermosillo and within a few hours it completely encompassed the coast of Sonora north as far as phoenix. Bands from this system also moved west back into the Bay of La and Gonzaga bay areas. This system lasted most of the night and still this morning it looks like there is still some thunderbumper activity in that region.
Seas are running about 5 feet in the northern Sea according to the National Weather Service at Yuma. Yuma radar at 5am is showing most of the heavy storm activity around Puerto Penasco however then entire northern Sea has heavy overcast this morning.
Will the same thing happen today? YES! The forecast is for another MCS’s to build later today over Hermosillo and move north and west again.
The term MCS’s is now being used by the weather services to describe these huge storms. The definition being a complex of thunderstorms that has become organized on a scale larger than the individual thunderstorms but smaller than a tropical storm. We laymen sometimes refer to them as big honk’n chubbascos.
At 6am I can see the storms already building over Sonora.
I’ve only talked about the northern Sea. The central Sea’s winds started mid afternoon and most of the time were in the 20K ranges. 18-20 gusts were recorded in areas near thumpers that developed during the night. This morning the entire Sea is overcast with numerous small thumpers bringing wind and sporadic rain showers. . At 4am there was an incredible lightning show just off to the east of Concepción Bay. More than one strike a second. It was like a flickering movie screen with the images of the palapas down the beach lighting up. Here in the cove we had winds to 20 all night and a few light showers since 5am along with lots of thunder and lightning. 7 Mulegé at the same time received almost an inch of rain
Several locations on the cape area regions received almost an inch of rain in the in the past 24 hours. This latest image is showing it raining at the cape this morning. There was not a single reporting station that has not reported at least a trace of rain since midnight.
Looking south to the Mexican Riviera I can see a fairly large cell moving out of the Puerto Vallarta area toward Mazatlan and the southern crossing.
The only item in our Tropical Kitchen this morning is tropical storm Hector which is a non player now and will be plutoed sometime today to a tropical depression.
That’s what is going on in our hood so briefly looking north to the west coast of America where the heat wave is over except for the Great Northwest.
Southern California will start to see some thunderbumpers and showers in the deserts and mountains due to the increased monsoonal moisture.
The only good news for the southwest is their heat wave is finally over. They can expect to see a MCS cross the Fence today bringing rain, wind and chances of flash flooding.
That’s what is going on to the north of us. Back on this side of the Fence it looks like a bad day to plan a picnic. The next 3 days as well.
Our focus has turned from the Eastern Pacific basin to inside the Sea of Cortez.
Strong southerlies are forecast to be in the ballpark range of 20 knots. In the area where there are storms much higher gust are probable.
So double check your ground tackle. Keep a wary eye the eastern sky for advancing storms and hunker down.
Be safe! 73s Y’all
Wednesday, August 15, 2012
Don't chisel these forecasts in stone. This is an Amateur Endeavor.
………...DAILYS………...
ALL winds are in Knots.
NORTHERN CROSSING FORECAST:
TODAY : Wednesday, August 15, 2012
Baja Side : Afternoon Winds: SE 17-22
CENTER : Afternoon Winds: SE 14-18
Guaymas Side : Afternoon Winds: S 17-22
TOMORROW: Thursday, August 16, 2012
Baja side : Afternoon Winds: ESE 15-19
Center : Afternoon Winds: ESE 20-26
Guaymas side : Afternoon Winds: SE 15-20
.
SOUTHERN CROSSING FORECAST:
TODAY : Wednesday, August 15, 2012
East Cape : Afternoon Winds: SE 17-22
Center : Afternoon Winds: SE 16-21
Mazatlan : Afternoon Winds: SSE 12-15
TOMORROW : Thursday, August 16, 2012
East Cape : Afternoon Winds: SE 13-17
Center : Afternoon Winds: SE 17-22
Mazatlan : Afternoon Winds: SSE 16-21
.
….. 3 DAY FORECAST (OUTSIDE)…...
Ensenada
Wednesday 8/15 Afternoon Winds: WNW 9-12
Seas: S 4 feet at 17 sec.
Thursday 8/16 Afternoon Winds: WNW 9-12
Seas: S 4 feet at 19 sec.
Friday 8/17 Afternoon Winds: WNW 13-17
Seas: S 4 feet at 17 sec.
Point San Quintin
Wednesday 8/15 Afternoon Winds: WNW 10-13
Seas: Seas: S 4 feet at 16 sec.
Thursday 8/16 Afternoon Winds: WNW 12-16
Seas: S 4 feet at 19 sec.
Friday 8/17 Afternoon Winds: W 6 10-13
Seas: S 5 feet at 17 sec.
Turtle Bay
Wednesday 8/15 Afternoon Winds: WNW 15-19
Seas: NW 2 feet at 9 sec.
Thursday 8/16 Afternoon Winds: WNW 17-22
Seas: WNW 2 feet at 13 sec.
Friday 8/17 Afternoon Winds: WNW 12-15
Seas: WNW 2 feet at 11 sec.
Cedros Island
Wednesday 8/15 Afternoon Winds: NW 9-11
Seas: S 2 feet at 21 sec.
Thursday 8/16 Afternoon Winds: WNW 12-16
Seas: S 2 feet at 18 sec.
Friday 8/17 Afternoon Winds: WNW 9-11
Seas: SSW 2 feet at 16 sec.
ABREOJOS
Wednesday 8/15 Afternoon Winds: WSW 9-12
Seas: S 4 feet at 21 sec.
Thursday 8/16 Afternoon Winds: SW 10-13
Seas: S 5 feet at 18 sec.
Friday 8/17 Afternoon Winds: SSW 9-12
Seas: S 5 feet at 16 sec.
Mag Bay
Wednesday 8/15 Afternoon Winds: SSE 14-18
Seas: S 5 feet at 20 sec.
Thursday 8/16 Afternoon Winds: SSE 17-22
Seas: S 7 feet at 18 sec.
Friday 8/17 Afternoon Winds: S 12-15
Seas: S 6 feet at 16 sec.
*CABO FALSO (Pedregal)
Today's Sunrise Temp.: 76 °
Daily High Temperature: 91%
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0.83 in.
#VALUE!
Wednesday 8/15 Morning Winds: SE 9 to 12 knots
Afternoon Winds: SE 14-18
Seas: Seas: S 7 feet at 20 sec.
Thursday 8/16 Afternoon Winds: S 12-16
Seas: S 7 feet at 17 sec.
Friday 8/17 Afternoon Winds: WSW 9-12
Seas: S 6 feet at 16 sec.
. SEA OF CORTEZ
* indicates WeatherUnderground Station
*Puerto Penasco Casa Weez:
Morning Winds: S 15 to 20 knots
Afternoon Winds: SSW 15-20
Sunrise Temp.: 80 °
Daily High Temperature: 94 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: Calm
#VALUE!
*Bahia Kino Nuevo :
Morning Winds: SSE 12 to 16 knots
Afternoon Winds: SSE 14-18
Sunrise Temp.: N/A
Daily High Temperature: N/A
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*San Filepe:
Morning Winds: SSE 5 to 6 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 15-19
Sunrise Temp.: 92 °
Daily High Temperature: 103 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*Gonzoga Bay Pappa Fernandez Landing. :
Morning Winds: SE 8 to 11 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 17-22
Sunrise Temp.: 89 °
Daily High Temperature: 98 °
Yesterday's Rainfall:
#VALUE!
*Bay of LA. :
Morning Winds: SE 11 to 15 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 18-23
Sunrise Temp.: 87 °
Daily High Temperature: 98 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
San Franciscito Bay :
Morning Winds: SE 8 to 10 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 14-18
Santa Rosalia :
Morning Winds: SE 10 to 13 knots
Afternoon Winds: SE 16-21
Sunrise Temp.: N/A
Daily High Temperature: N/A
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*Mulegé :
Morning Winds: SE 9 to 12 knots
Afternoon Winds: SE 17-22
Sunrise Temp.: 78 °
Daily High Temperature: 105 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*San Carlos
Morning Winds: SE 16 to 22 knots
Afternoon Winds: SE 15-20
Sunrise Temp.: 79 °
Daily High Temperature: 91 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Pt Concepcion :
Morning Winds: ESE 11 to 16 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 15-19
Punta Chivato :
Morning Winds: SE 11 to 14 knots
Afternoon Winds: SE 16-21
*El Burro Cove in Concepcion Bay
Morning Winds Winds: SE 9 to 12 knots
Afternoon Winds: SE 17-22
Sunrise Temp.: N/A
Daily High Temperature: N/A
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Sunrise Sea Temperature: 87
Puerto Escondido Juncalitoville
Morning Winds: ESE 9 to 12 knots
Afternoon Winds: SSE 18-23
Sunrise Temp.: 86 °
Daily High Temperature: 96 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
San Lorenzo Channel :
Morning Winds: ESE 10 to 13 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 14-18
La Paz:
Morning Winds: ESE 14 to 20 knots
Afternoon Winds: SE 18-23
Sunrise Temp.: 81 °
Daily High Temperature: 97 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*La Ventana Baja Joe's :
Morning Winds: SE 15 to 21 knots
Afternoon Winds: SE 17-22
Sunrise Temp.: N/A
Daily High Temperature: N/A
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*Los Barriles :
Morning Winds: SE 15 to 20 knots
Afternoon Winds: SSE 16-21
Sunrise Temp.: 77 °
Daily High Temperature: 89 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Cabo Pulmo :
Morning Winds: SE 12 to 16 knots
Afternoon Winds: S 15-19
Seas: S 6 feet at 21 sec.
*Cabo San Lucas :
Morning Winds: SSE 8 to 11 knots
Afternoon Winds: SE 12-16
Sunrise Temp.: 76 °
Daily High Temperature: 85 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 1.11 in.
#VALUE!
MEXICAN RIVIERA
*Mazatlan,
Morning Winds: SSE 2 to 3 knots
Afternoon Winds: SSE 12-15
Sunrise Temp.: 80 °
Daily High Temperature: 88 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0.21 in.
#VALUE!
*Puerta Vallarta:
Morning Winds: SSE 10 to 13 knots
Afternoon Winds: S 11-14
Sunrise Temp.: 78 °
Daily High Temperature: 89 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Manzanillo :
Morning Winds: ESE 9 to 12 knots
Afternoon Winds: SSE 15-20
Sunrise Temp.: 78 °
Daily High Temperature: 87 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Ixtapa Zihuatanejo :
Morning Winds: SW 6 to 9 knots
Afternoon Winds: WSW 9-11
Sunrise Temp.: 70 °
Daily High Temperature: 82 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Cabo Corrienties :
Morning Winds: SE 12 to 17 knots
Afternoon Winds: SSE 18-23
Seas: S 7 feet at 18 sec.
Sea of Cortez Weather for 08/14/12
The Sonrisenet: The premier source for Sea of Cortez weather.
Click here for the Sonrisa Net Weather Webpage
Click here for the Satellite WunderMap view of the Sea of Cortez
After the Sonrisa Weather it’s back to work.
This summary and the daily postings are now posted on the Sonrisanet webpage usually by 8:30 MDT daily.
The following is from my daily ham radio Report
And is now available as a podcast.
Click above to Go to the Sonrisa Net Website
Tuesday, August 14, 2012
Voice to Text---
.Looking down into the Sea this morning I can see that that large cell that was moving from around Manzanillo toward the east cape yesterday morning continued to move across the Sea and broke up along the east cape late yesterday morning. As that storm moved north along the mainland coast all locations along the way received from a quarter to a half inch of rain with winds gusts to 37 knots at Mazatlan. A bit less at the other locations. .
The East Cape and the southern Sea cleared in the afternoon and it has been only after midnight that the East Cape has started to see some cloudiness from thunderbumper activity along the Mexican Riviera. No rain was reported by East Cape or the La Paz locations.
The rest of the Sea looked to be clear or clearing this morning. There was some thunderbumper activity between Los mochas and Guaymas early this morning and the remnant clouds have drifted toward Puerto Escondido during the morning hours. I expect the Sea to be clear of any cloudiness by mid morning.
Looking now south to the Mexican Riviera and from Mazatlan south there has been numerous thunderbumpers along the coast and off shore during the night and continuing this morning. In general that entire area off shore is blanketed with remnant clouds from these storms.
Taking a look now in our Tropical Kitchen. It looks like that Tropical Wave that came across the Tehuantepec isthmus and hooded up with a low off shore is not showing up on the charts this morning and the Navy has released it’s invest designation of 95E. That was certainly short lived.
So the only thing we have in the kitchen this morning is tropical storm Hector who is slowly moving SW of the cape and of no danger to land. He has hit colder waters now and will be plutoed to a tropical depression by tomorrow.
The only other tropical item I can see is a Tropical Wave moving past Cuba this morning. It will take about two days to show up on our doorstep.
That’s what is going on in our hood so looking now north to the west coast of America where western Washington is the only place on the west coast that will not be seeing much cooling this week.
With high pressure relaxing the heat wave that has blanketed the west coast is diminishing. By the weekend temperatures along the coast will have dropped at least 10 degrees.
Not so for the southwest though. They will have one more day of near record temperatures before there temperatures drop back to normal. With the high relaxing over the southwest they will see the return of monsoon conditions starting tomorrow.
That’s what’s going on to the north of us. Back on this side of the Fence it looks like the entire Sea will be seeing strong southerlies for the 3-day forecast period. The central Sea’s winds will back off a bit on Thursday to the moderate ranges again. That being said, I’ve found that the forecasts are not very accurate beyond the first day for these strong southerlies. When there are discrepancies in the models I always try to use the higher values. Tomorrow may show a complete different picture of the winds so be advised.
Temperatures today will be in the mid to high 90s.
73s Y’all
Tuesday, August 14, 2012
Don't chisel these forecasts in stone. This is an Amateur Endeavor.
………...DAILYS………...
ALL winds are in Knots.
NORTHERN CROSSING FORECAST:
TODAY : Tuesday, August 14, 2012
Baja Side : Afternoon Winds: ESE 18-23
CENTER : Afternoon Winds: SE 15-20
Guaymas Side : Afternoon Winds: SSE 17-22
TOMORROW: Wednesday, August 15, 2012
Baja side : Afternoon Winds: SE 19-25
Center : Afternoon Winds: SSE 18-24
Guaymas side : Afternoon Winds: SSE 21-27
.
SOUTHERN CROSSING FORECAST:
TODAY : Tuesday, August 14, 2012
East Cape : Afternoon Winds: SSE 14-18
Center : Afternoon Winds: ESE 8-10
Mazatlan : Afternoon Winds: N 9-11
TOMORROW : Wednesday, August 15, 2012
East Cape : Afternoon Winds: SE 17-22
Center : Afternoon Winds: SE 17-22
Mazatlan : Afternoon Winds: NE 9-11
.
….. 3 DAY FORECAST (OUTSIDE)…...
Ensenada
Tuesday 8/14 Afternoon Winds: NW 12-16
Seas: SSW 4 feet at 14 sec.
Wednesday 8/15 Afternoon Winds: NW 12-16
Seas: S 4 feet at 17 sec.
Thursday 8/16 Afternoon Winds: NW 11-14
Seas: S 4 feet at 19 sec.
Point San Quintin
Tuesday 8/14 Afternoon Winds: NW 15-20
Seas: Seas: SSW 4 feet at 13 sec.
Wednesday 8/15 Afternoon Winds: WNW 12-15
Seas: S 4 feet at 16 sec.
Thursday 8/16 Afternoon Winds: WNW 10-13
Seas: S 4 feet at 19 sec.
Turtle Bay
Tuesday 8/14 Afternoon Winds: WNW 15-19
Seas: NW 3 feet at 8 sec.
Wednesday 8/15 Afternoon Winds: WNW 15-19
Seas: NW 2 feet at 9 sec.
Thursday 8/16 Afternoon Winds: WNW 15-20
Seas: WNW 2 feet at 13 sec.
Cedros Island
Tuesday 8/14 Afternoon Winds: WNW 12-16
Seas: SSW 2 feet at 13 sec.
Wednesday 8/15 Afternoon Winds: WNW 10-13
Seas: S 2 feet at 21 sec.
Thursday 8/16 Afternoon Winds: W 11-14
Seas: S 2 feet at 18 sec.
ABREOJOS
Tuesday 8/14 Afternoon Winds: WSW 12-16
Seas: SSW 4 feet at 13 sec.
Wednesday 8/15 Afternoon Winds: SSW 8-10
Seas: S 4 feet at 21 sec.
Thursday 8/16 Afternoon Winds: SSW 10-13
Seas: S 5 feet at 18 sec.
Mag Bay
Tuesday 8/14 Afternoon Winds: SE 13-17
Seas: SE 2 feet at 4 sec.
Wednesday 8/15 Afternoon Winds: SE 17-22
Seas: ESE 4 feet at 5 sec.
Thursday 8/16 Afternoon Winds: SE 14-18
Seas: ESE 2 feet at 5 se
*CABO FALSO (Pedregal)
Today's Sunrise Temp.: 79 °
Daily High Temperature: 83%
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Tuesday 8/14 Morning Winds: E 16 to 21 knots
Afternoon Winds: E 15-19
Seas: Seas: SSW 7 feet at 9 sec.
Wednesday 8/15 Afternoon Winds: SE 12-16
Seas: S 7 feet at 20 sec.
Thursday 8/16 Afternoon Winds: SSE 9-12
Seas: S 6 feet at 17 sec.
. SEA OF CORTEZ
* indicates WeatherUnderground Station
*Puerto Penasco Casa Weez:
Morning Winds: S 14 to 20 knots
Afternoon Winds: SW 12-15
Sunrise Temp.: 84 °
Daily High Temperature: 94 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 11se
#VALUE!
*Bahia Kino Nuevo :
Morning Winds: SSE 12 to 16 knots
Afternoon Winds: SSE 12-16
Sunrise Temp.: N/A
Daily High Temperature: N/A
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*San Filepe:
Morning Winds: SE 10 to 13 knots
Afternoon Winds: SE 9-11
Sunrise Temp.: 95 °
Daily High Temperature: 103 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*Gonzoga Bay Pappa Fernandez Landing. :
Morning Winds: SE 13 to 17 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 13-17
Sunrise Temp.: 87 °
Daily High Temperature: 98 °
Yesterday's Rainfall:
#VALUE!
*Bay of LA. :
Morning Winds: SE 14 to 19 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 13-17
Sunrise Temp.: 87 °
Daily High Temperature: 98 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
San Franciscito Bay :
Morning Winds: ESE 11 to 14 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 15-20
Santa Rosalia :
Morning Winds: ESE 11 to 14 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 16-21
Sunrise Temp.: N/A
Daily High Temperature: N/A
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*Mulegé :
Morning Winds: ESE 10 to 13 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 18-23
Sunrise Temp.: 86 °
Daily High Temperature: 103 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*San Carlos
Morning Winds: SSE 14 to 19 knots
Afternoon Winds: SSE 21-27
Sunrise Temp.: 87 °
Daily High Temperature: 97 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Pt Concepcion :
Morning Winds: SE 14 to 19 knots
Afternoon Winds: SE 19-25
Punta Chivato :
Morning Winds: ESE 11 to 14 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 15-20
*El Burro Cove in Concepcion Bay
Morning Winds Winds: ESE 10 to 13 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 18-23
Sunrise Temp.: 91 °
Daily High Temperature: 102 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Sunrise Sea Temperature: 87
Puerto Escondido Juncalitoville
Morning Winds: SE 7 to 10 knots
Afternoon Winds: SE 17-22
Sunrise Temp.: 88 °
Daily High Temperature: 98 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
San Lorenzo Channel :
Morning Winds: ESE 8 to 11 knots
Afternoon Winds: SE 12-15
La Paz:
Morning Winds: SE 12 to 16 knots
Afternoon Winds: SE 13-17
Sunrise Temp.: 78 °
Daily High Temperature: 96 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*La Ventana Baja Joe's :
Morning Winds: SE 13 to 17 knots
Afternoon Winds: SSE 14-18
Sunrise Temp.: N/A
Daily High Temperature: N/A
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*Los Barriles :
Morning Winds: SSE 14 to 19 knots
Afternoon Winds: S 14-18
Sunrise Temp.: 84 °
Daily High Temperature: 92 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Cabo Pulmo :
Morning Winds: SE 11 to 15 knots
Afternoon Winds: S 9-12
Seas: SSE 5 feet at 8 sec.
*Cabo San Lucas :
Morning Winds: E 15 to 21 knots
Afternoon Winds: E 12-15
Sunrise Temp.: 81 °
Daily High Temperature: 91 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
MEXICAN RIVIERA
*Mazatlan,
Morning Winds: NW 5 to 6 knots
Afternoon Winds: N 9-11
Sunrise Temp.: 81 °
Daily High Temperature: 89 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0.14 in.
#VALUE!
*Puerta Vallarta:
Morning Winds: ESE 3 to 5 knots
Afternoon Winds: NNW 7-9
Sunrise Temp.: 79 °
Daily High Temperature: 89 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Manzanillo :
Morning Winds: ESE 15 to 20 knots
Afternoon Winds: SE 21-27
Sunrise Temp.: 75 °
Daily High Temperature: 85 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Ixtapa Zihuatanejo :
Morning Winds: SSE 8 to 11 knots
Afternoon Winds: SSE 14-18
Sunrise Temp.: 72 °
Daily High Temperature: 88 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Cabo Corrienties :
Morning Winds: ESE 10 to 14 knots
Afternoon Winds: SE 15-20
Seas: S 9 feet at 21 sec.
Sea of Cortez Weather for 08/13/12
The Sonrisenet: The premier source for Sea of Cortez weather.
Click here for the Sonrisa Net Weather Webpage
Click here for the Satellite WunderMap view of the Sea of Cortez
After the Sonrisa Weather it’s back to work.
This summary and the daily postings are now posted on the Sonrisanet webpage usually by 8:30 MDT daily.
The following is from my daily ham radio Report
And is now available as a podcast.
Click above to Go to the Sonrisa Net Website
Monday, August 13, 2012
Voice to Text---
.Looking down into the Sea this morning I can see that the southern Sea has some cloudiness that cleared mid morning yesterday and they have been the only clouds in the Sea for the past 24 hours.
Over in Sonora it has been clear over there for the past 24 hours. There has been no thunderbumper activity at all over the northern and central portion of the state.
Around 1 O’clock a cell began developing between Puerto Vallarta and Mazatlan and has been growing larger ever since. It has moved out over water to the SW of Masatlan and is now moving into the southern crossing. Since midnight Mazatlan has had about 4/3 inch of rain.
South of that there is and has been considerable thunderbumper activity all along the coast overnight with most locations reporting at least a trace of rain since midnight.
Just west of the Tehuantepec a Tropical Wave emerged looking for a low to stimulate and found one. It is producing a lot of showers and thumpers and some development of this system is likely over the next couple of days as it moves NW. We’ll put this on the back burner in our Tropical Kitchen for now. It has been designated invest 94 Echo.
The other item currently on the front burner is tropical storm Hector which almost died during the night but this morning the winds increased enough to keep it’s tropical storm status. Hector is SW of the cape and will most likely be plutoed to a remnant low within 24 hours. About the only real affect from this storm has been to bring a lot of moisture into the Sea of Cortez. Most reporting stations have been reporting high humidity readings for the past couple of days. Humidity reading from the low 70s to the high 80s were common this morning.
So that’s what’s going on in our hood this morning. Looking now north to the west coast of America where high pressure has been slower than advertized to move off to the east. It will remain hot all along the coast and the inland valleys today with a gradual cooling starting tomorrow.
Over in the southwest the high pressure will continue until Wednesday before it starts to weaken. In the meantime above normal temperatures for August will continue.
Monsoon moisture will also slowly spread back into the region starting Wednesday resulting in an increasing threat of thunderbumper and showers over the southwest. The best chances of afternoon showers and thunderbumpers will be Thursday through Saturday.
That’s what is going on to the north of us. Back on this side of the Fence today looks like a typical hot August day in Baja. The only fly in the ointment to a perfect day could be that large developing cell that right now continues to move into the southern crossing. At 7 O’clock it appeared to be weakening and most likely would stay on the Sonoran side of the Sea.
Today’s winds will in general be from the south and in the moderate ranges. Tomorrow the southerlies will be strongest in the central Sea and be in the 20 knot ranges in the afternoon.
Wednesday the southerlies for the entire Sea will be back to the moderate ranges.
73s Y’all
Monday, August 13, 2012
Don't chisel these forecasts in stone. This is an Amateur Endeavor.
………...DAILYS………...
ALL winds are in Knots.
NORTHERN CROSSING FORECAST:
TODAY : Monday, August 13, 2012
Baja Side : Afternoon Winds: ESE 11-14
CENTER : Afternoon Winds: SE 15-19
Guaymas Side : Afternoon Winds: SSW 14-18
TOMORROW: Tuesday, August 14, 2012
Baja side : Afternoon Winds: ESE 20-26
Center : Afternoon Winds: SE 14-18
Guaymas side : Afternoon Winds: SSE 18-23
.
SOUTHERN CROSSING FORECAST:
TODAY : Monday, August 13, 2012
East Cape : Afternoon Winds: SSE 16-21
Center : Afternoon Winds: S 9-11
Mazatlan : Afternoon Winds: WSW 11-14
TOMORROW : Tuesday, August 14, 2012
East Cape : Afternoon Winds: ESE 9-12
Center : Afternoon Winds: NW 6-8
Mazatlan : Afternoon Winds: NNW 9-12
.
….. 3 DAY FORECAST (OUTSIDE)…...
Ensenada
Monday 8/13 Afternoon Winds: NW 10-13
Seas: SSW 4 feet at 15 sec.
Tuesday 8/14 Afternoon Winds: NW 10-13
Seas: SSW 4 feet at 14 sec.
Wednesday 8/15 Afternoon Winds: WNW 10-13
Seas: S 3 feet at 17 sec.
Point San Quintin
Monday 8/13 Afternoon Winds: NW 15-20
Seas: Seas: SSW 5 feet at 14 sec.
Tuesday 8/14 Afternoon Winds: WNW 11-14
Seas: SSW 4 feet at 13 sec.
Wednesday 8/15 Afternoon Winds: NW 12-16
Seas: SSW 4 feet at 13 sec.
Turtle Bay
Monday 8/13 Afternoon Winds: WNW 15-20
Seas: NW 3 feet at 9 sec.
Tuesday 8/14 Afternoon Winds: WNW 13-17
Seas: NW 2 feet at 9 sec.
Wednesday 8/15 Afternoon Winds: WNW 14-18
Seas: NW 2 feet at 9 sec.
Cedros Island
Monday 8/13 Afternoon Winds: WNW 12-15
Seas: SSW 3 feet at 14 sec.
Tuesday 8/14 Afternoon Winds: W 11-14
Seas: SSW 2 feet at 13 sec.
Wednesday 8/15 Afternoon Winds: W 9-11
Seas: S 2 feet at 21 sec.
ABREOJOS
Monday 8/13 Afternoon Winds: WSW 12-16
Seas: SSW 4 feet at 14 sec.
Tuesday 8/14 Afternoon Winds: W 11-14
Seas: SSW 4 feet at 13 sec.
Wednesday 8/15 Afternoon Winds: WSW 11-14
Seas: S 5 feet at 21 sec.
Mag Bay
Monday 8/13 Afternoon Winds: SW 12-16
Seas: SSW 5 feet at 14 sec.
Tuesday 8/14 Afternoon Winds: E 6-7
Seas: S 6 feet at 10 sec.
Wednesday 8/15 Afternoon Winds: SW 7-9
Seas: S 6 feet at 20 sec.
*CABO FALSO (Pedregal)
Today's Sunrise Temp.: 83 °
Daily High Temperature: 83%
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Monday 8/13 Morning Winds: ESE 11 to 15 knots
Afternoon Winds: SE 16-21
Seas: Seas: SSW 6 feet at 14 sec.
Tuesday 8/14 Afternoon Winds: ESE 15-20
Seas: SSW 7 feet at 10 sec.
Wednesday 8/15 Afternoon Winds: ESE 15-19
Seas: S 7 feet at 20 sec.
. SEA OF CORTEZ
* indicates WeatherUnderground Station
*Puerto Penasco Casa Weez:
Morning Winds: S 5 to 7 knots
Afternoon Winds: WSW 11-14
Sunrise Temp.: 83 °
Daily High Temperature: 96 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: Calm
#VALUE!
*Bahia Kino Nuevo :
Morning Winds: SSE 9 to 12 knots
Afternoon Winds: SSW 12-15
Sunrise Temp.: N/A
Daily High Temperature: N/A
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*San Filepe:
Morning Winds: ESE 8 to 10 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 14-18
Sunrise Temp.: 95 °
Daily High Temperature: 103 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*Gonzoga Bay Pappa Fernandez Landing. :
Morning Winds: SE 6 to 8 knots
Afternoon Winds: ENE 12-15
Sunrise Temp.: 91 °
Daily High Temperature: 101 °
Yesterday's Rainfall:
#VALUE!
*Bay of LA. :
Morning Winds: SE 8 to 11 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 9-12
Sunrise Temp.: 87 °
Daily High Temperature: 96 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
San Franciscito Bay :
Morning Winds: ESE 9 to 13 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 12-15
Santa Rosalia :
Morning Winds: ESE 10 to 13 knots
Afternoon Winds: SE 10-13
Sunrise Temp.: n/a °
Daily High Temperature: °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*Mulegé :
Morning Winds: ESE 9 to 13 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 11-14
Sunrise Temp.: 84 °
Daily High Temperature: 105 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*San Carlos
Morning Winds: SE 10 to 14 knots
Afternoon Winds: SSE 18-23
Sunrise Temp.: 855 °
Daily High Temperature: 94 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Pt Concepcion :
Morning Winds: ESE 8 to 11 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 20-26
Punta Chivato :
Morning Winds: ESE 10 to 13 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 9-12
*El Burro Cove in Concepcion Bay
Morning Winds Winds: ESE 9 to 13 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 11-14
Sunrise Temp.: 8 °
Daily High Temperature: 101 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Sunrise Sea Temperature: 87
Puerto Escondido Juncalitoville
Morning Winds: ESE 8 to 10 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 14-18
Sunrise Temp.: 87 °
Daily High Temperature: 93 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
San Lorenzo Channel :
Morning Winds: ESE 6 to 8 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 11-14
La Paz:
Morning Winds: ESE 8 to 11 knots
Afternoon Winds: SE 14-18
Sunrise Temp.: 78 °
Daily High Temperature: 98 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*La Ventana Baja Joe's :
Morning Winds: SE 8 to 11 knots
Afternoon Winds: SSE 16-21
Sunrise Temp.: N/A
Daily High Temperature: N/A
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*Los Barriles :
Morning Winds: SE 9 to 12 knots
Afternoon Winds: S 18-23
Sunrise Temp.: 86 °
Daily High Temperature: 101 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Cabo Pulmo :
Morning Winds: SSE 8 to 10 knots
Afternoon Winds: S 17-22
Seas: SSE 4 feet at 8 sec.
*Cabo San Lucas :
Morning Winds: ESE 10 to 14 knots
Afternoon Winds: SE 15-19
Sunrise Temp.: 84 °
Daily High Temperature: 92 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
MEXICAN RIVIERA
*Mazatlan,
Morning Winds: S 2 to 3 knots
Afternoon Winds: WSW 11-14
Sunrise Temp.: 76 °
Daily High Temperature: 89 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0.67 in.
#VALUE!
*Puerta Vallarta:
Morning Winds: SSE 9 to 12 knots
Afternoon Winds: S 12-16
Sunrise Temp.: 80 °
Daily High Temperature: 95 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Manzanillo :
Morning Winds: ESE 8 to 11 knots
Afternoon Winds: SSE 15-19
Sunrise Temp.: 77 °
Daily High Temperature: 83 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Ixtapa Zihuatanejo :
Morning Winds: SSE 4 to 6 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 7-9
Sunrise Temp.: 72 °
Daily High Temperature: 82 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Cabo Corrienties :
Morning Winds: SE 13 to 17 knots
Afternoon Winds: SE 16-21
Seas: WSW 6 feet at 11 sec.
Sea of Cortez Weather for 08/12/12
The Sonrisenet: The premier source for Sea of Cortez weather.
Click here for the Sonrisa Net Weather Webpage
Click here for the Satellite WunderMap view of the Sea of Cortez
After the Sonrisa Weather it’s back to work.
This summary and the daily postings are now posted on the Sonrisanet webpage usually by 8:30 MDT daily.
The following is from my daily ham radio Report
And is now available as a podcast.
Click above to Go to the Sonrisa Net Website
Sunday, August 12, 2012
Voice to Text---
.Looking down into the Sea this morning I can see that the Sea was quiet and hot yesterday. I was in the Bay of La Yesterday and the locals there were saying “Mucho Calor”. The thermometer in the tire shop read 104.
This image is showing the northern and central Sea to be pretty much free of any cloudiness. The southern Sea, Baja side, has been seeing some clouds from tropical storm Hector which I’ll talk about in a minute.
Looking over to Sonora the 24 hour loop is showing just a few clouds in Sonora with no thunderbumpers at all. This morning it is pretty much clear over the entire state.
Yesterday morning former Hurricane Ernesto emerged in the Pacific as a remnant low around Cabo Corrienties. Finding warm waters there it has reinvigorated itself and is now tropical storm Hector. This image is showing a lot of high topped clouds in the vicinity however the center is difficult to locate. There appears to have some circulation but not much as it heads west. The bulk of the global models show Hector to continue to move pretty much due west and strengthen somewhat today.
In the wake to Hector there is considerable cloudiness that will continue to spread around the cape from around La Paz south today. I’d expect to see isolated showers in the cape area today and fairly heavy surf. I checked the web cams at the cape and as usual when there is a storm in the area the post a shot of the last perfect day to their web cam which was the cast this morning. La Paz was showing pretty much clear skies at 7am.
The only other item in our Tropical Kitchen is a Tropical Wave that is just about to enter the Tehuantepec isthmus on the Caribbean side.
Gilma is almost off the map and on her way to Hawaii as a remnant low. There were just a few clouds in her vicinity this morning.
That’s what is going in our hood. Looking now north to the west coast of America where today should be the hottest day of this heat wave. With high pressure starting to weaken and move off to the east it looks like next week they will see temperatures back to the August norms.
Southern California will see afternoon highs around 89 degrees. Looking over to the southwest where they will continue to see hot weather thought is looking at 107 today. High pressure should be moving out of the Great Basin late tomorrow and allow the monsoon to begin monsooning again. I’m not sure there is such a word. I guess proper weather speak would be: The monsoon will start to return on Tuesday.
That’s what is going on to the north of us. Back on this side of the Fence it looks like the northern and central Sea will be seeing abundant sunshine and a hot afternoon.
The southern Baja coast from a bit north of La Paz will be mostly overcast today from the spin off remnant clouds from tropical storm Hector.
Tomorrow about the same pattern for the Sea however with the high moving out of the Great Basin on Tuesday the entire Sea will see strong southerlies.
73s Y’all
Sunday, August 12, 2012
Don't chisel these forecasts in stone. This is an Amateur Endeavor.
………...DAILYS………...
ALL winds are in Knots.
NORTHERN CROSSING FORECAST:
TODAY : Sunday, August 12, 2012
Baja Side : Afternoon Winds: N 9-11
CENTER : Afternoon Winds: ESE 7-9
Guaymas Side : Afternoon Winds: W 14-18
TOMORROW: Monday, August 13, 2012
Baja side : Afternoon Winds: ESE 9-12
Center : Afternoon Winds: SE 13-17
Guaymas side : Afternoon Winds: SSW 11-14
.
SOUTHERN CROSSING FORECAST:
TODAY : Sunday, August 12, 2012
East Cape : Afternoon Winds: WNW 4-5
Center : Afternoon Winds: W 11-14
Mazatlan : Afternoon Winds: WNW 14-18
TOMORROW : Monday, August 13, 2012
East Cape : Afternoon Winds: SSE 13-17
Center : Afternoon Winds: SSW 6-7
Mazatlan : Afternoon Winds: W 8-10
.
….. 3 DAY FORECAST (OUTSIDE)…...
Ensenada
Sunday 8/12 Afternoon Winds: NW 13-17
Seas: SSW 4 feet at 14 sec.
Monday 8/13 Afternoon Winds: NW 13-17
Seas: SSW 4 feet at 15 sec.
Tuesday 8/14 Afternoon Winds: NW 11-14
Seas: SSW 4 feet at 14 sec.
Point San Quintin
Sunday 8/12 Afternoon Winds: NW 15-20
Seas: Seas: SSW 5 feet at 14 sec.
Monday 8/13 Afternoon Winds: NW 18-23
Seas: SSW 5 feet at 14 sec.
Tuesday 8/14 Afternoon Winds: WNW 11-14
Seas: SSW 4 feet at 13 sec.
Turtle Bay
Sunday 8/12 Afternoon Winds: WNW 16-21
Seas: NW 3 feet at 9 sec.
Monday 8/13 Afternoon Winds: WNW 15-19
Seas: NW 3 feet at 9 sec.
Tuesday 8/14 Afternoon Winds: WNW 15-19
Seas: NW 3 feet at 8 sec.
Cedros Island
Sunday 8/12 Afternoon Winds: WNW 15-20
Seas: SSW 3 feet at 14 sec.
Monday 8/13 Afternoon Winds: NW 13-17
Seas: SSW 3 feet at 14 sec.
Tuesday 8/14 Afternoon Winds: W 12-16
Seas: SSW 2 feet at 13 sec.
ABREOJOS
Sunday 8/12 Afternoon Winds: WNW 19-25
Seas: SSW 5 feet at 15 sec.
Monday 8/13 Afternoon Winds: W 15-19
Seas: SSW 4 feet at 14 sec.
Tuesday 8/14 Afternoon Winds: WSW 12-15
Seas: SSW 4 feet at 13 sec.
Mag Bay
Sunday 8/12 Afternoon Winds: WNW 14-18
Seas: SSW 5 feet at 15 sec.
Monday 8/13 Afternoon Winds: WSW 11-14
Seas: SSW 5 feet at 14 sec.
Tuesday 8/14 Afternoon Winds: SSW 6-8
Seas: SSE 5 feet at 9 sec.
*CABO FALSO (Pedregal)
Today's Sunrise Temp.: 78 °
Daily High Temperature: 86%
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Sunday 8/12 Morning Winds: NW 5 to 6 knots
Afternoon Winds: W 9-12
Seas: Seas: SE 6 feet at 10 sec.
Monday 8/13 Afternoon Winds: ESE 14-18
Seas: SSW 5 feet at 14 sec.
Tuesday 8/14 #VALUE!
0
. SEA OF CORTEZ
* indicates WeatherUnderground Station
*Puerto Penasco Casa Weez:
Morning Winds: W 9 to 12 knots
Afternoon Winds: W 16-21
Sunrise Temp.: 83 °
Daily High Temperature: 96 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: Calm
#VALUE!
*Bahia Kino Nuevo :
Morning Winds: WNW 5 to 6 knots
Afternoon Winds: WNW 9-12
Sunrise Temp.: N/A
Daily High Temperature: N/A
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*San Filepe:
Morning Winds: NW 7 to 10 knots
Afternoon Winds: SE 4-5
Sunrise Temp.: 85 °
Daily High Temperature: 103 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*Gonzoga Bay Pappa Fernandez Landing. :
Morning Winds: ENE 3 to 3 knots
Afternoon Winds: NE 11-14
Sunrise Temp.: 89 °
Daily High Temperature: 99 °
Yesterday's Rainfall:
#VALUE!
*Bay of LA. :
Morning Winds: NNE 1 to 2 knots
Afternoon Winds: NNE 10-13
Sunrise Temp.: 85 °
Daily High Temperature: 97 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
San Franciscito Bay :
Morning Winds: NE 3 to 5 knots
Afternoon Winds: E 9-11
Santa Rosalia :
Morning Winds: ENE 5 to 7 knots
Afternoon Winds: N 9-12
Sunrise Temp.: N/A
Daily High Temperature: N/A
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*Mulegé :
Morning Winds: ENE 5 to 6 knots
Afternoon Winds: N 9-11
Sunrise Temp.: 87 °
Daily High Temperature: 106 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*San Carlos
Morning Winds: SSE 9 to 12 knots
Afternoon Winds: SSW 11-14
Sunrise Temp.: 90 °
Daily High Temperature: 101 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Pt Concepcion :
Morning Winds: ESE 8 to 10 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 9-12
Punta Chivato :
Morning Winds: ENE 4 to 6 knots
Afternoon Winds: NNE 6-8
*El Burro Cove in Concepcion Bay
Morning Winds Winds: ENE 5 to 6 knots
Afternoon Winds: N 9-11
Sunrise Temp.: 88 °
Daily High Temperature: 102 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Sunrise Sea Temperature: 84
Puerto Escondido Juncalitoville
Morning Winds: ESE 6 to 9 knots
Afternoon Winds: ENE 9-12
Sunrise Temp.: 87 °
Daily High Temperature: 93 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
San Lorenzo Channel :
Morning Winds: S 2 to 2 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 6-8
La Paz:
Morning Winds: WSW 4 to 5 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 4-5
Sunrise Temp.: 77 °
Daily High Temperature: 100 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*La Ventana Baja Joe's :
Morning Winds: WNW 3 to 4 knots
Afternoon Winds: WNW 4-5
Sunrise Temp.: N/A
Daily High Temperature: N/A
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*Los Barriles :
Morning Winds: NNW 3 to 4 knots
Afternoon Winds: NE 5-6
Sunrise Temp.: 85 °
Daily High Temperature: 96 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Cabo Pulmo :
Morning Winds: SW 2 to 2 knots
Afternoon Winds: SW 7-9
Seas: SE 4 feet at 10 sec.
*Cabo San Lucas :
Morning Winds: WSW 3 to 4 knots
Afternoon Winds: WSW 10-13
Sunrise Temp.: 82 °
Daily High Temperature: 100 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
MEXICAN RIVIERA
*Mazatlan,
Morning Winds: WNW 6 to 8 knots
Afternoon Winds: WNW 14-18
Sunrise Temp.: 83oc °
Daily High Temperature: 91 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*Puerta Vallarta:
Morning Winds: E 4 to 6 knots
Afternoon Winds: W 7-9
Sunrise Temp.: 81oc °
Daily High Temperature: 92 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Manzanillo :
Morning Winds: ESE 17 to 23 knots
Afternoon Winds: SE 20-26
Sunrise Temp.: 80oc °
Daily High Temperature: 86 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0.24 in.
#VALUE!
Ixtapa Zihuatanejo :
Morning Winds: SSE 8 to 10 knots
Afternoon Winds: SE 17-22
Sunrise Temp.: N/A
Daily High Temperature: N/A
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Cabo Corrienties :
Morning Winds: ESE 9 to 12 knots
Afternoon Winds: SSE 12-16
Seas: SSW 7 feet at 14 sec.
Sea of Cortez Weather for 08/11/12
The Sonrisenet: The premier source for Sea of Cortez weather.
Click here for the Sonrisa Net Weather Webpage
Click here for the Satellite WunderMap view of the Sea of Cortez
After the Sonrisa Weather it’s back to work.
This summary and the daily postings are now posted on the Sonrisanet webpage usually by 8:30 MDT daily.
The following is from my daily ham radio Report
And is now available as a podcast.
Click above to Go to the Sonrisa Net Website
Saturday, August 11, 2012
Voice to Text---
.Looking down into the Sea this morning I can see that after the northern Sea cleared late yesterday morning the entire Sea has been pretty much cloud free since then. Early yesterday morning the reporting stations were still reporting 30 knot winds in some locations after the thumpers that came though around midnight.
Looking over to Sonora I can see there was very little thunderbumper activity over there in the past 24 hours. Mostly just some cloudiness moving north toward Arizona.
Looking south the southern crossing is free of any storms or cloudiness.
Looking further south there is no spot between Puerto Vallarta and Central America that is not either cloudy or has a thumper over it.
Looking now in our Tropical Kitchen I did a bit of research and was unable to find an Atlantic hurricane that crossed over Mexico weakened a bit and reemerged in the Pacific. That looks like what is happening right now. Hurricane Ernesto is reemerging in the Pacific around Acapulco this morning as a remnant low in an area that is environmentally friendly for tropical cyclone development. This will be our next tropical storm. The name could continue to be Ernesto or the next name on the Pacific list Hector. We’ll see?
The other item now on the back burner in our Tropical Kitchen
Is tropical storm Gilma which is now about 1000 miles SW of the cape and headed toward Hawaii. She is a short timer as she is now in much cooler waters.
The only other item is a Tropical Wave that is now out in the Gulf of Mexico after leavening Cuba yesterday. It will probably show up here late Sunday or Monday.
That’s what is going on in our hood so looking now north to the west coast of America where high pressure will continue to keep things hot throughout the weekend. As the high weakens this weekend it will start to cool off along the coast first as the high slowly moves east.
Temperatures today will be much like yesterday: Portland 93, Sacramento valley 104, southern California around 90 today.
In southern California they will probably see some showers or thunderbumper in the deserts and higher elevations today and increasing next week.
Looking now over to the southwest which will not see any relief from the heat until the high moves east early next week. Meantime Tucson will see near recordo highs ver the weekend with 106-107 today. Yuma always the hot spot will reach 115 today. Starting tomorrow they should start to see a bit more moisture in the region and the return of the monsoon next week.
That’s what is going on to the north of us. Back on this side of the Fence it looks like the Sonoran coast south to Mazatlan will see the strongest winds in the Sea today and they will be around 20 knots.
The Baja side both the northern and central Sea will see moderate northerlies over the weekend then we should see a return of the moderate southerlies on Monday.
The southern see should see a return of the southerlies starting tomorrow.
As far as temperatures, it is warming up. Most highs today will be in the high 90s with several locations topping the century mark.
73s Y’all
Saturday, August 11, 2012
Don't chisel these forecasts in stone. This is an Amateur Endeavor.
………...DAILYS………...
ALL winds are in Knots.
NORTHERN CROSSING FORECAST:
TODAY : Saturday, August 11, 2012
Baja Side : Afternoon Winds: NNE 11-14
CENTER : Afternoon Winds: WNW 12-15
Guaymas Side : Afternoon Winds: WNW 15-19
TOMORROW: Sunday, August 12, 2012
Baja side : Afternoon Winds: N 10-13
Center : Afternoon Winds: WNW 11-14
Guaymas side : Afternoon Winds: WNW 15-19
.
SOUTHERN CROSSING FORECAST:
TODAY : Saturday, August 11, 2012
East Cape : Afternoon Winds: NW 7-9
Center : Afternoon Winds: SSE 7-9
Mazatlan : Afternoon Winds: SSE 13-17
TOMORROW : Sunday, August 12, 2012
East Cape : Afternoon Winds: SE 7-9
Center : Afternoon Winds: SSW 9-11
Mazatlan : Afternoon Winds: WSW 9-11
.
….. 3 DAY FORECAST (OUTSIDE)…...
Ensenada
Saturday 8/11 Afternoon Winds: NW 13-17
Seas: SSW 5 feet at 15 sec.
Sunday 8/12 Afternoon Winds: NW 13-17
Seas: SSW 4 feet at 14 sec.
Monday 8/13 Afternoon Winds: NW 13-17
Seas: SSW 4 feet at 15 sec.
Point San Quintin
Saturday 8/11 Afternoon Winds: WNW 13-17
Seas: Seas: SSW 6 feet at 15 sec.
Sunday 8/12 Afternoon Winds: WNW 16-21
Seas: SSW 5 feet at 14 sec.
Monday 8/13 Afternoon Winds: NW 17-22
Seas: SSW 5 feet at 14 sec.
Turtle Bay
Saturday 8/11 Afternoon Winds: WNW 15-20
Seas: NW 3 feet at 10 sec.
Sunday 8/12 Afternoon Winds: WNW 16-21
Seas: NW 3 feet at 9 sec.
Monday 8/13 Afternoon Winds: WNW 15-20
Seas: NW 3 feet at 9 sec.
Cedros Island
Saturday 8/11 Afternoon Winds: WNW 13-17
Seas: SSW 3 feet at 15 sec.
Sunday 8/12 Afternoon Winds: WNW 15-19
Seas: SSW 3 feet at 14 sec.
Monday 8/13 Afternoon Winds: NW 15-19
Seas: SSW 3 feet at 14 sec.
ABREOJOS
Saturday 8/11 Afternoon Winds: W 18-24
Seas: SSW 6 feet at 15 sec.
Sunday 8/12 Afternoon Winds: WNW 18-24
Seas: SSW 5 feet at 15 sec.
Monday 8/13 Afternoon Winds: W 16-21
Seas: SSW 4 feet at 14 sec.
Mag Bay
Saturday 8/11 Afternoon Winds: WNW 16-21
Seas: SSW 6 feet at 15 sec.
Sunday 8/12 Afternoon Winds: WNW 15-19
Seas: SSW 5 feet at 15 sec.
Monday 8/13 Afternoon Winds: WSW 12-15
Seas: SSW 5 feet at 14 sec.
*CABO FALSO (Pedregal)
Today's Sunrise Temp.: 80 °
Daily High Temperature: 76%
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Saturday 8/11 Morning Winds: WNW 10 to 13 knots
Afternoon Winds: WNW 14-18
Seas: Seas: SSW 5 feet at 15 sec.
Sunday 8/12 Afternoon Winds: WSW 8-10
Seas: SSW 5 feet at 15 sec.
Monday 8/13 Afternoon Winds: SSW 6-7
Seas: SSW 4 feet at 14 sec.
. SEA OF CORTEZ
* indicates WeatherUnderground Station
*Puerto Penasco Casa Weez:
Morning Winds: W 3 to 4 knots
Afternoon Winds: W 17-22
Sunrise Temp.: 84 °
Daily High Temperature: 96 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: Calm
#VALUE!
*Bahia Kino Nuevo :
Morning Winds: NW 6 to 8 knots
Afternoon Winds: WNW 11-14
Sunrise Temp.: N/A
Daily High Temperature: N/A
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*San Filepe:
Morning Winds: NNW 3 to 4 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 6-7
Sunrise Temp.: 94 °
Daily High Temperature: 104 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*Gonzoga Bay Pappa Fernandez Landing. :
Morning Winds: ENE 4 to 5 knots
Afternoon Winds: NNE 11-14
Sunrise Temp.: 88 °
Daily High Temperature: 96 °
Yesterday's Rainfall:
#VALUE!
*Bay of LA. :
Morning Winds: NNE 3 to 4 knots
Afternoon Winds: N 11-14
Sunrise Temp.: 87 °
Daily High Temperature: 94 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
San Franciscito Bay :
Morning Winds: NNW 2 to 3 knots
Afternoon Winds: ENE 10-13
Santa Rosalia :
Morning Winds: NW 6 to 9 knots
Afternoon Winds: N 9-12
Sunrise Temp.: N/A
Daily High Temperature: N/A
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*Mulegé :
Morning Winds: NNW 6 to 9 knots
Afternoon Winds: NNE 11-14
Sunrise Temp.: 84 °
Daily High Temperature: 103 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*San Carlos
Morning Winds: WNW 6 to 8 knots
Afternoon Winds: WNW 15-19
Sunrise Temp.: 87 °
Daily High Temperature: 94 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Pt Concepcion :
Morning Winds: N 8 to 10 knots
Afternoon Winds: N 10-13
Punta Chivato :
Morning Winds: NW 5 to 7 knots
Afternoon Winds: NE 10-13
*El Burro Cove in Concepcion Bay
Morning Winds Winds: NNW 6 to 9 knots
Afternoon Winds: NNE 11-14
Sunrise Temp.: 86 °
Daily High Temperature: 101 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Sunrise Sea Temperature: 87
Puerto Escondido Juncalitoville
Morning Winds: N 3 to 4 knots
Afternoon Winds: E 9-11
Sunrise Temp.: 84 °
Daily High Temperature: 95 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
San Lorenzo Channel :
Morning Winds: WNW 1 to 2 knots
Afternoon Winds: SE 5-6
La Paz:
Morning Winds: W 6 to 7 knots
Afternoon Winds: WNW 5-6
Sunrise Temp.: 76 °
Daily High Temperature: 96 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*La Ventana Baja Joe's :
Morning Winds: WNW 8 to 10 knots
Afternoon Winds: NW 7-9
Sunrise Temp.: N/A
Daily High Temperature: N/A
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*Los Barriles :
Morning Winds: WNW 8 to 11 knots
Afternoon Winds: NW 8-10
Sunrise Temp.: 86 °
Daily High Temperature: 92 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Cabo Pulmo :
Morning Winds: NW 7 to 10 knots
Afternoon Winds: WNW 6-8
Seas: SSW 3 feet at 15 sec.
*Cabo San Lucas :
Morning Winds: WNW 4 to 6 knots
Afternoon Winds: W 13-17
Sunrise Temp.: 81 °
Daily High Temperature: 97 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
MEXICAN RIVIERA
*Mazatlan,
Morning Winds: E 0 to 0 knots
Afternoon Winds: SSE 13-17
Sunrise Temp.: 83 °
Daily High Temperature: 90 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*Puerta Vallarta:
Morning Winds: SW 5 to 6 knots
Afternoon Winds: W 6-8
Sunrise Temp.: 84 °
Daily High Temperature: 92 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Manzanillo :
Morning Winds: ESE 19 to 26 knots
Afternoon Winds: SE 21-28
Sunrise Temp.: 78 °
Daily High Temperature: 87 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Ixtapa Zihuatanejo :
Morning Winds: SSE 9 to 13 knots
Afternoon Winds: SE 15-19
Sunrise Temp.: 72 °
Daily High Temperature: 77 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Cabo Corrienties :
Morning Winds: SSE 2 to 2 knots
Afternoon Winds: S 7-9
Seas: SSW 6 feet at 15 sec.
Sea of Cortez Weather for 08/10/12
The Sonrisenet: The premier source for Sea of Cortez weather.
Click here for the Sonrisa Net Weather Webpage
Click here for the Satellite WunderMap view of the Sea of Cortez
After the Sonrisa Weather it’s back to work.
This summary and the daily postings are now posted on the Sonrisanet webpage usually by 8:30 MDT daily.
The following is from my daily ham radio Report
And is now available as a podcast.
Click above to Go to the Sonrisa Net Website
Friday, August 10, 2012
Voice to Text---
.Looking down into the Sea this morning I can see that there has been less thunderbumper activity over in Sonora yesterday then the past week. That being said most of it moved out into the central Sea from around Santa Rosalia north yesterday and last night. Several large cells passed over Guaymas then moved out into the Sea since midnight and moved into the northern sea. The bay of La has a large cell come through at around 1 this morning with 25 know winds and another this morning around 5 with 37 knot wind recorded.
This morning the central Sea has a few fluffys here and there but is mostly clear. The southern Sea as well.
I can see that there was some thunderbumper activity in the mountains around the cape yesterday afternoon. It looks like a good sized cell passed over Mag Bay about the same time.
Looking south to along the Mexican Riviera where past Cabo Corrienties it is one solid band of high topped cells south to Costa Rica.
Looking in our Tropical Kitchen this morning. Gilma is well out in the Pacific about 900 miles SW of the cape and loosing strength. She has been plutoed to a tropical storm now and is of no threat to land.
The Navy has dropped invest 93E which was a developing low SW of Acapulco yesterday. Meantime we have Himicane Ernesto moving across Southern Mexico a bit south of the Tehuantepec isthmus as a tropical storm. It is steadily weakening however it will arrive over here in the Pacific this weekend most likely as a remnant low around Acapulco . The area where it is forecast to arrive has environmental conditions that are very conducive for the development of a tropical storm. Soooo there is good possibility that Ernesto could reemerge as a tropical stomp later this weekend. I don’t know if it will be renamed or not. We’ll see?
That’s about it for the Tropical Kitchen this morning. Well, I can see a tropical wave passing to the south of Cuba this morning. Its a few days away right now.
That’s what is going on in our hood so looking now north to the west coast of America where high pressure will keep thing hot throughout the weekend. The high should start to move to the east on Sunday bringing some relief to the west. Portland will see 90 degrees this weekend. San Francisco 74. Folks there may want to take the day off and go to the beach. The Sacramento valley 104. Southern California will top out at around 88 degrees this weekend.
Looking over to the southwest where they could see record highs before the high moves east of the Great Basin early next week. Tucson will see about 106 every afternoon until early next week.
There is chance of some thunderbumper activity in the lower deserts and the upper terrain but the monsoon will not return until the high move on.
That’s what is going on to the north of us. Back on this side of the Fence the next three days the Sea will continue to have moderate winds except in those areas where these thunderbumpers cross over. The forecast in general is for moderate NW winds however most winds will be thermally driven so where ever you are you will most likely have winds from the same direction as yesterday.
As long as that high is centered over the Great Basin there will not be the South/North flow in the Sierra Madra Occidentals to bring all that moisture from the Gulf of Mexico into Arizona as a monsoon. So the storms that develop along this range will drift to the west as it has for the past few days and we will continue to have these storms out in the Sea of Cortez. So keep a wary eye out in the evenings for storms in your area.
73s Y’all
.
Friday, August 10, 2012
Don't chisel these forecasts in stone. This is an Amateur Endeavor.
………...DAILYS………...
ALL winds are in Knots.
NORTHERN CROSSING FORECAST:
TODAY : Friday, August 10, 2012
Baja Side : Afternoon Winds: N 11-14
CENTER : Afternoon Winds: WNW 12-16
Guaymas Side : Afternoon Winds: WNW 18-23
TOMORROW: Saturday, August 11, 2012
Baja side : Afternoon Winds: N 12-15
Center : Afternoon Winds: WNW 15-19
Guaymas side : Afternoon Winds: WNW 14-18
.
SOUTHERN CROSSING FORECAST:
TODAY : Friday, August 10, 2012
East Cape : Afternoon Winds: NW 11-14
Center : Afternoon Winds: NW 12-15
Mazatlan : Afternoon Winds: WNW 10-13
TOMORROW : Saturday, August 11, 2012
East Cape : Afternoon Winds: NNW 6-8
Center : Afternoon Winds: ESE 7-9
Mazatlan : Afternoon Winds: S 13-17
.
….. 3 DAY FORECAST (OUTSIDE)…...
Ensenada
Friday 8/10 Afternoon Winds: NW 9-11
Seas: SSW 5 feet at 15 sec.
Saturday 8/11 Afternoon Winds: NW 9-11
Seas: SSW 4 feet at 15 sec.
Sunday 8/12 Afternoon Winds: NW 12-15
Seas: SSW 4 feet at 14 sec.
Point San Quintin
Friday 8/10 Afternoon Winds: WNW 12-16
Seas: Seas: SSW 6 feet at 15 sec.
Saturday 8/11 Afternoon Winds: NW 15-19
Seas: SSW 6 feet at 15 sec.
Sunday 8/12 Afternoon Winds: WNW 15-19
Seas: SSW 5 feet at 14 sec.
Turtle Bay
Friday 8/10 Afternoon Winds: WNW 15-19
Seas: WNW 3 feet at 9 sec.
Saturday 8/11 Afternoon Winds: WNW 16-21
Seas: NW 3 feet at 10 sec.
Sunday 8/12 Afternoon Winds: WNW 15-20
Seas: NW 3 feet at 9 sec.
Cedros Island
Friday 8/10 Afternoon Winds: WNW 12-16
Seas: SSW 3 feet at 15 sec.
Saturday 8/11 Afternoon Winds: WNW 13-17
Seas: SSW 3 feet at 15 sec.
Sunday 8/12 Afternoon Winds: NW 14-18
Seas: SSW 3 feet at 14 sec.
ABREOJOS
Friday 8/10 Afternoon Winds: WNW 18-23
Seas: SSW 6 feet at 16 sec.
Saturday 8/11 Afternoon Winds: WNW 19-25
Seas: SSW 6 feet at 15 sec.
Sunday 8/12 Afternoon Winds: WNW 18-24
Seas: SSW 5 feet at 15 sec.
Mag Bay
Friday 8/10 Afternoon Winds: WNW 15-20
Seas: SSW 6 feet at 16 sec.
Saturday 8/11 Afternoon Winds: WNW 18-23
Seas: SSW 6 feet at 15 sec.
Sunday 8/12 Afternoon Winds: WNW 15-19
Seas: SSW 5 feet at 15 sec.
*CABO FALSO (Pedregal)
Today's Sunrise Temp.: 82 °
Daily High Temperature: 65%
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Friday 8/10 Morning Winds: NW 11 to 15 knots
Afternoon Winds: WNW 16-21
Seas: Seas: SSW 6 feet at 15 sec.
Saturday 8/11 Afternoon Winds: WNW 15-19
Seas: SSW 6 feet at 15 sec.
Sunday 8/12 Afternoon Winds: W 10-13
Seas: SE 6 feet at 9 sec.
. SEA OF CORTEZ
* indicates WeatherUnderground Station
*Puerto Penasco Casa Weez:
Morning Winds: WSW 3 to 4 knots
Afternoon Winds: W 16-21
Sunrise Temp.: 89 °
Daily High Temperature: 94 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: Calm
#VALUE!
*Bahia Kino Nuevo :
Morning Winds: WNW 3 to 3 knots
Afternoon Winds: WNW 12-15
Sunrise Temp.: N/A
Daily High Temperature: N/A
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*San Filepe:
Morning Winds: ESE 5 to 7 knots
Afternoon Winds: E 9-11
Sunrise Temp.: 83 °
Daily High Temperature: 100 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*Gonzoga Bay Pappa Fernandez Landing. :
Morning Winds: ENE 3 to 4 knots
Afternoon Winds: NE 6-8
Sunrise Temp.: 90 °
Daily High Temperature: 92 °
Yesterday's Rainfall:
#VALUE!
*Bay of LA. :
Morning Winds: ENE 3 to 4 knots
Afternoon Winds: NNW 7-9
Sunrise Temp.: 90 °
Daily High Temperature: 92 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
San Franciscito Bay :
Morning Winds: NE 3 to 4 knots
Afternoon Winds: ENE 8-10
Santa Rosalia :
Morning Winds: NW 8 to 10 knots
Afternoon Winds: NW 10-13
Sunrise Temp.: N/A
Daily High Temperature: N/A
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*Mulegé :
Morning Winds: NNW 8 to 10 knots
Afternoon Winds: N 11-14
Sunrise Temp.: 86 °
Daily High Temperature: 100 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*San Carlos
Morning Winds: WNW 9 to 13 knots
Afternoon Winds: WNW 14-18
Sunrise Temp.: 79 °
Daily High Temperature: 92 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0.01 in.
#VALUE!
Pt Concepcion :
Morning Winds: NNW 9 to 13 knots
Afternoon Winds: N 12-15
Punta Chivato :
Morning Winds: NW 7 to 9 knots
Afternoon Winds: N 9-11
*El Burro Cove in Concepcion Bay
Morning Winds Winds: NNW 8 to 10 knots
Afternoon Winds: N 11-14
Sunrise Temp.: 87 °
Daily High Temperature: 98 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Sunrise Sea Temperature: 87
Puerto Escondido Juncalitoville
Morning Winds: N 4 to 5 knots
Afternoon Winds: ENE 9-12
Sunrise Temp.: 84 °
Daily High Temperature: 94 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
San Lorenzo Channel :
Morning Winds: NW 2 to 3 knots
Afternoon Winds: NE 6-8
La Paz:
Morning Winds: WNW 5 to 7 knots
Afternoon Winds: NNW 7-9
Sunrise Temp.: 76 °
Daily High Temperature: 95 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*La Ventana Baja Joe's :
Morning Winds: WNW 7 to 10 knots
Afternoon Winds: NW 11-14
Sunrise Temp.: N/A
Daily High Temperature: N/A
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*Los Barriles :
Morning Winds: WNW 9 to 12 knots
Afternoon Winds: NW 14-18
Sunrise Temp.: 88 °
Daily High Temperature: 92 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Cabo Pulmo :
Morning Winds: NW 9 to 12 knots
Afternoon Winds: NW 14-18
Seas: SSW 3 feet at 16 sec.
*Cabo San Lucas :
Morning Winds: WNW 7 to 9 knots
Afternoon Winds: WNW 13-17
Sunrise Temp.: 82 °
Daily High Temperature: 94 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
MEXICAN RIVIERA
*Mazatlan,
Morning Winds: NNW 9 to 12 knots
Afternoon Winds: WNW 10-13
Sunrise Temp.: 85 °
Daily High Temperature: 88 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*Puerta Vallarta:
Morning Winds: N 7 to 10 knots
Afternoon Winds: NNW 15-19
Sunrise Temp.: 83 °
Daily High Temperature: 94 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Manzanillo :
Morning Winds: NW 11 to 14 knots
Afternoon Winds: W 12-15
Sunrise Temp.: 83 °
Daily High Temperature: 94 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Ixtapa Zihuatanejo :
Morning Winds: SW 6 to 9 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 12-16
Sunrise Temp.: 77 °
Daily High Temperature: 89 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Cabo Corrienties :
Morning Winds: NNW 11 to 15 knots
Afternoon Winds: NNW 17-22
Seas: SSW 5 feet at 15 sec.
Sea of Cortez Weather for 08/09/12
The Sonrisenet: The premier source for Sea of Cortez weather.
Click here for the Sonrisa Net Weather Webpage
Click here for the Satellite WunderMap view of the Sea of Cortez
After the Sonrisa Weather it’s back to work.
This summary and the daily postings are now posted on the Sonrisanet webpage usually by 8:30 MDT daily.
The following is from my daily ham radio Report
And is now available as a podcast.
Click above to Go to the Sonrisa Net Website
Thursday, August 09, 2012
Voice to Text---
.Looking down into the Sea this morning I can see that there has been a lot of thunderbumper activity and high winds in the Sea over night.
Mid afternoon yesterday the Sea and most of Sonora were pretty much clear. Then numerous cells developed all up and down the Sierra Madre Occidental Mountain ranges and started quickly moving due west. By early evening they were along the Sonoran coast and by 8pm they had extended well out into the Sea.
Most of the activity was in the southern and Northern Sea however at 4am while I was having my first cup of coffee here in the cove it was sprinkling and only very light southerlies by 7am we were having easterly gusts to 20. .
In the southern Sea a ban of cells starting crossing the Sea around midnight and made landfall between La Paz and Puerto Escondido. There currently are fairly heavy remnant clouds from around Puerto Escondido south to a bit beyond the cape.
The northern Sea has seen the heaviest activity since midnight. There were no rain totals however at a little after one this morning Puerto Panesco had a 57 knot gust and over around the LA bay area the station there reported 32 knot winds. So it looks like that honker that went over was packing a lot of wind.
As I mentioned yesterday I’d expect to see these conditions continue into the weekend until the ridge of high pressure over the Great Basin starts to weaken.
All this moisture that moves in from the Gulf of Mexico moves into the Sierra Madra Occidental Mountains and with the south to north flow directs all this moisture north into Arizona aka the monsoon.
The bar over the Great Basin is around 1018 and there is a 1018 high over central Mexico so there is no gradient to support any south/north flow.
So keep a wary eye out for storms in the evening hours no matter where you are in the Sea for at least the next next week.
Looking south now to the Mexican Riviera where there was some showers yesterday afternoon from around Puerto Vallarta north. Trace amounts of rain were reported at several reporting stations.
We have a lot going on in our Tropical Kitchen this morning. I’ll start in the south. Himicane Ernesto came across the Yucatan yesterday and instead of following the forecast plan and continuing north up the east coast of Mexico he hooded a hard left and took aim on Campeche Bay and will continue west into the Tehuantepec isthmus where it will enter the Pacific in some form on Saturday. Hopefully just remnant clouds. We’ll see? IT seems that none of the weather patterns are listening to the forecasts this year.
The next item on the back burner is an area of low pressure about 500 miles SSW of Acapulco. It will be slow in developing but will most likely be our next tropical storm. It has been designated invest 93, and the early forecast tracks are all over the place. Tomorrow well get a better picture of what this system will be doing.
And the last item currently on the front burner is Hurricane Gilma. She was upgraded to a cat 1 hurricane at 8pm last night and is pretty much following the plan, which is to start to weaken today and continue NW until Sunday then turn due west for the rest of its life span.
That’s pretty much what is going on in our hood so looking now north to the west coast of America where the heat wave continues. The high is forecast to start to weaken this weekend first along the west coast then slowly move east into the plains states early next week.
Friday looks like the heat wave will peak on Friday and it should start to cool off during the weekend.
Looking now over to the southwest where it will remain hot through the weekend then early next week start to cool back to seasonal norms. Meantime 105 in Tucson and around 115 in Yuma. There is some moisture in the air so there is a chance of some showers or thumpers in the higher elevation and the lower deserts especially along the Fence.
That is what is going on to the north of us. Back on this side of the Fence the entire Sea is completely overcast this morning. I can see there are still thunderbumper working in the northern end of the Sea at 7 this morning.
The southern end of the Sea should clear first however there is still a lot of cloudiness all along the west coast of Sonora that will continue moving west most of the morning.
At 7:30 this morning here in the cove it is heavy overcast. we are still seeing some light sprinkles here and it continues be be gusterly with easterly puffs still up around around 20 knots.
Temperatures today will be in the mid to high 90s
73s Y’all
Thursday, August 09, 2012
Don't chisel these forecasts in stone. This is an Amateur Endeavor.
………...DAILYS………...
ALL winds are in Knots.
NORTHERN CROSSING FORECAST:
TODAY : Thursday, August 09, 2012
Baja Side : Afternoon Winds: NNE 12-16
CENTER : Afternoon Winds: S 8-10
Guaymas Side : Afternoon Winds: WNW 14-18
TOMORROW: Friday, August 10, 2012
Baja side : Afternoon Winds: NNE 10-13
Center : Afternoon Winds: W 9-11
Guaymas side : Afternoon Winds: WNW 12-16
.
SOUTHERN CROSSING FORECAST:
TODAY : Thursday, August 09, 2012
East Cape : Afternoon Winds: NW 9-11
Center : Afternoon Winds: NW 7-9
Mazatlan : Afternoon Winds: WNW 10-13
TOMORROW : Friday, August 10, 2012
East Cape : Afternoon Winds: WNW 10-13
Center : Afternoon Winds: NW 9-12
Mazatlan : Afternoon Winds: W 8-10
.
….. 3 DAY FORECAST (OUTSIDE)…...
Ensenada
Thursday 8/9 Afternoon Winds: WNW 10-13
Seas: SSW 4 feet at 18 sec.
Friday 8/10 Afternoon Winds: WNW 10-13
Seas: SSW 4 feet at 15 sec.
Saturday 8/11 Afternoon Winds: WNW 8-10
Seas: SSW 5 feet at 15 sec.
Point San Quintin
Thursday 8/9 Afternoon Winds: WNW 12-16
Seas: Seas: SSW 5 feet at 17 sec.
Friday 8/10 Afternoon Winds: WNW 14-18
Seas: SSW 6 feet at 15 sec.
Saturday 8/11 Afternoon Winds: WNW 13-17
Seas: SSW 6 feet at 15 sec.
Turtle Bay
Thursday 8/9 Afternoon Winds: WNW 15-19
Seas: WNW 3 feet at 8 sec.
Friday 8/10 Afternoon Winds: WNW 15-19
Seas: NW 3 feet at 9 sec.
Saturday 8/11 Afternoon Winds: WNW 15-19
Seas: NW 3 feet at 9 sec.
Cedros Island
Thursday 8/9 Afternoon Winds: WNW 12-15
Seas: SSW 3 feet at 17 sec.
Friday 8/10 Afternoon Winds: W 12-16
Seas: SSW 3 feet at 15 sec.
Saturday 8/11 Afternoon Winds: WNW 13-17
Seas: SSW 3 feet at 11 sec.
ABREOJOS
Thursday 8/9 Afternoon Winds: W 16-21
Seas: SSW 5 feet at 17 sec.
Friday 8/10 Afternoon Winds: W 18-23
Seas: SSW 6 feet at 15 sec.
Saturday 8/11 Afternoon Winds: WNW 19-25
Seas: SSW 6 feet at 11 sec.
Mag Bay
Thursday 8/9 Afternoon Winds: WNW 15-20
Seas: SSW 6 feet at 17 sec.
Friday 8/10 Afternoon Winds: WNW 15-20
Seas: SSW 6 feet at 16 sec.
Saturday 8/11 Afternoon Winds: WNW 18-23
Seas: SSW 6 feet at 15 sec.
*CABO FALSO (Pedregal)
Today's Sunrise Temp.: 84 °
Daily High Temperature: 54%
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Thursday 8/9 Morning Winds: NW 10 to 13 knots
Afternoon Winds: WNW 15-20
Seas: Seas: SSW 6 feet at 16 sec.
Friday 8/10 Afternoon Winds: WNW 17-22
Seas: SSW 6 feet at 15 sec.
Saturday 8/11 Afternoon Winds: WNW 15-20
Seas: SSW 6 feet at 15 sec.
. SEA OF CORTEZ
* indicates WeatherUnderground Station
*Puerto Penasco Casa Weez:
Morning Winds: WSW 5 to 7 knots
Afternoon Winds: WSW 15-19
Sunrise Temp.: 85 °
Daily High Temperature: 91 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 1sw
#VALUE!
*Bahia Kino Nuevo :
Morning Winds: WSW 1 to 1 knots
Afternoon Winds: WNW 10-13
Sunrise Temp.: N/A
Daily High Temperature: N/A
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*San Filepe:
Morning Winds: ESE 2 to 3 knots
Afternoon Winds: E 6-7
Sunrise Temp.: 95 °
Daily High Temperature: 103 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*Gonzoga Bay Pappa Fernandez Landing. :
Morning Winds: NW 3 to 5 knots
Afternoon Winds: ENE 9-11
Sunrise Temp.: 92 °
Daily High Temperature: 100 °
Yesterday's Rainfall:
#VALUE!
*Bay of LA. :
Morning Winds: NNW 2 to 3 knots
Afternoon Winds: NE 6-8
Sunrise Temp.: 92 °
Daily High Temperature: 96 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
San Franciscito Bay :
Morning Winds: E 3 to 4 knots
Afternoon Winds: ENE 11-14
Santa Rosalia :
Morning Winds: SE 2 to 3 knots
Afternoon Winds: N 10-13
Sunrise Temp.: N/A
Daily High Temperature: N/A
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*Mulegé :
Morning Winds: E 3 to 4 knots
Afternoon Winds: NNE 12-16
Sunrise Temp.: 88 °
Daily High Temperature: 104 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*San Carlos
Morning Winds: W 6 to 8 knots
Afternoon Winds: WNW 12-16
Sunrise Temp.: 77 °
Daily High Temperature: 93 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 1.98 in.
#VALUE!
Pt Concepcion :
Morning Winds: NNW 5 to 6 knots
Afternoon Winds: NNE 10-13
Punta Chivato :
Morning Winds: SE 2 to 2 knots
Afternoon Winds: NE 11-14
*El Burro Cove in Concepcion Bay
Morning Winds Winds: E 3 to 4 knots
Afternoon Winds: NNE 12-16
Sunrise Temp.: 91 °
Daily High Temperature: 97 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Sunrise Sea Temperature: 0
Puerto Escondido Juncalitoville
Morning Winds: NE 5 to 6 knots
Afternoon Winds: E 9-11
Sunrise Temp.: 88 °
Daily High Temperature: 97 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
San Lorenzo Channel :
Morning Winds: NW 2 to 2 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 4-5
La Paz:
Morning Winds: W 5 to 7 knots
Afternoon Winds: WNW 5-6
Sunrise Temp.: 78 °
Daily High Temperature: 98 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*La Ventana Baja Joe's :
Morning Winds: WNW 6 to 8 knots
Afternoon Winds: NW 9-11
Sunrise Temp.: N/A
Daily High Temperature: N/A
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*Los Barriles :
Morning Winds: WNW 6 to 8 knots
Afternoon Winds: NNW 11-14
Sunrise Temp.: 86 °
Daily High Temperature: 92 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Cabo Pulmo :
Morning Winds: NNW 4 to 6 knots
Afternoon Winds: NNW 9-12
Seas: SSE 3 feet at 12 sec.
*Cabo San Lucas :
Morning Winds: NW 6 to 8 knots
Afternoon Winds: WNW 11-14
Sunrise Temp.: 94 °
Daily High Temperature: 93 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
MEXICAN RIVIERA
*Mazatlan,
Morning Winds: NNW 4 to 5 knots
Afternoon Winds: WNW 10-13
Sunrise Temp.: 80 °
Daily High Temperature: 88 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*Puerta Vallarta:
Morning Winds: NNE 6 to 8 knots
Afternoon Winds: NW 12-16
Sunrise Temp.: 79 °
Daily High Temperature: 93 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Manzanillo :
Morning Winds: NNW 7 to 9 knots
Afternoon Winds: W 12-16
Sunrise Temp.: 80 °
Daily High Temperature: 92 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Ixtapa Zihuatanejo :
Morning Winds: WSW 10 to 13 knots
Afternoon Winds: W 11-14
Sunrise Temp.: 77 °
Daily High Temperature: 89 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Cabo Corrienties :
Morning Winds: NNW 9 to 13 knots
Afternoon Winds: NW 15-19
Seas: SSW 6 feet at 16 sec.
Sea of Cortez Weather for 08/08/12
The Sonrisenet: The premier source for Sea of Cortez weather.
Click here for the Sonrisa Net Weather Webpage
Click here for the Satellite WunderMap view of the Sea of Cortez
After the Sonrisa Weather it’s back to work.
This summary and the daily postings are now posted on the Sonrisanet webpage usually by 8:30 MDT daily.
The following is from my daily ham radio Report
And is now available as a podcast.
Click above to Go to the Sonrisa Net Website
Wednesday, August 08, 2012
Voice to Text---
.Looking down into the Sea this morning I can see that yesterday afternoon the Sonoran side was a hotbed of thunderbumper activity. They continued until about midnight with a few cells crossing the Fence into SW Arizona.
All this thunderbumper activity brought mostly high whispys over the central and southern Sea in the afternoon.
At 9pm last night there was one cell that almost crossed the entire central Sea before breaking up. Since midnight most have dissipated. This morning there is considerable cloudiness in the entire Sea and over the mainland. The pattern has been that these clouds drift NW so my guess would be that we see cloudiness all this morning perhaps into the afternoon. We’ll see?
Looking south the cape area and south along the Mexican Riviera are also overcast this morning.
Things are starting to heat up in our Tropical Kitchen this morning. Yesterday morning. I said that the tropical depression would turn into tropical storm Hector…WRONG! I misspoke my self. The name is Gilma. The gazillion dollar computers at the National Hurricane Center said there was little chance Gilma reaching hurricane status. They were wrong! This morning there is a very good chance that sister Gilma will reach hurricane status probably this morning. This image is starting to show strong circulation. It is still forecast to move NW a bit then meander along 20W for the rest of it’s life span. So on the front burner we have Gilma.
On one of the back burners we have a low pressure system that has popped up abut 460 miles SSW of Acapulco over night. This is in hurricane alley and there is a pretty good chance that this will become a tropical depression within the next 48 hours.
Another item on the back burner is further south and is currently a low embedded in the ITCZ/Monsoon trough. There is no deep convection near the center of the low however development of this system is possible over the next couple of days and become our next tropical depression.
I suspect it would be prudent to say that the 2012 hurricane season is now underway.
Taking a peak over into the Caribbean we have himicane Ernesto moving across the Yucatan peninsula this morning. When it reaches open water tomorrow it will create a minor wind event in the Tehuantepec isthmus with winds to around 24 knots for around 24 hours.
Well, that’s what’s going on in our hood so looking now for the hot news along the west coast of America.
Hot hot hot! Is the big news. The high pressure ridge is firmly engraved in the western conus this morning and still building. Temperatures will soar until the end of the week when the high finally starts to weaken over the weekend. Until then Portland will see a high of 89, California foothills 98. California inland valleys 103, Redding 108.
In southern California they will be looking at highs in the 90s.
Over in the southwest Tucson 108 and Yuma always the hot spot will see a scorching 115 until the weekend.
The high pressure has put the lid on the monsoon until early next week howver there is still enough moisture in the region to bring showers and thunderbumper to the higher elevations for the rest of the week. Cells moving up from Sonora during the late afternoons and evening hours will bring possible showers close to the Fence.
That’s what is going on to the north of us. Back on this side of the Fence the moderate southerlies will continue for the 3-day forecast period. We should see increased thunderbumper activity over in Sonora in the afternoons. With high pressue keeping the lid on the monsoon these storms will not have the strong south-north flow and will tend to wander out into the Sea so I’d expect to see more activity in the Sea until this weekend so keep a wary eye to the east in the evening hours.
Even though the predominate wind flow is southern a great deal of the winds will be thermally driven in the afternoon. For example the central Sea along the Baja side has E winds forecast today. That will probably be the case for most of the coast of the central Sea however inside the Concepción Bay I can almost guarantee that the afternoon winds will be from the SE.
Temperatures today will be in the mid to high 90s
73s Y’all
Wednesday, August 08, 2012
Don't chisel these forecasts in stone. This is an Amateur Endeavor.
………...DAILYS………...
ALL winds are in Knots.
NORTHERN CROSSING FORECAST:
TODAY : Wednesday, August 08, 2012
Baja Side : Afternoon Winds: NE 10-13
CENTER : Afternoon Winds: SE 6-8
Guaymas Side : Afternoon Winds: W 11-14
TOMORROW: Thursday, August 09, 2012
Baja side : Afternoon Winds: NNE 11-14
Center : Afternoon Winds: WNW 7-9
Guaymas side : Afternoon Winds: WNW 12-16
.
SOUTHERN CROSSING FORECAST:
TODAY : Wednesday, August 08, 2012
East Cape : Afternoon Winds: NW 6-7
Center : Afternoon Winds: WNW 6-7
Mazatlan : Afternoon Winds: WNW 9-12
TOMORROW : Thursday, August 09, 2012
East Cape : Afternoon Winds: WNW 9-12
Center : Afternoon Winds: NW 10-13
Mazatlan : Afternoon Winds: WNW 12-15
.
….. 3 DAY FORECAST (OUTSIDE)…...
Ensenada
Wednesday 8/8 Afternoon Winds: WNW 10-13
Seas: S 4 feet at 14 sec.
Thursday 8/9 Afternoon Winds: WNW 10-13
Seas: SSW 4 feet at 18 sec.
Friday 8/10 Afternoon Winds: WNW 14-18
Seas: SSW 4 feet at 15 sec.
Point San Quintin
Wednesday 8/8 Afternoon Winds: WNW 12-15
Seas: Seas: S 5 feet at 14 sec.
Thursday 8/9 Afternoon Winds: WNW 13-17
Seas: SSW 5 feet at 17 sec.
Friday 8/10 Afternoon Winds: WNW 12-16
Seas: SSW 5 feet at 15 sec.
Turtle Bay
Wednesday 8/8 Afternoon Winds: WNW 15-20
Seas: NW 3 feet at 8 sec.
Thursday 8/9 Afternoon Winds: WNW 15-19
Seas: NW 3 feet at 8 sec.
Friday 8/10 Afternoon Winds: WNW 15-20
Seas: WNW 3 feet at 9 sec.
Cedros Island
Wednesday 8/8 Afternoon Winds: WNW 12-16
Seas: S 2 feet at 13 sec.
Thursday 8/9 Afternoon Winds: WNW 12-16
Seas: SSW 3 feet at 17 sec.
Friday 8/10 Afternoon Winds: WNW 14-18
Seas: SSW 3 feet at 15 sec.
ABREOJOS
Wednesday 8/8 Afternoon Winds: W 16-21
Seas: S 5 feet at 13 sec.
Thursday 8/9 Afternoon Winds: W 17-22
Seas: SSW 5 feet at 17 sec.
Friday 8/10 Afternoon Winds: W 18-24
Seas: SSW 6 feet at 16 sec.
Mag Bay
Wednesday 8/8 Afternoon Winds: WNW 14-18
Seas: S 5 feet at 13 sec.
Thursday 8/9 Afternoon Winds: WNW 17-22
Seas: SSW 6 feet at 17 sec.
Friday 8/10 Afternoon Winds: WNW 15-20
Seas: SSW 6 feet at 16 sec.
*CABO FALSO (Pedregal)
Today's Sunrise Temp.: 77 °
Daily High Temperature: 79%
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Wednesday 8/8 Morning Winds: NW 4 to 5 knots
Afternoon Winds: WNW 12-15
Seas: Seas: S 5 feet at 13 sec.
Thursday 8/9 Afternoon Winds: WNW 17-22
Seas: SSW 6 feet at 16 sec.
Friday 8/10 Afternoon Winds: WNW 16-21
Seas: SSW 6 feet at 15 sec.
. SEA OF CORTEZ
* indicates WeatherUnderground Station
*Puerto Penasco Casa Weez:
Morning Winds: S 9 to 12 knots
Afternoon Winds: WSW 12-16
Sunrise Temp.: 89 °
Daily High Temperature: 94 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: Calm
#VALUE!
*Bahia Kino Nuevo :
Morning Winds: SSE 6 to 8 knots
Afternoon Winds: SW 7-9
Sunrise Temp.: N/A
Daily High Temperature: N/A
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*San Filepe:
Morning Winds: NW 2 to 3 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 6-8
Sunrise Temp.: 93 °
Daily High Temperature: 104 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*Gonzoga Bay Pappa Fernandez Landing. :
Morning Winds: SE 5 to 6 knots
Afternoon Winds: E 10-13
Sunrise Temp.: 89 °
Daily High Temperature: 96 °
Yesterday's Rainfall:
#VALUE!
*Bay of LA. :
Morning Winds: SE 5 to 7 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 9-11
Sunrise Temp.: 83 °
Daily High Temperature: 93 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
San Franciscito Bay :
Morning Winds: SSE 3 to 4 knots
Afternoon Winds: E 12-15
Santa Rosalia :
Morning Winds: E 2 to 3 knots
Afternoon Winds: NE 7-9
Sunrise Temp.: N/A
Daily High Temperature: N/A
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*Mulegé :
Morning Winds: NE 3 to 4 knots
Afternoon Winds: NE 10-13
Sunrise Temp.: 84 °
Daily High Temperature: 102 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*San Carlos
Morning Winds: W 5 to 7 knots
Afternoon Winds: WNW 12-16
Sunrise Temp.: 84 °
Daily High Temperature: 93 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Pt Concepcion :
Morning Winds: NNE 3 to 5 knots
Afternoon Winds: NNE 11-14
Punta Chivato :
Morning Winds: ESE 2 to 3 knots
Afternoon Winds: ENE 9-11
*El Burro Cove in Concepcion Bay
Morning Winds Winds: NE 3 to 4 knots
Afternoon Winds: NE 10-13
Sunrise Temp.: 89 °
Daily High Temperature: 97 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Sunrise Sea Temperature: 86
Puerto Escondido Juncalitoville
Morning Winds: N 2 to 3 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 11-14
Sunrise Temp.: 84 °
Daily High Temperature: 99 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
San Lorenzo Channel :
Morning Winds: ENE 2 to 2 knots
Afternoon Winds: SSE 6-8
La Paz:
Morning Winds: N 1 to 2 knots
Afternoon Winds: N 4-5
Sunrise Temp.: 78 °
Daily High Temperature: 97 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*La Ventana Baja Joe's :
Morning Winds: NNW 3 to 4 knots
Afternoon Winds: NW 6-7
Sunrise Temp.: N/A
Daily High Temperature: N/A
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*Los Barriles :
Morning Winds: N 4 to 5 knots
Afternoon Winds: N 6-8
Sunrise Temp.: 84 °
Daily High Temperature: 90 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Cabo Pulmo :
Morning Winds: N 4 to 6 knots
Afternoon Winds: WSW 5-6
Seas: SSE 3 feet at 13 sec.
*Cabo San Lucas :
Morning Winds: E 2 to 2 knots
Afternoon Winds: W 11-14
Sunrise Temp.: 81 °
Daily High Temperature: 91 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
MEXICAN RIVIERA
*Mazatlan,
Morning Winds: NNW 2 to 2 knots
Afternoon Winds: WNW 9-12
Sunrise Temp.: 79 °
Daily High Temperature: 87 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*Puerta Vallarta:
Morning Winds: N 4 to 5 knots
Afternoon Winds: NNW 11-14
Sunrise Temp.: 79 °
Daily High Temperature: 91 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Manzanillo :
Morning Winds: NNW 6 to 8 knots
Afternoon Winds: WNW 12-15
Sunrise Temp.: 78 °
Daily High Temperature: 93 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Ixtapa Zihuatanejo :
Morning Winds: WSW 9 to 12 knots
Afternoon Winds: W 13-17
Sunrise Temp.: 73 °
Daily High Temperature: 87 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Cabo Corrienties :
Morning Winds: NNW 5 to 6 knots
Afternoon Winds: NW 12-16
Seas: SSW 5 feet at 17 sec.
Sea of Cortez Weather for 08/07/12
The Sonrisenet: The premier source for Sea of Cortez weather.
Click here for the Sonrisa Net Weather Webpage
Click here for the Satellite WunderMap view of the Sea of Cortez
After the Sonrisa Weather it’s back to work.
This summary and the daily postings are now posted on the Sonrisanet webpage usually by 8:30 MDT daily.
The following is from my daily ham radio Report
And is now available as a podcast.
Click above to Go to the Sonrisa Net Website
Tuesday, August 07, 2012
Voice to Text---
.Looking down into the Sea this morning I can see that the Sea finally cleared about mid afternoon yesterday.
This morning the northern and central Sea are pretty much clear. Yesterday afternoon this loop is showing some thunderbumper activity from just south of Santa Rosalia to around San Franciscito bay back in the mountains.
There have been no thunderbumpers in the Sea over night however in the southern Sea there is some cloudiness that is moving off the mainland from storms there during the night and early morning hours. There is still a line of heavy thumpers working from around Los Mochas south to just around the corner from Cabo Corrienties. As of 5:30 there was still a lot of thumpers working off shore from Cabo Corrienties to around the Puerto Vallarta area. Those cells are starting to dissipate now but there are still a lot of high topped clouds in that region.
South of Manzanillo the coast is pretty much clear south to the Gulf of Tehuantepec.
At 3am this morning invest 92 Echo was upgraded to a tropical depression and later this afternoon it should become tropical storm Hector. It is currently about 550 miles SW of the cape and the models are showing it moving pretty much due west for it’s life span. The models are also showing it not intensifying to a himicane as it moves west.
That tropical wave that I could not find yesterday finally crossed Mexico and popped up on the Pacific around Cabo Corrienties early this morning. No other data on it at this time.
The other Tropical Wave that we have been watching for a couple of days is almost into the western Pacific and will be off our map by tomorrow.
So things are starting to heat up in our Tropical Kitchen this morning. We have the first tropical storm we have had for the past couple of weeks and a tropical wave that will be looking for a low to stimulate in an environmentally friendly neighborhood to the west of Cabo Corrienties.
Looking over into the Caribbean I can see tropical storm Ernesto just south of the Yucatan peninsula. It is forecast to cross the Yucatan as a class 1 himicane starting later today and then after crossing open water to make landfall along the east coast of Mexico in the next couple of days. As it moves over open water it will give cause to increased winds across the Tehuantepec isthmus and most likely increased thunderbumper activity in that region.
That’s what is going on in our hood so looking now north to the west coast of America where it is hot and will get hotter as the week wears on. Northern California valleys will be seeing temperatures in the 106-114 ranges over the next couple of days.
Southern California will be looking at the 90s with a chance of some monsoonal moisture bringing some thunderbumpers in the deserts and mountains.
Looking now over to the southwest where Tucson is looking at the 105 ranges. They had a trace of rain last night. The area around Yuma and the Lower Colorado River Valley will see temperatures in the 114-115 ranges. Bob’s station at 5000 feet was not on so I don’t know what was happening up there.
This image is showing lingering showers west of Tucson this morning however it looks like they will clear soon. As this high pressure ridge continues to build it will put the lid on most of the monsoon activity until later in the week when the high starts to weaken. Any showers and thunderbumpers will most likely be in the higher elevations.
That’s what is going on to the north of us. Back on this side of the Fence the very moderate southern winds will continue for the Sea today.
The northern Sea mostly ESE for the 3-day forecast period.
The central Sea E or SE on the Baja side in the northern crossing area and southern winds along the Sonoran coast.
From around Puerto Escondido south to La Paz today ESE. The east cape east or NE in the afteroons.
Temperatures should climb a few degrees today and be in the mid to high 90s with a few locations into triple digits.
73s Y’all
Tuesday, August 07, 2012
Don't chisel these forecasts in stone. This is an Amateur Endeavor.
………...DAILYS………...
ALL winds are in Knots.
NORTHERN CROSSING FORECAST:
TODAY : Tuesday, August 07, 2012
Baja Side : Afternoon Winds: ENE 11-14
CENTER : Afternoon Winds: SSE 5-6
Guaymas Side : Afternoon Winds: WSW 9-12
TOMORROW: Wednesday, August 08, 2012
Baja side : Afternoon Winds: ENE 9-12
Center : Afternoon Winds: SSE 9-11
Guaymas side : Afternoon Winds: WSW 8-10
.
SOUTHERN CROSSING FORECAST:
TODAY : Tuesday, August 07, 2012
East Cape : Afternoon Winds: ESE 7-9
Center : Afternoon Winds: SSW 6-8
Mazatlan : Afternoon Winds: SW 6-8
TOMORROW : Wednesday, August 08, 2012
East Cape : Afternoon Winds: SSW 4-5
Center : Afternoon Winds: SW 6-8
Mazatlan : Afternoon Winds: WSW 8-10
.
….. 3 DAY FORECAST (OUTSIDE)…...
Ensenada
Tuesday 8/7 Afternoon Winds: WNW 10-13
Seas: S 4 feet at 15 sec.
Wednesday 8/8 Afternoon Winds: WNW 10-13
Seas: S 4 feet at 14 sec.
Thursday 8/9 Afternoon Winds: WNW 9-12
Seas: SSW 4 feet at 18 sec.
Point San Quintin
Tuesday 8/7 Afternoon Winds: WNW 12-16
Seas: Seas: S 4 feet at 15 sec.
Wednesday 8/8 Afternoon Winds: WNW 13-17
Seas: S 4 feet at 14 sec.
Thursday 8/9 Afternoon Winds: WNW 14-18
Seas: SSW 5 feet at 17 sec.
Turtle Bay
Tuesday 8/7 Afternoon Winds: WNW 15-20
Seas: WNW 3 feet at 8 sec.
Wednesday 8/8 Afternoon Winds: WNW 15-20
Seas: NW 3 feet at 8 sec.
Thursday 8/9 Afternoon Winds: WNW 15-19
Seas: NW 3 feet at 8 sec.
Cedros Island
Tuesday 8/7 Afternoon Winds: WNW 13-17
Seas: S 2 feet at 14 sec.
Wednesday 8/8 Afternoon Winds: WNW 13-17
Seas: S 3 feet at 13 sec.
Thursday 8/9 Afternoon Winds: WNW 13-17
Seas: SSW 3 feet at 17 sec.
ABREOJOS
Tuesday 8/7 Afternoon Winds: W 17-22
Seas: S 5 feet at 14 sec.
Wednesday 8/8 Afternoon Winds: W 18-23
Seas: S 5 feet at 13 sec.
Thursday 8/9 Afternoon Winds: W 18-24
Seas: SSW 5 feet at 17 sec.
Mag Bay
Tuesday 8/7 Afternoon Winds: WNW 13-17
Seas: S 5 feet at 14 sec.
Wednesday 8/8 Afternoon Winds: WNW 13-17
Seas: S 5 feet at 13 sec.
Thursday 8/9 Afternoon Winds: WNW 15-20
Seas: SSW 5 feet at 17 sec.
*CABO FALSO (Pedregal)
Today's Sunrise Temp.: 82 °
Daily High Temperature: 54%
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Tuesday 8/7 Morning Winds: WNW 4 to 5 knots
Afternoon Winds: WNW 9-11
Seas: Seas: S 5 feet at 14 sec.
Wednesday 8/8 Afternoon Winds: WNW 12-16
Seas: S 5 feet at 13 sec.
Thursday 8/9 Afternoon Winds: W 14-18
Seas: SSW 5 feet at 16 sec.
. SEA OF CORTEZ
* indicates WeatherUnderground Station
*Puerto Penasco Casa Weez:
Morning Winds: S 7 to 10 knots
Afternoon Winds: WSW 12-16
Sunrise Temp.: 85 °
Daily High Temperature: 92 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 2sse
#VALUE!
*Bahia Kino Nuevo :
Morning Winds: S 4 to 5 knots
Afternoon Winds: SW 6-7
Sunrise Temp.: N/A
Daily High Temperature: N/A
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*San Filepe:
Morning Winds: ESE 4 to 5 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 9-12
Sunrise Temp.: 93 °
Daily High Temperature: 102 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*Gonzoga Bay Pappa Fernandez Landing. :
Morning Winds: SW 5 to 7 knots
Afternoon Winds: E 10-13
Sunrise Temp.: 84 °
Daily High Temperature: 96 °
Yesterday's Rainfall:
#VALUE!
*Bay of LA. :
Morning Winds: SW 3 to 4 knots
Afternoon Winds: ENE 9-11
Sunrise Temp.: 87 °
Daily High Temperature: 92 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
San Franciscito Bay :
Morning Winds: ESE 3 to 4 knots
Afternoon Winds: E 13-17
Santa Rosalia :
Morning Winds: ENE 2 to 3 knots
Afternoon Winds: E 9-11
Sunrise Temp.: N/A
Daily High Temperature: N/A
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*Mulegé :
Morning Winds: ENE 5 to 6 knots
Afternoon Winds: ENE 11-14
Sunrise Temp.: 84 °
Daily High Temperature: 101 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*San Carlos
Morning Winds: S 6 to 8 knots
Afternoon Winds: WSW 8-10
Sunrise Temp.: 86 °
Daily High Temperature: 93 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Pt Concepcion :
Morning Winds: E 5 to 6 knots
Afternoon Winds: ENE 9-12
Punta Chivato :
Morning Winds: ENE 3 to 3 knots
Afternoon Winds: E 11-14
*El Burro Cove in Concepcion Bay
Morning Winds Winds: ENE 5 to 6 knots
Afternoon Winds: ENE 11-14
Sunrise Temp.: 88 °
Daily High Temperature: 95 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Sunrise Sea Temperature: 86
Puerto Escondido Juncalitoville
Morning Winds: ESE 2 to 3 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 13-17
Sunrise Temp.: 84 °
Daily High Temperature: 96 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
San Lorenzo Channel :
Morning Winds: S 1 to 1 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 8-10
La Paz:
Morning Winds: SW 3 to 4 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 9-12
Sunrise Temp.: 76 °
Daily High Temperature: 95 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*La Ventana Baja Joe's :
Morning Winds: SW 1 to 2 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 7-9
Sunrise Temp.: N/A
Daily High Temperature: N/A
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*Los Barriles :
Morning Winds: E 2 to 3 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 8-10
Sunrise Temp.: 64 °
Daily High Temperature: 90 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Cabo Pulmo :
Morning Winds: E 3 to 4 knots
Afternoon Winds: SSE 7-9
Seas: S 4 feet at 14 sec.
*Cabo San Lucas :
Morning Winds: WSW 1 to 1 knots
Afternoon Winds: WSW 9-11
Sunrise Temp.: 83 °
Daily High Temperature: 91 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
MEXICAN RIVIERA
*Mazatlan,
Morning Winds: WNW 6 to 8 knots
Afternoon Winds: SW 6-8
Sunrise Temp.: 80 °
Daily High Temperature: 88 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*Puerta Vallarta:
Morning Winds: S 3 to 4 knots
Afternoon Winds: WNW 7-9
Sunrise Temp.: 81 °
Daily High Temperature: 92 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Manzanillo :
Morning Winds: NNE 3 to 4 knots
Afternoon Winds: WSW 9-11
Sunrise Temp.: 77 °
Daily High Temperature: 89 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Ixtapa Zihuatanejo :
Morning Winds: WSW 10 to 13 knots
Afternoon Winds: W 13-17
Sunrise Temp.: 71 °
Daily High Temperature: 87 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Cabo Corrienties :
Morning Winds: NE 2 to 3 knots
Afternoon Winds: W 6-7
Seas: S 5 feet at 13 sec.
Sea of Cortez Weather for 08/06/12
The Sonrisenet: The premier source for Sea of Cortez weather.
Click here for the Sonrisa Net Weather Webpage
Click here for the Satellite WunderMap view of the Sea of Cortez
After the Sonrisa Weather it’s back to work.
This summary and the daily postings are now posted on the Sonrisanet webpage usually by 8:30 MDT daily.
The following is from my daily ham radio Report
And is now available as a podcast.
Click above to Go to the Sonrisa Net Website
Monday, August 06, 2012
Voice to Text---
.Looking down into the Sea this morning first with the 24 hour loop. I can see there was a lot going on all day. A number of small cells developed in the Sea from the early morning to late yesterday afternoon leaving a lot of residual clouds in the area.
There were several rather large cells develop over in Sonora adding to the cloudiness in the Sea.
Since about midnight there has been very little thunderbumper activity in the Sea or on the mainland. If fact almost none. The Sea however still has a lot of residual cloudiness that will be slow to clear mostly in the central Sea this morning.
I can also see there was numerous thumpers back in the mountains on the east coast of the Baja peninsula. The El Burro Cove station that reported any rain accumulation in the Sea and it was only a trace. That being said the IR imagery was showing several localtion along the Baja coast that had at least a small shower.
Looking now south of the cape and along the Mexican Riviera where it looks like the entire coast has at least one thumper over in since midnight.
We have two Tropical Waves in the basin this morning and another one somewhere in the Caribbean. I can not see it on the map and it could have been gobbled up by Tropical Storm Ernesto in the Caribbean. We’ll have to wait and see if it pops out into the Eastern Pacific basin.
OK back in out hood we have one that has been slowly moving out of our region for the past couple of days. It’s currently out around 130 and poses no threat to land.
The other is a newbee. Just showed up the other day and this morning the Navy designated it as invest 92 Echo. It is tracking along just north of the ITCZ/Monsoon trough about 12N. Environmental conditions are favorable for tropical development in this area and the National Hurricane Center is giving it a 50% chance of developing into something tropical in the next 48 hours. The computer generated tracking modles are showing this system moving pretty much due west for its life span. No danger to land from this system.
So well have to put this system on the back burner in or Tropical Kitchen for the time being. It however looks like this will become our next tropical storm. Should this happen he would be Hector.
That’s what is going on in our hood so looking now north to the west coast of America where temperatures will start to rise today and continue to rise all week due to the advancing high pressure ridge from the east.
Later in the week southern California could see some monsoonal moisture creep in bringing a chance of some showers and thunderbumper but the first part of the week it will be dry and hot.
Looking now over to the southwest where the Tucson area will be looking at 102-104 all week. Yuma 114-115. For the most part it will be hot and dry this week however there is enough moisture in the air to bring a chance of thunderbumpers to the higher terrain.
That’s what is going on to the north of us. Back on this side of the Fence the next 3 days will be pretty much like the last 3 days with moderate southerlies prevailing. Water vapor imagery is showing a lot of moisture in the air so I’d expect to see some thunderbumper activity in the coastal mountains this afternoon and very possibly more cells moving out into the Sea from Sonora this evening hopefully northing strong enough to cause us any alarm just a good thunder and lightning show.
Temperatures today will be a few degree higher than yesterday and still be in the mid to high 90. A few locations will see triple digits.
73s Y’all
Monday, August 06, 2012
Don't chisel these forecasts in stone. This is an Amateur Endeavor.
………...DAILYS………...
ALL winds are in Knots.
NORTHERN CROSSING FORECAST:
TODAY : Monday, August 06, 2012
Baja Side : Afternoon Winds: E 12-15
CENTER : Afternoon Winds: ESE 12-15
Guaymas Side : Afternoon Winds: SSW 10-13
TOMORROW: Tuesday, August 07, 2012
Baja side : Afternoon Winds: NE 11-14
Center : Afternoon Winds: ESE 5-6
Guaymas side : Afternoon Winds: WNW 9-12
.
SOUTHERN CROSSING FORECAST:
TODAY : Monday, August 06, 2012
East Cape : Afternoon Winds: ENE 5-6
Center : Afternoon Winds: W 7-9
Mazatlan : Afternoon Winds: W 10-13
TOMORROW : Tuesday, August 07, 2012
East Cape : Afternoon Winds: NW 6-7
Center : Afternoon Winds: W 8-10
Mazatlan : Afternoon Winds: WSW 9-12
.
….. 3 DAY FORECAST (OUTSIDE)…...
Ensenada
Monday 8/6 Afternoon Winds: WNW 11-14
Seas: S 4 feet at 17 sec.
Tuesday 8/7 Afternoon Winds: WNW 11-14
Seas: S 4 feet at 15 sec.
Wednesday 8/8 Afternoon Winds: WNW 11-14
Seas: S 4 feet at 14 sec.
Point San Quintin
Monday 8/6 Afternoon Winds: WNW 14-18
Seas: Seas: S 4 feet at 17 sec.
Tuesday 8/7 Afternoon Winds: WNW 12-16
Seas: S 4 feet at 15 sec.
Wednesday 8/8 Afternoon Winds: WNW 13-17
Seas: S 4 feet at 14 sec.
Turtle Bay
Monday 8/6 Afternoon Winds: WNW 15-20
Seas: NW 3 feet at 8 sec.
Tuesday 8/7 Afternoon Winds: WNW 15-19
Seas: WNW 3 feet at 7 sec.
Wednesday 8/8 Afternoon Winds: WNW 15-20
Seas: NW 3 feet at 8 sec.
Cedros Island
Monday 8/6 Afternoon Winds: WNW 12-16
Seas: S 2 feet at 16 sec.
Tuesday 8/7 Afternoon Winds: WNW 12-16
Seas: S 2 feet at 14 sec.
Wednesday 8/8 Afternoon Winds: WNW 13-17
Seas: S 2 feet at 13 sec.
ABREOJOS
Monday 8/6 Afternoon Winds: W 15-19
Seas: S 4 feet at 16 sec.
Tuesday 8/7 Afternoon Winds: W 15-20
Seas: S 4 feet at 14 sec.
Wednesday 8/8 Afternoon Winds: W 18-23
Seas: S 5 feet at 13 sec.
Mag Bay
Monday 8/6 Afternoon Winds: W 12-16
Seas: S 5 feet at 15 sec.
Tuesday 8/7 Afternoon Winds: WNW 12-16
Seas: S 5 feet at 14 sec.
Wednesday 8/8 Afternoon Winds: WNW 15-19
Seas: S 5 feet at 13 sec.
*CABO FALSO (Pedregal)
Today's Sunrise Temp.: 79 °
Daily High Temperature: 73%
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Monday 8/6 Morning Winds: WNW 2 to 3 knots
Afternoon Winds: WSW 9-12
Seas: Seas: S 5 feet at 15 sec.
Tuesday 8/7 Afternoon Winds: WNW 12-15
Seas: S 5 feet at 14 sec.
Wednesday 8/8 Afternoon Winds: WNW 14-18
Seas: S 5 feet at 13 sec.
. SEA OF CORTEZ
* indicates WeatherUnderground Station
*Puerto Penasco Casa Weez:
Morning Winds: SSW 6 to 9 knots
Afternoon Winds: WSW 12-16
Sunrise Temp.: 81 °
Daily High Temperature: 94 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: Calm
#VALUE!
*Bahia Kino Nuevo :
Morning Winds: SSE 8 to 11 knots
Afternoon Winds: SSW 9-12
Sunrise Temp.: N/A
Daily High Temperature: N/A
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*San Filepe:
Morning Winds: SSE 3 to 4 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 11-14
Sunrise Temp.: 88 °
Daily High Temperature: 100 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*Gonzoga Bay Pappa Fernandez Landing. :
Morning Winds: E 3 to 4 knots
Afternoon Winds: ENE 11-14
Sunrise Temp.: 84 °
Daily High Temperature: 96 °
Yesterday's Rainfall:
#VALUE!
*Bay of LA. :
Morning Winds: SE 5 to 7 knots
Afternoon Winds: E 8-10
Sunrise Temp.: 82 °
Daily High Temperature: 94 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
San Franciscito Bay :
Morning Winds: ESE 7 to 10 knots
Afternoon Winds: E 13-17
Santa Rosalia :
Morning Winds: ESE 7 to 10 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 9-12
Sunrise Temp.: N/A
Daily High Temperature: N/A
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*Mulegé :
Morning Winds: ESE 7 to 9 knots
Afternoon Winds: E 12-15
Sunrise Temp.: 85 °
Daily High Temperature: 100 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*San Carlos
Morning Winds: SSW 3 to 4 knots
Afternoon Winds: WNW 9-12
Sunrise Temp.: 85 °
Daily High Temperature: 92 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Pt Concepcion :
Morning Winds: ENE 5 to 6 knots
Afternoon Winds: NE 11-14
Punta Chivato :
Morning Winds: ESE 8 to 10 knots
Afternoon Winds: E 11-14
*El Burro Cove in Concepcion Bay
Morning Winds Winds: ESE 7 to 9 knots
Afternoon Winds: E 12-15
Sunrise Temp.: 87 °
Daily High Temperature: 94 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Sunrise Sea Temperature: 86
Puerto Escondido Juncalitoville
Morning Winds: ESE 4 to 6 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 12-16
Sunrise Temp.: 83 °
Daily High Temperature: 92 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
San Lorenzo Channel :
Morning Winds: ENE 2 to 3 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 8-10
La Paz:
Morning Winds: NNW 1 to 2 knots
Afternoon Winds: E 6-8
Sunrise Temp.: 77 °
Daily High Temperature: 103 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*La Ventana Baja Joe's :
Morning Winds: N 2 to 3 knots
Afternoon Winds: ENE 5-6
Sunrise Temp.: N/A
Daily High Temperature: N/A
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*Los Barriles :
Morning Winds: NNE 4 to 5 knots
Afternoon Winds: ENE 6-8
Sunrise Temp.: 80 °
Daily High Temperature: 90 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Cabo Pulmo :
Morning Winds: NE 2 to 3 knots
Afternoon Winds: SE 5-6
Seas: S 4 feet at 15 sec.
*Cabo San Lucas :
Morning Winds: SW 1 to 2 knots
Afternoon Winds: WSW 9-12
Sunrise Temp.: 81 °
Daily High Temperature: 91 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
MEXICAN RIVIERA
*Mazatlan,
Morning Winds: W 2 to 3 knots
Afternoon Winds: W 10-13
Sunrise Temp.: 83 °
Daily High Temperature: 86 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*Puerta Vallarta:
Morning Winds: NE 4 to 5 knots
Afternoon Winds: NNW 8-10
Sunrise Temp.: 72 °
Daily High Temperature: 91 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Manzanillo :
Morning Winds: ENE 4 to 5 knots
Afternoon Winds: SSE 13-17
Sunrise Temp.: 79 °
Daily High Temperature: 90 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Ixtapa Zihuatanejo :
Morning Winds: SW 1 to 2 knots
Afternoon Winds: W 6-8
Sunrise Temp.: 75 °
Daily High Temperature: 89 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Cabo Corrienties :
Morning Winds: NNE 5 to 6 knots
Afternoon Winds: WSW 6-7
Seas: S 5 feet at 14 sec.
Sea of Cortez Weather for 08/05/12
The Sonrisenet: The premier source for Sea of Cortez weather.
Click here for the Sonrisa Net Weather Webpage
Click here for the Satellite WunderMap view of the Sea of Cortez
After the Sonrisa Weather it’s back to work.
This summary and the daily postings are now posted on the Sonrisanet webpage usually by 8:30 MDT daily.
The following is from my daily ham radio Report
And is now available as a podcast.
Click above to Go to the Sonrisa Net Website
Sunday, August 05, 2012
Voice to Text---
.Looking down into the Sea this morning with first the 24 hour loop I can see that yesterday most of the Sea was blanketed with clouds drifting over from the mainland. The cloudiness kept the temperatures down a few degrees however the humidity was up so the heat index made it feel a lot hotter.
Last nigh along with the clouds numerous cells moved out into the Sea bringing some elevated winds along. Here in the cove we have had 18-23 for a couple of hours starting around 2am. AT 6am I was seeing lightning over the peninsula and I have been hearing thunder somewhere close by all morning. The winds since around 4am have been in the 12-16 knot ranges from the SE. Around 7 O’clock we started to have light rain in the cove.
Looking over to Sonora where they had several late afternoon thunderbumpers build and move north pretty much stopping at the Fence.
There is still a lot of residual cloudiness in northern Sonora and the northern Sea this morning.
The rest of the Sea is still seeing numerous areas of heavy wet clouds this morning. It appears to be clearing in places but there are still lots of wet clouds over the mainland that most likely will be moving west, crossing the Sea and moving out into the Pacific. It looks like we will be having a marginal solar day a best today.
I’d also expect to see more thunderbumper activity along the coastal mountains in Baja today.
Looking now south to the Mexican Riviera I can see that numerous small cells developed along the coast and dissipated over the past 6 hours.
In general though the coast is pretty much clear with mostly a few residual clouds around. There was one large cell that stayed over the Puerto Vallarta area most of the afternoon and they reported a bit over 3 inches of rain in down town Puerto Vallarta yesterday afternoon.
We have two Tropical Wave in our hood again this morning. Both are trucking along 9N. One is well out and headed for Hawaii this morning.
The other is a ways behind it and is within the ITCZ/Monsoon trough along with a low so there is a chance that this could develop into something tropical. It is currently about 550 miles SSW of Acapulco this morning.
There is another Tropical Wave headed our way in the Gulf of Mexico. It is currently moving along the North coast of the Yucatan and should be in the Pacific by tomorrow.
So we still don’t have anyting cooking in our Tropical Kitchen
This morning.
That’s what is going on in our hood so looking now north to the west coast of America where under high pressure the west will be heating up well into next week with above normal temperatures. Seattle will be around 90 this afternoon.
The Sacramento valley will be in the low 100s.
Southern California will be seeing daytime highs in the mid 80s. It will hot and dry into next week.
Looking now over to the southwest where high pressure that has moved up from Texas has blanketed the southwest resulting in well above normal temperatures for today. Tucson 104 and Yuma around 114. In general it is fairly dry however there is still a possibility of afternoon and evening showers and possible a thunderbumper. It looks like most of the thunderbumper activity will be on the south side of the international border.
That’s what is going on to the north of us. Back on this side of the Fence it looks like the day is starting of with numerous thunderbumpers all up and down the peninsula this morning.
As far as winds: They will continue to be in the moderate ranges over the 3-day forecast period.
The northern Sea: ESE today and then ENE Monday and Tuesday.
The Sonoran coast mostly SW for the next 3 days
The central Sea, Baja side: Mostly east or NE for the next 3 days.
The La Paz area: SSE today then West tomorrow and back to the light southerlies on Tuesday.
Taking a quick last look at the IR images for the Sea of Cortez It looks like there was some brief clearning in the southern Sea earlier this morning it now looks like it will be clouding up over the entire Sea again.
Temperatures will be down a few degrees today and be in the mid to high 90s though.
73s Y’all
.
Sunday, August 05, 2012
Don't chisel these forecasts in stone. This is an Amateur Endeavor.
………...DAILYS………...
ALL winds are in Knots.
NORTHERN CROSSING FORECAST:
TODAY : Sunday, August 05, 2012
Baja Side : Afternoon Winds: E 12-16
CENTER : Afternoon Winds: SE 10-13
Guaymas Side : Afternoon Winds: SSW 9-11
TOMORROW: Monday, August 06, 2012
Baja side : Afternoon Winds: ESE 11-14
Center : Afternoon Winds: SE 12-15
Guaymas side : Afternoon Winds: S 9-11
.
SOUTHERN CROSSING FORECAST:
TODAY : Sunday, August 05, 2012
East Cape : Afternoon Winds: E 9-11
Center : Afternoon Winds: SSW 9-12
Mazatlan : Afternoon Winds: SW 9-12
TOMORROW : Monday, August 06, 2012
East Cape : Afternoon Winds: ESE 7-9
Center : Afternoon Winds: WSW 8-10
Mazatlan : Afternoon Winds: W 8-10
.
….. 3 DAY FORECAST (OUTSIDE)…...
Ensenada
Sunday 8/5 Afternoon Winds: S 10-13
Seas: S 6 feet at 16 sec.
Monday 8/6 Afternoon Winds: S 10-13
Seas: S 6 feet at 15 sec.
Tuesday 8/7 Afternoon Winds: W 12-16
Seas: S 5 feet at 13 sec.
Point San Quintin
Sunday 8/5 Afternoon Winds: NW 15-20
Seas: Seas: S 4 feet at 19 sec.
Monday 8/6 Afternoon Winds: WNW 12-16
Seas: S 4 feet at 17 sec.
Tuesday 8/7 Afternoon Winds: WNW 12-16
Seas: S 4 feet at 15 sec.
Turtle Bay
Sunday 8/5 Afternoon Winds: WNW 15-19
Seas: WNW 3 feet at 6 sec.
Monday 8/6 Afternoon Winds: WNW 15-20
Seas: NW 2 feet at 9 sec.
Tuesday 8/7 Afternoon Winds: WNW 15-20
Seas: NW 3 feet at 7 sec.
Cedros Island
Sunday 8/5 Afternoon Winds: NW 14-18
Seas: S 2 feet at 18 sec.
Monday 8/6 Afternoon Winds: WNW 12-16
Seas: S 2 feet at 16 sec.
Tuesday 8/7 Afternoon Winds: WNW 13-17
Seas: S 2 feet at 14 sec.
ABREOJOS
Sunday 8/5 Afternoon Winds: W 15-20
Seas: S 4 feet at 18 sec.
Monday 8/6 Afternoon Winds: W 14-18
Seas: S 4 feet at 16 sec.
Tuesday 8/7 Afternoon Winds: W 17-22
Seas: S 5 feet at 14 sec.
Mag Bay
Sunday 8/5 Afternoon Winds: WSW 11-14
Seas: S 5 feet at 18 sec.
Monday 8/6 Afternoon Winds: WSW 10-13
Seas: S 5 feet at 15 sec.
Tuesday 8/7 Afternoon Winds: WNW 12-16
Seas: S 5 feet at 14 sec.
*CABO FALSO (Pedregal)
Today's Sunrise Temp.: 77 °
Daily High Temperature: 78%
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Sunday 8/5 Morning Winds: WNW 1 to 1 knots
Afternoon Winds: SW 7-9
Seas: Seas: S 5 feet at 17 sec.
Monday 8/6 Afternoon Winds: WSW 8-10
Seas: S 5 feet at 15 sec.
Tuesday 8/7 Afternoon Winds: WNW 12-15
Seas: S 5 feet at 14 sec.
. SEA OF CORTEZ
* indicates WeatherUnderground Station
*Puerto Penasco Casa Weez:
Morning Winds: S 7 to 9 knots
Afternoon Winds: W 14-18
Sunrise Temp.: 86 °
Daily High Temperature: 93 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: Calm
#VALUE!
*Bahia Kino Nuevo :
Morning Winds: S 7 to 10 knots
Afternoon Winds: SSW 9-12
Sunrise Temp.: N/A
Daily High Temperature: N/A
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*San Filepe:
Morning Winds: ESE 5 to 6 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 9-12
Sunrise Temp.: 88 °
Daily High Temperature: 101 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*Gonzoga Bay Pappa Fernandez Landing. :
Morning Winds: ESE 5 to 6 knots
Afternoon Winds: NE 11-14
Sunrise Temp.: 86 °
Daily High Temperature: 99 °
Yesterday's Rainfall:
#VALUE!
*Bay of LA. :
Morning Winds: SE 6 to 8 knots
Afternoon Winds: ENE 7-9
Sunrise Temp.: 86 °
Daily High Temperature: 93 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
San Franciscito Bay :
Morning Winds: ESE 6 to 8 knots
Afternoon Winds: E 11-14
Santa Rosalia :
Morning Winds: ESE 5 to 7 knots
Afternoon Winds: E 10-13
Sunrise Temp.: N/A
Daily High Temperature: N/A
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*Mulegé :
Morning Winds: ESE 5 to 7 knots
Afternoon Winds: E 12-16
Sunrise Temp.: 86 °
Daily High Temperature: 102 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*San Carlos
Morning Winds: SSE 7 to 10 knots
Afternoon Winds: S 9-11
Sunrise Temp.: 82 °
Daily High Temperature: 92 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Pt Concepcion :
Morning Winds: ESE 8 to 11 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 11-14
Punta Chivato :
Morning Winds: E 5 to 7 knots
Afternoon Winds: ENE 12-15
*El Burro Cove in Concepcion Bay
Morning Winds Winds: ESE 5 to 7 knots
Afternoon Winds: E 12-16
Sunrise Temp.: 87 °
Daily High Temperature: 99 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Sunrise Sea Temperature: 86
Puerto Escondido Juncalitoville
Morning Winds: ESE 3 to 4 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 14-18
Sunrise Temp.: 85 °
Daily High Temperature: 98 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
San Lorenzo Channel :
Morning Winds: WSW 3 to 4 knots
Afternoon Winds: E 9-11
La Paz:
Morning Winds: WSW 2 to 3 knots
Afternoon Winds: ENE 10-13
Sunrise Temp.: 80 °
Daily High Temperature: 99 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*La Ventana Baja Joe's :
Morning Winds: SSE 4 to 6 knots
Afternoon Winds: E 9-11
Sunrise Temp.: N/A
Daily High Temperature: N/A
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*Los Barriles :
Morning Winds: SE 7 to 9 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 10-13
Sunrise Temp.: 83 °
Daily High Temperature: 95 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Cabo Pulmo :
Morning Winds: SSE 7 to 9 knots
Afternoon Winds: SSE 10-13
Seas: S 4 feet at 18 sec.
*Cabo San Lucas :
Morning Winds: SSW 3 to 4 knots
Afternoon Winds: SSW 7-9
Sunrise Temp.: 80 °
Daily High Temperature: 91 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
MEXICAN RIVIERA
*Mazatlan,
Morning Winds: SE 6 to 8 knots
Afternoon Winds: SW 9-12
Sunrise Temp.: 77 °
Daily High Temperature: 89 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*Puerta Vallarta:
Morning Seas: S 4 feet at 18 sec.
#VALUE!
Sunrise Temp.: 78 °
Daily High Temperature: 93 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Manzanillo :
Morning Winds: ENE 5 to 7 knots
Afternoon Winds: S 10-13
Sunrise Temp.: 73 °
Daily High Temperature: 89 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Ixtapa Zihuatanejo :
Morning Winds: SSW 4 to 5 knots
Afternoon Winds: S 7-9
Sunrise Temp.: 72 °
Daily High Temperature: 89 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Cabo Corrienties :
Morning Winds: ESE 5 to 7 knots
Afternoon Winds: SW 7-9
Seas: S 5 feet at 15 sec.
Sea of Cortez Weather for 08/04/12
The Sonrisenet: The premier source for Sea of Cortez weather.
Click here for the Sonrisa Net Weather Webpage
Click here for the Satellite WunderMap view of the Sea of Cortez
After the Sonrisa Weather it’s back to work.
This summary and the daily postings are now posted on the Sonrisanet webpage usually by 8:30 MDT daily.
The following is from my daily ham radio Report
And is now available as a podcast.
Click above to Go to the Sonrisa Net Website
Saturday, August 04, 2012
Voice to Text---
.Looking down into the Sea this morning I can see that the northern and Central Sea are pretty much clear this morning. The southern Sea from around Puerto Escondido south to the cape and beyond are blanketed with clouds from active cells in the Sea and over in Sonora.
Late yesterday afternoon one cell developed over Sonora and grew to a huge size up until around 3am before it began to dissipate. The clouds from this storm are spread out from a bit north of Puerto Escondido to La Paz this morning.
Another storm began around Cabo Corrienties and moved out into the Pacific and has been moving north into the Sea of Cortez during the night. Clouds from this cell blanket the Sea to around La Paz.
The original cell is now on the win however another is building over Puerto Vallarta the morning and as of 7am it had pretty much blow out however there are considerable remnant clouds in the area. .
So it looks like the portions of the southern Sea will be slow to clear this morning.
Looking to the south of Cabo Corrienties the coast is pretty much clear to the Gulf of Tehuantepec this morning.
We have three tropical waves in our hood this morning and one more heading our way.
The first is moving over Guatemala and El Salvador and it will enter the basin in about 36-48 hours.
The second is SW of Acapulco and has some shower activity around it however not much wind. It is slowly moving west.
The third wave is well SW of the cape heading toward Hawaii this morning. It poses no threat to Baja.
Then over in the Caribbean I can see another Tropical Wave has passed over Cuba and is now out in the Gulf of Mexico. It should show up in the Pacific in a couple of days.
So again this morning there is not much cooking in our Tropical Kitchen.
That’s what is going on in our hood so looking now north to the west coast of America where high pressure is giving cause to temperatures in the Great Northwest to be in the 90s this weekend.
Northern California’s valleys will see triple digit temperatures this afternoon while the coast will be in the 70s.
Southern California has a weak trough of low pressure off shore that’s responsible for the region being overcast over the weekend.
High pressure will return next week and warm the southland back up again. Next week looks hot and dry.
Looking now over to the southwest where they could see some shower and thunderbumper activity today however a better chance will be tomorrow.
High pressure over the plains states will migrate west into the southwest next week that will bring a drying trend and hot temperatures. There will still be enough lingering moisture to support a few afternoon and evening showers and thunderbumpers.
That’s what is going on to the north of us. Back on this side of the Fence the northern Sea will see moderate winds over the 3-day forecast period. Today on the Baja side SE, tomorrow and Monday NE.
The Sonoran side SE today then SW Sunday and Monday.
The central Sea winds will be mostly thermally driven and will have a strong eastern flavor over the 3-day forecast period . You might get NE in the morning and SE in the afternoons.
The southern Sea will see light southerlies today and Monday. Tomorrow the winds will have a western component and be in the moderate ranges.
Many locations will see the 100 degree mark again today.
73s Y’all
Saturday, August 04, 2012
Don't chisel these forecasts in stone. This is an Amateur Endeavor.
………...DAILYS………...
ALL winds are in Knots.
NORTHERN CROSSING FORECAST:
TODAY : Saturday, August 04, 2012
Baja Side : Afternoon Winds: ESE 13-17
CENTER : Afternoon Winds: ESE 15-20
Guaymas Side : Afternoon Winds: SSE 12-16
TOMORROW: Sunday, August 05, 2012
Baja side : Afternoon Winds: E 14-18
Center : Afternoon Winds: SE 11-14
Guaymas side : Afternoon Winds: S 9-11
.
SOUTHERN CROSSING FORECAST:
TODAY : Saturday, August 04, 2012
East Cape : Afternoon Winds: ESE 7-9
Center : Afternoon Winds: SSE 9-12
Mazatlan : Afternoon Winds: S 10-13
TOMORROW : Sunday, August 05, 2012
East Cape : Afternoon Winds: ESE 11-14
Center : Afternoon Winds: SSE 10-13
Mazatlan : Afternoon Winds: SSE 9-12
.
….. 3 DAY FORECAST (OUTSIDE)…...
Ensenada
Saturday 8/4 Afternoon Winds: NW 15-20
Seas: SSE 3 feet at 23 sec.
Sunday 8/5 Afternoon Winds: NW 15-20
Seas: S 4 feet at 19 sec.
Monday 8/6 Afternoon Winds: NW 12-16
Seas: S 4 feet at 17 sec.
Point San Quintin
Saturday 8/4 Afternoon Winds: NW 18-23
Seas: Seas: SSW 4 feet at 15 sec.
Sunday 8/5 Afternoon Winds: NW 18-23
Seas: S 5 feet at 19 sec.
Monday 8/6 Afternoon Winds: WNW 13-17
Seas: S 4 feet at 17 sec.
Turtle Bay
Saturday 8/4 Afternoon Winds: WNW 14-18
Seas: WNW 3 feet at 7 sec.
Sunday 8/5 Afternoon Winds: WNW 15-19
Seas: WNW 3 feet at 6 sec.
Monday 8/6 Afternoon Winds: WNW 15-20
Seas: WNW 3 feet at 6 sec.
Cedros Island
Saturday 8/4 Afternoon Winds: NW 15-20
Seas: S 3 feet at 22 sec.
Sunday 8/5 Afternoon Winds: NW 14-18
Seas: S 3 feet at 18 sec.
Monday 8/6 Afternoon Winds: WNW 12-16
Seas: S 2 feet at 16 sec.
ABREOJOS
Saturday 8/4 Afternoon Winds: WNW 18-24
Seas: S 4 feet at 22 sec.
Sunday 8/5 Afternoon Winds: W 15-20
Seas: S 4 feet at 18 sec.
Monday 8/6 Afternoon Winds: W 11-14
Seas: S 4 feet at 16 sec.
Mag Bay
Saturday 8/4 Afternoon Winds: WNW 15-19
Seas: S 4 feet at 21 sec.
Sunday 8/5 Afternoon Winds: W 11-14
Seas: S 5 feet at 18 sec.
Monday 8/6 Afternoon Winds: WSW 11-14
Seas: S 5 feet at 15 sec.
*CABO FALSO (Pedregal)
Today's Sunrise Temp.: 82 °
Daily High Temperature: 77%
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Saturday 8/4 Morning Winds: NW 9 to 12 knots
Afternoon Winds: WNW 12-15
Seas: Seas: S 5 feet at 20 sec.
Sunday 8/5 Afternoon Winds: W 9-11
Seas: S 5 feet at 17 sec.
Monday 8/6 Afternoon Winds: WSW 9-11
Seas: S 5 feet at 15 sec.
. SEA OF CORTEZ
* indicates WeatherUnderground Station
*Puerto Penasco Casa Weez:
Morning Winds: S 10 to 13 knots
Afternoon Winds: SSW 11-14
Sunrise Temp.: 87 °
Daily High Temperature: 94 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: Calm
#VALUE!
*Bahia Kino Nuevo :
Morning Winds: SSE 8 to 11 knots
Afternoon Winds: S 11-14
Sunrise Temp.: 84 °
Daily High Temperature: 96 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*San Filepe:
Morning Winds: ENE 3 to 4 knots
Afternoon Winds: ENE 6-8
Sunrise Temp.: 87 °
Daily High Temperature: 102 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*Gonzoga Bay Pappa Fernandez Landing. :
Morning Winds: SSW 5 to 6 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 10-13
Sunrise Temp.: 87 °
Daily High Temperature: 110 °
Yesterday's Rainfall:
#VALUE!
*Bay of LA. :
Morning Winds: S 5 to 7 knots
Afternoon Winds: SE 11-14
Sunrise Temp.: 1 °
Daily High Temperature: 93 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
San Franciscito Bay :
Morning Winds: SSE 3 to 4 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 11-14
Santa Rosalia :
Morning Winds: ESE 10 to 13 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 12-16
Sunrise Temp.: N/A
Daily High Temperature: N/A
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*Mulegé :
Morning Winds: ESE 10 to 13 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 13-17
Sunrise Temp.: 80 °
Daily High Temperature: 100 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*San Carlos
Morning Winds: SSE 8 to 11 knots
Afternoon Winds: S 9-11
Sunrise Temp.: 85 °
Daily High Temperature: 99 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Pt Concepcion :
Morning Winds: ESE 5 to 7 knots
Afternoon Winds: E 14-18
Punta Chivato :
Morning Winds: E 9 to 12 knots
Afternoon Winds: E 13-17
*El Burro Cove in Concepcion Bay
Morning Winds Winds: ESE 10 to 13 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 13-17
Sunrise Temp.: 86 °
Daily High Temperature: 99 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Sunrise Sea Temperature: 86
Puerto Escondido Juncalitoville
Morning Winds: SSE 5 to 7 knots
Afternoon Winds: SSW 11-14
Sunrise Temp.: 86 °
Daily High Temperature: 105 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
San Lorenzo Channel :
Morning Winds: SW 4 to 6 knots
Afternoon Winds: SSW 5-6
La Paz:
Morning Winds: SSW 5 to 6 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 7-9
Sunrise Temp.: 74 °
Daily High Temperature: 100 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*La Ventana Baja Joe's :
Morning Winds: SE 3 to 4 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 7-9
Sunrise Temp.: N/A
Daily High Temperature: N/A
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*Los Barriles :
Morning Winds: E 5 to 7 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 9-11
Sunrise Temp.: 84 °
Daily High Temperature: 93 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Cabo Pulmo :
Morning Winds: ESE 6 to 8 knots
Afternoon Winds: SE 7-9
Seas: S 3 feet at 20 sec.
*Cabo San Lucas :
Morning Winds: NW 4 to 5 knots
Afternoon Winds: W 8-10
Sunrise Temp.: 80 °
Daily High Temperature: 101 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
MEXICAN RIVIERA
*Mazatlan,
Morning Winds: SE 6 to 8 knots
Afternoon Winds: S 10-13
Sunrise Temp.: 79 °
Daily High Temperature: 91 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0.5 in.
#VALUE!
*Puerta Vallarta:
Morning Winds: SSE 2 to 3 knots
Afternoon Winds: WSW 9-11
Sunrise Temp.: 78 °
Daily High Temperature: 91 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Manzanillo :
Morning Winds: ENE 2 to 3 knots
Afternoon Winds: SSW 10-13
Sunrise Temp.: 75 °
Daily High Temperature: 86 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Ixtapa Zihuatanejo :
Morning Winds: SSW 5 to 6 knots
Afternoon Winds: S 6-7
Sunrise Temp.: 72 °
Daily High Temperature: 89 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Cabo Corrienties :
Morning Winds: SSE 2 to 2 knots
Afternoon Winds: WSW 8-10
Seas: S 5 feet at 17 sec.
Sea of Cortez Weather for 08/03/12
The Sonrisenet: The premier source for Sea of Cortez weather.
Click here for the Sonrisa Net Weather Webpage
Click here for the Satellite WunderMap view of the Sea of Cortez
After the Sonrisa Weather it’s back to work.
This summary and the daily postings are now posted on the Sonrisanet webpage usually by 8:30 MDT daily.
The following is from my daily ham radio Report
And is now available as a podcast.
Click above to Go to the Sonrisa Net Website
Friday, August 03, 2012
Voice to Text---
.Looking down into the Sea this morning it looks like the entire Sea is pretty much free of any cloudiness.
Looking over to Sonora I can see they have just a few thunderbumper in the past 24 hours and in the past 6 hours however there has been a band of just showers over the Sonoran deserts all night.
There have been no storms move out into the Sea in the past 24 hours.
Looking now to the Mexican Riviera where there has been a lot of thunderbumper activity from just south of Cabo Corrienties to Zihuatanejo over night however most have dissipated by this except directly over Zihuatanejo where at 7am there was still a thumper over that area. I get my data from the airport there and they do not have a rain gage but if they did I’m sure it would show some rain accumulations since midnight.
There are three Tropical Waves in our hood and one in the Caribbean headed our way.
The first is just moving through Central America into the basin and it is moving into the ITCZ/Monsoon trough where there is little chance of tropical development. .
The second wave is a bit north of the ITCZ/Monsoon trough and SW of Acapulco. There is a weak low within the monsoon trough and the wave and the low will move in tandem for the next couple of days with little chance of tropical development.
The third wave is well out in the basin around 117W and has a few scattered clouds in the vicinity and poses not threat to land.
The wave in the Caribbean has just passed over Cuba this morning and will be a couple of days before it shows up on our doorstep.
So as of right now there is nothing cooking in our Tropical Kitchen
that should cause us any concern.
That’s what is going on in our hood so looking now north to the west coast of America today where under high pressure it will be pretty much just like yesterday with sunny skies and temperatures in the 90s inland and in the mid 70s along the coast.
Southern California has weak upper level low off the coast that will bring some cloudiness to the region. There is a slight chance of some thunderbumpers in the mountains and deserts today.
Looking now over to the southwest where storms in Sonora will bring a slight chance of thunderbumpers and showers to the southwest today mainly in the higher terrain. This image is showing most will be in the SE corner of the state and in the SW corner to New Mexico. Monsoonal activity will increase next week. Temperatures in the southwest will continue to be in the high 90 and low 100s into the weekend.
That’s what is going on to the north of us. Back on this side of the Fence the moderate winds continue. The northern Sea will see moderate SE winds today and then the winds will have a northern or Eastern component on Saturday and Sunday.
The central Sea moderate winds mostly thermal driven in the afternoons. Moderate southerlies on the Sonoran side and moderate easterly or north easterly on the Baja side for the 3-day forecast period.
The southern Sea light southerlies for today and tomorrow then moderate southerlies on Sunday.
Temperatures will inch up a few degrees and we should see triple digits in a number of locations today.
73s Y’all
Friday, August 03, 2012
Don't chisel these forecasts in stone. This is an Amateur Endeavor.
………...DAILYS………...
ALL winds are in Knots.
NORTHERN CROSSING FORECAST:
TODAY : Friday, August 03, 2012
Baja Side : Afternoon Winds: ENE 12-15
CENTER : Afternoon Winds: NNW 8-10
Guaymas Side : Afternoon Winds: WNW 9-12
TOMORROW: Saturday, August 04, 2012
Baja side : Afternoon Winds: E 12-15
Center : Afternoon Winds: E 6-7
Guaymas side : Afternoon Winds: SW 7-9
.
SOUTHERN CROSSING FORECAST:
TODAY : Friday, August 03, 2012
East Cape : Afternoon Winds: W 5-6
Center : Afternoon Winds: SSW 7-9
Mazatlan : Afternoon Winds: SW 9-11
TOMORROW : Saturday, August 04, 2012
East Cape : Afternoon Winds: SSE 7-9
Center : Afternoon Winds: SSE 10-13
Mazatlan : Afternoon Winds: S 10-13
.
….. 3 DAY FORECAST (OUTSIDE)…...
Ensenada
Friday 8/3 Afternoon Winds: WNW 12-16
Seas: SSW 3 feet at 16 sec.
Saturday 8/4 Afternoon Winds: WNW 12-16
Seas: SSE 3 feet at 23 sec.
Sunday 8/5 Afternoon Winds: NW 15-20
Seas: S 4 feet at 19 sec.
Point San Quintin
Friday 8/3 Afternoon Winds: WNW 14-18
Seas: Seas: SSW 4 feet at 16 sec.
Saturday 8/4 Afternoon Winds: NW 18-23
Seas: SSW 4 feet at 15 sec.
Sunday 8/5 Afternoon Winds: NW 18-23
Seas: S 5 feet at 19 sec
Turtle Bay
Friday 8/3 Afternoon Winds: WNW 15-19
Seas: NW 2 feet at 8 sec.
Saturday 8/4 Afternoon Winds: WNW 15-20
Seas: NW 3 feet at 8 sec.
Sunday 8/5 Afternoon Winds: WNW 13-17
Seas: WNW 3 feet at 7 sec
Cedros Island
Friday 8/3 Afternoon Winds: WNW 13-17
Seas: SSW 2 feet at 15 sec.
Saturday 8/4 Afternoon Winds: NW 14-18
Seas: S 3 feet at 22 sec.
Sunday 8/5 Afternoon Winds: NW 12-16
Seas: S 3 feet at 18 sec.
ABREOJOS
Friday 8/3 Afternoon Winds: WNW 19-25
Seas: SSW 5 feet at 15 sec.
Saturday 8/4 Afternoon Winds: WNW 18-24
Seas: S 4 feet at 22 sec.
Sunday 8/5 Afternoon Winds: W 12-16
Seas: S 4 feet at 18 sec.
Mag Bay
Friday 8/3 Afternoon Winds: WNW 18-23
Seas: SSW 5 feet at 15 sec.
Saturday 8/4 Afternoon Winds: WNW 15-19
Seas: S 4 feet at 21 sec.
Sunday 8/5 Afternoon Winds: WNW 12-15
Seas: S 5 feet at 18 sec.
*CABO FALSO (Pedregal)
Today's Sunrise Temp.: 79 °
Daily High Temperature: 68%
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Friday 8/3 Morning Winds: NW 11 to 14 knots
Afternoon Winds: WNW 15-20
Seas: Seas: SSW 4 feet at 15 sec.
Saturday 8/4 Afternoon Winds: WNW 12-16
Seas: S 5 feet at 20 sec.
Sunday 8/5 Afternoon Winds: SW 9-11
Seas: S 5 feet at 17 sec.
. SEA OF CORTEZ
* indicates WeatherUnderground Station
*Puerto Penasco Casa Weez:
Morning Winds: S 8 to 10 knots
Afternoon Winds: SW 12-15
Sunrise Temp.: 78 °
Daily High Temperature: 91 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: Calm
#VALUE!
*Bahia Kino Nuevo :
Morning Winds: S 3 to 4 knots
Afternoon Winds: SW 6-8
Sunrise Temp.: 84 °
Daily High Temperature: 95 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*San Filepe:
Morning Winds: ESE 5 to 7 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 11-14
Sunrise Temp.: 88 °
Daily High Temperature: 98 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*Gonzoga Bay Pappa Fernandez Landing. :
Morning Winds: WSW 7 to 9 knots
Afternoon Winds: S 8-10
Sunrise Temp.: 87 °
Daily High Temperature: 99 °
Yesterday's Rainfall:
#VALUE!
*Bay of LA. :
Morning Winds: SW 4 to 6 knots
Afternoon Winds: SSW 7-9
Sunrise Temp.: 63 °
Daily High Temperature: 95 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
San Franciscito Bay :
Morning Winds: WSW 5 to 7 knots
Afternoon Winds: SSE 5-6
Santa Rosalia :
Morning Winds: NNE 5 to 6 knots
Afternoon Winds: ENE 9-11
Sunrise Temp.: N/A
Daily High Temperature: N/A
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*Mulegé :
Morning Winds: NE 8 to 11 knots
Afternoon Winds: ENE 12-15
Sunrise Temp.: 80 °
Daily High Temperature: 103 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*San Carlos
Morning Winds: S 3 to 4 knots
Afternoon Winds: SW 7-9
Sunrise Temp.: 85 °
Daily High Temperature: 99 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Pt Concepcion :
Morning Winds: ENE 7 to 9 knots
Afternoon Winds: E 12-15
Punta Chivato :
Morning Winds: N 3 to 4 knots
Afternoon Winds: ENE 9-12
*El Burro Cove in Concepcion Bay
Morning Winds Winds: NE 8 to 11 knots
Afternoon Winds: ENE 12-15
Sunrise Temp.: 86 °
Daily High Temperature: 100 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Sunrise Sea Temperature: 86
Puerto Escondido Juncalitoville
Morning Winds: ESE 0 to 0 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 10-13
Sunrise Temp.: 85 °
Daily High Temperature: 98 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
San Lorenzo Channel :
Morning Winds: W 3 to 4 knots
Afternoon Winds: WSW 6-8
La Paz:
Morning Winds: WSW 7 to 9 knots
Afternoon Winds: WSW 6-8
Sunrise Temp.: 75 °
Daily High Temperature: 107 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*La Ventana Baja Joe's :
Morning Winds: W 6 to 8 knots
Afternoon Winds: W 5-6
Sunrise Temp.: N/A
Daily High Temperature: N/A
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*Los Barriles :
Morning Winds: WNW 4 to 5 knots
Afternoon Winds: NE 6-7
Sunrise Temp.: 87 °
Daily High Temperature: 94 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Cabo Pulmo :
Morning Winds: N 1 to 1 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 6-7
Seas: SSE 2 feet at 10 sec.
*Cabo San Lucas :
Morning Winds: WNW 6 to 9 knots
Afternoon Winds: WNW 12-16
Sunrise Temp.: 80 °
Daily High Temperature: 100 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
MEXICAN RIVIERA
*Mazatlan,
Morning Winds: NE 2 to 3 knots
Afternoon Winds: SW 9-11
Sunrise Temp.: 83 °
Daily High Temperature: 89 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*Puerta Vallarta:
Morning Winds: NNE 0 to 0 knots
Afternoon Winds: W 7-9
Sunrise Temp.: 79 °
Daily High Temperature: 92 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Manzanillo :
Morning Winds: NW 6 to 7 knots
Afternoon Winds: WSW 9-11
Sunrise Temp.: 76 °
Daily High Temperature: 89 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Ixtapa Zihuatanejo :
Morning Winds: SW 6 to 8 knots
Afternoon Winds: WNW 6-7
Sunrise Temp.: 73 °
Daily High Temperature: 89 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Cabo Corrienties :
Morning Winds: NW 4 to 5 knots
Afternoon Winds: WSW 8-10
Seas: S 5 feet at 20 sec.
Sea of Cortez Weather for 08/02/12
The Sonrisenet: The premier source for Sea of Cortez weather.
Click here for the Sonrisa Net Weather Webpage
Click here for the Satellite WunderMap view of the Sea of Cortez
After the Sonrisa Weather it’s back to work.
This summary and the daily postings are now posted on the Sonrisanet webpage usually by 8:30 MDT daily.
The following is from my daily ham radio Report
And is now available as a podcast.
Click above to Go to the Sonrisa Net Website
Thursday, August 02, 2012
Voice to Text---
.Looking down into the Sea this morning I can see that the Sea is pretty much free of any cloudiness.
Looking over to Sonora I can see that yesterday they had very little in the way of any storms in the afternoon. During the night there were a couple of small cells that developed but only one near Los Mochas came close to entering the Sea.
Looking now south to the cape area where the southern crossing is clear all the way across.
Looking now at the west coast of the mainland along the Mexican Riviera where there has been the most thunderbumper activity in the region for the past 24 hours. I can see that several cells developed around Mazatlan, La Cruz, Puerto Vallarta and south to around Manzanillo over night with several emerging into the Sea. The La Cruz/Puerto Vallarta area had almost 2 inches of rain yesterday and last night a little over an inch since midnight. So it has been a bit wet there the past 24 hours.
Further south the Tehuantepec has had thunderbumper working over it all night and they continue this morning.
Looking now at the ITCZ/Monsoon trough which is tracking along 9N this morning. It is pretty quiet out to around 120W then there is considerably more activity out to the west.
There are a couple of Tropical Waves in the Eastern Pacific basin this morning. One is a bit SW of Acapulco and the other is around 700 miles SW of the cape. The one south of the cape has some thunderbumper activity around it but neither have much of chance of further development.
So again this morning we have nothing cooking in out Tropical Kitchen
. That’s what is going on in our hood so looking now north to the west coast of America where the west coast is enjoying a typical August day.
Southwest Washington and northwest Oregon will see the hottest day of the year this weekend. It will be a blistering 90 degree there.
The rest of the west coast will also see 90 degree weather inland and the mid 70s along the coast.
Southern California will see coastal fog burring off in the early morning and not much chance of any thunderbumper in the deserts or mountains into the weekend.
Looking now over to the southwest where drier air will overspread the region today and restrict the thunderbumper potential to the higher terrain. If there are any thumpers they will be close to the Fence and in northern Sonora. This weekend could see some elevated chances of showers and thumpers in the region.
That’s what’s going on to the north of us. Back on this side of the Fence it looks like the next three day will just like the past 3 days.
Moderate southerlies for the entire Sea
Temperatures today will again be in the mid 90s for most location.
Of Note: My 3-day charts on the Sonrisa Net web page this morning will not be showing the wind direction until I can rebuild that portion later this morning. I’m not sure what happened. Something got in an distroyed that portion. I’m thinking seagull poop. Anyway I’ll have it fixed later this morning. The sail Doc files are all OK.
73s Y’all
Thursday, August 02, 2012
Don't chisel these forecasts in stone. This is an Amateur Endeavor.
………...DAILYS………...
ALL winds are in Knots.
NORTHERN CROSSING FORECAST:
TODAY : Thursday, August 02, 2012
Baja Side : Afternoon Winds: ENE 10-13
CENTER : Afternoon Winds: W 6-7
Guaymas Side : Afternoon Winds: WNW 10-13
TOMORROW: Friday, August 03, 2012
Baja side : Afternoon Winds: ENE 12-16
Center : Afternoon Winds: WNW 10-13
Guaymas side : Afternoon Winds: NW 9-11
.
SOUTHERN CROSSING FORECAST:
TODAY : Thursday, August 02, 2012
East Cape : Afternoon Winds: WNW 7-9
Center : Afternoon Winds: SW 6-8
Mazatlan : Afternoon Winds: WSW 9-11
TOMORROW : Friday, August 03, 2012
East Cape : Afternoon Winds: W 6-8
Center : Afternoon Winds: SW 6-8
Mazatlan : Afternoon Winds: SSW 8-10
.
….. 3 DAY FORECAST (OUTSIDE)…...
Ensenada
Thursday 8/2 Afternoon Winds: WNW 10-13
Seas: SSW 3 feet at 18 sec.
Friday 8/3 Afternoon Winds: WNW 10-13
Seas: SSW 3 feet at 16 sec.
Saturday 8/4 Afternoon Winds: NW 12-16
Seas: SSE 3 feet at 23 sec.
Point San Quintin
Thursday 8/2 Afternoon Winds: WNW 15-19
Seas: Seas: SSW 4 feet at 17 sec.
Friday 8/3 Afternoon Winds: WNW 15-19
Seas: SSW 4 feet at 16 sec.
Saturday 8/4 Afternoon Winds: NW 18-24
Seas: SSW 5 feet at 15 sec.
Turtle Bay
Thursday 8/2 Afternoon Winds: WNW 15-19
Seas: NW 2 feet at 8 sec.
Friday 8/3 Afternoon Winds: WNW 14-18
Seas: NW 2 feet at 8 sec.
Saturday 8/4 Afternoon Winds: WNW 15-20
Seas: NW 3 feet at 8 sec.
Cedros Island
Thursday 8/2 Afternoon Winds: WNW 13-17
Seas: SSW 2 feet at 17 sec.
Friday 8/3 Afternoon Winds: WNW 14-18
Seas: SSW 2 feet at 15 sec.
Saturday 8/4 Afternoon Winds: NW 15-19
Seas: S 2 feet at 22 sec.
ABREOJOS
Thursday 8/2 Afternoon Winds: WNW 18-24
Seas: SSW 5 feet at 17 sec.
Friday 8/3 Afternoon Winds: WNW 18-24
Seas: SSW 4 feet at 15 sec.
Saturday 8/4 Afternoon Winds: WNW 19-25
Seas: S 4 feet at 22 sec.
Mag Bay
Thursday 8/2 Afternoon Winds: WNW 15-20
Seas: SSW 4 feet at 17 sec.
Friday 8/3 Afternoon Winds: WNW 18-23
Seas: SSW 5 feet at 15 sec.
Saturday 8/4 Afternoon Winds: WNW 15-20
Seas: S 4 feet at 21 sec.
*CABO FALSO (Pedregal)
Today's Sunrise Temp.: 77 °
Daily High Temperature: 88%
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Thursday 8/2 Morning Winds: NW 8 to 11 knots
Afternoon Winds: WNW 14-18
Seas: Seas: SSW 4 feet at 17 sec.
Friday 8/3 Afternoon Winds: WNW 16-21
Seas: SSW 4 feet at 15 sec.
Saturday 8/4 Afternoon Winds: WNW 12-16
Seas: S 5 feet at 20 sec.
. SEA OF CORTEZ
* indicates WeatherUnderground Station
*Puerto Penasco Casa Weez:
Morning Winds: S 6 to 8 knots
Afternoon Winds: WSW 11-14
Sunrise Temp.: 76 °
Daily High Temperature: 91 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 2w
#VALUE!
*Bahia Kino Nuevo :
Morning Winds: SW 3 to 4 knots
Afternoon Winds: SW 6-8
Sunrise Temp.: 85 °
Daily High Temperature: 92 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*San Filepe:
Morning Winds: ESE 4 to 6 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 12-15
Sunrise Temp.: 89 °
Daily High Temperature: 97 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*Gonzoga Bay Pappa Fernandez Landing. :
Morning Winds: SE 2 to 3 knots
Afternoon Winds: E 9-12
Sunrise Temp.: 81 °
Daily High Temperature: 96 °
Yesterday's Rainfall:
#VALUE!
*Bay of LA. :
Morning Winds: S 3 to 4 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 7-9
Sunrise Temp.: 82 °
Daily High Temperature: 91 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
San Franciscito Bay :
Morning Winds: SW 3 to 4 knots
Afternoon Winds: E 6-7
Santa Rosalia :
Morning Winds: N 1 to 1 knots
Afternoon Winds: ENE 9-11
Sunrise Temp.: N/A
Daily High Temperature: N/A
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*Mulegé :
Morning Winds: NE 3 to 4 knots
Afternoon Winds: ENE 10-13
Sunrise Temp.: 81 °
Daily High Temperature: 103 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*San Carlos
Morning Winds: W 8 to 10 knots
Afternoon Winds: NW 9-11
Sunrise Temp.: 86 °
Daily High Temperature: 96 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Pt Concepcion :
Morning Winds: NNE 4 to 5 knots
Afternoon Winds: ENE 12-16
Punta Chivato :
Morning Winds: N 1 to 1 knots
Afternoon Winds: ENE 9-11
*El Burro Cove in Concepcion Bay
Morning Winds Winds: NE 3 to 4 knots
Afternoon Winds: ENE 10-13
Sunrise Temp.: 85 °
Daily High Temperature: 99 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Sunrise Sea Temperature: 86
Puerto Escondido Juncalitoville
Morning Winds: ENE 1 to 1 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 8-10
Sunrise Temp.: 83 °
Daily High Temperature: 91 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
San Lorenzo Channel :
Morning Winds: WNW 1 to 1 knots
Afternoon Winds: WSW 8-10
La Paz:
Morning Winds: W 4 to 6 knots
Afternoon Winds: WSW 9-11
Sunrise Temp.: 77 °
Daily High Temperature: 98 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*La Ventana Baja Joe's :
Morning Winds: W 5 to 7 knots
Afternoon Winds: WNW 7-9
Sunrise Temp.: N/A
Daily High Temperature: N/A
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*Los Barriles :
Morning Winds: WNW 4 to 6 knots
Afternoon Winds: NNW 6-8
Sunrise Temp.: 86 °
Daily High Temperature: 92 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Cabo Pulmo :
Morning Winds: N 2 to 3 knots
Afternoon Winds: SW 5-6
Seas: SSW 2 feet at 17 sec.
*Cabo San Lucas :
Morning Winds: NW 4 to 5 knots
Afternoon Winds: W 11-14
Sunrise Temp.: 79 °
Daily High Temperature: 96 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
MEXICAN RIVIERA
*Mazatlan,
Morning Winds: NW 1 to 1 knots
Afternoon Winds: WSW 9-11
Sunrise Temp.: 81 °
Daily High Temperature: 89 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*Puerta Vallarta:
Morning Winds: NNE 2 to 2 knots
Afternoon Winds: WNW 9-12
Sunrise Temp.: 80 °
Daily High Temperature: 94 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 1.18 in.
#VALUE!
Manzanillo :
Morning Winds: NNE 4 to 5 knots
Afternoon Winds: SW 9-11
Sunrise Temp.: 79 °
Daily High Temperature: 89 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0.04 in.
#VALUE!
Ixtapa Zihuatanejo :
Morning Winds: WSW 8 to 11 knots
Afternoon Winds: W 12-15
Sunrise Temp.: 77 °
Daily High Temperature: 89 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Cabo Corrienties :
Morning Winds: NNW 4 to 5 knots
Afternoon Winds: WNW 10-13
Seas: SSW 4 feet at 16 sec.
Sea of Cortez Weather for 08/01/12
The Sonrisenet: The premier source for Sea of Cortez weather.
Click here for the Sonrisa Net Weather Webpage
Click here for the Satellite WunderMap view of the Sea of Cortez
After the Sonrisa Weather it’s back to work.
This summary and the daily postings are now posted on the Sonrisanet webpage usually by 8:30 MDT daily.
The following is from my daily ham radio Report
And is now available as a podcast.
Click above to Go to the Sonrisa Net Website
Wednesday, August 01, 2012
Voice to Text---
.Looking down into the Sea this morning I can see that there has been very little thunderbumper activity in Sonora in the past 24 hours. Since midnight there has been a few storms develop with the remnant clouds drifting over into the Sea though.
This morning it looks like most of these remnant clouds have either dissipated or moved over the peninsula and out into the Pacific. There are however some left over clouds in the central Sea that should be gone by early morning.
Looking south to the cape area and the southern crossing where the crossing area looks to be cloud free this morning.
Looking now south along the Mexican Riviera where I can see that most of the thumpers that built back in the mountains did not quite make it to the coast.
Looking now at the ITCZ/Monsoon trough where it is only moderately active this morning. It’s snaking along 9N this morning.
There are a couple of Tropical Waves in the basin right now however both after that long trip from Africa are exhausted and are weakening with little or no chance of any tropical development.
So again this morning we have nothing cooking in our Tropical Kitchen.
That’s what is going on in our hood so looking now north to the west coast of America where mostly sunshine is the order of the day with temperatures inland in the mid to high 90s and the mid to high 70s along the coast.
Southern California will have little change from yesterday except a decreased chance of any thunderbumper activity in the mountains and deserts.
Looking now over to the southwest where thunderbumper chances remain in the forecast each afternoon and evening into the upcoming weekend although thunderbumper coverage is expected to be less than of late.
That’s what is going on to the north of us. Back on this side of the Fence the Baja side of the northern Sea will see mostly light to moderate ENE winds over the 3-day forecast period.
The Sonoran side light to moderate WSW during this period
The central Sea mostly light to moderate ENE winds for the 3-day forecast period.
The southern Sea starting around Puerto Escondido light to moderate east or ESE wind for the next 3 days.
In general pretty much like what we have been seeing for the past week.
Temperatures today will be in the mid to high 90s and be a tad muggy in the afternoon.
73s Y’all
Wednesday, August 01, 2012
Don't chisel these forecasts in stone. This is an Amateur Endeavor.
………...DAILYS………...
ALL winds are in Knots.
NORTHERN CROSSING FORECAST:
TODAY : Wednesday, August 01, 2012
Baja Side : Afternoon Winds: NE 9-12
CENTER : Afternoon Winds: W 4-5
Guaymas Side : Afternoon Winds: W 13-17
TOMORROW: Thursday, August 02, 2012
Baja side : Afternoon Winds: ENE 10-13
Center : Afternoon Winds: NW 9-12
Guaymas side : Afternoon Winds: WNW 9-12
.
SOUTHERN CROSSING FORECAST:
TODAY : Wednesday, August 01, 2012
East Cape : Afternoon Winds: NNW 4-5
Center : Afternoon Winds: W 7-9
Mazatlan : Afternoon Winds: W 9-12
TOMORROW : Thursday, August 02, 2012
East Cape : Afternoon Winds: W 6-8
Center : Afternoon Winds: WSW 7-9
Mazatlan : Afternoon Winds: SW 9-11
.
….. 3 DAY FORECAST (OUTSIDE)…...
Ensenada
Wednesday 8/1 Afternoon Winds: WNW 11-14
Seas: SSW 3 feet at 20 sec.
Thursday 8/2 Afternoon Winds: WNW 11-14
Seas: SSW 3 feet at 18 sec.
Friday 8/3 Afternoon Winds: WNW 10-13
Seas: SSW 3 feet at 16 sec.
Point San Quintin
Wednesday 8/1 Afternoon Winds: NW 17-22
Seas: Seas: SSW 4 feet at 19 sec.
Thursday 8/2 Afternoon Winds: WNW 16-21
Seas: SSW 4 feet at 17 sec.
Friday 8/3 Afternoon Winds: WNW 15-20
Seas: SSW 4 feet at 16 sec.
Turtle Bay
Wednesday 8/1 Afternoon Winds: WNW 16-21
Seas: NW 3 feet at 8 sec.
Thursday 8/2 Afternoon Winds: WNW 15-19
Seas: NW 3 feet at 8 sec.
Friday 8/3 Afternoon Winds: WNW 14-18
Seas: NW 2 feet at 8 sec.
Cedros Island
Wednesday 8/1 Afternoon Winds: NW 15-19
Seas: SSW 3 feet at 19 sec.
Thursday 8/2 Afternoon Winds: WNW 14-18
Seas: SSW 3 feet at 17 sec.
Friday 8/3 Afternoon Winds: WNW 13-17
Seas: SSW 2 feet at 15 se
ABREOJOS
Wednesday 8/1 Afternoon Winds: WNW 19-25
Seas: SSW 5 feet at 19 sec.
Thursday 8/2 Afternoon Winds: WNW 19-25
Seas: SSW 5 feet at 17 sec.
Friday 8/3 Afternoon Winds: WNW 20-26
Seas: SSW 5 feet at 15 sec.
Mag Bay
Wednesday 8/1 Afternoon Winds: WNW 15-19
Seas: SSW 4 feet at 19 sec.
Thursday 8/2 Afternoon Winds: WNW 17-22
Seas: SSW 5 feet at 17 sec.
Friday 8/3 Afternoon Winds: WNW 18-23
Seas: SSW 5 feet at 15 sec.
*CABO FALSO (Pedregal)
Today's Sunrise Temp.: 78 °
Daily High Temperature: 74%
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Wednesday 8/1 Morning Winds: NW 6 to 8 knots
Afternoon Winds: WNW 12-15
Seas: Seas: SSW 4 feet at 19 sec.
Thursday 8/2 Afternoon Winds: WNW 15-19
Seas: SSW 5 feet at 17 sec.
Friday 8/3 Afternoon Winds: WNW 16-21
Seas: SSW 4 feet at 15 sec.
. SEA OF CORTEZ
* indicates WeatherUnderground Station
*Puerto Penasco Casa Weez:
Morning Winds: S 5 to 6 knots
Afternoon Winds: W 12-15
Sunrise Temp.: 78 °
Daily High Temperature: 89 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: Calm
#VALUE!
*Bahia Kino Nuevo :
Morning Winds: SSE 2 to 2 knots
Afternoon Winds: W 7-9
Sunrise Temp.: 83 °
Daily High Temperature: 86 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*San Filepe:
Morning Winds: ENE 4 to 6 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 11-14
Sunrise Temp.: 85 °
Daily High Temperature: 92 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*Gonzoga Bay Pappa Fernandez Landing. :
Morning Winds: ENE 1 to 2 knots
Afternoon Winds: ENE 11-14
Sunrise Temp.: 85 °
Daily High Temperature: 95 °
Yesterday's Rainfall:
#VALUE!
*Bay of LA. :
Morning Winds: SE 2 to 2 knots
Afternoon Winds: NE 8-10
Sunrise Temp.: 80 °
Daily High Temperature: 91 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
San Franciscito Bay :
Morning Winds: E 3 to 4 knots
Afternoon Winds: E 10-13
Santa Rosalia :
Morning Winds: NE 2 to 3 knots
Afternoon Winds: NNE 7-9
Sunrise Temp.: N/A
Daily High Temperature: N/A
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*Mulegé :
Morning Winds: NE 4 to 6 knots
Afternoon Winds: NE 9-12
Sunrise Temp.: 81 °
Daily High Temperature: 99 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*San Carlos
Morning Winds: WNW 7 to 9 knots
Afternoon Winds: WNW 9-12
Sunrise Temp.: 84 °
Daily High Temperature: 91 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Pt Concepcion :
Morning Winds: NNE 5 to 7 knots
Afternoon Winds: ENE 10-13
Punta Chivato :
Morning Winds: NE 3 to 4 knots
Afternoon Winds: ENE 9-12
*El Burro Cove in Concepcion Bay
Morning Winds Winds: NE 4 to 6 knots
Afternoon Winds: NE 9-12
Sunrise Temp.: 84 °
Daily High Temperature: 98 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Sunrise Sea Temperature: 86
Puerto Escondido Juncalitoville
Morning Winds: ENE 5 to 6 knots
Afternoon Winds: E 11-14
Sunrise Temp.: 78 °
Daily High Temperature: 93 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
San Lorenzo Channel :
Morning Winds: ENE 2 to 3 knots
Afternoon Winds: ESE 6-8
La Paz:
Morning Winds: WNW 1 to 2 knots
Afternoon Winds: ENE 5-6
Sunrise Temp.: 77 °
Daily High Temperature: 103 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*La Ventana Baja Joe's :
Morning Winds: WNW 2 to 3 knots
Afternoon Winds: NNW 4-5
Sunrise Temp.: N/A
Daily High Temperature: N/A
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*Los Barriles :
Morning Winds: NNW 3 to 4 knots
Afternoon Winds: ENE 5-6
Sunrise Temp.: 82 °
Daily High Temperature: 93 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Cabo Pulmo :
Morning Winds: NNE 3 to 4 knots
Afternoon Winds: SSW 6-7
Seas: SSE 2 feet at 11 sec.
*Cabo San Lucas :
Morning Winds: NW 2 to 2 knots
Afternoon Winds: WSW 10-13
Sunrise Temp.: 80 °
Daily High Temperature: 94 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
MEXICAN RIVIERA
*Mazatlan,
Morning Winds: NW 5 to 7 knots
Afternoon Winds: W 9-12
Sunrise Temp.: 84 °
Daily High Temperature: 89 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
*Puerta Vallarta:
Morning Winds: NNE 3 to 4 knots
Afternoon Winds: NW 9-11
Sunrise Temp.: 81 °
Daily High Temperature: 94 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Manzanillo :
Morning Winds: NE 2 to 3 knots
Afternoon Winds: SW 9-11
Sunrise Temp.: 76 °
Daily High Temperature: 91 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Ixtapa Zihuatanejo :
Morning Winds: WSW 9 to 12 knots
Afternoon Winds: W 11-14
Sunrise Temp.: 75 °
Daily High Temperature: 89 °
Yesterday's Rainfall: 0 in.
#VALUE!
Cabo Corrienties :
Morning Winds: N 5 to 6 knots
Afternoon Winds: WNW 8-10
Seas: SSW 4 feet at 17 sec.
