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NWS Discussion
			
				

Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Shreveport la 
304 PM CDT Wednesday may 22 2013 


Discussion... 
light winds to prevail across the region tonight as surface high 
pressure holds across the region. Expecting temperatures to 
fall into the lower 60s to middle 60s tonight...near 70 in Lufkin. 
Could see some patchy fog by daybreak...however with intrusion of 
low clouds by daybreak...fog formation may be limited. For this 
reason...held off on mentioning fog in the forecast. 


On Thursday...weak surface boundary to progress south across the 
region. Could see some isolated showers and thunderstorms. 
Subsidence associated with upper-level ridge centered across 
central Texas to allow for hot conditions in the afternoon with 
highs approaching 90 degrees south of the front. 


High pressure to rebuild across the region on Friday allowing for 
cooler temperatures with highs in the 80s. Low temperatures 
Saturday morning forecast to dip into the 50s and 60s. 


Otherwise...dry conditions to prevail through the remainder of 
the forecast period as upper ridge becomes anchored across the 
region. Expect high temperatures to climb into the middle to upper 
80s with lows in the 60s throughout the weekend and into early 
next week. /05/ 


&& 


Aviation... 
stratocu field continues to clear from northwest to southeast this afternoon and 
VFR conditions are expected to prevail at all terminals for most of 
the 00z taf period. Continuation of light and variable winds 
overnight combined with mostly clear skies and wet soils from the 
recent rainfall will likely result in patchy fog before sunrise 
Thursday morning. Any MVFR/IFR ceilings/visibilities should lift and dissipate 
allowing VFR conditions to prevail once again by 23/16z. /09/ 


&& 


Preliminary point temps/pops... 
shv 66 91 69 85 64 / 10 10 20 20 10 
mlu 66 90 67 82 59 / 10 10 20 20 10 
deq 57 85 63 79 59 / 10 20 20 20 10 
txk 61 86 65 80 61 / 10 20 20 20 10 
eld 60 88 63 80 57 / 10 20 20 20 10 
tyr 66 90 70 88 67 / 10 10 10 20 10 
ggg 65 90 69 86 66 / 10 10 20 20 10 
lfk 69 91 69 89 67 / 10 10 10 20 10 


&& 


Shv watches/warnings/advisories... 
Arkansas...none. 
La...none. 
OK...none. 
Texas...none. 
&& 


$$ 


05/09/