The Northeast Weather Blog...

Severe Weather Outbreak Sunday...
Posted by: Zachary Labe, 03:48 PM GMT del 03 Agosto 2012 +0
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"Soil Moisture Anomalies and 5-day Precipitation Amounts from Hydro Prediction Center"


"Severe Weather Outlooks from Storm Prediction Center Days 1, 2, and 3"


"12hr Estimated Precipitation"


"Forecast Max Temperatures"


"Forecast Min Temperature"


"Forecast Weather at 2pm"


"Current Storm Reports"


"Fire Outlooks from Storm Prediction Center Days 1, 2, and 3"

(All maps courtesy of NOAA and Penn State Meteo.)

"Forecast Model Links"
-NAM model 12z...Link
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"Severe Weather Links"
-Atmospheric Soundings Skewt T charts...Link
-SPC Mesoscale Analysis Pages...Link
-Public Spotter Reports for State College NWS...Link
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-Severe Weather Parameter Definitions...Link

"Flooding Links"
-Automated Pennsylvania Rainfall Recording Stations...Link
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Lower Susquehanna Valley Doppler...

(Courtesy of WGAL)

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"Linglestown, PA 2012 statistics"
(Severe Weather Stats...)
Severe Thunderstorm Watches- 9
Severe Thunderstorm Warnings- 11
Tornado Watches- 1
Tornado Warnings- 0
Total Thunderstorms- 24

(Precipitation Stats...)
Flood Watches- 0
Flood Warnings- 0
Flash Flood Watch- 2
Flash Flood Warnings- 1
January precipitation- 2.82"
February precipitation- 1.90"
March precipitation- 1.41"
April precipitation- 1.74"
May precipitation- 7.47"
June precipitation- 3.30"
July precipitation- 5.29"
August precipitation- 3.23"
Yearly precipitation- 27.16"

(Temperature Stats...)
Heat Advisories- 9
Excessive Heat Watch- 1
Excessive Heat Warnings- 1
90F days- 22
100F days- 1
Highest Temperature- 102F on 7/7
Categories: Observation Blogs
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Reader Comments
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151. listenerVT 05:35 AM GMT del 20 Agosto 2012    
HUHsayWHAT?!

Right at this moment the radar on WU shows a big patch of precip headed my way, and for some reason it is all showing up RED on the radar map!!! Weather.com just shows it as ordinary green rain, and no one has warnings up. So what's with the red on the radar?! Is someone at WU central maybe colour blind? (Red and green are seen by some colour blind folks as identical.)

Either way, I guess I'd best get to sleep. Staff meeting first thing in the morning. But we had a gorgeous weekend with perfect weather: mostly sunny, mid-70's, humidity around 38%, gentle breezes. Amazing!

We took a trip through Vermont to the Weston Playhouse to see Fiddler on the Roof. Well done! But we also saw a lot of the areas that were hard hit a year ago when Irene hit. Some are still waiting to be repaired...!
Member Since: Luglio 11, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 4824
152. Pcroton 11:57 AM GMT del 20 Agosto 2012    
It's cool Zach. You're busy and the weather is not.


Meanwhile talk about a complete forecast BUST. Went from high chance of numerous widespread all-day rain event to... well, it's sunny now with the radar scope empty (we consider heavy rain offshore and moving further offshore as an EMPTY scope down here).

Worse...and way worse...is a return of mid-UPPER 80s yet again in the forecast towards the end of the week.

Even worse? Long term CPC outlooks? Come'on already. ENOUGH. Above normal 6-10 and 8-14 day outlooks for us... and WELL ABOVE NORMAL for the new SEP-OCT-NOV outlook.

Now I'm not looking for a blizzard filled winter or one of those miserable ice cold fall seasons.

But enough already... I don't need to be seeing things that tell me I will be sitting here in 8 weeks with identical weather that I have today.

No thank you. GO AWAY.



....If you look upstream in Canada, there is the occasional front with cool air dipping into central Canada over the next 10 days, but pay attention to western Canada in any model runs: The heat builds quickly back into place with 80s right up into the YUKON!!!

That's a horrible sign right there for those of us that were hoping for a REAL taste of fall...you know...during fall?

This sucks. No other way to put it.
Member Since: Settembre 26, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 1473
153. Pcroton 12:01 PM GMT del 20 Agosto 2012    
Folks, at 8AM ET, it is as warm in the NorthWest Territories of Canada (East of the Yukon) as it is in NY/NJ at this hour.

That's not good for us...at all.


Static Image, 8AM ET, Aug 20:




Updating Image....:


Member Since: Settembre 26, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 1473
154. TheRasberryPatch 12:07 PM GMT del 20 Agosto 2012    
Quoting Pcroton:
It's cool Zach. You're busy and the weather is not.


Meanwhile talk about a complete forecast BUST. Went from high chance of numerous widespread all-day rain event to... well, it's sunny now with the radar scope empty (we consider heavy rain offshore and moving further offshore as an EMPTY scope down here).

Worse...and way worse...is a return of mid-UPPER 80s yet again in the forecast towards the end of the week.

Even worse? Long term CPC outlooks? Come'on already. ENOUGH. Above normal 6-10 and 8-14 day outlooks for us... and WELL ABOVE NORMAL for the new SEP-OCT-NOV outlook.

Now I'm not looking for a blizzard filled winter or one of those miserable ice cold fall seasons.

But enough already... I don't need to be seeing things that tell me I will be sitting here in 8 weeks with identical weather that I have today.

No thank you. GO AWAY.



....If you look upstream in Canada, there is the occasional front with cool air dipping into central Canada over the next 10 days, but pay attention to western Canada in any model runs: The heat builds quickly back into place with 80s right up into the YUKON!!!

That's a horrible sign right there for those of us that were hoping for a REAL taste of fall...you know...during fall?

This sucks. No other way to put it.


It's still August. I won't mind 80's for another few weeks. I enjoy the summer lasting into and past Labor Day. I grew up going to the beach for Labor Day weekend. The water is usually perfect and the fishing isn't bad either.

Come mid-September I will be ready for the cool evenings and 70's, but I am sure we will still see 80's. Just as long as we aren't wearing coats in September.

Don't get me wrong...Autumn is one of my favorite times of the year. Just such great memories with fall sports and the weather and friends. It seems people get out more and there is more activities and the Fall Festivals. Not to mention it is a great time to be golfing. Usually the courses don't have as many people and they are in great shape.
Member Since: Gennaio 26, 2007 Posts: 72 Comments: 5712
155. originalLT 08:21 PM GMT del 20 Agosto 2012    
Line of T. Storms moving right thru Blizz's home area--of course he is not there to enjoy them!
Member Since: Gennaio 31, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 5181
156. TheRasberryPatch 09:18 PM GMT del 20 Agosto 2012    
Quoting originalLT:
Line of T. Storms moving right thru Blizz's home area--of course he is not there to enjoy them!


Not really a thunderstorm. It's just heavy rain. I am just south of him and the line is moving through my area.

For awhile I didn't think we were going to get any rain today. It looked like the rain was along the coast. We barely had any sun today.
Member Since: Gennaio 26, 2007 Posts: 72 Comments: 5712
157. Zachary Labe 02:53 AM GMT del 21 Agosto 2012    
Looks like a good amount of rain fell again across the Lower Susquehanna Valley; interesting how much heavy rain has been falling across the east compared to the rest of the country which is almost all in a drought.
Member Since: Dicembre 14, 2007 Posts: 255 Comments: 14363
158. wxgeek723 04:06 AM GMT del 21 Agosto 2012    
I know we like to evade this topic a lot on Blizz's blog because it is the root of all evil on WU, but I can't present this idea to the contributors on Master's blog because they'll bite my head off. Plus I like you guys better, haha.

Has anyone noticed the NHC has become extremely liberal with naming storms in the Atlantic? It seems like they name several storms without a good case for doing so. Just a few days ago with Helene. I mean, I don't even think it was a storm for 24 hours, and the satellite presentation was awful. Was there really any need to give an 18 hour storm a name? I'll admit that this bizarre season has had some pretty legitimate storms, but last year had a whole handful of questionable storms. There's also a few in 2010 that were really a waste of time. One or two a season is perfectly fine, but now the NHC almost seems to be rushing to bring attention to things that don't really need it.

I guess they are the experts, and even weak storms are storms too, but I've noticed this happening all too frequently and it bothers me because 1) I feel like storms don't get the name they deserve (yes I'm weird like that LOL) and 2) it inflates the season's statistics and portrays it as very active when it really wasn't. Records are broken when they may actually still be standing, and the media can manipulate data and make this season thus far sound 'bad'. At least they can't really pump up the ACE, that's about the only reliable stat nowadays.

It really discourages me to see them do this because I think a name is special. Tropical cyclones are unique because we name them and not just any blob deserves a name attached to it. Speaking of inflation, what is the value of a name if just about anything in the Atlantic that looks like a surface circulation can get one? I do hear rumors that the NHC only does it now to keep their budget from taking a hit or something; who knows, but I do not like it.


Okay end rant, resume chat on local weather.
Member Since: Agosto 28, 2008 Posts: 79 Comments: 2361
159. originalLT 04:11 AM GMT del 21 Agosto 2012    
You may have a point wxgeek723.
Member Since: Gennaio 31, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 5181
160. TheRasberryPatch 12:29 PM GMT del 21 Agosto 2012    
Quoting Blizzard92:
Looks like a good amount of rain fell again across the Lower Susquehanna Valley; interesting how much heavy rain has been falling across the east compared to the rest of the country which is almost all in a drought.


It rained very hard for about 30 mins (approx. 0.70"/hour). In the 2 hours of rain I got 0.46". Another summer of wet conditions. Except for the 4 weeks in June to early July it has been wet. I just hope the cooler evening/morning temps keep the mosquito population down.

wxgeek - I understand what you are saying. It could be possible. You never know with government agencies these days.
Member Since: Gennaio 26, 2007 Posts: 72 Comments: 5712
161. Zachary Labe 01:13 AM GMT del 22 Agosto 2012    
wxgeek723- I agree 100%. It is no wonder there has been an increase in named tropical activity over the last decade. And here is to wonder how many storms have been missed over the years especially before the excellent satellite positioning network.
Member Since: Dicembre 14, 2007 Posts: 255 Comments: 14363
162. TheRasberryPatch 09:08 PM GMT del 22 Agosto 2012    
a brief pop-up shower is hitting my area. I can see the sun to my West and this shower is over my house with some thunder. Just 0.05"

It wasn't a humid day. It was very nice with temp @ 81F.
Member Since: Gennaio 26, 2007 Posts: 72 Comments: 5712
163. TheRasberryPatch 09:28 PM GMT del 22 Agosto 2012    
Ugh, it's raining again with thunder. Again the sun is out to the West. It shouldn't last long.
Member Since: Gennaio 26, 2007 Posts: 72 Comments: 5712
164. colortheworld 09:48 PM GMT del 22 Agosto 2012    
Not a drop of rain here. I did just notice that Henry Margusity is wishcasting Ike as a Category 4 drilling New Orleans. Something's not right with that dude.

Oh and I should probably say hi to everybody. It's been, oh I don't know, 5 months? Life comes at you fast and when the winds of change blow through they often enough don't let you correspond with online communities as much. Just thought I would take a few moments and say hi and hope everybody in this community is doing well. You'll note the new userid, I moved so my former userid (palmyrapunishment) is no longer applicable.

It's still me, however, coming to you live from "beautiful" Huntingdon, Pennsylvania. Let's see how weird things get with these storms in the Atlantic.

Peace,
- the artist formerly known as "Palmyra"
Member Since: Agosto 22, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 4
165. TheRasberryPatch 10:03 PM GMT del 22 Agosto 2012    
welcome back PP. I hope all is well.

ended up getting 0.13" for the 2 quick downpours
Member Since: Gennaio 26, 2007 Posts: 72 Comments: 5712
166. Zachary Labe 10:18 PM GMT del 22 Agosto 2012    
I have not been able to follow Isaac to closely thus far as things have been pretty busy with today being the first day of classes, but I'll try to take a look tomorrow.
Member Since: Dicembre 14, 2007 Posts: 255 Comments: 14363
167. colortheworld 10:29 PM GMT del 22 Agosto 2012    
The chatroom is the busiest I've ever seen it. Crazy.

So what's your course-load like this year, Blizz? Things getting easier up there?

Also, show of hands on who feels old knowing that Friday is the 20th Anniversary of Andrew hitting Homestead lol
Member Since: Agosto 22, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 4
168. originalLT 12:46 PM GMT del 23 Agosto 2012    
I do!(Ref. post #167) Nice to hear from you PP--or should I say, CTW.
Member Since: Gennaio 31, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 5181
169. PhillySnow 08:25 PM GMT del 23 Agosto 2012    
Hi CTW! Always good to get back to it.

I haven't been on the blog for several weeks, and today when I went onto Wunderground I couldn't find it! Had a few moments of panic there - who would I "talk with" about the snow? Funny, isn't it?
Member Since: Dicembre 18, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 801
170. Zachary Labe 12:51 AM GMT del 24 Agosto 2012    
Quoting colortheworld:
The chatroom is the busiest I've ever seen it. Crazy.

So what's your course-load like this year, Blizz? Things getting easier up there?

Also, show of hands on who feels old knowing that Friday is the 20th Anniversary of Andrew hitting Homestead lol

Ugh, it ten times crazier hard up here than last semester. A fun mix of Calc III and physics this semester. My meteo class is an instrumental and observation class looking at METAR and synoptic code along with a long section on RADAR. The fun class is Oceanography. A more relaxed 16.5 credits though compared to last semester despite 3 labs this time around, meh.
Member Since: Dicembre 14, 2007 Posts: 255 Comments: 14363
171. listenerVT 02:43 AM GMT del 24 Agosto 2012    
Quoting Blizzard92:

Ugh, it ten times crazier hard up here than last semester. A fun mix of Calc III and physics this semester. My meteo class is an instrumental and observation class looking at METAR and synoptic code along with a long section on RADAR. The fun class is Oceanography. A more relaxed 16.5 credits though compared to last semester despite 3 labs this time around, meh.


Wow! e-way are not orthy-way!
Thanks for coming by whenever you can.

I feel like we are helping in some small way to grow a new meteorologist. :-)
Please know that we're cheering you on every day!!!
Member Since: Luglio 11, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 4824
172. h2oskt 02:08 AM GMT del 25 Agosto 2012    
Quoting originalLT:
You may have a point wxgeek723.


Wxgeek peeked my attention. Now this past week, TS Joyce was named, had max sustained winds of 40mph for perhaps 8 or 12 hours if we are lucky and has since been downgraded to a post-tropical system.

Things that make you go hum . . . .
Member Since: Agosto 20, 2010 Posts: 4 Comments: 41
173. wxgeek723 12:38 PM GMT del 25 Agosto 2012    
Has anyone noticed the sudden appearance of invasive species from TWC?
Member Since: Agosto 28, 2008 Posts: 79 Comments: 2361

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About Blizzard92
Cornell University- Atmospheric Sciences Student; Central PA SKYWARN Storm Spotter; American Meteorological Society Member; PA CoCoRaHS Branch Member

Local Weather
Mostly Cloudy
66 °F
Molto nuvoloso
Personal Weather Stations
Linglestown, PA
Elevation: 520 ft
Temperatura: 73.1 °F
Punto di rugiada: 66.2 °F
Umidità: 79%
Vento: Calma - senza vento
Raffiche di vento: 0.0 mph
Updated: 09:34 PM EDT del 16 Giugno 2013
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