The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
northwest Arkansas
central and eastern Oklahoma
northwest Texas
* effective this Monday afternoon and evening from 110 PM until
1000 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
several tornadoes possible
numerous large hail events likely with a few very large hail
events to 4 inches in diameter possible
numerous damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
The Tornado Watch area is approximately along and 115 statute
miles east and west of a line from 30 miles northwest of Grove
Oklahoma to 40 miles east of Wichita Falls Texas. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(wous64 kwns wou1).
Precautionary/preparedness actions...
Remember... a Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
Other watch information... continue... ww 189... ww 190...
Discussion... rapid intense storm development is expected during the
next few hours... both near a stalled surface front roughly west of
the I-35 corridor... and near the pre-frontal dryline nosing
northeastward into south central Oklahoma by late afternoon.
Isolated supercells are likely along the dryline... with the most
prominent tornado threat... which probably will increase by early
evening as the southerly low-level jet strengthens and enlarges
low-level hodographs. One or two strong tornadoes may not be out of
the question. Otherwise... large hail is likely... some very large...
with increasing damaging wind potential across eastern Oklahoma as
convection consolidates and evolves into an organized cluster.
Aviation... tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 4 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface
wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to
600. Mean storm motion vector 25035.
... Kerr