Atlantic and Eastern Pacific basins are quiet for now
Both the Atlantic and the Eastern Pacific basins are expected to be free from tropical cyclones over the next 2 days. The Gulf of Mexico disturbance and the central Atlantic tropical wave are not expected to become tropical cyclones during the next 48 hours. The Gulf of Mexico disturbance is moving over Texas, and is bringing some heavy rains. The central Atlantic tropical wave is forecasted to bring some heavy rains in the Lesser Antilles by tomorrow or so as the wave is expected to move westward into the Caribbean Sea. Environmental conditions in the Caribbean are not favorable for this wave to develop. None of the models are forecasting tropical cyclones to develop in the Atlantic basin over the next 7 days. In the eastern Pacific, however, the ECMWF model is predicting at least one weak tropical cyclone developing this basin by the next 4 to 6 days. Other models are not predicting this scenario, but we shall see what happens.
Figure 1. Recent infrared satellite image of Western Atlantic. Image courtesy: NOAA's Satellite Services Division (SSD).
Civicane49
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